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LIVES Doctoral Program LIVES Doctoral Program The IP 14 Team This day is brought to you by the IP 14 team: Methods for Longitudinal Data Gilbert Ritschard, IDEMO, UNIGE Paolo Ghisletta, FPSE, UNIGE Andr e Berchtold, IMA, UNIL Gilbert


  1. LIVES Doctoral Program LIVES Doctoral Program The IP 14 Team This day is brought to you by the IP 14 team: Methods for Longitudinal Data Gilbert Ritschard, IDEMO, UNIGE Paolo Ghisletta, FPSE, UNIGE Andr´ e Berchtold, IMA, UNIL Gilbert Ritschard Reto Schumacher, IDEMO, UNIGE Jacques-Antoine Gauthier, MISC, UNIL Institute for demographic and life course studies, University Geneva Delphine Courvoisier, HUG and FPSE, UNIGE http://mephisto.unige.ch Associated researchers and PhD students: Alexis Gabadinho Danilo Bolano Reto B¨ urgin Emmanuel Rousseaux Doctoral Program, Lausanne, May 20, 2011 TraMineR team: Alexis Gabadinho, Nicolas S. M¨ uller and Matthias Studer 19/5/2011gr 1/55 19/5/2011gr 2/55 LIVES Doctoral Program LIVES Doctoral Program Objective of this doctoral school day What you will not learn today Provide an introduction to quantitative methods for life course analysis Overview of the various longitudinal analysis approaches Practice of the methods At the end of this day, you should be able to Details about the methods distinguish between various types of longitudinal data; recognize different ways of organizing longitudinal data; Expertise in specialized softwares identify questions and issues related to longitudinal data; select an appropriate method for the research question and data at hand. Insight to IP 14: “Measuring life sequences and the disorder of lives” 19/5/2011gr 3/55 19/5/2011gr 4/55

  2. LIVES Doctoral Program LIVES Doctoral Program Longitudinal data for life course analysis What is longitudinal data? Outline Life course Life course: “a sequence of socially defined events and roles that the individual enacts over time” (Giele and Elder, 1998, p22) Focus on the connection between individuals and the historical Longitudinal data for life course analysis 1 and socioeconomic context in which these individuals lived (Elder, 1974) Methods for longitudinal analysis 2 Studying life course means tracking individual trajectories Insight to IP 14 3 (micro level) as opposed to macro analysis that follow aggregates (number of divorces, unemployment rates, ...) over time Longitudinal data is the fundamental material for empirical analysis of the life course 19/5/2011gr 5/55 19/5/2011gr 8/55 LIVES Doctoral Program LIVES Doctoral Program Longitudinal data for life course analysis Longitudinal data for life course analysis What is longitudinal data? What is longitudinal data? What is longitudinal data? Successive transversal data vs longitudinal data Successive transversal observations (same units) Longitudinal data id t 1 t 2 t 3 · · · Repeated observations on units observed over time (Beck and 1 B B D · · · Katz, 1995) . 2 A B C · · · “A dataset is longitudinal if it tracks the same type of 3 B B A · · · information on the same subjects at multiple points in time” . Longitudinal observations ( http://www.caldercenter.org/whatis.cfm ) “The defining feature of longitudinal data is that the multiple id t 1 t 2 t 3 · · · observations within subject can be ordered” (Singer and Willett, 1 B B D · · · 2 A B C 2003) · · · 3 B B A · · · 19/5/2011gr 9/55 19/5/2011gr 10/55

  3. LIVES Doctoral Program LIVES Doctoral Program Longitudinal data for life course analysis Longitudinal data for life course analysis What is longitudinal data? What is longitudinal data? Repeated independent cross sectional observations Longitudinal data: Where do they come from? Individual follow-ups: Each important event is recorded as Successive independent transversal observations soon as it occurs (medical card, cellular phone, ...). id t 1 t 2 t 3 · · · Panels: Periodic observation of same units 11 B . . · · · 12 A . . · · · Retrospective data (biography): Depends on interviewees’ 13 B . . · · · memory . . . . · · · 21 . B . · · · Matching data from different sources (successive censuses, tax 22 . B . · · · 23 . B . data, social security, population registers, acts of marriages, · · · . . . . · · · acts of deaths, ...) 24 . . D · · · 25 . . C Examples: Wanner and Delaporte (2001), censuses and population registers, · · · 26 . . A · · · Perroux and Oris (2005), 19th Century Geneva, censuses, acts of marriage, . . . . · · · registers of deaths, register of migrations. This is not longitudinal ... Rotating panels: partial follow up but ... sequences of transversal (aggregated) characteristics. e.g.; Swiss Labor Force Survey, SLFS, 5 year-rotating panel (Wernli, 2010) 19/5/2011gr 11/55 19/5/2011gr 12/55 LIVES Doctoral Program LIVES Doctoral Program Longitudinal data for life course analysis Longitudinal data for life course analysis Types of longitudinal data Types of longitudinal data Types of longitudinal data Types of longitudinal data Numerical vs categorical Repeated measures vs time stamped observations What are we observing (measuring) over time? Repeated measure: list of successive values (panels). A numerical (scale) variable Time stamp associated to the position in sequence continuous (many different values): intellectual ability, perceived health level, confidence in political authorities, ... sequence of numeric values discrete (few different values): number of childbirths, family e.g.; auto-evaluated health, financial situation (..., 10, 10, 8, 7, 7, 5, ...) size, ... sequence of states A categorical variable (..., married, married, married, divorced, divorced, ...) States: marital status, occupational status, living arrangement, Time stamped events (retrospective surveys) ... (ending school at 17, first job at 17, first union at 20, childbirth at 23, ...) Events: divorce, loss of job, contracting illness, ... Specific methods for each type of data 19/5/2011gr 14/55 19/5/2011gr 15/55

  4. LIVES Doctoral Program LIVES Doctoral Program Longitudinal data for life course analysis Longitudinal data for life course analysis Organizing longitudinal data Organizing longitudinal data Organizing longitudinal data Organizing panel data How can we organize three dimensions into row-column form ? Person level: Put the successive cross-sectional tables next to each other (horizontal organization) Columns can be grouped by variables (instead of times): sequences Person-period form: Put the cross-sectional tables above each other (vertical organization) Rows can indeed be sorted by units (instead of time) Units There are plenty of variations which consist essentially in compacting the representation by providing start and end time in a given state Time e.g.: (start, end, state) instead of the state or value of the variable at each time point. Variables (Ritschard et al., 2009) 19/5/2011gr 17/55 19/5/2011gr 18/55 LIVES Doctoral Program LIVES Doctoral Program Longitudinal data for life course analysis Longitudinal data for life course analysis Organizing longitudinal data Organizing longitudinal data Data organization: example for a single unit Data organization (1) Time stamped event ending secondary school in 1970 first job in 1971 marriage in 1973 Person level. One row per individual (time in months) State sequences year 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 Job marriage · · · marital status single single single single married indiv beg 1 end 1 beg 2 end 2 · · · beg 1 end 1 beg 2 end 2 · · · · · · education level primary secondary secondary secondary secondary 1 204 216 260 350 300 - - - · · · · · · · · · job no no 1st 1st 1st 2 240 400 401 - 340 500 - - · · · · · · · · · . Episodes . . id from to marital status education emploi id1 1969 1969 single primary no id1 1970 1970 single secondary no id1 1971 1972 single secondary 1st id1 1973 1973 married secondary 1st 19/5/2011gr 19/55 19/5/2011gr 20/55

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