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US I nvestor Presentation
March 2 0 1 0
US I nvestor Presentation March 2 0 1 0 1 DI SCLAI MER W hile - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
O I L S E A R C H L I M I T E D US I nvestor Presentation March 2 0 1 0 1 DI SCLAI MER W hile every effort is m ade to provide accurate and com plete inform ation, Oil Search Lim ited does not w arrant that the inform ation in this
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March 2 0 1 0
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DI SCLAI MER
W hile every effort is m ade to provide accurate and com plete inform ation, Oil Search Lim ited does not w arrant that the inform ation in this presentation is free from errors or om issions or is suitable for its intended use. Subject to any term s im plied by law w hich cannot be excluded, Oil Search Lim ited accepts no responsibility for any loss, dam age, cost or expense ( w hether direct or indirect) incurred by you as a result of any error, om ission or m isrepresentation in inform ation in this
notice. This presentation also contains forw ard-looking statem ents w hich are subject to particular risks associated w ith the oil and gas industry. Oil Search Lim ited believes there are reasonable grounds for the expectations on w hich the statem ents are
including oil and gas prices, dem and for oil, currency fluctuations, drilling results, field perform ance, the tim ing of w ell w ork-overs and field developm ent, reserves depletion, progress on gas com m ercialisation and fiscal and other governm ent issues and approvals.
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Established in Papua New Guinea ( PNG) in 1 9 2 9 Operates all of PNG’s producing oil and gas fields.
Current gross production ~ 4 0 ,0 0 0 boepd, net share ~ 2 1 ,0 0 0 boepd
PNG Governm ent is largest shareholder w ith 1 5 % . I n
early 2 0 0 9 , Govt issued exchangeable bond over shares to I PI C of Abu Dhabi
2 9 % interest in PNG LNG Project, w orld scale LNG
project operated by ExxonMobil. Project in construction, first LNG sales expected 2 0 1 4
Significant further gas resources still to be
com m ercialised plus exploration interests in PNG and Middle East/ North Africa
Market capitalisation ~ US$ 7 billion. Listed on ASX
( Share Code OSH) and POMSOX, plus ADR program m e ( Share Code OI SHY)
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Tunisia I raq Yem en Papua New Guinea Australia
Brisbane Sydney Port Moresby
( Head Office)
Kutubu Ridge Cam p Dubai Sana’a Tunis
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Highlight of 2 0 0 9 w as PNG LNG Project developm ent decision:
Less than tw o years from FEED to Sanction Transform ational im pact on Oil Search and PNG ExxonMobil quality operator Foundation for m ajor LNG industry in PNG
Seven fold increase in proven and probable reserves, increasing
from 6 7 m m boe to 5 6 7 m m boe, w ith significant further potential upside
NPAT of US$ 1 3 3 .7 m illion, US$ 9 9 .6 m excluding PNG
Governm ent back-in and tax adjustm ents. Satisfactory result given com m odity environm ent, w ith average oil price dow n 3 5 %
Strong balance sheet w ith US$ 1 .3 billion cash at year end, total
liquidity of US$ 1 .6 billion ( including line of credit) . Sufficient for both PNG LNG equity contribution plus funding of T3 / T4 gas exploration/ appraisal program m e
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Total Recordable I ncidents ( TRI s) of 1 .1 6 in 2 0 0 9
TRI / 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 Hours 2 4 6 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 9 9 8 1 9 9 9 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 7 Oil Search 2 0 0 6 Australian Com panies ( APPEA) 2 0 0 8 I nternational Com panies ( OGP)
12.7 9 .1 9.3 7.8 7.0 7.3 5.2 9.4 8.2 6.3 6.8 3.9 3.1 2.9 2.7 2.1 4.0 3.6 4.9 5.7 6.0
