Y
2
O R
1
K
7
RESULTS PRESENTATION
FOR THE YEAR ENDED 30 JUNE 2017
Y O R K RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE YEAR ENDED 30 JUNE 2017 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2 0 1 7 Y O R K RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE YEAR ENDED 30 JUNE 2017 WHO WE ARE 2 York Timber Holdings Limited (York, York Timbers or 28,89% the Company) is listed on the JSE in the Forestry and 28,73% Paper Index Sector under the
2
1
7
FOR THE YEAR ENDED 30 JUNE 2017
2
WHO WE ARE
28,89%
Shareholding
Empowerment Development agencies Other Mutual funds Private companies 28,73% 18,00% 13,88% 10,51%
York Timber Holdings Limited (York, York Timbers or the Company) is listed on the JSE in the Forestry and Paper Index Sector under the share code YRK. York was incorporated in 1916 and was first listed in 1946.
York is an integrated forestry company, operating through its wholly owned subsidiaries, York Timbers Proprietary Limited, that owns plantations and processing plants, and Agentimber Proprietary Limited, that runs a wholesale distribution network. York has the largest market share of the South African timber and plywood market. This is a result of York’s sustainable biological assets, technologically advanced forestry operations and close attention to customer needs.
Revenue: R1 833 million Total asset value: R5 082 million Number of people employed: 5 253
(includes employees and contractors).
3
OPERATIONAL FOOTPRINT
SOUTH AFRICA Mpumalanga
1.
Driekop
Sawmill 2.
Nicholson & Mullin
Sawmill and treatment plant 3.
Sabie
Sawmill and treatment plant 4.
Plywood
Plywood manufacturer 5.
Jessievale
Sawmill and treatment plant 6.
Malelane*
Warehouse facility
Limpopo
7.
Polokwane
Warehouse and distribution facility 8.
Thohoyandou*
Warehouse facility
Gauteng
9.
Pretoria
Warehouse and distribution facility
Warehouse, distribution and value-added products
KwaZulu-Natal
Sales office and warehouse
Eastern Cape
Sales office
Western Cape
Warehouse, distribution and treatment facility
Northern Cape
Warehouse facility
North West
Warehouse facility
Free State
Warehouse and distribution facility
BOTSWANA
Warehouse facility
MOZAMBIQUE
Warehouse facility
York has extensive forests – 55 589ha planted with pine, 2 047ha with eucalyptus and 2 834ha is temporarily unplanted – providing raw material to its processing facilities. This is supplemented from external resources. The distribution network can reach the entire Southern African market.
Sustainable raw material supply underpins the investment in processing facilities. Sabie and Jessievale sawmills are ideally situated next to timber supply from York as well as from external resources. Distribution network is well positioned to service the Southern African market.
119 300 000ha
surface area in South Africa
646 759ha
planted with pine
1 268 443ha
dedicated to commercial forestry
454 190ha
managed for lumber production
* In progress
4
YORK
MANUFACTURED CAPITAL NATURAL CAPITAL FINANCIAL CAPITAL
Plant availability
at 85%
32 different
plywood products introduced Intake increased
by 3%
Biological assets
increased in value by 21% to
R2 828 million
(2016: R2 334 million)
60 470
planted hectares
certified plantations
Revenue
increased by 3% to
R1 833 million
(2016: R1 771 million)
Earnings per share
increased by 59% to
116 cents per share
(2016: 73 cents per share)
EBITDA per share
increased by 5% to
78 cents per share
(2016: 75 cents per share)
2017 HIGHLIGHTS
5
TIMBERS
HUMAN CAPITAL SOCIAL CAPITAL INTELLECTUAL CAPITAL
124 training
events
2 562 individuals
trained
R11 million
employee training and development contribution
BBBEE level 4
maintained with introduction of Forestry Code
Winner
Integrated Reporting Awards 2016 in the Fledgling/Alt-X category for the second consecutive year
Certifications from CE, TP and IPPC
European Conformity, Timber Products Inspection, International Plant Protection Convention
R15 million
CSI spend
R8 million
enterprise and supplier development contribution
14 403
