Collaborative Creation Technology Foresight An Approach to Free and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Collaborative Creation Technology Foresight An Approach to Free and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Apr 15, 2023 278 likes •1.21k views

Participatory Free and Open Source GIS in the Web 2.0 Exploring trends in GIS in times of Collaborative Creation Technology Foresight An Approach to Free and Open Source Geospatial Software Web and beyond 2.0 IMG SRC:GNOME

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SLIDE 1

Participatory Free and Open

Source GIS in the Web 2.0

Exploring trends in GIS in times of

Collaborative Creation

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SLIDE 2

Technology Foresight

An Approach to Free and Open Source Geospatial Software 2.0 Web and beyond

大阪市立大学

IMG SRC:GNOME LOOK
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SLIDE 3

Look into the longer-term future

  • f science,

technology, the economy and society

Foresight

Studies
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SLIDE 4 Outline
  • Introduction
  • Web 2.0
  • Maps and Web 2.0
  • Trends in FOSS4G and Web 2.0
  • Methodology
  • Conclusions
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SLIDE 5

Predictions

Individual Experts

はじめに

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"I think there is a world market for maybe five computers." Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943

はじめに

IMG SRC:GNOME LOOK
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"Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons." Popular Mechanics, forecasting

the relentless march of science, 1949

はじめに

IMG SRC:GNOME LOOK
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SLIDE 8

"640K ought to be enough for

anybody." Bill Gates, 1981 apocryphal はじめに

IMG SRC:Jupiter Images
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SLIDE 9 Are they Systematic predictions? Do Experts foresee the future correctly? IMG SRC:Slide Share

?

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Galton's Surprise

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Galton's Surprise

Collective Guess: 1197 lbs (544.09Kg) Actual Weight: 1198 lbs (544.55Kg)

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IEM (Iowa Electronic Markets)

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The IEM is an on-line futures market where contract payoffs are based on real-world events such as political outcomes, companies' earnings per share (EPS), and stock price returns.

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SLIDE 14 The market is operated by the University of Iowa College of Business faculty as an educational and research project.
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SLIDE 15 IMG SRC:GNOME LOOK IMG SRC:GNOME LOOK IMG SRC:BBC News
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SLIDE 16 IMG SRC:GNOME LOOK

IQ?

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People

desire to connect,

communicate, and

participate

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Tools

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4,000,000 >80,000,000

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1.5 Million

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SLIDE 23 A platform for building applications that harness

collective

intelligence

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SLIDE 24 IMG SRC:GNOME LOOK

IQ!

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SLIDE 25

Enhances

creativity

information sharing

& collaboration

among users

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SLIDE 26 Web 2.0 is a set of social,

economic, and technology trends that collectively form the basis for

the generation of the Internet—a more mature, distinct medium characterized by user participation, openness, and network effects. O’Reilly Media !
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SLIDE 27

WEB 2.0 and

maps

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SLIDE 28 The Web 2.0 helped the creation and publishing
  • f online maps making the
process easier and

more accessible to

average users.

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SLIDE 29 The Web 2.0

Web Mapping is a growing field

that goes beyond collecting and

analyzing GIS data

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SLIDE 30 The Web 2.0

important to combine

free and open

geographic data, GPS,

and data management tools into one resource for mapping information.

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SLIDE 31

Trends

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SLIDE 32

1

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Cloud Computing

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management of

documents and business through online applications
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2

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{Mash-ups and widgets}

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SLIDE 37 small embeddable components that can be integrated into third party sites and deliver content from beyond the realm of the
  • riginal site

*

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SLIDE 38
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2007 was denominated as

“the year of the widget”

by Business Week magazine

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3

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Whatever

Whenever

Wherever

I want!

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{Ubiquitous}

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SLIDE 44 Geospatial information and

GSTs are becoming

accessible in new forms

and through a wide range of

applications & devices

As the technology develops it is important to discuss the potentials, problems and technical issues of emerging ubiquitous GI services.
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SLIDE 45

4

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{Semantics}

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The WEB

understand and satisfy the requests of people and machines to use the web content

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data that can be processed and understood directly or indirectly by machines

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Interoperability

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SLIDE 50 “The future Semantic Geospatial web may be a situation where discovery, query, and consumption
  • f Geospatial content are based on
semantic specifications” (OGC, 2008)
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SLIDE 51

Methodology

科学的方法論

& Tools
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SLIDE 52 Foresight activities in Japan.
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SLIDE 53 Year Foresight Methodologies 1971 Delphi 1977 Delphi 1982 Delphi 1987 Delphi 1992 Delphi 1997 Delphi 2001 Delphi 2005 Multi-Methodology 2006 to 2010 1 st Technology Foresight 2 nd Technology Foresight 3 rd Technology Foresight 4 th Technology Foresight 5 th Technology Foresight 6 th Technology Foresight 7 th Technology Foresight 8 th Technology Foresight 3 rd S&T Basic Plan towards the Innovation 25

Foresight in 日本 *

*Japan’s National Institute of Science and Technology Policy (NISTEP, 2007)

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Foresight in 日本 *

*Japan’s National Institute of Science and Technology Policy (NISTEP, 2007)

NISTEP* assessed the accuracy of the results From the first Delphi survey in 1970.

