Regional Planning Update Dece cember mber 5, 2019 1 Central - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Dece cember mber 5, 2019

Regional Planning Update

• 4.2 million people
• 2.3 million jobs
• 4 counties
• 82 cities and towns
• Urban and rural
• 6400 square miles
• 1000 square miles urbanized

Central Puget Sound Region

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Puget Sound Regional Council

What we do

• Planning: growth, economy,

transportation

• Federal transportation funds

($240 million/year)

• Regional data and forecasts
• Forum for regional issues

Our members

• Cities, Counties, Ports, Transit
• State Agencies and Tribal Governments

Executive Bruce Dammeier Pierce County - President Councilmember Claudia Balducci King County - Vice President

Today’s Meeting

Growth Trends

59,200 62,300 49,300 50,100 74,200

2014 to 2015 2015 to 2016 2016 to 2017 2017 to 2018 2018 to 2019

Source: ESD, WA Employment Estimates (seasonally adjusted) July 2019

• 74k wage & salary jobs

were added to the region last year (3.5% increa ease se)

• Over 464k

464k jobs have been added to the region since 2010

Highest annual total in 5 years

RegionalJobGrowthSurge

59,200 62,300 49,300 50,100 74,200 30,100 33,800 31,000 28,900 10,300

2014 to 2015 2015 to 2016 2016 to 2017 2017 to 2018 2018 to 2019

Source: ESD, WA Employment Estimates (seasonally adjusted) – July 2019

• Regional employment

increase accounted for

• ver 88%

88% of the statewide total increase last year

• Regional employment

accounts for 69% of the statewide total from 2014- 2019

WA Job Growth Outside Region Slows

47,900 25,500 63,600 16,100 38,300 63,300 86,300 81,800 67,900 68,700

00-01 02-03 04-05 06-07 08-09 10-11 12-13 14-15 16-17 18-19

• Regional population of

4.20 million in 2019

• 68,700 added to region in

2018-19 (1.7% increa ease se)

• Almost 368k new people

have been added to the region in the past 5 years (9.4% increa ease se)

Population Growth Remains Strong

Annual Population Change in the Central Puget Sound

Source: OFM, April 1, 2019 Population of Cities, Towns and Counties

21,800 22,100 25,100 25,800 22,900 23,400 23,500 21,500 20,900 27,400 14,100 16,900 43,800 14,900 2,800 2,700 1,900 15,000 31,200 39,900 62,700 59,300 46,500 47,800

00-01 02-03 04-05 06-07 08-09 10-11 12-13 14-15 16-17 18-19

Natural Change Net Migration

• Natural changes in population

account for 21k – 24k new residents per year

• Migration continues to
• utpace natural population

changes

• Since 2010, 60%

60% of the region’s population growth has been from migration

Annual Population Change by Component

Migration Still Driving Population Growth

Source: OFM, Components of April 1 Population Change

• The region's housing stock

has expanded by nearly 150,0 ,000 0 units since 2012

• Housing production has

averaged 21,30 300 units per year since 2012

2018: Highest Level of Housing Production in 20 years

Recent Growth in Housing Production

Source: OFM, April 1, 2019 Population of Cities, Towns and Counties & April 1, 2019 Postcensal Estimates of Housing

22,700 25,100 18,200 9,900 23,400 24,800 27,500 47,900 25,500 63,600 16,100 38,300 63,300 86,300 81,800 67,900 68,700

00-01 02-03 04-05 06-07 08-09 10-11 12-13 14-15 16-17 18-19

Housing Production and Population Growth

Source: OFM, April 1, 2019 Population of Cities, Towns and Counties & April 1, 2019 Postcensal Estimates of Housing

21,300 units (X) 2.5 People/Household Enough housing for 53,250 people

• Production last year

could house 68,750 50 people

Availability of Affordable Housing Limited

Source: Dupre + Scott

2017 2016 2015 2014

+ 30%

SR 167 I-405 I-90 SR 520 I-5

+ 15% + 4%

Vehicle hours of delay by freeway corridor.

Source: Freeway Count Detectors, TRAC Flow, – Washington State Department of Transportation

Traveltimesincreasing

Delay increased 95% between 2010-2015

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Source: National Transit Database Monthly Adjusted Release, December 2018

Transit use increasing

Annual Transit Boardings per Capita

San Francisco Los Angeles central Puget Sound Chicago Boston Washington DC Philadelphia Portland Salt Lake City Minneapolis Denver

0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0 0M 2M 4M 6M 8M 10M 12M 14M

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• In 2018, 6th highest transit boardings

per capita in nation

• All cities above region have legacy

heavy rail systems

Today’s Meeting

Planning Framework

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2050 population forecast

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In smaller households In 2050 there will be 2.36 people per household on average, down from 2.50 today.

