Bangchak Corporation Plc.
Opportunity Day Q3/2018
November 14th, 2018
Bangchak Corporation Plc. 1
Bangchak Corporation Plc. Opportunity Day Q3/2018 November 14 th , - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Bangchak Corporation Plc. Opportunity Day Q3/2018 November 14 th , 2018 1 Bangchak Corporation Plc. Q3/18 Performance Summary BCP Group Performance Key Takeaways Q3/18 Performance Snapshots EBITDA Performance Refinery & Trading Crude
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
Opportunity Day Q3/2018
November 14th, 2018
Bangchak Corporation Plc. 1
BCP Group Performance – Key Takeaways
2,198 1,929 2,142 474 509 468 417 793 1,542 159 171 149 44 36
Q3/17 Q2/18 Q3/18
Refinery & Trading Marketing Power Plant Bio-Based Products Natural Resources
EBITDA Performance Q3/18 Performance Snapshots
Marketing
level QoQ although Q3 is the low season
Refinery & Trading
Power Plant
Bio-Based Product
resume operation after TAM and KGI started selling ENA grade ethanol
4,160 MB 3,216 MB 3,366 MB
Natural Resources
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EBITDA Performance - BCP Group
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4,137 4,009
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 9M/17 9M/18
Unit: THB Million
Net Profit 1/
1/ Profit attributable to owners of the Company
0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5
Target 100% Solar Power
2,999 Marketing 1,712
Refinery 5,349
Biofuel 624 E&P 24
9M2018 Performance Compare to Target by Business Unit Accounting EBITDA 10,518 Million Baht
Unit: THB Million
9,805 10,518
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 9M/17 9M/18
Unit: THB Million
EBITDA
Unit: THB/Share
EPS 3.00 2.91
4%
51% 16% 29% 6% 0.2%
BCP Group Portfolios
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Refinery Marketing Green Power Plant Bio-based Products
Natural Resources & New Businesses
53% 93% 96% 95% 92% 95% 92% 93% 91% 56%
99%
64 112 116 114 110 114 110 112 109 67
118.8
Q1/16 Q2/16 Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18
Production Profile
Actual Crude Run Unit: KBD
(TAM)
Refinery Business – Record high crude run
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Product Yield
LPG Gasoline Jet Diesel Fuel Oil UCO
Maximize high value product Q3/18: Lower FO - Higher UCO
Crude Sourcing
Diversify Crude Sourcing: As a long term strategy Q3/18: still maintain strategic crude sourcing portion even though crude run was higher
Domestic Import
10% 12% 7% 3% 3% 5% 52% 53% 53% 13% 12% 14% 20% 17% 19% 3% 3% 2%
Q3/17 Q2/18 Q3/18
22% 29% 28% 78% 71% 72%
Q3/17 Q2/18 Q3/18 (TAM)
Historical record high quarterly crude run
after resume operation following TAM completion Low FO yield in Q3/18 from light crude selection
Refinery Business – Better & Stronger than ever
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47 57 67 77 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18
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5 10 15 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18
Refinery EBITDA
Unit: THB Million Unit: THB Million
GRM Performance
Unit: $/BBL
Crude Price & Crack Spreads ($/BBL)
DB DTD GO/DB UNL95/DB
6.66 8.81 7.60 0.2
1.32 4.39 0.66
8.18 12.82 8.05 Q3/17 Q2/18 Q3/18
Inventory Gain / Loss Oil Hedging Market GRM
2,198 1,929 2,142 1,587 977 1,929 Q3/17 Q2/18 Q3/18 Accounting Operating
IK/DB FO/DB
* Operating EBITDA : exclude Inventory gain/loss, One-time items, Gain/loss from FX forward contracts
Higher operating EBITDA YoY from favorable crack spreads (GO, IK, FO) and better QoQ benefit from narrowed DTD/DB spread Better GRM supported by improvement programs Inventory Gain 241 MB from crude price surge in the quarter especially in September BCP Trading EBITDA 37 MB (+421% YoY, +106% QoQ), increased from higher transactions after tapping to new products and markets Share of profit from Bongkot Marine Service 9 MB
Q3/18 – max utilization backed by satisfactory margins
19 15 11
Distribution channel – Retail market sales continues to grow
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259 284 307 334 330 186 179 190 184 153 47 51 86 58 59 92 93 82 112 117 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
Unit: Million Litre / Month (monthly AVG in the quarter)
Total Sales Volume Retail Market Industrial Market Wholesales Exports
(FO & UCO)