primary health patients seen
2017 HIGHLIGHTS
6
MAPPING YORK’S BUSINESS
Truss plants Corporate and independent retailers Remanufacturers Furniture manufacturers Construction contractors FOREST RESIDUE BY PRODUCT Biomass Remanufacturing Wholesale Retail
YORK’S VISION IS TO BECOME THE LEADING INTEGRATED TIMBER PROCESSOR IN SOUTHERN AFRICA, PROFICIENTLY DELIVERING PRODUCTS AND SERVICES OF THE HIGHEST QUALITY
Nursery
The nursery develops high- yielding tree species, including hybrids, to allow
species matching Seedlings and cuttings are dispatched to plantations after five to eight months
Forests
York’s sustainable forests are maintained according to industry-leading silviculture practices. Typically, 1 100 to 1 333 trees are planted per hectare and pruned at three, five and seven
performing trees are (thinning) at ages 8 to 10 and 10 to 15, prior to harvesting
External log purchases
The shortfall in supply from own plantations is sourced from various sustainable external sources
Processing facilities
York has four sawmills, remanufacturing plant, timber treatment facilities and one plywood plant
Biomass/ Co-generation plant
Prunings, thinnings, bark and pulp recycled to generate energy for own use and resale
Warehouse and distribution facilities
13 distribution warehouses are able to meet customer needs
Customer base
Customers are supplied directly from the mill or via the warehouse. They include:
1 2 3 4A 4B 5
x = LOGISTICS
The thread that brings each of the components together
YORK BUSINESS MODEL =
1
x
2
x
3
x
4A
x
4B
x
5
x
7
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
8
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
Building a sustainable company requires consistent performance and cash generation over time
500 000 1 000 000 1 500 000 2 000 000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Group revenue (R’000) 50 000 100 000 150 000 200 000 250 000 300 000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Cash flow from operations (R’000) 150 000 300 000 450 000 600 000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Gross profit (R’000) 50 000 100 000 150 000 200 000 250 000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 EBITDA (R’000) 500 600 700 800 900 1 000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 TNAV (cents) 1 000 2 000 3 000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Biological asset value (Thousands)
9
FINANCIAL SUMMARY
Earnings per share increased by
2016: 73 cents per share
Biological assets increased in value by
2016: R2 334million
Cash generated from
2016: R285 million
Gross profit increased by
2016: R501 million
Revenue increased by
2016: R1 771million
EBITDA per share increased by
2016: 74 cents per share
Tangible net asset value (TNAV) per share up
2016: 635 cents per share
Core earnings per share decreased by
2016: 31 cents per share
due to increased depreciation and interest paid on plywood plant
10
SEVEN-YEAR FINANCIAL REVIEW
YORK HAS GROWN REVENUE BY 11.4% CAGR SINCE 2011 INVESTMENT IN EBITDA-GENERATING CAPABILITY: 41,9% CAGR SINCE 2011
CAGR % 2011-2017 Audited 2017 % change Audited 2016 Audited 2015 Audited 2014 Audited 2013 Audited 2012 Audited 2011
Group revenue R’000 11 1 832 805 3 1 771 049 1 543 149 1 323 976 1 131 994 1 112 843 959 143 Gross profit R’000 3 497 502 (1) 500 566 404 415 377 945 410 298 421 519 420 912 Gross profit margin % (1) 27 (4) 28 26 29 36 38 44 Operating profit R’000 (1) 151 369 (17) 182 933 144 021 116 811 161 365 166 068 161 897 Operating margin % (11) 8 (20) 10 9 9 14 15 17 EBITDA* R’000 4 246 101 3 240 048 199 390 156 262 187 153 194 726 195 060 EBITDA to revenue % (6,7) 13,4 (1) 13,6 12,9 11,8 16,5 17,5 20 Net profit before finance costs R’000 24 599 038 54 390 032 196 272 123 531 192 834 303 395 165 676 Finance costs R’000 (2) 88 595 56 56 632 58 385 56 440 54 672 87 308 100 370 Cash flow from operations R’000 (2) 169 979 (40) 284 963 182 574 151 461 106 486 197 088 187 239 Biological assets R’000 7 2 828 518 21 2 334 327 2 140 067 2 103 092 2 100 870 2 070 222 1 936 398 Interest-bearing borrowings R’000 7 912 302 2 894 145 743 360 562 616 597 173 558 400 614 225 Investment in property, plant and equipment R’000 42 154 258 (46) 283 241 203 288 66 169 51 958 36 340 18 887 Net working capital R’000 14 245 991 51 162 685 219 485 213 182 180 446 119 372 113 460 * EBITDA directly impacted by the purchase of external logs
