2 degree Asia: our common future AIM Contribution to Paris Jiang - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2 degree Asia: our common future AIM Contribution to Paris

Jiang Kejun Energy Research Institute

20th AIM International Workshop

• Jan. 23-26, 2015

Tsukuba

排放分担，2030和2010年相比，十个地区 Figure 2. Emission allowances by allocation category for Cat 1, i.e. 425-475 ppmCO2e, in 2030 relative to 2010 emissions (min, 20th percentile, 80th percentile, max). Number of studies in brackets. GHG emissions (all gases and sectors) in GtCO2e in 1990 and 2010 were OECD90 13.4, 14.2, EIT 8.4, 5.6, ASIA 10.7, 19.9, MAF 3.0, 6.2, LAM 3.3, 3.8 .

• 100%
• 80%
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• 20%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Capability (13) Equality (17) Res cap need (4) Equal cumulative per cap (4) Staged (10) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (22) Capability (13) Equality (17) Res cap need (4) Equal cumulative per cap (4) Staged (10) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (22) Capability (13) Equality (17) Res cap need (4) Equal cumulative per cap (3) Staged (10) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (22) Capability (13) Equality (17) Res cap need (4) Equal cumulative per cap (3) Staged (10) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (22) Capability (13) Equality (16) Res cap need (4) Equal cumulative per cap (3) Staged (10) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (22) Capability (12) Equality (15) Res cap need (4) Equal cumulative per cap (2) Staged (10) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (22) Capability (13) Equality (15) Res cap need (4) Equal cumulative per cap (0) Staged (10) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (22) Capability (13) Equality (16) Res cap need (4) Equal cumulative per cap (4) Staged (10) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (22) Capability (13) Equality (16) Res cap need (4) Equal cumulative per cap (4) Staged (10) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (22) Capability (11) Equality (14) Res cap need (4) Equal cumulative per cap (3) Staged (8) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (16) Emission allowances in 2030 (change from 2010)

NAM EIT LAM MNA SSA WEU JPAUNZ SAS EAS PAS

• 100%
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0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Cat 0 (400ppm) (10) Cat 1 (450ppm) (43) Cat 2 (500ppm) (6) Cat 3 (550ppm) (42) Cat 4 (650ppm) (28) Baseline (22) Cat 0 (400ppm) (10) Cat 1 (450ppm) (43) Cat 2 (500ppm) (6) Cat 3 (550ppm) (42) Cat 4 (650ppm) (28) Baseline (22) Cat 0 (400ppm) (10) Cat 1 (450ppm) (42) Cat 2 (500ppm) (6) Cat 3 (550ppm) (42) Cat 4 (650ppm) (28) Baseline (22) Cat 0 (400ppm) (10) Cat 1 (450ppm) (42) Cat 2 (500ppm) (6) Cat 3 (550ppm) (42) Cat 4 (650ppm) (28) Baseline (22) Cat 0 (400ppm) (8) Cat 1 (450ppm) (41) Cat 2 (500ppm) (6) Cat 3 (550ppm) (40) Cat 4 (650ppm) (28) Baseline (22) Cat 0 (400ppm) (7) Cat 1 (450ppm) (38) Cat 2 (500ppm) (6) Cat 3 (550ppm) (39) Cat 4 (650ppm) (27) Baseline (22) Cat 0 (400ppm) (7) Cat 1 (450ppm) (37) Cat 2 (500ppm) (6) Cat 3 (550ppm) (40) Cat 4 (650ppm) (28) Baseline (22) Cat 0 (400ppm) (10) Cat 1 (450ppm) (42) Cat 2 (500ppm) (6) Cat 3 (550ppm) (42) Cat 4 (650ppm) (28) Baseline (22) Cat 0 (400ppm) (10) Cat 1 (450ppm) (42) Cat 2 (500ppm) (6) Cat 3 (550ppm) (42) Cat 4 (650ppm) (28) Baseline (22) Cat 0 (400ppm) (6) Cat 1 (450ppm) (37) Cat 2 (500ppm) (4) Cat 3 (550ppm) (17) Cat 4 (650ppm) (13) Baseline (17) Emission allowances in 2050 (change from 2010)

NAM EIT LAM MNA SSA WEU JPAUNZ SAS EAS PAS

排放分担，2050和2010年相比，十个地区 Figure 3. Emission allowances for various concentration levels in 2050 relative to 2010 emissions (min, 20th percentile, 80th percentile, max). Number of studies in brackets. GHG emissions (all gases and sectors) in GtCO2e in 1990 and 2010 were OECD90 13.4, 14.2, EIT 8.4, 5.6, ASIA 10.7, 19.9, MAF 3.0, 6.2, LAM 3.3, 3.8

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LIMIT Project finding

2 Degree Asia

 Emission pathway consistent with global 2 degree target scenarios

by countries

 Country specified roadmap for commitment  Financial needs

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 2000 2005 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Billion tCO2

CO2 Emission

BAU LC ELC 2度1 2度2