Total Sales Volume
Unit: % Portion of total sales volume in 9M/18
8% 25% 12%
Retail Market Industrial Market Wholesales Export
Marketing Business
2,818 1,643 533 785 2,996 1,424 473 692 1000 2000 3000 4000 Retail Industrial Wholesales Export 9M17 9M18
Unit: Million Litre
(+6%)
(retail market portion
+5% from 9M2017)
54%
Marketing Performance – Retail market is the main priority
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Marketing EBITDA
Unit: THB Million
Retail sales volume grows YoY from customer base expansion and service station sales push, but reduced QoQ from the low season Total Marketing Margin remain at a satisfactory level, due to BCP’s high margin products sales such as High Premium Diesel, Diesel B20, E85, E20 Bangchak Retail revenue growth from branches expansion, but EBITDA still negative from high SG&A expense
Q3/18 – Sales volume still on track, but margin affected by crude oil price
Net Marketing Margin
Unit: Baht/Litre
0.94 0.93 0.83 0.33 0.35 0.40 Q3/17 Q2/18 Q3/18 0.73 0.75 0.70 474 509 468 Q3/18 Q2/18 Q3/18
Net Retail Margin Net Industrial Margin
43.1% 41.7% 15.1% 15.0% 15.1% 15.4%
15.8%
14.5% 12.5%
12.8% 12.7%
10.0% 11.0% 12.0% 13.0% 14.0% 15.0% 16.0% 17.0% 18.0% 19.0% 20.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 50.0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 9M2018
444 457 460 499 536
392 436 479 510
503
416 450 464 451 448 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 200 300 400 500 2014 2015 2016 2017 8M2018
Marketing Network – Increasing Market Share & Thruput per station
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Market Share
(Retail Channel)
Jan-Aug’17 Jan-Aug’18 ∆
41.7% 41.7%
15.3% 15.8%
12.9% 12.7% 12.5% 12.5% 9.4% 9.3% 1.6% 1.7% 4.7% 4.4% 1.8% 1.7%
*AVG Major Oil : PTT, ESSO, SHELL, CALTEX
Thruput per station
(K.Litre / Mo) AVG Major Oil (excl. BCP) Numbers of BCP Standard Service Stations
BCP Thruput for standard stations continues to surpass major oil’s Although numbers of service stations grew only marginally
(Q3 thruput soften from low season)
Historical Market Share
(Retail Channel)
Jul-Aug’18 Market Share
16%
BCP Standard
Bangchak Service Station – Expansion Progression
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Standard Type
543 sites
COOP Type
611 sites
*COOP Type is small sized service station owned by farmers cooperatives (≈75% of Retail Sales Volume) (≈25% of Retail Sales Volume)
New Service Stations
service stations as of Sep 2018
Sep’18 Sep’18
Bangchak New Loyalty card and Mobile Application
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New Loyalty Card
Can be used to collect points from every products under
Loyalty points can be used at outlets under Bangchak brand and leading alliance brands via Bangchak Mobile Application
BCP Group Portfolios
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Refinery Marketing Green Power Plant Bio-based Products
Natural Resources & New Businesses
Power Plant Business – BCPG
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130 130 139 12 34 34 158 158 14 14 14 Q3/17 Q2/18 Q3/18 Operating Capacity (MWac)
Solar Solar Geothermal Wind
156 336
417 793 1,542 Q3/17 Q2/18 Q3/18
Green Power Plant EBITDA
Unit: THB Million
345
65.38 66.70 64.24 12.85 14.89 13.87 3Q/17 2Q/18 3Q/18 JP TH 78.24 81.58 78.12
Electricity Sales
Unit: Million kWh
Solar Electricity Sales :
lower from entering rainy season Gain from 2 power plant sold to infrastructure fund in JP: 795 MB Share of profit from Geothermal power plant : 93 MB Share of profit from Wind power plant : 21 MB SG&A expense reduced 26% YoY mainly from lower financial advisory expense Higher FT (+0.05 THB YoY) would lead to a better earnings for existing Thailand projects with Adder scheme
Bio-Based Product Business – BBGI
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Bio-Based Product EBITDA
Biodiesel Performance
from CPO price dropped faster than B100 price
profit reduced from consistently low level of CPO
Ethanol Performance
cassava based ethanol dropped from raw material price increase
and KGI-BP raised sales in ENA grade, but gross profit affected from rising molasses price and higher level of cassava price
Unit: THB Million
159 171 149 Q3/17 Q2/18 Q3/18
Biodiesel Production Volume
Unit: K.Litre / day
689 675 681 682 750 718 3Q/17 2Q/18 3Q/18 Production Sales
