Hybrid Scenario Planning Commission January 14, 2019 Shawn - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Oct 22, 2022 342 likes •527 views

Hybrid Scenario Planning Commission January 14, 2019 Shawn College, AICP Belt & Trend TOD Boulevard Hybrid Scenario 2045 Population and Job Growth 2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning Hybrid Scenario Builds on TOD

SLIDE 1

2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

2045 Population and Job Growth

Hybrid Scenario

Trend TOD

Belt & Boulevard

Planning Commission January 14, 2019 Shawn College, AICP

SLIDE 2

2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Hybrid Scenario

Builds on TOD Scenario
Includes elements of Trend

and Belt & Boulevard Scenarios

Eliminates rail along

Linebaugh Avenue and South Tampa

SLIDE 3

2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Hybrid Scenario

Builds on TOD Scenario
Includes elements of Trend

and Belt & Boulevard Scenarios

Eliminates rail along

Linebaugh Avenue and South Tampa

Express lanes Express bus Light rail Intercity rail Ferry

SLIDE 4

2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

2045 Population and Job Growth

Market analysis: Lower employment control total

1,293,200 1,466,900 1,602,900 1,722,900 1,824,900 1,919,900 2,007,100 830,900 938,800 1,025,900 1,102,700 1,167,900 1,228,700 1,284,500 830,900 935,900 1,015,400 1,083,700 1,139,600 1,190,300 1,235,300

800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 1,600,000 1,800,000 2,000,000 2,200,000

2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045

Population Employment (previous) Employment (recommended)

0.61 ratio
404,400 more jobs
0.61 ratio
404,400 more jobs
0.64 population ratio
454,000 more jobs
0.64 population ratio
454,000 more jobs

SLIDE 5

2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Hybrid Scenario

Capacity for 2,026,000

million people at buildout

2045 projection is 2,007,000

people

Plant City Northeast Master Plan Development of RP‐2 I‐4 Corridor TOD

SLIDE 6

2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Existing Urban Service Area

Additional 553,000 people

by 2045

SLIDE 7

2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Potential Future Expansion Areas

5,400 acres
66,000 more people

RP‐2 I‐4

Plant City

SLIDE 8

2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

2045 Population and Job Growth

Population Growth with USA expansion

1,155,900 136,900 619,100 101,700

200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 1,600,000 1,800,000 2,000,000 Inside USA Outside of USA Future (2045)

86% of population

growth is within the existing USA boundary.

SLIDE 9

2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

2045 Population and Job Growth

Population Growth by Jurisdiction

884,600 347,900 24,800 35,500 460,600 218,800 3,500 37,900

200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 1,600,000

Hillsborough County Tampa Temple Terrace Plant City

Existing Future (2045)

SLIDE 10

2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

2045 Population and Job Growth

Employment Growth by Jurisdiction

402,000 388,000 13,700 27,100 128,900 278,300 900 16,700

100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000

Hillsborough County Tampa Temple Terrace Plant City

Future (2045)

SLIDE 11

2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Sub Areas

SLIDE 12

2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Sub Areas: Population

Existing Population Future (2045) Population

SLIDE 13

2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

2045 Population and Job Growth

Subarea Population Growth

20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 200,000 Existing Future (2045)

SLIDE 14

2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Sub Areas: Employment

Existing Employment Future (2045) Employment

SLIDE 15

2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

2045 Population and Job Growth

Subarea Employment Growth

20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 200,000 Existing Future (2045)

SLIDE 16

2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Sub Areas: Jobs per Person

Existing Jobs per Person Future (2045) Jobs per Person

SLIDE 17

2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

2045 Population and Job Growth

Hybrid Scenario

Trend TOD

Belt & Boulevard