AIM/Enduse Extension: Analysis with fixed device shares Rahul - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

AIM/Enduse Extension: Analysis with fixed device shares Rahul Pandey Adjunct faculty, IIM Lucknow AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba

Scheme of presentation • Motivation for development of extension • Logic of calculations • Logic of interface • Demonstration • Draft of updated user training manual AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba

Motivation • User may not have GAMS license • Even with GAMS (optimization) option, user may be interested in: – Assessing future pathways characterized by certain presumed trends of technology shares (‘ technology push’ or ‘policy target’ scenarios ) – Comparing various such ‘technology share’ scenarios – Comparing such ‘technology share’ scenarios with those based on ‘optimization’ or ‘least-cost criterion’ • Further user-friendly modules can be built over current extension AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba

Logic of calculations: Accounting Framework 100 E D C % Activity level of a Device Share B DEV A 0 t Device stock Service output Energy input STK SRV ENG New Device O&M & Fuel cost Emission quantity capacity installed MNT EMS RCT Annualized Capital cost capital cost AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba RCI RCA

Logic of calculations ∑ = × A ( DEV Sp . EnergyInpu t ) t t t Devices with . this energy DEV t = {A t x B t } / {C t x (1-D t )} For enduse device: For non-enduse device: DEVt = {A t x B t } / {C t x (1-D t )} • Enduse service demand (A) • Intermed. service demand (A)* Activity level of a Device • Device share (B) • Device share (B) DEV • Sp. service input of device (C) • Sp. service input of device (C) • Service loss (D) • Service loss (D) Device stock Service output Energy input STK SRV ENG New Device O&M & Fuel cost Emission quantity capacity installed MNT EMS RCT Annualized Capital cost capital cost AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba RCI RCA

Logic of calculations Activity level of a Device DEV SRV = {DEV t x C t } Device stock Service output Energy input • Sp. service input of device (C) STK SRV ENG New Device O&M & Fuel cost Emission quantity capacity installed MNT EMS RCT Annualized Capital cost capital cost RCI AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba RCA

Logic of calculations Activity level of a Device DEV Device stock Service output Energy input STK SRV ENG • Gas emitted per unit of device activity (E) New Device O&M & Fuel cost Emission quantity capacity installed • Gas emission coeff. of energy (F) MNT EMS • Fraction of input used as raw RCT material (G) ∑ = × + × × − EMS ( DEV E ) { ENG F ( 1 G )} t t t t t Annualized Energy input . to Capital cost this . device capital cost RCI AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba RCA

Logic of calculations Activity level of a Device DEV Device stock Service output Energy input STK SRV ENG New Device O&M & Fuel cost Emission quantity capacity installed • Lifetime of device (H) MNT EMS RCT = − × − RCT STK { STK ( 1 1 / L )} − t t t 1 Annualized Capital cost capital cost RCI AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba RCA

Logic of interface • Input data check • Data transfer to GAMS Input data Output data View results • GAMS run MS-Access MS-Access Pivot tables tables tables/graphs • Input data check • Calculations with fixed shares AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba

AIM/Enduse User Training Manual Contents: 1. Basic concepts of AIM/Enduse 2. Getting started with AIM/Enduse 3. Model calibration and fine-tuning 4. Scenario and countermeasure analysis 5. Further exercises Appendix-I: Test data-1 Appendix-II: Test data-2 AIM International Workshop 2007, NIES, Tsukuba