Bangchak Corporation Plc.
Opportunity Day Q2/2018
August 29th, 2018
Bangchak Corporation Plc. 1
Bangchak Corporation Plc. Opportunity Day Q2/2018 August 29 th , - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Bangchak Corporation Plc. Opportunity Day Q2/2018 August 29 th , 2018 1 Bangchak Corporation Plc. BCP Group of Businesses optimized growth platform Vayupak Fund Social Security Office Public Ministry of Finance 9.98% 14.66% 13.52%
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
Opportunity Day Q2/2018
August 29th, 2018
Bangchak Corporation Plc. 1
BCP Group of Businesses – optimized growth platform
2
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
Paid – up Capital 1,376,923,157 Baht
9.98% 61.83% 13.52% 14.66%
Ministry of Finance Vayupak Fund Social Security Office Public
As of 14 Mar ‘18
Bio-based Products Business Natural Resources Business Refinery and Trading Business Marketing Business Green Power Plant Business
Current Core Earning Engines New Growth Engines
Own oil products distribution networks Retail sales market share at 15.8% (2nd rank), with 1,140 service stations nation-wide, equipped with supplementary non-oil businesses to improve sales volume Complex Refinery with capacity of 120 KBD with on-going value enhancement projects to increase efficiency and capacity, along with integration to our own distribution channels Electricity generation from clean and renewable sources Mix of green power plants across solar, wind and geothermal with current capacity of 336 MW National leader of bio- based products To capture biofuel demand and develop high value innovative bio-based products Petroleum E&P and Lithium Mining business To preserve the company’s longterm competitiveness BCP Market Cap : 49 bn. THB 70% holding 60% holding (currently) Market Cap : 36 bn. THB To be listed in SET : Q4/18
BCP Group Performance Growth
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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7,770 9,463 5,162 11,081 11,363 13,663 6,358
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 6M2018 2012 - 2017 EBITDA CAGR = 12%
4,273 4,652 696 4,151 4,773 5,778 2,153
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 6M2018 EBITDA Performance
Unit: Million Baht
Net Profit*
Unit: Million Baht *Profit attributable to the owners of the company
0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5
EBITDA Performance - BCP Group
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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3,076 2,153
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 6M/17 6M/18
Unit: THB Million
Net Profit 1/
1/ Profit attributable to owners of the Company
Target 100% Solar Power 1,457 Marketing 1,244
Refinery 3,207
Biofuel 475 E&P 104
6M2018 Performance Compare to Target by Business Unit Accounting EBITDA 6,358 Million Baht
Unit: THB Million
6,589 6,358
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 6M/17 6M/18
Unit: THB Million
EBITDA
Unit: THB/Share
EPS 2.23 1.56
4%
50% 20% 23% 7% 2%
1H2018 Highlights
45 days refinery Turnaround Maintenance (TAM), led to softened performance in Q2/18 Despite TAM, Retail sales volume managed to grow 6% YoY, outpaced service station industry’s growth Power Plant continues to contribute stable income Bio-based products group performance highly grew YoY, proved the amalgamation with KSL GI to be beneficial Performance already bottomed out, 2H2018 will get better as BCP resume normal operation
bio
Refinery Business – Maintain high production rate & Satisfactory GRM
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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Product Yield
LPG Gasoline Jet Diesel Fuel Oil UCO
Maximize high value product 13% 10% 2% 3% 51% 53% 12% 12% 19% 19% 3% 3% 2017 6M2018
Crude Source
Diversify Crude Sourcing 28% 31% 72% 69% 2017 6M2018
Domestic Import
TAM = Turnaround Maintenance Period
Production Profile
Actual Crude Run Unit : KBD Y2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 6M2018 99
KBD
(TAM) (TAM) (TAM) 74
KBD
86
KBD
113
KBD
101
KBD
111
KBD
88
KBD
(TAM) 2018 Target 100 - 102 KBD
8.34 5.88 6.96 9.05 5.99 6.38 7.51 0.81 0.71 0.48
0.08 0.25
1.06
0.45 0.60 1.55
Market GRM Oil Hedging Inventory Gain Loss
GRM Performance
Unit: $/BBL 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 6M2018
Refinery - On-going value enhancement projects
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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3E Project: Efficiency, Energy and Environment Debottleneck for Crude Run Capacity 130+ KBD Cost saving energy consumption And electricity stability in refinery production processes Flexible Product Yield to capture demand Extended interval between each maintenance From 18 mths to 30-36 mths Refinery-wide improvement projects focused on Yield, Efficiency, Safety & Reliability to extract the most value from the refinery YES-R Project: Continuous Improvements
2016 2017 2018 E 2019 E 2020 E
Previous Optimal 110 KBD
130+ KBD
New Optimal
Unit: KBD
TAM
111
TAM
& High Value added products Production ramp up
Production Profile
101 Completion of
CO-GEN power plant
Completion of
CCR
Completion of
Debottlenecking Collaboration with other refinery
Marketing Sales Volume – Retail Market is the priority
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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BCP retail sales continues to outpace service stations industry’s growth Marketing Margin remains at a satisfactory level
Marketing Margin
Unit: THB/Litre
0.65 0.52 0.71 0.76 0.79 0.77 0.79
2,679 2,935 3,016 3,285 3,609 3,820 2,005 1,890 2,070 1,991 2,124 2,180 2,196 963 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 6M2018 Retail Sales Industrial Sales
