The latest version of AI M/ Enduse Model The latest version of AI M/ - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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The latest version of AI M/ Enduse Model The latest version of AI M/ Enduse Model

Go Hibino Go Hibino Fuji Research I nstitute Corporation Fuji Research I nstitute Corporation

The 8th AIM International Workshop The 8th AIM International Workshop 13 13-

• 15, March 2003

15, March 2003 At At Ohyama Ohyama Memorial Hall Memorial Hall

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The latest version of AI M/ Enduse Model The latest version of AI M/ Enduse Model

1) Module to estimate CH4 and N2O emission 2) Module to estimate PM emission and analyze the effect of removal processes. 3) Integrate country model and LPS/area source model 4) Future works

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1) Module to estimate CH4 and N2O emission

• a. Greenhouse gas emission share in Asia countries

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Brunei China I ndia I ndonesia Japan Korea Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam Others N2O CH4 CO2

Source : IEA

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1) Module to estimate CH4 and N2O emission

• b. Main source of CH4 and N2O emission

○ Syntheric Fertilizers Agriculture Soil ○ ○ Dung ○ ○ Charcoal Consumption ○ ○ Fuel Wood ○ ○ Charcoal Production Biomass Burning ○ Nitrogen ○ Carbon Field Burning of Agr. Residue ○ Paddy Rained Flood Prone Rice Cultivation ○ ○ Swines ○ ○ Mules and Asses ○ ○ Horses ○ ○ Camels ○ ○ Goats ○ ○ Sheep ○ ○ Buffalo ○ ○ Cattle Enteric Fermentation ○ Gas Production/Transmission/Distribution ○ Oil Production/Refining ○ Coal Mines Energy production N2O CH4 Source Classification

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1) Module to estimate CH4 and N2O emission

• c. Emission source in AI M/ Enduse model

NOx Device Service Energy CO2 CH4 Source Service

Energy Device CH4 Emission Source

• Paddy field area
• Livestock heads
• Coal production ...

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1) Module to estimate CH4 and N2O emission

• d. CO2, CH4, N2O Emission estimated with AI M/ Enduse model

CHN JPN IND KOR IRN IDN TWN PRK THA UZB KAZ PAK MYS PHL SGP VNM TKM WSM BGD AFG LKA PNG MMR MNG TJK KGZ NPL BTN PLW FJI KIR BRN LAO NRU PYF MDV VUT SLB TON KHM CO2 2032 CO2 1998 CH4 2032 CH4 1998 N2O 2032 N2O 1998

500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 Greenhouse gas emission (MtCO2eq)

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2) Module to estimate PM emission and analyze the effect of removal processes

Energy Device Energy Device Removal Process Service SO2･ NOx SO2･ NOx Service

Without removal process With removal process

• Coal washing
• Lime stone injection
• Flue gas desulfurization ..

Version 2.0

• PM2.5，

PM10

• CO
• NMVOC ..

Version 2.0

• Gravity / inertial settlers
• Cyclones
• Electrostatic precipitators ..

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3) I ntegrate country model and LPS/ area source model

March, 2002 LPS/ area source model September, 2003 Country model March, 2003

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4) Future work

1) Solve the problem in energy conversion sector and energy end-use sector, respectively

Energy conversion sector Energy end-use sector

Secondary Energy

Energy conversion sector Energy end-use sector

Secondary Energy

Cost minimization Cost minimization Cost minimization

2) Module to estimate future emission without GAMS

Data GAMS Output Data GAMS Output

Maximum share Share, Emission Share Emission