Development of LCS Scenario in Iskandar Malaysia ( project under - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Development of LCS Scenario in Iskandar Malaysia ( project under SATREPS research program) ( p j p g ) HO Chin Siong and Janice Simson Feb 22 2011 Japan Feb 22 2011 Japan Symposium on Towards Low carbon Society in Asia - Asia LCS Scenario and Actions- How to achieve sustainable low carbon society? JST JICA 2011 2015 JST ‐ JICA 2011 ‐ 2015 Technical Cooperation Project UTM, IRDA, PTHM and JPBD Malaysia Kyoto University, Okayama University and NIES Japan

PRESENTATION OUTLINE 1. BACKGROUND – Challenges and Issues – National Vision 2. CASE STUDY ‐ ISKANDAR MALAYSIA – Comprehensive Development Plan 2025 h l l – Modeling output 3. SATREPS PROJECT – JICA –JST visit JICA JST visit – Workshops

Background ‐ MALAYSIA

ISSUES AND CHALLENGES R Rapid urbanization and id b i i d industrialization Relatively high carbon intensity dependence on fossil fuel High Private car ownership Low density development and urban sprawl Low efficiency appliances 4

NATIONAL VISION 2010 1 MALAYSIA CHARTING DEVELOPMENT 1 MALAYSIA CHARTING DEVELOPMENT TOWARDS A HIGH INCOME NATION TOWARDS A HIGH INCOME NATION TOWARDS A HIGH INCOME NATION TOWARDS A HIGH INCOME NATION • The 2011 Budget, with the aim to position Malaysia as a developed and high-income economy with as a developed and high income economy with inclusive and sustainable development , will continue to ensure that the most conducive socio- economic environment is created through the Government Transformation Programme (GTP) to G t T f ti P (GTP) t underpin growth. th Malaysia Plan The 10 th The 10 Malaysia Plan  Building an environment that  Building an environment that Building an environment that enhances Quality Building an environment that enhances Quality enhances Quality enhances Quality of Life of Life  New urbanism and New urbanism and compact city compact city  Growth concentrated in Growth concentrated in urban conurbation urban conurbation  Safe city Safe city initiatives y initiatives  Developing climate resilient growth Developing climate resilient growth policy policy  Adaptation measures Adaptation measures  Mitigation measures Mitigation measures  Incentives for Incentives for RE and EE RE and EE  Improving  Improving Improving Solid waste management Improving Solid waste management Solid waste management Solid waste management  Conserving forest Conserving forest  Reducing Reducing emission to improve air quality emission to improve air quality 5

COP 15 – Malaysia’s target COP 15 Malaysia s target • Prime Minster of Malaysia, Y.A.B Dato’ Sri Mohd Najib bin Tun Abdul Razak, in COP15 last year at Copenhagen, Denmark, y p g , , proposed to reduce CO 2 emission intensity in Malaysia to 40 per cent by the year to 40 per cent by the year 2020 compared with its 2005 levels, subject to assistance from developed countries. from developed countries. COP15 on Dec 17, 2009 at Copenhagen, Denmark Copenhagen, Denmark 6/9

CURRENT GREEN POLICIES IN MALAYSIA National Green Technology Policy 2009 ‐ Energy, Building , Water and waste management and Transportation Malaysia Budget 2010 ‐ 2011 ‐ Developing Putrajaya and Cyberjaya as pioneer township in Developing Putrajaya and Cyberjaya as pioneer township in green technology National policy on Climate Change ‐ Roadmap for Malaysia to achieve 40% reduction of GHG emission by 2020 emission by 2020 Green Neighborhood Guidelines – JPBD 2010 ‐ Smart location, Neighbourhood pattern and design, Green S t l ti N i hb h d tt d d i G Infrastructure. 7 Green Township Framework –Guide Towards LC Cities 2010 ‐ MIP

Case study Iskandar Development Region Iskandar Development Region 2,216 km 2 Population 1,353,200 Population 1,353,200 Iskandar Development Region

Comprehensive Development Plan 2006 Comprehensive Development Plan 2006 ‐ 2025 2025 DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES: DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES:  Balanced Development  Protect and Conserve Nature, Historic and Open Spaces  Focused Development at Areas with Existing & Adequate Infrastructure  Promote Infill & Redevelopment  Enhance Accessibility  Promote Key Economic Areas as Focal Point For Growth  Manage Regional Growth Downloadable at   Pl Plan for Innovative & Sustainable Infrastructure & Utilities f I ti & S t i bl I f t t & Utiliti www.iskandarmalaysia.com.my  Promote Planned Communities which produce Quality and Sustainable Neighbourhoods Page 9

The Iskandar Malaysia Vision Economic Growth “To develop Iskandar Malaysia into a strong and sustainable metropolis of international standing” sustainable metropolis of international standing” Year 2005 Projected (2025) Year 2005 Projected (2025) GDP (RM) 70 billion 325.5 billion 325.5 billion Per capita GDP (RM) 51,765 108,850 108,850 Employment 0.610 million 1.428 million 1.428 million Population 1.4 million 3.1 million 3.1 million 10

