Hybrid Scenario Planning Commission January 14, 2019 Shawn - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Hybrid Scenario Planning Commission January 14, 2019 Shawn College, AICP Belt & Trend TOD Boulevard Hybrid Scenario 2045 Population and Job Growth 2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Hybrid Scenario • Builds on TOD Scenario • Includes elements of Trend and Belt & Boulevard Scenarios • Eliminates rail along Linebaugh Avenue and South Tampa 2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Hybrid Scenario • Builds on TOD Scenario • Includes elements of Trend Express lanes and Belt & Boulevard Scenarios Express bus • Eliminates rail along Light rail Linebaugh Avenue and South Intercity rail Tampa Ferry 2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Market analysis: Lower employment control total 2,200,000 2,007,100 2,000,000 1,919,900 1,824,900 1,800,000 • • 0.64 population ratio 0.64 population ratio 1,722,900 • • 454,000 more jobs 454,000 more jobs 1,600,000 1,602,900 1,466,900 1,400,000 1,293,200 1,284,500 1,228,700 1,200,000 1,235,300 1,167,900 1,190,300 1,102,700 1,139,600 1,025,900 1,083,700 1,000,000 1,015,400 • • 938,800 0.61 ratio 0.61 ratio 935,900 • • 830,900 830,900 404,400 more jobs 404,400 more jobs 800,000 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 Population Employment (previous) Employment (recommended) 2045 Population and Job Growth 2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Plant City Northeast Master Plan TOD I‐4 Corridor Hybrid Scenario • Capacity for 2,026,000 million people at buildout • 2045 projection is 2,007,000 people Development of RP‐2 2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Existing Urban Service Area • Additional 553,000 people by 2045 2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Plant City I‐4 Potential Future Expansion Areas • 5,400 acres • 66,000 more people RP‐2 2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Population Growth with USA expansion 2,000,000 1,800,000 1,600,000 619,100 1,400,000 86 % of population 1,200,000 growth is within the 1,000,000 existing USA 800,000 boundary. 600,000 1,155,900 400,000 200,000 101,700 136,900 0 Inside USA Outside of USA Future (2045) 2045 Population and Job Growth 2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Population Growth by Jurisdiction 1,600,000 1,400,000 1,200,000 460,600 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 218,800 884,600 400,000 200,000 347,900 37,900 3,500 35,500 24,800 0 Hillsborough County Tampa Temple Terrace Plant City Existing Future (2045) 2045 Population and Job Growth 2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Employment Growth by Jurisdiction 700,000 600,000 278,300 500,000 128,900 400,000 300,000 402,000 200,000 388,000 100,000 16,700 900 27,100 13,700 0 Hillsborough County Tampa Temple Terrace Plant City Future (2045) 2045 Population and Job Growth 2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Sub Areas 2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Sub Areas: Population Existing Population 2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Future (2045) Population Planning

Subarea Population Growth 200,000 180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 Existing Future (2045) 2045 Population and Job Growth 2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Sub Areas: Employment Existing Employment 2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Future (2045) Employment Planning

Subarea Employment Growth 200,000 180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 Existing Future (2045) 2045 Population and Job Growth 2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning

Sub Areas: Jobs per Person Existing Jobs per Person 2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Future (2045) Jobs per Person Planning

Hybrid Scenario Planning Commission January 14, 2019 Shawn College, AICP Belt & Trend TOD Boulevard Hybrid Scenario 2045 Population and Job Growth 2045 Growth: Forecasts & Scenario Planning