UCLAN Earth Day 2008 21 April 2008 martin brown - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

fairsnape martin brown martin.brown@fairsnape.net

UCLAN Earth Day 2008

21 April 2008

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Context Architecture 2030 Initiative 2010 UK Discussion

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"Sustainable development is development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their

• wn needs." 1987

Rachel Carson sent tremors through American society with the publication of her 1962 book "Silent Spring."

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An Inconvenient Truth Inter-government Panel on Climate Change Report Stern Report Economics of Climate Change

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2008 - What has changed – why the urgency now? Challenges we face:

• peak oil
• ecological footprint
• global warming
• global In-balance

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peak oil

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global warming

Enough said

fairsnape Source: UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

(1.8 degC) (6 degC)

fairsnape We exceed our ecological footprint: In 2001, the South West residents' ecological footprint was 27.4 million gha (global hectares)

• r 5.56 gha per person.

The earth-share is 1.9 gha per person. How we use and share the one planet we have.

ecological footprint

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contraction & convergence 2050

Rest of World India China Annex 1 (non-OECD) OECD minus USA USA

5Gtc 10Gtc 1900 2000 2100 1800 2200

Gross Emissions Per Capita Emissions

2 4 6

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Accommodationists

Eco-Communialists

Gaianists Cornucopians

from grey to bright green

Do nothing now Technology later will solve it Always plenty of resources Reject as much as possible Do as little as is necessary Legislation led Grass roots Because it makes sense Community based Tree huggers Earth is a balanced system Humans are pests

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“Warming of more than 10C above today’s level will make the Earth warmer than it has been in a million years”.

• Dr. James Hansen, NASA GISS

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“Business-as-usual, with fossil fuel CO2 emissions continuing to increase will mean an additional warming of 20C to 30C this century and will make the Earth a difgerent planet.”

• Dr. James Hansen, NASA GISS

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“At 20C to 30C the new equililibrium sea level is approximately 25 meters (80 feet) higher than today. Real world data suggest sea level changes in centuries rather than milenia.”

• Dr. James Hansen, NASA GISS

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“Action must be prompt, otherwise CO2- producing infrastructure will be built within a decade that will make it impractical to keep further warming under

10C”.

• Dr. James Hansen, NASA GISS

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“I refer especially to the large number of coal-

fired power plants that China, the U.S. and

India are planning to build…”

• Dr. James Hansen, NASA GISS

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byoblue

Coal alone will take us to tipping point (Hansen, NASA) UK coal mine closures enabled UK targets Kingsnorth will prevent UK targets USA / Australia China / India Carbon Capture, coal the green fuel ??

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built environment impact

70% world population live in cities Cities require 70% global energy Cities responsible for 80% ecological footprint, and some 45% carbon footprint 70% buildings in 2050 are already built or in construction Two thousand seven may go down as the year that green buildings became cornerstone of global strategies to address global warming

State of Green Business 2008

fairsnape INDUSTRY 25%

TRANSPORTATION 27%

BUILDINGS 48%

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2030 0Challenge

to rapidly transform the US and global Building Sector from the major contributor of greenhouse gas emissions to a central part of the solution to the global-warming crisis.

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Today, architecture, planning and building design must rapidly transform.

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• 1. New building projects, development

and major renovation meet a fossil fuel energy consumption performance standard of 50% of the regional (or country) average for that building type.

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• 2. That at a minimum an equal amount of

existing building area be renovated to use 50% of the fossil fuel energy they currently consume.

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• 3. New Buildings - 50%

2010 – 60% 2015 – 70% 2020 – 80% 2025 – 90% 2030 - Carbon Neutral (no fossil fuel energy to operate)

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How can we meet the 2030

0Challenge?

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design & innovation

passive solar heating passive cooling daylighting siting building shape, color and orientation fenestration location, size and shape shading natural ventilation materials / properties building type / density / smart growth pedestrian and transit oriented development landscaping / microclimate

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add technology

solar hot water solar photovoltaics wind microturbines geothermal biomass moveable insulation mechanized shading high efficiency systems & appliances energy management systems

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purchase

green renewable energy wind solar geothermal biomass

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“THE 2010 IMPERATIVE” Professional Schools

0Challenge

are you being trained for the world you will inherit?

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• 1. Beginning in 2007:

“all projects be designed to engage the environment in a way that dramatically reduces or eliminates the need for fossil fuels”

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• 2. By 2010:

Achieve complete ecological literacy in professional design education

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• 3. By 2010:

Achieve a carbon neutral design school

• implement sustainable design

strategies

• generate on-site renewable power
• purchase renewable energy

fairsnape a c h i e v i n g 8 % r e d u c t i

• n

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uk built environment zeitgeist

Eco-Homes Zero Carbon Homes Eco Towns Eco Build Green Build Carbon Neutral Net Waste Renewables Merton Rule Code Level 6 Sustainable Construction Social Enterprises Micro generation Green Builder of the Year Enviro KPI’s

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route 2 zero

EPC 60% DQI 20% all BREAM Excel 100% Govt BREAM Excel Homes +25% Water Code 3 Homes CODE Mandatory Bldg Regs New Timber Laws British Land Carbon Neut Wates Carbon Neut Eff Improvement

• 25%

Responsible Sourcing Waste

• 50%

Govt Est Carbon Neut Stamp Relief

Zero Waste

2020 London Emmis

• 60% 2025

UK Emmis - 60% 2050 2008 2009 2010 2010 - 2016 2016-2050 Efficiency -44%

Zero

Waste Carbon Zero Homes M and S Carbon Neut

Industry Targets Milestones Requirements 2008 - 2050

Carbon Zero Schools Walmart Carbon Neut Wal-mart

Zero

Waste Lanc’s CC – 30% 2020 Hamps CC – CN 2050 Carbon Zero Non-Domestics

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impact S

• c

i a l E n v i r

• n

m e n t Economic Local community staff customer s National community Sustainable development suppliers shareholders Local community customer s staff Local community Waste Emissions Energy use Life cycles Equal

• pportunities

Human Rights Community regeneration Education employee volunteering value standards Ethnical trading employment Wealth generation

Impact – What’s your ripple?

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Triple Bottom Line John Elkington in 1994 People Planet Purpose Folk, Place, Work, Patrick Geddes 1900 Soil, Soul, Society Satish Kumar 2008 Health, Place, Nature SD Commission 2008

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Thanks to a great crash programme in 2010, a point of self reliance in energy is achieved through a 50% reduction in energy consumption and a massive scaling up of renewables to provide the remaining 50%

Rob Hopkins, Transition Handbook

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In 2014, the Local Passiv Haus became the standard for all domestic building. Use of local bio materials No space heating input – other than solar and occupants body heat In excess of 80% materials sourced locally

Rob Hopkins, Transition Handbook

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Education in 2008 was woefully adequate, given the scale of tranistion to come. A new ciricumulm was approved in 2012 firmly based on foundations of sustainability and resilience building By 2018 universities were no longer to attract from wide geographical areas, following a rethink, they are now incubator centers for local business and skills

Rob Hopkins, Transition Handbook

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Beyond Zero Energy for ‘free’? Data centers could heat 70,000 homes The energy we waste using bottled water would be enough to power 190,000 homes. Passiv Haus Cement waste

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“Every time I have done the right thing for the environment I’ve made a profit”

Yvon Chouinard, Let my people surf founder and owner of Patagonia and 1% For The Planet

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www.architecture2030.org www.2010imperitive.org www.byoblue.org www.fairsnape.wordpress.com