Unit: Million Litre
Marketing Sales Volume
4,569 5,005 5,006 5,410 5,789 6,016 2,969
13.8% 14.8% 15.1% 15.0% 15.1% 15.4%
15.8%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 6M2018
BCP Market Share
Reached in May’18
Historical Market Share
(Retail Channel)
302 348 392 432 479 510 414 416 416 445 464 451
150 250 350 450 550
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
BCP Standard AVG Major Oil
Thruput per station
(K.Litre / Mo)
*AVG Major Oil : PTT, ESSO, SHELL, CALTEX
Marketing Business – service station & non-oil roll out plan in 2H18
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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"#$ " %&' %()
Stations
as of June 2018 *+&),(
Green Power Plant – Growth in both Capacity & Trend
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Thailand
Operating : 130 MWac Developing : 18 MWac
Japan
Operating : 34 MWac Developing: 117 MWac
Philippines
Operating: 14 MWac Developing: 6 MWac
Indonesia
Operating: 158 MWac Developing: 24 MWac
geothermal solar wind
Currently has total capacity of 336 MWac and target to achieve capacity of 501 MWac by 2022
38 70 118 118 125 130 130 20 30 34 158 158 14 14
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 6M2018
Operating Capacity (MWac)
Solar Wind Solar Geothermal Wind Future Plan: Bring energy activities online for a better living of society
EV Charger Solar Rooftop Smart Meter : Communicate and Control all Devices AI for Smart Living & Energy Efficiency Blockchain & MicroGrid Energy Trading Platform
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
422 1,388 2,572 3,005 2,559 3,088 1,457
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 6M2018
EBITDA Performance
Unit: Million Baht
BBGI – Expansion Plan and Potential Project
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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New Value-added products R&D
Biomaterials Biochemicals PCM (phase change materials) R&D related to Yeasts 142 166 179 199 215 249 141 11 55 73 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 6M2018 Biodiesel Ethanol
Bio-Based Products Sales Volume
Unit: Million Litres BBE plant COD Q4/16 Amalgamated with KSL GI in Nov’17
28% Public
Expected Shareholding Structure after IPO
42%
≤ 30%
Natural Resource Business – Managing E&P Portfolio
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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“ Bangchak to hold 45% shares ”
Norske Shell (Draugen, Gjoa)
~ 45% ~ 45% 10% Minor Shareholder
Gjoa Ivar Aasen Ivar Aasen Yme Yme 0.554% 15% 55% 44.56% 12% Draugen Grevling
Galoc Divestment
to be completed Q3/18 Nido License interests in the Philippines Sold
Production risk (tail end of field life) OPEX increasing ABEX overrun risks
Rationale for the transaction
(Galoc)
Natural Resource Business - Lithium Americas
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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Lithium Carbonate Price
10,000 – 14,000 USD/t
(long term contract price)
20,000 – 25,000 USD/t
Spot price at China
Capacity
Project Life Time: 40 years Production Cost:
2,300 – 2,500 USD/t
Cauchari-Olaroz project (Argentina) 15.9% 17.0% 62.5% 37.5%
LAC’s shareholding in Minera Exar
*Expected to complete in Q4/18
BIIC - Bangchak Initiative and Innovation Centre
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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Investment Update:
Research & Development Technology Acquisition & Networking Incubation & Startup
Investment: 1 MUSD Shareholding : 2%
Small Wind Turbines
For decentralized clean energy generation
Healthy Sugar
(Tagatose & Allulose)
Investment: 1 MUSD Shareholding : 5.3%
Historical Dividend
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
14 44% 39% 40% 40% 192% 66% 52% 47% 54% 0.50 0.65 0.35 0.60 0.60 1.00 0.80 1.05 0.85 0.55 1.00 0.90 0.75 0.40 1.00 1.00 1.10 2.40 4.24 3.10 3.38 0.51 3.01 3.47 4.20 1.56 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
Dividend Policy: ≥ 30 percent of net profit after deduction of allocation of legal reserve
Dividend Payment : Unit THB per Share 1.05
1st Half 2nd Half Dividend Payout
1.65 1.25 1.35 1.00 2.00
7.13% 8.53% 5.23% 3.94% 3.21% 5.87% 5.74% 5.99% Div Yield 14.74 19.34 23.89 34.29 31.13 34.08 31.38 35.88 Share Price*
(Baht/Share)
EPS
Y2010 Y2011 Y2012 Y2013 Y2014 Y2015 Y2016 Y2017 1H2018
*average share price of the year
1.80 2.15
0%11&''2(11'34'5)3(2,( .$/$ / 6"
Disclaimer : The information contained herein is being furnished on a confidential basis for discussion purposes only and only for the use of the recipient, and may be subject to completion or amendment through the delivery of additional documentation. Except as otherwise provided herein, this document does not constitute an offer to sell or purchase any security or engage in any transaction. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that Bangchak Corporation Public Company Limited (“BCP”) considers to be reliable; however, BCP makes no representation as to, and accepts no responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. Any projections, valuations and statistical analyses contained herein have been provided to assist the recipient in the evaluation of the matters described herein; such projections, valuations and analyses may be based on subjective assessments and assumptions and may utilize one among alternative methodologies that produce differing results; accordingly, such projections, valuations and statistical analyses are not to be viewed as facts and should not be relied upon as an accurate representation of future events. The recipient should make an independent evaluation and judgment with respect to the matters contained herein.