11
SEVEN-YEAR FINANCIAL REVIEW
EARNINGS PER SHARE SHOW STRONG GROWTH: 47% CAGR SINCE 2011 RETURN ON EQUITY: 36,6% CAGR
CAGR % 2011-2017 Audited 2017 % change Audited 2016 Audited 2015 Audited 2014 Audited 2013 Audited 2012 Audited 2011
Earnings R’000 46 367 286 54 238 212 101 468 50 994 106 864 137 818 38 317 Weighted average number of shares number (1) 317 209 (2) 325 286 331 032 331 241 331 241 331 241 331 241 Earnings per share cents 47 116 59 73 31 15 32 42 12 Core earnings per share* cents 8 17 (46) 31 21 16 30 30 10 Headline earnings per share cents 40 116 59 73 29 14 33 42 16 Net asset value per share cents 8 943 17 809 731 703 688 655 612 Tangible net asset value per share cents 10 765 20 635 559 531 516 484 440 Underlying TNAV cents 9 1007 21 834 739 708 692 657 602 Return on equity % 37 12,3 36 9 4,2 2,2 4,7 6,4 1,9 * Core earnings impacted by payment of finance cost and higher depreciation Plywood plant performance will substantially improve in 2018
12
KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS
Capitals Key performance indicators Value Target in 2 years’ time 2017 % change 2016 Natural Value of biological asset R’million 2 594 2 829 21 2 334 Total landholding hectares 93 988 93 988 – 93 988 Total forestry area planted hectares 57 950 57 636 1 57 194 Conservancy areas hectares 33 518 33 518 – 33 518 Temporary unplanted areas (TUP) hectares 2 520 2 834 (13) 3 276 Manufactured Purchase of property, plant and equipment R’million 1 750 154 (46) 283 Value margin sawmills % 45 43 (0,5) 43,4 Value margin plywood plant % 48 41 (6) 43,3 Safety margin sawmills % 20 17 (14) 19,2 Safety margin plywood plant % 30 34 26 27,3 Market share – Lumber % 26 24 3 23,4 – Plywood % 80 65
Electricity consumption kWh 50 561 344 56 945 305 12 50 803 975 Intellectual New products launched R’million 50 44 8 41 Logtrace Accounting System R’million 1 1 (43) 2 FSC certification Yes Yes Yes Diversified product mix - Lumber:plywood:biomass %
65:20:15 81:19:0 82%:18%:0
Project Evolve annualised contribution benefits R’million 9 9
13
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
Statement of financial position
as at 30 June 2017
2017 R’000 % change 2016 R’000
Assets
Non-current assets 3 932 641 14 3 461 328 Biological assets 2 392 979 20 1 993 501 Investment property 26 731 2 26 231 Property, plant and equipment 911 532 7 852 096 Goodwill 565 442
Intangible assets 908 (44) 1 632 Other financial assets 31 965 65 19 387 Deferred tax 3 084 1 3 039 Current assets 1 149 310 4 1 100 128 Inventories 339 693 42 239 459 Current tax receivable 7 749 (5) 8 183 Trade and other receivables 206 982 (8) 225 516 Biological assets 435 539 28 340 826 Cash and cash equivalents 159 347 (44) 286 144 Total assets 5 081 951 11 4 561 456
The biological assets include a once-off adjustment as a result of an improvement achieved in the plantation rotation age. The higher plantation value reflects the benefits of precision forestry and improved genetic planting material and is a fair reflection of its current market value York continued to invest in its processing capabilities, totalling R154 million for the year Working capital increased as a result of additional warehouses opened and an accumulation of export
costs York has sufficient cash reserves to fund the increase in working capital
14
Statement of financial position
as at 30 June 2017
2017 R’000 % change 2016 R’000
Equity and liabilities