64% of topics had been fully or

partially realized in the intervening 20 years.
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Methodological Multidisciplinary Future-oriented Participative Evidence-based Coordinated Action-oriented strategical

Foresight

Studies
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Systematic interactive forecasting method

to obtain forecasts from a panel of independent experts

Delphi Method

科学的方法論

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A group, as opposed to

individual, judgment of trends

can improve the validity of forecasts.

科学的方法論

* Δελφο

*

Delphi is a Greek word refering to Oracle Island
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Diverse, Heterogeneous

IMG SRC:GNOME LOOK
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SLIDE 59 Understand the Technology

Create & use the Content Social and Business

科学的方法論

What Experts?

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Objective*

* 問題の背景と研究の目的

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What lies ahead for Geospatial technologies?

IMG SRC:Vlad Studio
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Target: OSGeo*

*

Open Source Geospatial
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Questions

OSGeo Technology trends OSGeo for Content generation and distribution OSGeo Social and Business Model
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SLIDE 64 Conclusions

This research hopes to ...

まとめ

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SLIDE 65

1

Conclusions

Provide Tangible results

future trends of

FOSS GSTs

Technologies

まとめ

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SLIDE 66

2

Conclusions

Provide insights

  • n what can be thought,

re-thought

in current developments

in FOSS GSTs

まとめ

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SLIDE 67

まとめ

Conclusions

3

Spot New Social

and Business models

for FOSS GSTs

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SLIDE 68 What does FOSS4G Mean to this research?? 大阪市立大学
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SLIDE 69 An opportunity to contact the worlds' most

active and passionate professionals in the

Geospatial field

大阪市立大学
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SLIDE 70
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SLIDE 71 Participate

Participate!

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How?

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http://gisws.media.osaka-cu.ac.jp/gistrends

*

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Or...

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Interview

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参照

References
  • .
Harold A The Delphi Method ­ T echniques andApplications Portland State University Murray
  • ,
& , T uroff New Jersey Institute of T echnology University of Southern California 2002 Murray
  • .
T uroff and Harold A Linstone
  • .
, . . , . 2005, : & Erle S Gibson R and Walsh J Mapping Hacks Tips T
  • ols for Electronic
Cartography
  • First Edition O’Reilly Media United States of America
  • .
, . 2006, : & Gibson R and Erle S Google Map Hacks Tips T
  • ols for Geographic Searching
and
  • .
, . Remixing First Edition O’Reilly Media United States of America
  • . &
. ( 13 1958). Helmer O Rescher N
  • ctober
The epistemology of inexact sciences The analysis of
  • (
1967) the Future ­ The Delphi Method Olaf Helmer March ­ The RAND , Corporation Santa
  • ,
Monica California
  • , . 2008.
3 2008, ( 3 ) 2008 Herman I W C Semantic Web Activity W C Semantic Web Activity ­
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SLIDE 78

参照

References
  • ,
(2004). : SUROWIECKi James The Wisdom of Crowds Why the Many Are Smarter Than , , the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shapes Business Economies Societies and , Nations Little Brown
  • #
. ' MITCenter for Collective Intelligence Prof T
  • m Malone s research center
:// . . / http cci mit edu
  • ://
. / DOTMOCRACY http dotmocracy org
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SLIDE 79 Thank you! 大阪市立大学 daniele.ocu@gmail.com
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SLIDE 80

Osaka City University

Graduate school 4 Creative Cities

大阪市立大学

IMG SRC:GNOME LOOK
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SLIDE 81 Appendix
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SLIDE 82

Methodology, the Delphi Method

The carefully selected experts answer questionnaires in two or more rounds. After each round, a facilitator provides an anonymous summary of the experts’ forecasts from the previous round as well as the reasons they provided for their judgments. Thus, participants are encouraged to revise their earlier answers in light of the replies of other members of the group. It is believed that during this process the range of the answers will decrease and the group will converge towards the "correct"
  • answer. Finally, the process is stopped after a pre-defined stop
criterion (e.g. number of rounds, achievement of consensus, stability of results) and the mean or median scores of the final rounds determine the results.
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Select the Experts

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Distribute the Questionare

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Assist the experts

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Obtain Answers

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Organize, Synthesize

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Receive Feedback

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Do it Again

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Analize, Calculate conclusions

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