Ethanol Production Volume
Unit: K.Litre / day
129 432 462 121 391 526 3Q/17 2Q/18 3Q/18 Production Sales B7 B7 B7 KGI performance not yet included BBE TAM 19 days
Q3/18 – Better as a group
KGI-NP TAM 15 days
Natural Resource Business - Nido Petroleum
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Nido Sales Revenue & Volume was lower after the divestment of Galoc
Nido EBITDA higher due to profit from Galoc oil field share divestment (no effect in BCP consolidated financial statement) Recorded profit from the provision of working capital settlement 42 MB Total exit by 1st quarter 2019
3Q/18 – Galoc divestment completed
Nido Petroleum EBITDA
Unit: THB Million
44 59 194 Q3/17 Q2/18 Q3/18
Nido License interests in the Philippines
Sold
Q3/2018 Highlights
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Effect on 3Q/17 Income Statement: BCP Consolidated: Net Income decreased 364 MB Company Only: Net Income unchanged
Effect on Income Statement: BCP Consolidated: Other Income increased 795 MB Net Income increased 658 MB
Q3/2018 Highlights
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BCP Consolidated: Other Income increased 42 MB
and indirect subsidiary: BCPR Pte. Ltd. (in Singapore) to subscribe 90% of the increased capital of OKEA, with total investment approx. 3,760 MB, to acquire interests in Draugen Field and Gjøa Field in Norway.
Statement of Income - Consolidated
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Gross Profit +7 YoY and -1% QoQ
spreads (YoY) and narrowed DTD/DB (QoQ)
to sharp rise of crude oil price
Remark:
Other Income 891 MB Mainly from BCPG’s gain from selling 2 power plants into Infrastructure fund of 795 MB
Statement of Income
Q3/17 Q2/18 Q3/18 Revenue 39,009 45,558 53,461 Cost of goods sold (35,450) (41,699) (49,640) Gross Profit 3,559 3,858 3,821 Investment income and dividend income 45 12 11 Other income 238 181 891 Selling and administrative expenses (1,773) (1,785) (1,782) Exploration and evaluation expense (12) (13) (8) Gain (loss) from oil hedging contract 86 (136) (95) Gain (loss) from FX forward contracts (259) 95 (28) Gain (loss) on foreign exchange 299 (39) 230 Loss from impairment of assets (1,358) (412) (14) Share of profit of associate and JV 56 23 118 EBIT 880 1,784 3,143 Finance costs (379) (374) (401) Income tax expense 630 (253) (526) Profit for the period 1,131 1,157 2,216 Owners of the Company 1,060 1,007 1,856 Non-controlling interests 70 150 359 Earnings per share (Baht per Share) 0.77 0.73 1.35
Unit: MB
Oil hedging, FX hedging, FX Gain/Loss Net gain resulted from managing oil price & FX risks Revenue +37% YoY and +17% QoQ
Impairment loss 14 MB from exploration and drilling inventories impairment
Statement of Income - Consolidated
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Remark:
Share of profit of associate and JV
93 MB
21 MB
9 MB
(4.5) MB Finance Costs (+6% YoY, +7% QoQ)
Income Tax Effective Tax Rate Q3/18: 19.1% Q2/18: 17.9% Tax expense increased mainly from income tax on BCPG’s profit from assets sale into infrastructure fund 137 MB
Statement of Income
Q3/17 Q2/18 Q3/18 Revenue 39,009 45,558 53,461 Cost of goods sold (35,450) (41,699) (49,640) Gross Profit 3,559 3,858 3,821 Investment income and dividend income 45 12 11 Other income 238 181 891 Selling and administrative expenses (1,773) (1,785) (1,782) Exploration and evaluation expense (12) (13) (8) Gain (loss) from oil hedging contract 86 (136) (95) Gain (loss) from FX forward contracts (259) 95 (28) Gain (loss) on foreign exchange 299 (39) 230 Loss from impairment of assets (1,358) (412) (14) Share of profit of associate and JV 56 23 118 EBIT 880 1,784 3,143 Finance costs (379) (374) (401) Income tax expense 630 (253) (526) Profit for the period 1,131 1,157 2,216 Owners of the Company 1,060 1,007 1,856 Non-controlling interests 70 150 359 Earnings per share (Baht per Share) 0.77 0.73 1.35
Unit: MB
Statement of Income - Consolidated
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Statement of Income