Equity 2 992 565 14 2 632 573 Share capital 1 480 232 0,5 1 486 946 Reserves (489) (637) 91 Retained income 1 512 822 32 1 145 536 Liabilities Non-current liabilities 1 601 836 5 1 531 193 Loans from related parties 1 527 13 1 350 Loans and borrowings 731 498 (9) 802 196 Retirement benefit obligation 25 334 6 24 010 Deferred tax 825 867 20 687 332 Provisions 13 900 6 13 114 Cash-settled share-based payments 3 710 16 3 191 Current liabilities 487 550 23 397 690 Loans and borrowings 180 804 97 91 949 Current tax payable 277 13 750 2 Operating lease liability 1 415 1 669 80 Trade and other payables 300 684 (1) 302 290 Cash-settled share-based payments 4 370 30 3 369 Total liabilities 2 089 386 8 1 928 883 Total equity and liabilities 5 081 951 11 4 561 456
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
York continued to repurchase shares, now up to 4.6% of the issued shares. The Board believes in the value of the business and will request shareholders to continue supporting the share repurchase programme Investment activities were partly financed by increasing long-term debt of R98 million. Existing commitments of R80 million were repaid during the financial year
15
Condensed statement of profit or loss and other comprehensive income
for the year ended 30 June 2017
2017 R’000 % change 2016 R’000 Revenue 1 832 805 3 1 771 049 Cost of sales (1 335 303) 5 (1 270 483) Gross profit 497 502 (1) 500 566 Other operating income 8 602 (52) 17 970 Administration expenses (354 735) 6 (335 603) Operating profit 151 369 (17) 182 933 Investment income 11 175 (5) 11 762 Fair value adjustments 436 494 123 195 337 Finance costs (88 595) 56 (56 632) Profit before taxation 510 443 53 333 400 Taxation (143 157) 50 (95 188) Profit for the year 367 286 54 238 212 Other comprehensive income for the year net of taxation (580) (10) (641) Total comprehensive income 366 706 237 571 Earnings per share Basic and diluted earnings per share (cents) 116 59 73
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
The absence of economic growth and lack of confidence in the construction sector resulted in lower sales volumes in most product categories. York’s market share increased in the subdued local lumber market and shows promising growth in East and West Africa Raw material supply was repeatedly interrupted due to an excessive 17% annual price increase
The lumber mills performed at high efficiency
by higher logistics costs as logs were transported over longer distances to keep plants fully supplied and operational Profit was boosted by the increase in value of the biological assets. This was offset by an increases in deferred taxation on the biological assets, depreciation after commissioning the new plywood plant and interest paid on loan financing for the Plywood Expansion Project
16
YORK LOG PRICES HIGHER THAN INDUSTRY: 4TH QUARTER 2016
Log Classes % per m3 higher % per m3 higher % per m3 higher % per m3 higher % per m3 higher a 16% 16% 7% 47% 15% b1 33% 36% 47% 75% 29% b2 16% 15% 20% 35% 13% c1 30% 30% 45% 66% 25% c2 12% 9% 12% 15% 10% d1 26% 28% 61% 53% 23% d2 12% 12% 18% 17% 11% 21% 21% 30% 44% 18%
York Log prices higher than Industry 4th QTR 2016
Cape Mpumalanga Industry YTD Industry Qtr Kwazulu -Natal
These prices do NOT reflect the latest price increase of SAFCOL of ca 17%
17
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
Condensed statement of cash flows
for the year ended 30 June 2017
2017 R’000 % change 2016 R’000 Profit before taxation 510 443 53 333 400 Adjustment for non-cash items, interest (257 159) 144 (105 239) Adjustment for working capital (83 305) (40) 56 802 Cash generated from operations 169 979 (40) 284 963 Less: Interest and tax paid (81 152) 36 (59 857) Net cash from operating activities 88 827 (61) 225 106 Net cash applied to investing activities (224 218) (15) (263 853) Net cash from financing activities 11 443 (91) 125 793 Cash movement for the year (123 948) (242) 87 046 Cash at the beginning of the year 286 144 49 192 068 Effect of exchange rate movement
(2 849) (141) 7 030 Cash at the end of the year 159 347 (44) 286 144
York has sufficient cash reserves to fund the increase in working capital Working capital investment increased as the intakes at the processing plants improved but economic growth slowed. York’s operations still generated substantial cash
