Bangchak Corporation Plc.
Analyst Meeting Q1/2019
13th May 2019
Bangchak Corporation Plc. Analyst Meeting Q1/2019 13 th May 2019 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Bangchak Corporation Plc. Analyst Meeting Q1/2019 13 th May 2019 Table of Content 01 02 04 03 Q1/19 Q1/19 Appendices Business Performance Financial Updates Update Performance BCP Group Performance Q1/2019 Key Takeaways Refinery
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
Analyst Meeting Q1/2019
13th May 2019
Q1/19 Financial Performance
Appendices
Q1/19 Performance Update
Business Updates
BCP Group Performance – Q1/2019 Key Takeaways
3
Marketing
Refinery & Trading
Power Plant
Bio-Based Product
Natural Resources
impairment loss on goodwill of Gjoa oil field acquisition from lowered gas price
1,279
517 735 465 612 694 570 736 304 66 194 68 94
Natural Resources Bio-Based Products Power Plant Marketing Refinery & Trading
EBITDA Performance
1,959 3,023
1Q/18 4Q/18 1Q/19
1,168
214
Net Profit
attributable to
parent
1Q/18 4Q/18 1Q/19
EBITDA Performance – BCP Group
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
4
0% 50% 100% 150% 200%
0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5
Target 100%
Solar Power 736 Marketing 612
Refinery 517
Biofuel 194 E&P
Q1/2019 Performance Compare to Target by Business Unit Accounting EBITDA 2,098 Million Baht
Unit: THB Million
25% 29% 35% 9% 6%
BCP Group Portfolio – Refinery & Marketing Business
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
5
Refinery and Trading Business Marketing Business
BCP Group Portfolio – Subsidiaries
2 4 6 8 10 12 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90
Crude oil price movement
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
6
DTD DB
Crude oil price plummeted at the end of 2018, but started to recover
Crude oil price Singapore VS BCP GRM
Singapore BCP
Unit: $/BBL Unit: $/BBL
Refinery Business
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
7 LPG Gasoline Jet Diesel Fuel Oil UCO Domestic Middle East 9% 12% 7% 12% 14% 3% 3% 5% 3% 3% 53% 53% 53% 53% 50% 12% 12% 14% 11% 12% 21% 17% 19% 18% 18% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 31% 29% 28% 24% 32% 12% 17% 20% 28% 12% 57% 49% 52% 48% 56% 5% 1% Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19
BCP Refinery Product Yield BCP Refinery Crude Sourcing
109.4 66.8 118.8 114.3
110.1
91% 56% 99% 95% 92%
10% 30% 50% 70% 90% 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0 110.0 120.0 130.0 140.0
Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19
Crude Run Utilization
TAM = Turnaround Maintenance Period
Production Profile
Actual Crude Run Unit: KBD
TAM
time in decade
went through maintenance
Far East Others
Refinery Business
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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Refinery EBITDA
Unit: THB Million Unit: THB Million
1,279 1,929 2,140
517 1,348 977 1,927 1,077 548 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Accounting Operating
6.71 8.81 7.59 5.94 3.43
0.09
4.39 0.66
6.37 12.82 8.05 -1.72 3.49
GRM Performance Unit: $/BBL
Inventory G/L Oil Hedging Market GRM
Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19
Weaker GRM from global production over supply led to narrowed crack spreads 9 MB Inventory Loss, as BCP crude feed reflect average crude oil cost in Q4/18 which has higher average price than Q1/19 BCP Trading EBITDA 39 MB increased from higher transactions after tapping to new products and new trade partners
2 7 12 17
Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19
GO/DB UNL95/DB IK/DB FO/DB
AVG Crack spread movement ($/BBL)
52 57 62 67 72 77
Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 DB DTD
AVG Crude oil price movement ($/BBL)
* Operating EBITDA : exclude Inventory gain/loss, One-time items, Gain/loss from FX forward contracts
Distribution channel – Retail market sales continues to grow as our main priority
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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Total Sales Volume
Unit: % Portion of total sales volume in Q1/19
7% 26% 13%
Retail Market Industrial Market Wholesales Export
Marketing Business
54%
284 307 334 342 344 179 190 184 167 163 51 86 58 50 46 93 82 112 111 82
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Unit: Million Litre / Month (monthly AVG in the quarter)
Total Sales Volume Retail Market Industrial Market Wholesales Exports
(FO & UCO)
997 517 151 199 1,032 489 138 246 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 Retail Industrial Wholesales Export Q1/18 Q1/19
Unit: Million Litres
(+4%)
(retail market portion
+1% from Q1/18)
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Marketing Performance – Retail market is the main priority