9M2017 9M2018 Revenue 125,832 143,244 Cost of goods sold (115,884) (132,237) Gross Profit 9,948 11,007 Investment income and dividend income 144 39 Other income 644 1,131 Selling and administrative expenses (4,837) (5,228) Exploration and evaluation expense (37) (31) Gain (loss) from oil hedging contract 320 (304) Gain (loss) from FX forward contracts (242) 67 Gain on foreign exchange 663 363 Loss from impairment of assets (1,441) (425) Share of profit of associate and joint venture 128 233 EBIT 5,290 6,853 Finance costs (1,073) (1,140) Income tax expense 257 (1,002) Profit for the period 4,474 4,710 Owners of the Company 4,137 4,009 Non-controlling interests 338 701 Earnings per share (Baht per Share) 3.00 2.91
(Unit: MB)
9M Net Profit 9M/18 operation was superior YoY but NPAT appears to be lower than 9M/17, mainly due to 671 MB income tax returns in 2017
Financial Position - Consolidated
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
23 Unit: THB Million Current Liabilities Long Term Debt Total Equity Other Non Current Liabilities
(Including current portion of L/T debt)
51,890 51,970 3,470 3,029 36,857 38,978 7,589 3,901 10,016 11,702 4,046 5,743 31 DEC 17 31 DEC 18
Liabilities & Equity
31 Dec 17 30 Sep 18 29,528 27,620 48,049 48,099 2,734 3,033 15,720 19,320 7,511 10,123 10,325 7,128 31 DEC 17 30 SEP 18 Cash and Equivalents & Short term Investment Other Current Assets Inventory PP&E Other Non Current Assets
115,324
Assets
31 Dec 17 30 Sep 18 Account Receivable
113,869 113,869
Account Payable Short term loan
115,324
Financial Position - Consolidated
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
24 2,734 3,033 15,720 19,320 7,511 10,123 10,325 7,128
Cash and Equivalents & ST Investment 3,197 MB mainly from: cash paid for inventories, tax payment, dividend Inventory 3,600 MB mainly from inventory price increase Account Receivables 2,612 MB
Cash and Equivalents & Short term Investment Other Current Assets Inventory 36,291
Current Assets
31 Dec 17 30 Sep 18 Account Receivable 39,604
7,589 3,901 10,016 11,702 4,046 5,743 31 DEC 17 31 DEC 18
31 Dec 17 30 Sep 18 21,651 21,346 Other Current Liabilities Account Payable Short term loan
Current Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities 3,688 MB mainly from
Short Term loans 1,697 MB to maintain liquidity after higher payment for tax and inventories Account Payable 1,686 MB mainly from higher transaction volume of BCPT
31 Dec 17 31 Sep 18 Crude
Price ≈ 64 $/BBL
Price ≈ 80 $/BBL Product
Price ≈ 76 $/BBL
Price ≈ 93 $/BBL
Financial Position - Consolidated
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
25 29,528 27,620 48,049 48,099
PP&E
sold to infrastructure fund
PP&E Other Non Current Assets 77,578 Non-Current Assets 31 Dec 17 30 Sep 18 75,719 Other Non Current Assets 1,908 MB mainly decrease from Change in net fair value of available- for-sale investment (LAC)
3,470 3,029 36,857 38,978 31 DEC 17 SEP 18
31 Dec 17 30 Sep 18 40,327 42,007 Long Term Debt Other Non Current Liabilities
(Including current portion of L/T debt)
Long-term debt
Non-Current Liabilities
Financial Position - Consolidated
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
26 6,410 6,867 27,814 29,146 15,254 15,273 2,411 685 31 DEC 17 31 DEC 18
Equities increased 0.2% mainly from
Equity
31 Dec 17 30 Sep 18 51,890 51,970 Other Components Non-controlling Interests Retained Earnings Paid up capital, Share premium and capital surplus
Cash Flow - Consolidated
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Beginning Cash 10,106 MB Change in Cash (3,260 MB) Ending Cash 6,899 MB FX adjustment 53 MB
9M2018 Sources and Uses of Cash
Unit: THB Million
9,953 8,484 7,395 4,719 3,755 6,134 2,971 1,122 934
Cash From Operation (CFO) Funding
21,104
Sources of Cash Uses of Cash
24,363
Change in Working Capital Debt Service - Repayment Investment in PPE Others Tax Paid Selling of PPE, Selling of investments and others Dividend Paid
Refinery – 2019 Full year normal operation & 3E project updates
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Status Expected Completion Continuous Catalyst Regeneration Unit (CCR)
(CCR: Higher Capacity & maintenance cycle extension)
2020
Debottlenecking #1: Hydrocracker Unit (HCU) Revamping
(Higher Optimal Crude Run: Distillate)
2020
#2: Debottlenecking CDU & NPU & ISOU & KTU
(Higher Optimal Crude Run: Light & Middle Distillate)
Under Bidding Process (EPC Award Q4/18) 2020
3E Project Updates
Possibility to maximize Gas Oil yield to reap benefit from GO/DB spread rise after 2020 IMO regulation
BCP Trading to grow further
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Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, China, Indonesia, Cambodia, Qatar, Vietnam, Korea
