AIM/Enduse Extension: Analysis with fixed device shares Rahul - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba

AIM/Enduse Extension: Analysis with fixed device shares

Rahul Pandey

Adjunct faculty, IIM Lucknow

AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba

Scheme of presentation

• Motivation for development of extension
• Logic of calculations
• Logic of interface
• Demonstration
• Draft of updated user training manual

AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba

Motivation

• User may not have GAMS license
• Even with GAMS (optimization) option, user may

be interested in:

– Assessing future pathways characterized by certain presumed trends of technology shares (‘technology push’ or ‘policy target’ scenarios) – Comparing various such ‘technology share’ scenarios – Comparing such ‘technology share’ scenarios with those based on ‘optimization’ or ‘least-cost criterion’

• Further user-friendly modules can be built over

current extension

AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba

Logic of calculations:

Accounting Framework

Activity level of a Device DEV Service output SRV Energy input ENG Emission quantity EMS Device stock STK New Device capacity installed RCT O&M & Fuel cost MNT Capital cost RCI Annualized capital cost RCA

t % Share 100 A B D C E

AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba

Logic of calculations

∑

× =

energy this with Devices t t t

t EnergyInpu Sp DEV A

.

) . (

Activity level of a Device DEV Service output SRV Energy input ENG Emission quantity EMS Device stock STK New Device capacity installed RCT O&M & Fuel cost MNT Capital cost RCI Annualized capital cost RCA

For enduse device:

• Enduse service demand (A)
• Device share (B)
• Sp. service input of device (C)
• Service loss (D)

DEVt = {At x Bt} / {Ct x (1-Dt)}

For non-enduse device:

• Intermed. service demand (A)*
• Device share (B)
• Sp. service input of device (C)
• Service loss (D)

DEVt = {At x Bt} / {Ct x (1-Dt)}

AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba

Logic of calculations

Activity level of a Device DEV Service output SRV Energy input ENG Emission quantity EMS Device stock STK New Device capacity installed RCT O&M & Fuel cost MNT Capital cost RCI Annualized capital cost RCA

• Sp. service input of device (C)

SRV = {DEVt x Ct}

AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba

Logic of calculations

∑

− × × + × =

device this to input Energy t t t t t

G F ENG E DEV EMS

. .

)} 1 ( { ) (

Activity level of a Device DEV Service output SRV Energy input ENG Emission quantity EMS Device stock STK New Device capacity installed RCT O&M & Fuel cost MNT Capital cost RCI Annualized capital cost RCA

• Gas emitted per unit of device

activity (E)

• Gas emission coeff. of energy (F)
• Fraction of input used as raw

material (G)

AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba

Logic of calculations

)} / 1 1 ( {

1

L STK STK RCT

t t t

− × − =

−

Activity level of a Device DEV Service output SRV Energy input ENG Emission quantity EMS Device stock STK New Device capacity installed RCT O&M & Fuel cost MNT Capital cost RCI Annualized capital cost RCA

• Lifetime of device (H)

AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba

Logic of interface

Input data MS-Access tables Output data MS-Access tables View results Pivot tables/graphs

• Input data check
• Data transfer to

GAMS

• GAMS run
• Input data check
• Calculations

with fixed shares

AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba

AIM/Enduse User Training Manual

Contents:

1. Basic concepts of AIM/Enduse 2. Getting started with AIM/Enduse 3. Model calibration and fine-tuning 4. Scenario and countermeasure analysis 5. Further exercises Appendix-I: Test data-1 Appendix-II: Test data-2