18
TOP 10 RISKS
19
THE TOP TEN RISKS
The top ten risks York faces, together with the probability of these events
(high, medium and low), are listed
together with opportunities arising and the KPIs, are listed alongside
The Board and management team continuously review the top corporate risks to ensure an appropriate understanding of
York continually assesses its major risks and responses thereto
The residual risks facing York are reflected on this heat map:
Critical High Low
4 3 6 5 8 9 10 7 1 2
Low Medium High High Medium Low Board and Executive Committee focus Management focus Impact Probability
20
Key risks and description Probability Impact Mitigating strategies and opportunities arising KPIs Capitals affected
KOMATILAND FORESTS (KLF)* MARKETING POLICY
parties, increasing log prices
country
capability based on its artificially created “low demand for logs”, which will further diminish log supply
log supply agreements to its long- standing customers
pricing and three-year, renewable log supply agreements
act to protect its rights
matters
pursued
landholdings
technology
volumes from York’s own plantations
YORK’S MARKETING STRATEGY
projects by Government
increase in overall product margins
space utilisation of customers
product range
PESTS AND DISEASES IN PLANTATIONS
universities
areas in need of special attention
the control of damage-causing animals
* Komatiland Forests SOC Limited is a wholly owned subsidiary of South African Forestry Company SOC Limited (SAFCOL).
Low Medium High
21
Key risks and description Probability Impact Mitigating strategies and opportunities arising KPIs Capitals affected
TECHNOLOGY DISADVANTAGE
limited process information feedback
preventing quick decision-making
programmable logic controller (PLC) platforms and software packages
for improved information access to enable better decision-making
FIRES
magnitude of loss is the highest in younger age class plantations
fire risk
plantations
and rapid initial attack
areas
associations
resulting in reduced manual lookouts
equipment and technology
Plan per estate, based on high-risk areas and fuel load
BIOMASS POWER PLANT PROJECT Potential cancellation of REIPPPP
contracts under the REIPPPP for more than a year
currently under review
supply strategy of Eskom
targets
biomass utilisation
energy sector
biomass
Low Medium High
22
Key risks and description Probability Impact Mitigating strategies and opportunities arising KPIs Capitals affected
COMMUNITY
Government in serving the community
municipalities leading to public unrest
political gain
governing bodies on service delivery
unions and staff
engages directly with the community, unions and staff
repairing infrastructure
and communication between stakeholders
HUMAN CAPITAL
skills
development
with York’s values
SPREADSHEET THINKING
spreadsheet-driven solutions can often result in not realising the holistic impact
study
LACK OF PROBLEM-SOLVING SKILLS
solving
Low Medium High
23
BIOLOGICAL ASSET VALUATION AND WOOD PROPERTIES
24
NEW PINE REGIME FOR YORK HIGHVELD
25
NEW PINE REGIME FOR YORK ESCARPMENT
New regimes - Site quality 1 Product classification in terms of diameter spread per log class Age yr Operation Tph nr Height m Dbh Q cm BA m2/ha Vol m3/ha MAI m3/ha/yr Utilisable Vol % Total m3 Pulp H-class A-class B-class C-class D-class 6 1 200 15 15 22 152 25 87% 132 44 25 60 4
Thin 399 16 14 6 47 7 82% 38 14 7 17
Remaining 800 17 17 19 147 21 89% 131 27 23 63 18
Thin 300 20 17 7 65 8 90% 59 11 7 29 11
Remaining 500 21 21 17 164 18 94% 154 14 16 52 69 2
Thin 150 25 22 5 62 5 93% 57 5 5 18 27 2
