SLIDE 1
The Complexity of Offshore Logistics
PRESENTED BY
- PROF. JEAN-DAVID CAPRACE
The Complexity of Offshore Logistics PRESENTED BY MAY2016 PROF. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
The Complexity of Offshore Logistics PRESENTED BY MAY2016 PROF. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
The Complexity of Offshore Logistics PRESENTED BY MAY2016 PROF. JEAN-DAVID CAPRACE Deep Sea Oil Production Relies on FPSOs Level 1/4 Offload of Oil by Transport Shuttles One offload every ~10 days for a FPSO Ship To Ship or Tandem
SLIDE 2
SLIDE 3
Deep Sea Oil Production Relies on FPSOs
SLIDE 4
Offload of Oil by Transport Shuttles Level 1/4
One offload every ~10 days for a FPSO • Ship To Ship or Tandem Offloads
SLIDE 5
Installation and Support by AHTS Level 2/4
Bollard Pull from 50 to 300 tons • And others MPSV, FSIV, OSRV, ROVs, etc.
SLIDE 6
Supply of the Offshore units with PSVs Level 3/4
>110 OSVs • >230000 tons transported per month • General cargo, Bulk and Fluids
SLIDE 7
People Working at Sea by Helicopeters Level 4/4
Maintenance Hour per Flight Hour ~5 • >45000 passengers monthly • >2250 voyages monthly
SLIDE 8
Wind, Waves, Currents and Visibility Affect Operations And ...
SLIDE 9
Today Oil Prices Are Coming Back to Lower Values
1996 2016Q1 Force to drastically reduce costs to be competitive
Logistics in Campos in 2006 > 200 contracts for 2.4 BiUSD • One option is to optimize what we have …
SLIDE 10
Where we are? Where we go?
Risk Expected Return
Pareto front One option is to optimize what we have …
SLIDE 11
Measuring is knowing!
Lord Kelvin (1824-1907)
If you can not measure it, you can not improve it!
SLIDE 12
We are undertaking research on ...
- Developing KPIs for Efficiency
- Measuring Complexity
- Simulation and Optimization
Applied to Offshore Logistic, Ports, Marine transport and Shipyards
SLIDE 13
http://www.oceanica.ufrj.br/labsen/ 10 years • 4 Professors • ~12 Students • Discrete Event Simulation • Optimization • Data Mining • Efficiency • Productivity http://www.oceanica.ufrj.br/labsen/
SLIDE 14
Offshore Logistic installation of Offshore Wind Farms • Combining DES and Metocean Data • Weather window and limit
Offshore and Port logistic
SLIDE 15
Automatic Identification System (AIS) • Learn from past to improve the future • Statistical Distributions • Efficiencies
Offshore and Port logistic
SLIDE 16
Collision Risk Analysis
Automatic Identification System (AIS) • 6 months data
SLIDE 17
Optimizing the lead time for new ship designs • Discrete Event Simulation • Cranes, Delays, FEU/TEU, Tide, Loading Conditions
Port logistic
SLIDE 18
Is it time for a major technology change?
But it implies higher risks …
SLIDE 19
Where we are? Where we go?
Risk Expected Return
Pareto front Another option is to apply a major technology change …
SLIDE 20
?
FPSO
A critical question to be addressed ...
Logistic will be completely different …
SLIDE 21
Stochastic Simulations of Processes
Cost of the new alternatives Probability
500 iterations
SLIDE 22
Conclusions
We believe that:
- Simplicity – Logistics must not become too
complicated
- Reliability and Robustness – Fastest or Cheapest is
not always the best
- Transparency – Information must be propagated in
all the nodes of the chain
We will continue to improve the integration of Metocean Data and optimization algorithm in Logistic Simulation First optimizing what we have, Second find a technology jump
SLIDE 23
Thank you!
The Complexity of Offshore Logistics
- Prof. Jean-David Caprace
jdcaprace@oceanica.ufrj.br http://www.oceanica.ufrj.br/labsen/
SLIDE 24