Who will be living here?

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More diverse Between 2000 and 2016, 81% of the region’s population growth was people of color. Older 18% of the region’s population will be over the age of 65 by 2050, up from 14% today. In 2050, the region’s residents will be:

• A strong

rong economy

• my and a

health althy y enviro ironment nment

• Pr

Prese serve e waters, ters, farms ms, , recreation eation and resource

• urce

land nds

• Urban

an Growth wth Area a and d centers ters strategy rategy

• Local

al action

• ns

s to achiev ieve e region

• nal

al VISION ION

VISION 2040

Integrated plan for sustainable development

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VISION 2050 Work Program

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Increase housing choices and affordability Provide oppor

• rtu

tunit itie ies for all Sustain a strong econ

• nomy
• my

Significantly reduce greenhouse gas emiss ssions ions Keep the region mov

• ving

Restore the health of Puget et Sound Protect a network of open n spac ace Growth in cente ters and near tr tran ansit Act colla llabor borat ative ively ly and support loca cal effor forts ts

• Regional strategy for allocating growth
• Groups cities and unincorporated areas by

regional geographies

• Goals:

– Focus new growth within the urban area – Variety of communities, densities, and sizes – Better balance of jobs and housing across the region – Within the urban area, focus growth in cities and centers – Leverage new and existing infrastructure, including transit

Regional Growth Strategy

• Most growth in Metropolitan, Core, and

High Capacity Transit Communities

• 65%

5% of region’s population growth and 75% 5% of employment growth in regional growth centers and near high-capacity transit

• Lower growth allocations in urban

unincorporated and rural compared with long-term trends

• Better jobs-housing balance by shifting

employment allocation from King County

Regional Growth Strategy

Implementation

• Data, tools, and planning

guidance

• Policy and plan review
• Regional transportation

planning and funding

• Regional economic

development planning

• Other regional actions

Today’s Meeting

Relationship to High Capacity Transit

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• Strategy for mobility and choice
• Meets all state and federal requirements
• $197 Billion
• Integrated Regional Transit Network
• Get ahead on key issues: environment,

innovation & technology, finance, performance measurement

Regional Transportation Plan

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Regionalpolicy: implementation

MPP-RC RC-6

Give regional funding – both for transportation infrastructure and economic development – to support designated regional growth centers and manufacturing/industrial centers, consistent with the regional vision. Regional funds are prioritized to regional centers.

draft VISION 2050, p. 19 (2019)

The region’s transportation investments (in red) are focused within the urban growth areas (light green) where most of the region’s growth is happening, along with most of the region’s traffic.

Regional Centers

29 Regional Growth Centers

• 2.6% of urban growth area (26 mi²)
• 5% of population (260,000)
• 30% of jobs (500,000)

10 Manufacturing Industrial Centers

• 4% of region’s land area (41 mi²)
• 0.3% of population (11,000)
• 9.5% of jobs (160,000)

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• $60 billion+ high capacity transit
• Centers and station areas

Aggressive transit program

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29 Regional Growth Centers Commuter Rail: 2 lines/14 stations Ferry: 8 routes Light Rail: 1 16 miles/80+ stations Bus Rapid Transit: 42 lines

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29 Regional Growth Centers Commuter Rail: 2 lines/14 stations Ferry: 9 terminals/10 routes Light Rail: 1 16 miles/80+ stations Bus Rapid Transit: 42 lines

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29 Regional Growth Centers Commuter Rail: 2 lines/14 stations Ferry: 9 terminals/10 routes Light Rail: 1 16 miles/80+ stations Bus Rapid Transit: 42 lines

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29 Regional Growth Centers Commuter Rail: 2 lines/14 stations Ferry: 9 terminals/10 routes Light Rail: 1 16 miles/80+ stations Bus Rapid Transit: 42 routes/~685 stops

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Communities Connected by High Capacity Transit

• 42 Cities & Towns
• 13 Urban Uninc.

Communities

• In 2050, 33% of

region’s residents & 57% employment within ½ mile of HCT

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VISION 2050

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Transit Focused Growth:

• 65% population growth
• 75% employment growth

Today’s Meeting

Upcoming Work

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Upcoming PSRC Work

36 Passenger Only Ferry Study Winter 2021 Regional Aviation Baseline Study Fall 2020 2022 RTP Update 2020 Project Selection

Takeaways

Historic levels of regional growth and change Public supportive – yet growing concerns Regional & local plans in place and being implemented Real issues: housing, mobility, equity, environment Updating plans: adjust and refine policies & strategies

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Thank you.

Ben n Bakkent enta Direct ector

• r of Regional
• nal Planning

ning bbak akkenta@psr enta@psrc. c.or

• rg

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