AIR QUALITY FORECASTING SYSTEM IN A DOLOMITIC VALLEY: AIR QUALITY - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

AIR QUALITY FORECASTING SYSTEM IN A DOLOMITIC VALLEY: AIR QUALITY FORECASTING SYSTEM IN A DOLOMITIC VALLEY: PERFORMANCE COMPARISON BETWEEN PERFORMANCE COMPARISON BETWEEN EXPECTED AND MEASURED DATA EXPECTED AND MEASURED DATA

Rodolfo Bassan1 , Cristiano Bellio1, Roberto Piol1, Alessio D’Allura2, Maria Grazia Morselli2 and Camillo Silibello2

1 ARPAV – Environmental Protection Agency of the Veneto Region 2 Belluno Department, Italy 2 ARIANET, Milano, Italy

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PM10 emission (205.8 Mg/y) PM10 emission (205.8 Mg/y) from biomass burning for domestic heating from biomass burning for domestic heating Biomass burning Biomass burning – – Primary use Primary use

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MB FB d RMSE NSD F2 Belluno PM10+24 10.35 0.33 0.47 18.55 0.52 0.84 PM10+48 9.66 0.32 0.46 17.88 0.60 0.85 Feltre PM10+24 18.35 0.53 0.44 25.13 0.47 0.68 PM10+48 18.47 0.57 0.50 25.29 0.45 0.70 MB FB d RMSE NSD F2 Belluno NO2+24 1.60 0.04 0.75 17.61 1.30 0.98

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Belluno NO2+48 1.41 0.04 0.75 17.78 1.31 0.99 Feltre NO2+24 22.52 20.08 0.55 20.86 1.42 1.28 NO2+48 22.14 20.07 0.56 20.70 1.40 1.27

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• NO2 Belluno

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 4/11/09 1/11/09 8/11/09 5/11/09 2/12/09 9/12/09 6/12/09 3/12/09 0/12/09 6/01/10 3/01/10 0/01/10 7/01/10 3/02/10 0/02/10 7/02/10 4/02/10 04/1 11/1 18/1 25/1 02/1 09/1 16/1 23/1 30/1 06/0 13/0 20/0 27/0 03/0 10/0 17/0 24/0 measured forecast +24 forecast +48

NO2 Feltre 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 04/11/09 11/11/09 18/11/09 25/11/09 02/12/09 09/12/09 16/12/09 23/12/09 30/12/09 06/01/10 13/01/10 20/01/10 27/01/10 03/02/10 10/02/10 17/02/10 24/02/10 measured forecast +24 forecast +48

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PM10 Belluno

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 1/09 1/09 1/09 1/09 1/09 1/09 1/09 1/09 1/09 2/09 2/09 2/09 2/09 2/09 2/09 2/09 2/09 2/09 2/09 2/09 1/10 1/10 1/10 1/10 1/10 1/10 1/10 1/10 1/10 1/10 2/10 2/10 2/10 2/10 2/10 2/10 2/10 2/10 2/10 04/11/0 07/11/0 10/11/0 13/11/0 16/11/0 19/11/0 22/11/0 25/11/0 28/11/0 01/12/0 04/12/0 07/12/0 10/12/0 13/12/0 16/12/0 19/12/0 22/12/0 25/12/0 28/12/0 31/12/0 03/01/1 06/01/1 09/01/1 12/01/1 15/01/1 18/01/1 21/01/1 24/01/1 27/01/1 30/01/1 02/02/1 05/02/1 08/02/1 11/02/1 12/02/1 17/02/1 20/02/1 23/02/1 26/02/1 measured forecast +24 forecast +48

PM10 Feltre

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 04/11/09 07/11/09 10/11/09 13/11/09 16/11/09 19/11/09 22/11/09 25/11/09 28/11/09 01/12/09 04/12/09 07/12/09 10/12/09 13/12/09 16/12/09 19/12/09 22/12/09 25/12/09 28/12/09 31/12/09 03/01/10 06/01/10 09/01/10 12/01/10 15/01/10 18/01/10 21/01/10 24/01/10 27/01/10 30/01/10 02/02/10 05/02/10 08/02/10 11/02/10 12/02/10 17/02/10 20/02/10 23/02/10 26/02/10 measured forecast +24 forecast +48

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• Meas_Fel: 34 µg/m3

Pred_Fel: 26 µg/m3 Meas_Bel: 32 µg/m3 Pred_Bel: 27 µg/m3 Meas_Fel: 24 µg/m3 Pred_Fel: 32 µg/m3 Meas_Fel: 32 µg/m3 Pred_Fel: 38 µg/m3

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