2 0 0 9
8.5 10.6 9.8 10.7 5.8 1.7 4.7 2 .4 2 .3 1 2.05 1.16 2.04
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Source: I RESS
Relative TSR perform ance for period ending 3 1 Decem ber, 2 0 0 9
ASX 1 0 0 I ndex Median Com pany OSH perform ance
# Ranking based on ASX 100 composition at the beginning of the reference period.
1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
% TSR per annum
1 st 3 rd
OSH Ranking # 4 2 nd
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Driven by :-
PNG LNG delivery Project optim isation Further LNG train developm ent Reserve grow th and exploration success
Com prehensive program m es to deliver
value through to PNG LNG first gas
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1 0
W orld class LNG project
under construction
Aligned joint venture ExxonMobil Operator –
excellent track record
Supportive Governm ent
and com m unities
Provides infrastructure
for future grow th
Transform ational for Oil
Search and PNG
1 1
2 0 0 8
Signed JOA, aligning JV partners in March Signed Gas Agreem ent w ith Govt in May Com m enced FEED in May Com m enced m arketing discussions late 2 0 0 8 Developed financing plan
2 0 0 9
Subm itted EI S in January Signed UBSA in May Signed HOAs Com m enced early w orks EI S approved in October Com pleted FEED, LNG plant capacity
increased to 6 .6 MTPA
1 2
Decem ber 2 0 0 9
Com pleted LBSAs Signed 3 SPAs w ith TEPCO, Osaka Gas and Sinopec Developm ent approval 8 Decem ber 2 0 0 9 EPC contracts aw arded 9 Decem ber 2 0 0 9 Financing docum ents signed 1 5 Decem ber 2 0 0 9 w ith
ECAs, Com m ercial Banks and ExxonMobil for $ 1 4 billion – w orld’s largest project financing
Governm ent offered and Project accepted all developm ent
licences
Governm ent paid past costs for equity back-in to new
developm ent licences
March 2 0 1 0
Signed final SPA w ith CPC – now fully contracted LNG vessel charter contracts signed w ith
Mitsui OSK Lines
Minor legislation am endm ents 1 2 March – Financial Close
1 3
Construction has com m enced ( roads, bridges, cam ps, site
preparation and training facilities) . First LNG sales expected 2 0 1 4
First phase CAPEX, including FEED and early w orks estim ated at
US$ 1 5 billion
Contracts:
LNG Plant:
Chiyoda/ JGC
Offshore Pipeline
Saipem
Hides Gas Plant
CBI / Clough JV
Onshore Pipeline
Spiecapag
I nfrastructure
McConnell Dow ell/ CCC JV
Early W orks
Clough/ Curtain JV
Associated Gas ( OSH only)
Aker Solutions
Mix of fixed price/ variable price contracts Resourcing by contractors underw ay now Operator ExxonMobil has excellent record of
delivering projects on tim e, on budget
1 4
2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3 2 0 1 4
Financial Close
Continued early w orks. Detailed design. Order long leads and place purchase orders. Opening supply routes. Contractor m obilisation. Com m ence Associated Gas ( AG) construction. Pipe laying Kutubu to Hides. Ongoing drilling. Com plete Hides plant. Com m ission LNG plant w ith Kutubu gas. Ongoing procurem ent and m obilisation. Airfield construction. Drilling m obilisation. Offshore pipeline construction start. Onshore line clearing. Start LNG equipm ent installation. First Gas from Train 1 , then Train 2 AG com plete. Pipe laying ( Kutubu to Om ati) . Offshore pipe lay com plete. Start Hides plant installation.