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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Marketing EBITDA
Unit: THB Million
735 509 468 465 612 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19
Net Marketing Margin
Unit: Baht/Litre
0.83 0.75 0.70 0.85 0.71 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19
Total sales volume remained unchanged
service station sales push, and B20 & Hi-Premium diesel promotion
competition and BCP sales channel management Total Marketing Margin declined from the higher product cost following crude oil price upward trend, and price promotion Bangchak Retail Revenue grew 31% YoY
147 161 170 201 193 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19
Bangchak Retail Revenue
Unit: THB Million
Marketing Network – Increasing Market Share & Thruput per station
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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444 457 460 499 527 559
392 436 479 510 496
485
416 450 464 451 446 435 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 200 300 400 500 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q1/2019
Market Share
(Retail Channel)
*AVG Major Oil : PTT, ESSO, SHELL, CALTEX
Thruput per station
(K.Litre / Mo) AVG Major Oil (excl. BCP) Number of standard stations
BCP Standard
Jan-Mar’18 Jan-Mar’19 change
40.9% 39.9%
15.5% 15.6%
11.9% 12.4% 12.8% 12.5% 9.3% 10.0% 4.4% 4.2% 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 1.7% 1.9%
+10
New Service Stations service stations as of Mar 2019
Standard Type
562 sites
(≈78% of Retail Sales Volume)
COOP Type
614 sites
(≈22% of Retail Sales Volume)
Mar’19
+6 stores
+2 stores
Mar’19
Supporting non-oil businesses Service stations outlets
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
12
Power Plant Business Bio-based Products Business Natural Resources Business
BCP Group Portfolio – Refinery & Marketing Business BCP Group Portfolio – Subsidiaries
Power Plant Business – BCPG
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
13
130 130 139 139 139 30 34 34 15 15 158 158 158 158 158 14 14 14 14 14 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Operating Capacity (MWac)
Solar Solar Geothermal Wind
694 793 1,542 570 736 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19
Green Power Plant EBITDA
Unit: THB Million
332 336 345 326 326 66.0 66.7 64.2 73.0 71.9 9.2 14.9 13.9 3.9 4.1 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 JP TH 75.2 81.6 78.1 76.9 76.0
Electricity Sales
Unit: Million kWh
Solar Electricity Sales remained at the same level mainly from:
project in Jul’18 (9 MW) & Gotemba (4 MW)
Sep’18 (total 19 MW)
due to seasonal effect Higher share of profit from associated companies:
Profit from Japan solar plant sold (793 MB) Geothermal Plant Tax Provision (-84 MB)
Bio-Based Product Business – BBGI
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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Bio-Based Product EBITDA
Biodiesel Performance
competition, after Thailand B100 supply capacity increased, led to higher market competition
competition and lower glycerin margin, but better 37% QoQ from the better price situation
Ethanol Performance
mainly from capacity increment from KGI plant (+100 KL/day)
better QoQ as KSL plant finished its TAM in Q4/18
Unit: THB Million
304 171 151 66 194 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19
* Operating EBITDA : exclude Inventory gain/loss, One-time items, Gain/loss from FX forward contracts
35 35 46 32 48 73 68 66 74 71 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Ethanol B100
Biofuel Sales Volume
Unit: million litres 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36
Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19
Ethanol B100
Biofuel Price Movement
Unit: Baht / litre Source: EPPO
Natural Resource Business – Petroleum Exploration & Production
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
15
OKEA AS
to impairment loss on goodwill of Gjoa oil field acquisition from lowered gas price
Natural Resources EBITDA
Unit: THB Million
68 36
94
Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 8.60 10.50 0.37
Q1/19 Production Volume (Net to OKEA)
Unit: kboe/d
Draugen Gjoa Ivar Assen
Q1/19 Financial Performance
Business Updates
Appendices
Q1/19 Performance Update
Q1/2019 Highlights
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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Hydrocracking Unit’s Gas Compressor
2018, to CAD 5.06 as of 31 March 2019
the lower gas prices
It has an effect in the sales of steam according to the Minimum take or pay contract of an associated company’s group in Indonesia which was enforced on the 1st of January
Statement of Income - Consolidated
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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Remark:
(Unit: MB)