Trading Highlights
Market Coverage in 9 Countries
Going Forward
Expand coverage to offer more product varieties Derivatives Trading
6.1 10.8
35
2017 9M2018 2019 (F)
Oil Trading Volume
Unit: MBBL
Marketing Business – Strengthen Core businesses & Expand Related businesses
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
31 53.0 72.0 60.9 76.1 77.5 79.5 NPS 2015 NPS 2016 NPS 2017
Continue to increase market share in Retail Sales
Continue to improve NPS score
2019 Network Expansion
New Stations Mostly Standard size
Matching Non-Oil with Customer Lifestyles Loyalty Program for Personalized Offerings Market Leader Lubricant Non-oil (BCR) JET opportunity
2019 Target
Sales Volume: 5.7 ML
For both export market & domestic car care service
SPAR: +51 stores Inthanin: +200 stores
Jet Fuel market expansion for both domestic & export sales
Dealer 80 sites COCO 10 sites
Bio-Based products – Expansion & Listing plan still on track
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Current Business Future Growth
Biodiesel Ethanol High Value Bio-Based Products
Capacity Products
Ethanol
Fuel-Grade ENA-Grade 900,000 LPD Products
Biodiesel
Glycerin Capacity Biodiesel
930,000 LPD
Bioenergy Bio-consumption Personal Care Bio-Chamical
Processed Food Food Supplements
Biofuel Production Capacity: 1,830,000 LPD (1)
To Expand to 2,200,000 LPD
(1) Capacity as of June 2018
Biodiesel 1,000,000 LPD
To expand to In 2019
Refined Glycerin 85 TPD In 2020 1,200,000 LPD
To expand to Finishing in 2018
Listing Plan in progress but will also consider market condition
Investment in OKEA updates
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Shareholding Structure
performance expected to be realized from Dec’18 onwards
amount not exceeding 939 million NOK (or approx. 3,760 MB)
100% 100%
BCP
BCPR Thailand BCPR (Singapore)
~ 49% ~ 35% 16%
Minor Shareholder
Draugen Gjoa Grevling Ivar Aasen Yme
Cash from capital increase will be used to buy these 2 assets from A/S Norske Shell 0.554% 15% 55% 44.56% 12%
Lithium Mining business updates
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Shareholding Structure after the transaction completed
Cauchari-Olaroz project (Argentina)
15.9% 17.0% 62.5% 37.5%
Shareholder loan 125 + 100 MUSD Shareholder loan 80 MUSD
*Expected to complete in Q4/18
LAC 2nd Largest Shareholder THACKER PASS (lithium-bearing claystone in Nevada) April 2018 resource update establishes Thacker Pass as the largest known lithium resource in the United States Cauchari-Olaroz project (Argentina)
interest in Caucharí-Olaroz
successfully IPO additional shares in Hong Kong exchange Market Capitalization*: 24.16 B CNY
*as of 12 Nov 2018 Source: Reuters
BIIC - CVC investment
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Core 60% Peripheral 30% Technology Rising 10%
Equity Investment Commercialization Technology Support
CVC O CVC Object bjectives ives CVC CVC Investm Investment ent Portfolio Portfolio
ir@bangchak.co.th
www.bangchak.co.th click Investor Relations
Disclaimer : The information contained herein is being furnished on a confidential basis for discussion purposes only and only for the use of the recipient, and may be subject to completion or amendment through the delivery of additional documentation. Except as otherwise provided herein, this document does not constitute an offer to sell or purchase any security or engage in any transaction. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that Bangchak Corporation Public Company Limited (“BCP”) considers to be reliable; however, BCP makes no representation as to, and accepts no responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. Any projections, valuations and statistical analyses contained herein have been provided to assist the recipient in the evaluation of the matters described herein; such projections, valuations and analyses may be based on subjective assessments and assumptions and may utilize one among alternative methodologies that produce differing results; accordingly, such projections, valuations and statistical analyses are not to be viewed as facts and should not be relied upon as an accurate representation of future events. The recipient should make an independent evaluation and judgment with respect to the matters contained herein.