1 5
( Macquarie Equities)
I ndustry observers rank PNG LNG highly on returns
Source: Australian Energy Sector , Macquarie Equities Research, 1 2 January 2 0 1 0
QatarGas3 PNG LNG T3 Pluto T3 PNG LNG T1 / T2 Poseidon GLNG T2 I chthys APLNG T1 / T2 W heatstone Sunrise Gorgon GLNG T1 Brow se Pluto T1
5 1 0 1 5 2 0 2 5 3 0 3 5
%
1 6
1 7
Key strategic priority for Oil Search is to grow gas
business in PNG
LNG rem ains optim um com m ercialisation route for
additional gas
PNG LNG w ill provide infrastructure and capacity to
facilitate expansion and provide excellent cost structure:
Use of capacity in pipeline, jetty, tanks and services Trained local w ork force
Governm ent is supportive of future gas grow th Pace of gas grow th w ill be determ ined by:
Resource aggregation/ exploration Joint Venture alignm ent Market access
1 8
9 °S 6 °S 1 4 5 °E
5 0 km
Kum ul Term inal
PDL6 PDL5 APRL14 PPL2 60 APPL24 9 APPL25 0 PPL 2 33 PDL9 PDL81 4 2 °E
Hides/ Juha/ Angore Kutubu/ Agogo/ SEM
P’nyang Pandora A Uram u Barikew a Gobe/ SEG Elk/ Antelope
Distribution of discovered 2 P reserve/ resource
Significant discovered oil & gas reserves/ resources in Papuan Basin ( predom inantly in Fold Belt)
Basin is predom inantly gas prone
8 5 % of basin’s resources by boe are gas
1 9
Tw o largely independent core gas developm ent
stream s: PNG LNG dedicated fields
Material core reserves
Proven 3 0 0 m m boe ( OSH share) sold Proven & probable 5 0 0 m m boe ( OSH share) –
significant upside
Field developm ent optim isation Future appraisal Strong partner alignm ent
Other fields and exploration
Material resources still to be com m ercialised Proven & probable 2 8 1 m m boe ( OSH share) Future appraisal and exploration underw ay Developing m aterial portfolio ex PNG LNG
Objective is to prove up sufficient proven
contractible reserves to underw rite Trains 3 and 4
2 0
Foldbelt/ Highlands:
Adjacent to PNG LNG upstream infrastructure Large structures, m oderate risk, high OSH equity 2 0 1 0 and 2 0 1 1 activity:
− Drilling Korka − Barikew a seism ic ( com pleted) follow ed by appraisal drilling − Huria seism ic − Mananda drilling
Gulf of Papua:
Large under-explored areas w ith diverse licence holdings Planned 3 D seism ic w ill im age subsurface, help high-grade
portfolio
Opportunity to extend 3 D survey into nearby licence 2 0 1 0 / 2 0 1 1 activity:
− 3 D seism ic survey − Drill Flinders − Appraise Pandora
Foreland and Strickland:
Maintain w atching position CBM test in 2 0 1 0
2 1
Circle areas proportional to reserves potential Outer circle unrisked potential, inner circle risked potential Red = Gas Orange= Condensate Green = Oil
9 °S 6 °S 1 4 5 °E
5 0 km
Kum ul Term inal
PDL6 PDL5 APRL14 PPL2 60 APPL24 9 APPL25 0 PPL 2 33 PDL9 PDL8Flinders Barikew a Deep W asum a ( PPL 2 1 9 & 1 9 0 ) Cecilia W est Korka Huria ( PDL 8 ) Mananda FW Mananda Attic
1 4 2 °E
2 2
4 ,7 0 0 km 2 3 D
4 ,7 0 0 km 2 of 3 D seism ic to be acquired in 2 0 1 0 – largest
in PNG history
Gulf of Papua
2 3
2 4
2 4 6 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9
Net Production ( m m boe)
1 1 .0 5 1 2 .1 7 1 0 .2 1 9 .7 6 8 .6 0 8 .1 2 7 .2 -7 .4
2 0 1 0
Kutubu Moran Gobe Main SE Gobe SEM Hides GTE MENA
( Forecast)
2 5 2 5
Excellent safety
perform ance
2 0 0 9 production of 8 .1 2
m m boe
Strong underlying perform ance
in all fields