Revenue Revenue portion from subsidiaries increased by 6% YoY, 7% QoQ Other Income +37% YoY, -37% QoQ Increased YoY from
Decreased QoQ from
following the share disposal in Nido Production (Galoc) Pty. Ltd. of 10 MB in Q1/2019, while recorded 69 MB in Q4/2018 Gross Profit -34% YoY, +415% QoQ
Unit: MB
Statement of Income
Q1/2018 Q4/2018 Q1/2019
(Restated)
Revenue 44,226 48,781 45,535 Cost of goods sold (40,897) (48,357) (43,355) Gross Profit 3,328 424 2,181 Investment income and dividend income 16 16 37 Other income 59 129 81 Selling and administrative expenses (1,669) (2,163) (1,725) Gain (loss) from oil hedging contract (73) (138) 29 Gain (loss) from FX forward contracts
(11) Gain (loss) on foreign exchange 172 52 57 Loss from impairment of assets
123 21 157 EBIT 1,956 (1,579) 806 Finance costs (365) (405) (443) Income tax expense (223) (509) 32 Profit for the period 1,368 (1,475) 395 Owners of the Company 1,168 (1,546) 214 Non-controlling interests 200 71 181 Earnings per share (Baht per Share) 0.85 (1.12) 0.16
(Unit: MB)
(Unit: $/BBL)
Q1/2018 Q4/2018 Q1/2019 Market GRM 6.71 5.94 3.43 Inv G/L & Hedging (0.34) (7.65) 0.06 Total GRM 6.37 (1.72) 3.49
Statement of Income - Consolidated
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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Remark:
(Unit: MB)
Selling and administrative expense +3% YoY, -20% QoQ
business expansion
disbursement
Unit: MB (Unit: MB)
Share of profit of associate and JV 157 MB
93 MB
29 MB
18 MB
10 MB
8 MB Finance Costs +21% YoY, +9% QoQ
Income Tax 32 MB
A result of deferred income tax liability from a reversal of LCM in Q1/2019
(Unit: MB) Unit: MB
Statement of Income
Q1/2018 Q4/2018 Q1/2019
(Restated)
Revenue 44,226 48,781 45,535 Cost of goods sold (40,897) (48,357) (43,355) Gross Profit 3,328 424 2,181 Investment income and dividend income 16 16 37 Other income 59 129 81 Selling and administrative expenses (1,669) (2,163) (1,725) Gain (loss) from oil hedging contract (73) (138) 29 Gain (loss) from FX forward contracts
(11) Gain (loss) on foreign exchange 172 52 57 Loss from impairment of assets
123 21 157 EBIT 1,956 (1,579) 806 Finance costs (365) (405) (443) Income tax expense (223) (509) 32 Profit for the period 1,368 (1,475) 395 Owners of the Company 1,168 (1,546) 214 Non-controlling interests 200 71 181 Earnings per share (Baht per Share) 0.85 (1.12) 0.16
(Unit: MB)
Financial Position - Consolidated
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
20 Unit: THB Million Current Liabilities Long Term Debt Total Equity Other Non Current Liabilities
(Including current portion of L/T debt)
49,538 49,875 3,083 3,062 45,460 45,228 7,603 6,075 6,680 12,978 5,004 4,797 31 DEC 18 31 MAR 19
Liabilities & Equity
31 Dec 18 31 Mar 19 30,896 31,374 48,877 49,977 3,680 2,940 15,135 19,600 6,969 7,856 11,813 10,268 31 DEC 18 31 MAR 19 Cash and Equivalents & Short term Investment Other Current Assets Inventory PP&E Other Non Current Assets
117,369
Assets
31 Dec 18 31 Mar 19 Account Receivable
122,016
Account Payable Short term loan
117,369 122,016
Financial Position - Consolidated
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
21 3,680 2,940 15,135 19,600 6,969 7,856 11,813 10,268
Inventory 4,465 MB mainly from inventory volume increase Account Receivables 887 MB
compared to Dec’18 Cash and Equivalents & Short term Investment Other Current Assets Inventory 40,665
Current Assets
31 Dec 18 31 Mar 19 Account Receivable 37,596
7,603 6,075 6,680 12,978 5,004 4,797 31 DEC 18 31 MAR 19
31 Dec 18 31 Mar 19 23,851 19,288 Other Current Liabilities Account Payable Short term loan
Current Liabilities
Account Payable 6,298 MB mainly from higher crude oil purchase volume
Other Current Liabilities 1,528 MB Decreased mainly from
Short term loan mainly from BCP 3,195 MB (100 MUSD) and BBGI 1,352 MB
31 Dec 18 31 Mar 19 Crude
Product
Financial Position - Consolidated
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
22 30,896 31,374 48,877 49,977
PP&E 1,100 MB
PP&E Other Non Current Assets 81,351 Non-Current Assets 31 Dec 18 31 Mar 19 79,773
3,083 3,062 45,460 45,228 31 DEC 18 31 MAR 19
31 Dec 18 31 Mar 19 49,875 49,538 Long Term Debt Other Non Current Liabilities
(Including current portion of L/T debt)
Long-term debt 232 MB
Non-Current Liabilities Other Non Current Assets 478 MB
Financial Position - Consolidated
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
23 6,823 6,987 27,607 27,783 15,273 15,274 31 DEC 18 31 MAR 19
Equities increased 338 MB (+1% YoY) mainly from
increased by 267 MB
Equity: Retained Earnings 38 MB Non-controlling interests 16 MB
Equity
31 Dec 18 31 Mar 19 49,538 49,875 Other Components Non-Controlling Interests Retained Earnings Paid up capital, Share premium and capital surplus
Cash Flow - Consolidated
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