Socio Economic Scenario of IM 2005 2025 2025/2005 Population 1,353,200 3,005,815 2.2 No. of households 317,762 751,454 2.4 GDP (mil RM) GDP (mil RM) 37 641 37,641 176,224 176 224 4 7 4.7 GDP per capita (RM/capita) 27,817 58,628 2.1 Gross output (mil RM) 121,431 474,129 3.9 Primary industry (mil RM) 1,860 5,375 2.9 Secondary industry (mil RM) Secondary industry (mil RM) 83 502 83,502 263,444 263 444 3 2 3.2 Tertiary industry (mil RM) 36,069 205,309 5.7 Floor space for commercial (mil m 2 ) 6.8 19.3 2.8 Offices 1.3 1.7 2.9 Shops Shops 5.7 5 7 16 3 16.3 2 9 2.9 Hospitals & Schools 0.6 1.2 2.1 11 Passenger transport demand (mil p ‐ km) 3,816 8,677 2.3

Iskandar Malaysia: Geographical Area • Focused Development at 5 Flagships • 2,217 km 2 or 550,000 acres • 3 times the size of Singapore Senai – Skudai Senai Senai Senai Skudai Skudai Skudai • 1.4 million population • 1 4 million population (Kulaijaya) (Kulaijaya) Flagship Flagship Flagship Flagship Johor Bahru Johor Bahru Johor Bahru Johor Bahru Flagship Eastern Gate Development Eastern Gate Development City Centre City Centre (Pasir Gudang (Pasir Gudang – Tanjong Langsat) Tanjong Langsat) Nusajaya Nusajaya Singapore Western Gate Development Western Gate Development Western Gate Development Western Gate Development (Port Tanjung Pelepas) (Port Tanjung Pelepas)

Project Progress Update – Flagship A Upgrading of Komtar Johor Johor Bahru Bahru (In progress) City Centre City Centre Artist Impression Johor Bahru Johor Bahru Transformation of Johor Bahru City City Centre City Centre Centre (Planning) – Sg. Segget clean up Johor Johor Bahru Bahru Heritage Trail City Centre City Centre (Completed) Johor Johor Bahru Bahru Sultan Iskandar Complex City Centre City Centre Cit C Cit C t t (Completed) ‐ CIQ 13

Project Progress Update – Flagship B Nusajaya Nusajaya Kota Iskandar (Completed) Kota Iskandar (Completed) SiLC Horizon Hills Educity Kota Iskandar Nusajaya Nusajaya East Ledang Puteri Harbour (In progress) Puteri Harbour Medini Actual Picture 14

Project Progress Update – Flagship C Western Gate Western Gate • Asia Petroleum Hub Development Development March 2009 Western Gate Western Gate • Port Tanjung Pelepas Development Development Development Development Source: PTP •One of the fastest growing container ports in the world •4 new berths will be added by end 2010 - increasing the port’s capacity by 3.2mn TEUs to 11.2mn TEUs. • PTP is ranked 18 th world busiest container seaport. MMC Corp, PTP – expansion 15

Project Progress Update – Flagship D Eastern Gate Eastern Gate • Acerinox (Bahru Stainless Sdn Bhd) Development Development Construction in progress Tanjung Langsat Area Construction site The main component of the Tanjung Langsat development is the 4200 acre Tanjung Langsat Industrial Complex developed by Johor Corp It designed Tanjung Langsat Industrial Complex developed by Johor Corp. It designed for Light, Medium & Heavy Industries. 16 Source: Johor Corp, IRDA

Project Progress Update – Flagship E • Senai International Airport – Airside Senai Senai ‐ Skudai Skudai Development (completed) Senai Senai ‐ Skudai Skudai • Senai Hi ‐ Tech Park Runway extension 446m – 100% Completed Source: Senai Airport Terminal Services • Kulai Cyber City Senai Senai ‐ Skudai Skudai • Johor Premium Outlet h i l Senai Senai ‐ Skudai Skudai 17

LCS scenario study using ExSS E Export by goods t b g d L b Labor productivity d ti it Labor participation ratio Labor participation ratio Demographic composition Investment Taxation and social security Government expenditure Labor demand Population IO Output by Import ratio analysis industry Wage Income Consumption Input coefficient matrix pattern Consumption Household size Floor area per output Output of Output of Number of Population commercial manufacturing Energy service demand household household per driving force d i i f i d industry t i d industry t Trip per person Fuel share Freight Passenger Commercial Energy efficiency Trip distance building floor transport transport Modal share area area demand demand demand demand CO 2 emission factor Freight generation per Carbon sink output Energy demand Transport distance Modal share CO2 emission 18 Methodology developed by Shimada et.al (2006), Gomi et. Al (2007)