Tw o new rigs ( 1 0 3 and 1 0 4 )
w ith significant perform ance im provem ents
Total cash costs ( inc
corporate costs, FX) of US$ 1 2 .9 9 / boe, dow n 7 % from 2 0 0 8
Achieved despite 4 %
reduction in saleable oil volum es and inflationary environm ent in PNG
Production im pact of recent drilling at Usano
2 ,0 0 0 4 ,0 0 0 6 ,0 0 0 8 ,0 0 0 1 0 ,0 0 0 1 2 ,0 0 0
1 9 9 2 1 9 9 4 1 9 9 6 1 9 9 8 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 9
Oil Rate ( bopd)
Usano Main Block Usano East Block UDT 7 UDT 1 1 UDT 8 ,9 UDT 1 0 ,1 2
2 6
Since 2 0 0 3 , gross PNG proven ( 1 P) oil reserves have increased by
5 1 m m bbl and proven and probable ( 2 P) reserves by 3 7 m m bbl
Developm ent drilling has added 2 P reserves at average cost of
US$ 1 1 .7 2 / bbl
Many further opportunities exist, including appraisal of Agogo deep
( ADT 2 ) , drilled in late 2 0 0 9 / 1 0 , recently tested at 2 ,0 0 0 bopd. Testing of discovery is ongoing PNG Oil Fields – Gross Ultim ate Recoverable Reserves ( pre-LNG)
1 P 2 P 4 4 0 4 6 0 4 8 0 5 0 0 5 2 0 5 4 0 5 6 0 Millions of Barrels 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9
2 7 2 7
Six-fold increase in proven ( 1 P) reserves, from 5 0 m m boe at end 2 0 0 8
to 3 4 4 m m boe:
PNG LNG Project reserve booking of 3 0 1 m m boe 2 0 0 9 production of 8 .1 m m boe Oil reserve additions at Kutubu, Gobe and SE Gobe of 2 .4 m m boe Seven-fold increase in proven & probable ( 2 P) reserves, from 6 7
m m boe to 5 6 7 m m boe:
PNG LNG Project reserve booking of 5 0 5 m m boe 2 0 0 9 production of 8 .1 m m boe Oil reserve additions at Kutubu, Gobe and SE Gobe of 2 .8 m m boe 2 C resources, com prising gas and associated liquids, of 2 8 1 m m boe at
end 2 0 0 9 , com pared to 8 8 6 m m boe at end 2 0 0 8 :
Adjustm ent of 7 9 m m boe, due to Governm ent back-in, to PNG LNG,
initial equity determ ination and field reserve changes
PNG LNG Project reserves booking of 5 0 5 m m boe Decrease of 2 1 m m boe for revisions to certain fields’ 2 C estim ates
and Governm ent back-in
Total 2 P and 2 C reserves and resources of 8 4 8 m m boe
2 8 2 8
Gas value driving revised Operating Fram ew ork: Field reliability m anagem ent Gas conservation w ith m inor oil production im pact Value-adding PNG production activities w ill continue in
2 0 1 0 , including 1 – 2 w ells at Moran, appraisal of Agogo ADT 2 deep play and w orkover cam paign in Kutubu, Moran, SE Gobe
Ongoing focus on costs and capital efficiency follow ing
2 0 0 9 Operations Review
Aligning and m axim ising use of infrastructure to support
LNG project
Production outlook for 2 0 1 0 of 7 .2 – 7 .4 m m boe, w ith
increm ental activity expected to flatten decline curve in 2 0 1 1 - 2 0 1 3
2 9 2 9
PNG:
Exploration for gas – key to driving LNG expansion Additional oil focused exploration in 2 0 1 0 :
−W asum a ( 2 5 m m bbl m ean, currently drilling in PPL 2 1 9 ) −Mananda Attic ( 3 0 m m bbl m ean in PPL 2 1 9 , plus gas
play)
MENA:
Focus on finding m aterial oil and m axim ising asset
value:
− Evaluate com m erciality of Shakal ( Kurdistan Region, I raq) and
Tubb’a ( Yem en) discoveries
− Oil– focused drilling ongoing w ithin Blocks 3 and 7 in Yem en,
targeting 3 D-defined structures – encouraging signs in Al Meashar– 1 , Block 7
− Seism ic in Kurdistan ( Block K4 2 in w orld class exploration