Beginning Cash 11,551 MB Change in Cash
Ending Cash 10,036 MB FX adjustment
Q1/2019 Sources and Uses of Cash
Unit: THB Million
24
1,193 279 884 36 2,154 844 570 120
Cash From Operation Funding
2,353
Sources of Cash Uses of Cash
3,728
Change in Working Capital Debt Service - Repayment Investment in PPE Tax Paid Selling of PPE, Selling of investments and others Investment in intangible assets and others
Q1/19 Financial Performance
Business Updates
Appendices
Q1/19 Performance Update
Refinery Business Group – Refinery Upgrading Project Updates
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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Status Progress Expected Completion
Continuous Catalyst Regeneration Unit (CCR)
(CCR: Higher Capacity & maintenance cycle extension)
71% 2020
Debottlenecking #1: Hydrocracker Unit (HCU) Revamping
(Higher Optimal Crude Run: Distillate)
71% 2020
#2: Debottlenecking CDU & NPU & ISOU & KTU
(Higher Optimal Crude Run: Light & Middle Distillate)
smaller improvement projects On hold On hold
3E Project Updates
Overall CCR Construction Area Piling work
Marketing Business Group – 2019 Highlight
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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Continue to increase market share in Retail Sales 2019 Network Expansion
New Stations Mostly Standard size Non-oil (BCR)
Supporting business 2019 Target
SPAR: +20 stores Inthanin: +200 stores
+65 Standard +5 COOP
#Diesel B20 Alternative fuel for better environment #GDI technology fuel in Thailand #Hi Premium diesel & E20 EURO5 standard
#Green Experience #Green Coffee #Green Campaign #บริการมาตรฐานด ้ วยความใส่ใจ #บางจากมากกว่าสถานีบริการ
Bio-Based Products Business – On-going projects updates
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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KGI-NP II Ethanol
66 ML/Yr
200,000 L/D Expected COD 2H/20 BBF Biodiesel
330 ML/Yr
1,000,000 L/D Expected Q3/19 Additional plant
Kanchanaburi Khonkaen Ayudhaya Chachoengsao Bangkok
KGI-NP I Ethanol
49.5 ML/Yr
150,000 L/D BBGI holds 100% BBF Biodiesel
290 ML/Yr
930,000 L/D BBGI holds 70% KGI-BP Ethanol
99 ML/Yr
300,000 L/D BBGI holds 100%
Ubonratchathani
UBE Ethanol
120 ML/Yr
400,000 L/D (Associated company)
BBE Ethanol
45 ML/Yr
150,000 L/D BBGI holds 85%
+
Capacity increment in existing plant Additional plant Glycerin
28,000 Ton/Yr
Expected COD 2H/20
IPO plan to be in 2020 currently waiting for clarification in high value bio-based investment projects
OKEA – 2019 Highlight
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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OKEA prepares for drilling operation to target further upside potential within and surrounding the Draugen field
production from the Draugen platform
area that might be drilled over the next years to further increase the volume in the Draugen area
20 40 60
kboe/d
Potential Production Profile (net to OKEA)
(Producing Assets) (Developing Assets) (Identified Upsides)
OKEA IPO targeted to be in June 2019 Currently in roadshow process
Bangchak CVC Portfolio Highlight Updates
Bangchak Corporation Plc.
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Highlight Portfolio Investment Stage Other Notable Investors $1Mn $1Mn Series A Follow-on $3Mn Series A $3Mn Series D Animal-Free Collagen Rare Sugar (Tagatose) Extreme Fast Charging Battery Bio-Based Green Energy
6 deals of total $11.5Mn
10% 13% 77%
Bio-Based = $5Mn Green Energy = $6.5Mn
$50Mn
ir@bangchak.co.th
www.bangchak.co.th click Investor Relations
Disclaimer : The information contained herein is being furnished on a confidential basis for discussion purposes only and only for the use of the recipient, and may be subject to completion or amendment through the delivery of additional documentation. Except as otherwise provided herein, this document does not constitute an offer to sell or purchase any security or engage in any transaction. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that Bangchak Corporation Public Company Limited (“BCP”) considers to be reliable; however, BCP makes no representation as to, and accepts no responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. Any projections, valuations and statistical analyses contained herein have been provided to assist the recipient in the evaluation of the matters described herein; such projections, valuations and analyses may be based on subjective assessments and assumptions and may utilize one among alternative methodologies that produce differing results; accordingly, such projections, valuations and statistical analyses are not to be viewed as facts and should not be relied upon as an accurate representation of future events. The recipient should make an independent evaluation and judgment with respect to the matters contained herein.