Remaining 350 26 26 19 218 18 96% 208 10 10 41 94 52 1 20 Fell 350 36 35 34 526 26 97% 513 9 6 38 126 210 124 Cumulative volume per hectare over 20 yr rotation 700 35 95% 667 6% 4% 15% 25% 32% 19% Old regimes - Best sites Product classification in terms of diameter spread per log class Age yr Operation Tph nr Height m Dbh Q cm BA m2/ha Vol m3/ha MAI m3/ha/yr Utilisable Vol % Total m3 Pulp H-class A-class B-class C-class D-class 6 1000 13 15 18 104 15 86% 89 31 12 43 2 10,5 Thin 346 20 18 8 75 6 90% 68 14 6 34 14 11 Remaining 650 20 21 22 197 26 93% 184 20 18 65 80 2 15,5 Thin 270 26 23 11 125 8 93% 117 8 10 33 59 7 16 Remaining 380 26 27 21 247 29 96% 237 12 11 44 104 64 2 25 Fell 380 34 34 34 500 28 97% 486 10 7 42 133 203 92 Cumulative volume per hectare over 25 yr rotation 701 28 96% 671 5% 3% 16% 31% 31% 14% Note:
26
NEW PINE REGIME FOR YORK ESCARPMENT
New regimes - Site quality 4 Product classification in terms of diameter spread per log class Age yr Operation Tph nr Height m Dbh Q cm BA m2/ha Vol m3/ha MAI m3/ha/yr Utilisable Vol % Total m3 Pulp H-class A-class B-class C-class D-class 6 1 200 6 12 14 38 6 81% 31 23 8
Thin 398 8 12 4 16 2 79% 13 9 4
Remaining 800 8 14 13 48 5 85% 41 11 19 11
Fell 800 14 20 24 150 8 94% 140 19 17 60 44
166 8 92% 153 18% 13% 39% 29% 0% 0% Old regimes - Worst sites Product classification in terms of diameter spread per log class Age yr Operation Tph nr Height m Dbh Q cm BA m2/ha Vol m3/ha MAI m³/ha/yr Utilisable Vol % Total m3 Pulp H-class A-class B-class C-class D-class 6 1 000 6 13 13 34 6 84% 29 19 10
Thin 346 9 13 5 21 2 86% 18 6 7 4
Remaining 650 9 16 13 56 5 96% 54 14 16 23 1
Thin 270 12 17 6 33 2 89% 29 7 5 16 2
Remaining 380 12 20 12 64 4 94% 60 8 9 22 21
Fell 380 16 24 17 121 5 98% 118 8 9 26 64 11 Cumulative volume per hectare over 25 yr rotation 174 7 95% 165 13% 13% 28% 40% 7% 0% Note: Advantage not as big on poorer sites
27 27
28
PRECISION FORESTRY
Phenotype
[OUTSIDE]
Genotype
[INSIDE]
P G + E + G x E Genome diversity atlas Landscape genomics
29
Applying site-specific management and silviculture that will give increased fibre yield (volume) and fibre quality (wood properties)
GROWTH SITE / SPECIE MATCHING / WOOD PROPERTIES / MARKET
THERE MAY BE A MATCH BUT IS THERE CHEMISTRY …? Suited site-specie matching MAXIMISES VOLUME Wood properties involve understanding the interaction between site and specie to MAXIMISE QUALITY
30
0,5 0,6 0,7 0,8 0,9 1,0 1,1 1,2 1,3 12 12,5 13 13,5 14 14,5 15 15,5 16 16,5 17 17,5 18 18,5 19 19,5 20
PxT_H PxT_L PxO
Response ratios of the most important commercial pine species to MAT
APPLYING SITE SPECIE MATCHING GIVES OPTIMAL YIELD CURVE
Response ratio MAT (°C) Average
31
TREE PHYSIOLOGY
Cross-sectional profile of a tree with distinctive anatomical portions
Annular rings Springwood Summerwood Outer bark Juvenile wood Pith Inner bark Cambium Sapwood Heartwood Rays
32
MFA THRESHOLDS OF PINE WOOD PROPERTIES
Using the face of a watch for comparison, we aim to keep the MFAs of wood grown as close to the 6 and 12 hour hand as possible or less than 45° and as close as possible
33
WOOD STIFFNESS
JUVENILE WOOD
GROWTH
MATURE WOOD
GROWTH
growth
growth
VS
MICROFIBRIL ANGLE (MFA)
10° to 40 ° change in MFA can impact timber stiffness by up to six times
34
INVESTMENT CASE
35
INVESTMENT CASE
THE CURRENT SHARE PRICE DOES NOT REFLECT THE UNDERLYING PERFORMANCE OF THE BUSINESS
York’s share price (R2,60) was trading at a 74% discount to the underlying tangible net asset value (R10,07) as at 30 June 2017. Not only does the discount make it an attractive investment, but the Company has been able to historically generate EBITDA and cash flow on a consistent and sustainable basis, growing year-on-year The market does not value York correctly – growth in earnings per share and EBITDA per share is not reflected in the share price and in the price earnings movement 81% of the shares are held by only 10 shareholders with small trading volumes moving the share price
360 390 360 360 270 250 260 31 11 9 23 9 3 2 12 32 42 15 31 73 115 59 57 57 47 60 74 78 240 280 320 360 400 20 40 60 80 100 120 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Share price P/E ratio EPS EBITDA/share
P/E ratio; EBITDA and EPS vs share price
cents ROI achieved 12,6% moving towards target 15%
36
FUTURE OUTLOOK
York’s summarised strategy will be focusing on the following nine key areas to improve quality of earnings and diversification of revenue