province) and Tunisia planned to define drillable large structures
3 0
1 4 2 °E 9 °S 6 °S 1 4 5 °E
5 0 km
Kum ul Term inal
PDL6 PDL5 APRL14 PPL2 60 APPL24 9 APPL25 0 PPL 2 33 PDL9 PDL8Com m itm ent Discretionary Future Com m itm ent W ell Types
Prospect/ Lead ( POS% )
Mean Oil Gross ( m m stb) Mean Gas Gross ( bscf)
Seism ic Com m itm ent Discretionary
Perm it 2D( distance) / 3D( area)
Flinders ( 1 2 .5 % ) 1 .0 tcf+ Korka ( 1 5 % ) 1 .3 tcf + Mananda Attic ( 4 5 % ) 3 0 m m stb Mananda FW ( 1 0 % ) 1 .2 tcf + PPL 2 3 4 3 0 0 0 + km 2 PRL1 1 8 0 km PPL2 3 3 5 5 km PDL2 1 0 0 km W asum a HW ( 3 0 % ) 2 5 m m stb W asum a Deep ( 2 0 % ) 2 5 m m stb
3 1
Sana’a Office Dubai Office Com m itm ent Discretionary Future Com m itm ent W ell Types
Prospect/ Lead ( POS% )
Mean Oil Gross ( m m stb) Mean Gas Gross ( bscf)
Seism ic Com m itm ent Discretionary
Perm it 2D( distance) / 3D( area)
Tajerouine Le Kef K4 2 Shakal Block 7 Block 3
K4 2 2 0 0 km Shakal 5 0 km Jebel Milh ( 1 7 % ) 2 8 m m stb Block 3 & 7 4 0 0 km Al Measher ( 2 0 % ) 2 0 m m stb Block 3 / 7 w ell, late 2 0 1 0
3 2
3 3
Oil Search’s core business in excellent shape to
drive further value grow th over next 3 years
PNG LNG Project construction underw ay
ExxonMobil quality operator for delivery Contractors m obilising Buyers secured, w ith pricing locked in Finance secured, excellent package Significant im pact on PNG already being felt
PNG LNG is country and Com pany
transform ational
3 4
OSH good value on 1 P reserves relative to Global Energy Sector
5 1 0 1 5 2 0 2 5 3 0 3 5 4 0
Arrow Husky Murphy BG Marathon Repsol W oodside ENI Chevron Anadarko Shell Hess Talism an Apache Devon Santos Oil Search ExxonMobi Total BP Phillips
Note: Enterprise Values as at 31 January, 2010. 1P reserves based on latest publicly available reserves figures Source: Public information
Enterprise value ( US$ m ) / 1 P reserves ( m m boe)
3 5
Sanction of PNG LNG has delivered increm ental reserves of
3 0 1 m m boe and 5 0 5 m m boe on 1 P and 2 P basis respectively
Additional net 2 C resources of 2 8 1 m m boe in other OSH
fields
Total resources in OSH and other PNG fields ( ex PNG LNG)
estim ated at 1 ,6 8 6 m m boe ( 9 tcf)
PNG 2 0 0 9 Reserves & Resources ( 1 00 % Licence Estim ates)
1 ,0 0 0 1 ,5 0 0 2 ,0 0 0 2 ,5 0 0 3 ,0 0 0 3 ,5 0 0 4 ,0 0 0 Millions of Barrels Oil Equiv. Oil Only Oil + PNG LNGOSH Fields' Reserves & Resources All Other Resources
2 P/ 2 C
Oil Search 2 0 0 9 PNG Fields Net Reserves & Resources
1 0 0 2 0 0 3 0 0 4 0 0 5 0 0 6 0 0 7 0 0 8 0 0 9 0 0 Millions of Barrels Oil Equiv. ( NET) Oil Fields Oil + PNG LNG Oil + PNG LNG + Resources
1 P/ 1 C 2 P/ 2 C
3 6
Field and developm ent optim isation
( Central Foldbelt) Seism ic acquisition and drilling
Accelerated exploration ( NW Foldbelt and Gulf)
Seism ic and drilling, CSM
Selected acquisitions
( PRL 1 , PPL 2 4 4 and others)
Partner alignm ent
( PNG LNG and others)
3 7
OSH has financial capacity:
US$ 1 .2 9 billion in cash at end Decem ber US$ 3 6 2 .5 m illion available from term revolving
facility, nil draw n dow n
Group liquidity ~ US$ 1 .6 5 billion
Sanction of PNG LNG Project in Decem ber
delivered US$ 8 8 m illion net to OSH from PNG Governm ent back-in to Project gas licences
Claw -back from lenders of 7 0 % of Project costs
spent prior to Financial Close w ill deliver ~ US$ 3 0 0 m illion inflow in late March