Pillar 1 Pillar 2 Pillar 3 Pillar 4 Pillar 5 Pillar 6 Pillar 7 Pillar 8 Pillar 9 Three year forecast Lumber Plywood Forestry Remanu- facturing Wholesale Energy Logistics Acquisitions Property investments 2016 R1,77 billion revenue contribution 50% 20% 5% 1% 25% – – – – 2017 R1,83 billion revenue contribution 52% 16% 3% 2% 26% – 1% – – Approach Consolidate and upgrade Deliver and produce new value-added products Increase plantation area, yield per/ha wood properties, R&D Improve profitability by value adding Expand and make customers successful REIPPPP likely not happening Acquire more equipment instead of hiring from third parties Strategic Strategic EBITDA multiplier 2016 1,1 2,9 1,4 18,0 1,0 153,0 – – – 2017 0,8 3,4 1,3 10,0 0,4 144,0 – – – 2019 target R2,5 billion revenue contribution 41% 19% 3% 2% 21% 14% – – – Timeline Target met 6 months 2 years 1 year Target met 2½ years from announcement 1 year 5 to 10 years 5 to 10 years
37
MERGER: YORK/GRAS
38
15 534 16 326 6 330 57 636
Planted area (Ha)
Green: Mozambique Green: Tanzania Green: Uganda York: South Africa 2 834 19 788 104 330
Available for planting (Ha)
CREATING THE LARGEST PAN-AFRICAN INTEGRATED FORESTRY PLAYER
Background
York and Green Resources AS (“Green”) are engaged in negotiations on a potential combination of assets in South Africa, Mozambique, Uganda and Tanzania The combination would consolidate
the respective countries
Rationale
Larger consolidated planted area Significant commercial land available for planting
economies
asset in Green
technological and commercial competence and experience
realised earlier
company
capacity and diversification
16% 17% 7% 60% 2% 16% 82%
39
Green Resources: Uganda Hectares Title deed 9 950 Commercial: planted 6 725 Non-commercial 3 225 Remaining commercial area
Hectares Title deed 71 038 Commercial: planted 22 227 Non-commercial 29 022 Remaining commercial area 19 788 Green Resources: Mozambique Hectares Title deed 217 774 Commercial: planted 27 275 Non-commercial 86 169 Remaining commercial area 104 330 York Timbers: South Africa Hectares Title deed 93 983 Commercial: planted 60 646 Non-commercial 33 337 Remaining commercial area
Shipping advantage
40
DEVELOPING OPERATIONAL CAPABILITIES AND UNLOCKING SYNERGIES
Combination synergies
Green is a late development stage forestry asset that is near commercialisation, for which York has the capability and experience to unlock value York’s management team possesses experience in production, marketing and distribution of forestry products York has successfully undertaken feasible capital expenditure programs
Production
forestry management team could leverage the high yielding plantation assets in Mozambique, Tanzania and Uganda through precision forestry practices
costs
Marketing and distribution
markets for existing York lumber and plywood products
servicing existing York customer needs, in other territories
Rationalised capital expenditure
processing capabilities, in-country, could generate cash from the respective plantation assets sooner and at lower cost of production
Capital project experience
experience in conceptualising and implementing major capital investment programs
fast-tracking new capital projects, required to unlock cash generation
41
YORK INTEGRATED WITH COMMUNITY
42
THE TEAM EQUATION: DELIVERING SUCCESS
AUTHENTIC OUTCOMES BASED PARTNERSHIPS
Business success linked to community success York Team Social Investment Job creation, talent development
SYMBIOTIC RELATIONSHIIPS
Peaceful dwelling on York land by communities Currently 7 000 people
LEADERSHIP
A committed and qualified leadership team Community leadership platforms Tourism leader for Thaba Chweu Municipality: hotel school and marketing of area in new channels
SUPPLIER DEVELOPMENT
BBBEE Supplier engagement Supplier leverage for contributions
THE YORK ADVENTURE CLUB AND EVENTS
Social impact: An outdoor club for employees and community members Enjoyment of the beauty of nature and participation in fun outdoor events, maintaining an active, healthy lifestyle and participating in company life
THE YORK TRAINING ACADEMY
York-specific training, internal subject matter, experts and high calibre customised development experience Learnerships and placement internships Community engagement
me you us
43 43
TIMBER PROMISE
Consumers are committing to greater use of timber for housing, furniture, doors, frames, decking and
innovative purposes. Through their willingness and desire to adopt wood for its aesthetic value and wider applications, the industry can respond by delivering on these needs. Timber has substantial benefits for users as it is a sustainable resource, carbon positive, sustains rural development and is structurally and architecturally
better understand the advantages that wood properties
been fully exploited and this provides exciting opportunities for enthusiasts to unlock these benefits. Expanding needs and the wider base of customers from diverse sectors in housing, tourism upgrades, adventure tourism, furniture manufacturing and engineering will in turn drive greater demand that will lead to significant job creation, skills development and stimulation of the timber industry. That is the timber promise.
44
WOOD IS UNIQUE
Wood is unique and highly beneficial for the production of wood-based products and components for construction
these properties include:
addition, it is a very bad conductor of heat. Specific heat values of timber are high. Therefore greater amounts of energy are needed to increase and decrease the temperature per volumetric unit of wood. Wood conduction of heat energy is comparable to stones and concrete and up to three times the amount of heat energy is needed for the heating or cooling compared to steel
wood is extensively used in concert halls and musical instruments
to steel. Static electricity, potentially hazardous to human health, is also not stored in wood, making it a healthy material
weight over long distances. This is due to the light weight of wood, together with exceptional strength properties per unit mass
projects where steel construction might prove to be problematic due to rust
components might have to be discarded
Therefore the right type of wood can be matched with the customers’ specific needs
45 45
Electrical properties Mechanical properties Aesthetic properties Oxidation properties Workable properties Variation properties
46
DISCLAIMER
This presentation contains forward-looking statements about York’s operations and financial conditions. The Company has prepared this presentation based on information available to it at the time of writing, including information derived from public sources. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is provided in relation to the fairness, accuracy, correctness, completeness or reliability of the information, opinions or conclusions expressed herein. All references to two-year forecast, forecast to 2019, business KPIs and medium-term targets are based on successful financial close
Project. This presentation is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors, potential investors or funders and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any investor. All investors should consider such factors in consultation with a professional advisor of their choosing when deciding if an investment is appropriate. The Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that arise after the date made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. Inevitably, some assumptions will not materialise, and unanticipated events and circumstances may affect the ultimate financial results. Projections are inherently subject to substantial and numerous uncertainties and to a wide variety of significant business, economic and competitive risks, and the assumptions underlying the projections may be inaccurate in any material respect. Therefore, the actual results achieved may vary significantly from the forecasts, and the variations may be material.
2
1
7