3 8
Production:
7 .2 – 7 .4 m m boe. I ncrem ental activity in 2 0 1 1 – 2 0 1 3
expected to flatten decline curve
Opex:
US$ 1 6 -1 8 / boe I ncrease due to FX, PNG inflation, increased spend to
im prove reliability & extend life and relatively fixed cost base on low er production. I n addition, accelerated focus on w orkovers to m axim ise oil recovery prior to gas blow dow n
Likely to stabilise/ decline in 2 0 1 1
D,D & A:
US$ 6 -8 / boe Decrease due to recognition of LNG reserves
Capex:
Exploration – US$ 2 1 0 m ( 8 0 % in PNG, 2 0 % in MENA) Production/ Other – US$ 8 5 m ( inc corporate & other gas) PNG LNG – US$ 1 ,0 0 0 - 1 ,3 5 0 m ( inc capitalised interest &
upfront fees)
3 9
PNG LNG adds ~ 1 8 m m boe pa to OSH at plateau in 2 0 1 5 onw ards. 3 0
year Project life
T3 could add an additional ~ 9 m m boe pa, w ith T4 of sim ilar m agnitude
Net Production ( boepd)
1 0 ,0 0 0 2 0 ,0 0 0 3 0 ,0 0 0 4 0 ,0 0 0 5 0 ,0 0 0 6 0 ,0 0 0
2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3 2 0 1 4 2 0 1 5 2 0 1 6 2 0 1 7 2 0 1 8 2 0 1 9 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 1 2 0 2 2 2 0 2 3 2 0 2 4 2 0 2 5
LNG Gas LNG Gas PNG Developm ent PNG Developm ent
7 0 ,0 0 0 8 0 ,0 0 0
Potential T3 LNG Gas Potential T3 LNG Gas LNG Condensate LNG Condensate
9 0 ,0 0 0
Potential T3 LNG Condensate Potential T3 LNG Condensate
4 0
Prim ary focus in 2 0 1 0 / 2 0 1 1 on proving up
sufficient contractible gas to underw rite T3 / T4
Core oil production rem ains solid. Focus on life
extension, reliability and gas conservation A new value equation
Measured oil exploration in PNG and MENA Activities underw ritten by strong balance sheet,
w ith sufficient liquidity to m eet PNG LNG
activity
4 1
Port Moresby
1 44 °E 6 °S 1 46 °E 1 42 °E PNG transaction value ~ US$ 1 .4 billion over
past 1 8 m onths, inc NOEX acquisition of AGL licences
Talism an and Sasol have acquired
significant acreage in W estern Forelands. I nteroil has strong position in Eastern Forelands
OSH strategy focused on enhancing position
in core PNG LNG Foldbelt acreage and Gulf - view ed as offering greatest potential for large gas discoveries
Sasol & I nteroil Equity Participation
8 0 km
8 °SPort Moresby
1 44 °E 8 °S 6 °S 1 46 °E 1 42 °ETalism an Equity Participation
8 0 km
Juha Gobe Kutubu & Agogo Hides & Angore Juha Gobe Kutubu & Agogo Hides & Angore Port Moresby
1 44 °E 8 °S 1 46 °E 1 42 °EPetroleum Licences CSG Licences
6 °S8 0 km
Oil Search Equity Participation
Juha Gobe Kutubu & Agogo Hides & Angore
4 2
NW Fold Belt
Large undrilled surface anticlines rem ain Low risk on reservoir, charge and seal
Strickland
A num ber of undrilled sm all low risk prospects and leads are present. Poor quality seism ic
Southern Foreland
A num ber of risky sm all undrilled prospects and leads rem ain Poor quality seism ic
Gulf of Papua
A num ber of prospects and leads across varied play fairw ays Prospects can be quickly de-risked w ith 3 D seism ic
Aure Fold Belt
Area is under explored – Elk indicates significant potential for carbonate plays and em erging play potential Key risk is reservoir effectiveness
I nterior Fold Belt
Num erous oil & gas seeps indicate a w orking hydrocarbon system
Central Fold Belt
Only proven oil prone area. Significant subthrust potential exists
8 °S 1 4 2 °E 1 4 4 °E
100km