M&A 2015
D E S M O I N E S ▼ A U G U S T 6
M&A 2015 CONFERENCE D E S M O I N E S A U G U S T 6 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
M&A 2015 CONFERENCE D E S M O I N E S A U G U S T 6 Welcome Bruce Engler Partner | Faegre Baker Daniels Mike Abbott Partner | Faegre Baker Daniels 2 0 1 5 M & A C O N F E R E N C E 2 0 1 5 M & A C O N F E R E N C E
D E S M O I N E S ▼ A U G U S T 6
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Moderator: Mike Abbott, Partner, Faegre Baker Daniels Mike Clausman, Hormel Foods Corporation Adam Claypool, Bridgepoint Merchant Bank Scott Hebbeler, Lincoln International Melanie Wadsworth, Faegre Baker Daniels
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Average EV/EBITDA in U.S. Middle-Market Transactions
Market multiples now exceed peak levels while M&A volume continues to build
Middle-Market M&A Transaction Count
Source: Factset Mergerstat Note: Reflects deals up to $500mm with disclosed values Source: Factset Mergerstat Note: Reflects deals up to $500mm with disclosed values
1,797 2,047 2,107 1,845 1,279 873 1,415 1,625 1,488 1,494 1,768 1,804 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 LTM Mar-15 9.4x 9.5x 9.9x 7.9x 9.0x 8.9x 10.0x 9.6x 10.2x 9.7x 10.1x 9.9x 10.2x 0.0x 2.0x 4.0x 6.0x 8.0x 10.0x 12.0x Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015
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Source: GF Data, M&A Report May 2015 *Note: middle market is $10 -$250mm
► The chart illustrates valuation multiples of private equity-sponsored, middle-market* M&A transactions by transaction size since 2011. ► Transaction multiples are at their highest levels since 2011, with the $100-250mm transaction size range leading the way at 8.3x. 5.3x 5.7x 5.9x 5.4x 5.9x 6.0x 6.1x 6.9x 6.3x 7.7x 7.2x 6.8x 6.7x 7.5x 7.9x 7.5x 7.4x 7.1x 7.6x 8.3x 5.0x 5.5x 6.0x 6.5x 7.0x 7.5x 8.0x 8.5x 2011 2012 2013 2014 1Q 2015 TEV/EBITDA
Valuation Multiples by Transaction Size
$10-25mm $25-50mm $50-100mm $100-250mm
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4.0x 6.0x 8.0x 10.0x 12.0x 2011 2012 2013 2014/1Q 2015 TEV/EBITDA
Manufacturing
$10-25mm $25-50mm $50-100mm $100-250mm 4.0x 6.0x 8.0x 10.0x 12.0x 2011 2012 2013 2014/1Q 2015 TEV/EBITDA
Business Services
$10-25mm $25-50mm $50-100mm $100-250mm 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 2011 2012 2013 2014/1Q 2015 TEV/EBITDA
Healthcare Services
$10-25mm $25-50mm $50-100mm $100-250mm 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 2011 2012 2013 2014/1Q 2015 TEV/EBITDA
Distribution
$10-25mm $25-50mm $50-100mm $100-250mm ► The charts below illustrate valuation multiples of private equity-sponsored, middle-market* M&A transactions by industry and
transaction size since 2011.
Source: GF Data, M&A Report May 2015 *Note: middle market is $10 -$250mm
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Corporate Cash On Hand Private Equity Buyout Fundraising / Investing
Source: Pitchbook Source: Federal Reserve, represents the S&P 500 companies
$117 $192 $293 $269 $128 $91 $114 $129 $220 $189 $535 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 PE Capital Raised Cumulative Dry Powder $2,100 $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500
($ in billions) ($ in billions)
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Source: Pitch Book & Renaissance Capital *YTD 2015
Private Equity U.S. Fundraising by Quarter Private Equity U.S. Investments-to-Exits Ratio
$34 34 $32 32 $25 25 $21 21 $33 33 $37 37 $26 26 $32 32 $36 36 $78 78 $31 31 $78 78 $43 43 $52 52 $41 41 $61 61 $38 38 20 40 60 80 100 $0 $25 $50 $75 $100 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Capital Raised ($B) # of Funds Closed 3.2x 2x 3.1x 1x 3.6x 6x 3.7x 7x 2.6x 6x 2.3x 3x 1.9x 9x 2.1x 1x 1.9x 9x 1.6x 6x 0.0x 1.0x 2.0x 3.0x 4.0x 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015* Investments/Exits # of Investments (excl. add-ons) # of Exits ► Private equity capital raised has increased from a total of $112B in 2011 to $223B and $197B in 2013 and 2014, respectively.
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transaction volume in Q2-15 rebounded nearly 20% from Q1-15
transaction volume has been very stable 7 of the last 10 quarters
necessarily track national activity over the same time period represented by this chart
Bridgepoint Midwest M&A Quarterly Update, Q2-15
262 288 271 281 293 274 303 369 329 269 328 318 312 307 284 309 261 312
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
Source: Bridgepoint Merchant Banking, Capital IQ (07/23/15), www.axial.net, www.bloomberg.com, www.qz.com, www.themiddlemarket.com
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size grew to $19.0mm in Q2-15, up from $16.5mm in Q1-15
deal size in Q1-15, Q2-15 saw Midwest deal sizes increased to above average level of the past 4 years
$11.5 $13.0 $10.0 $20.5 $12.0 $14.9 $17.6 $29.8 $9.7 $13.8 $17.5 $31.4 $22.7 $22.9 $15.3 $20.6 $16.5 $19.0
$0.0 $5.0 $10.0 $15.0 $20.0 $25.0 $30.0 $35.0 Median TEV ($mm)
Source: Bridgepoint Merchant Banking, Capital IQ (07/23/15), www.axial.net, www.bloomberg.com, www.qz.com, www.themiddlemarket.com
Bridgepoint Midwest M&A Quarterly Update, Q2-15 14
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(TEV/EBITDA) in Q2-15 was significantly higher than both the prior sequential quarter and the year-earlier quarter
historically strong levels, the highest since Q2-13
sponsors have shown a willingness to pay a premium to close deals
Source: Bridgepoint Merchant Banking, Capital IQ (07/23/15), www.axial.net, www.bloomberg.com, www.qz.com, www.themiddlemarket.com 7.6x 10.8x 10.1x 8.5x 5.4x 8.5x 9.7x 10.4x 13.6x 14.6x 10.8x 7.0x 9.1x 8.5x 11.3x 8.4x 8.0x 12.4x
0.0x 2.0x 4.0x 6.0x 8.0x 10.0x 12.0x 14.0x 16.0x
Bridgepoint Midwest M&A Quarterly Update, Q2-15 15
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transactions with Midwest buyers increased from 145 in Q1-15 to 166 in Q2-15
transactions with Midwest targets increased as well with 135 announced or closed transactions in Q2-15 vs. 97 in Q1-15. The figures reiterate the strong buyer appetite for Midwest companies
Source: Bridgepoint Merchant Banking, Capital IQ (07/23/15), www.axial.net, www.bloomberg.com, www.qz.com, www.themiddlemarket.com
50 70 90 110 130 150 170 190 210 230 Midwest Buyers Midwest Targets
Bridgepoint Midwest M&A Quarterly Update, Q2-15 16
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(including Industrials, Materials and Consumer) accounted for 39% of total Midwest M&A transaction volume in Q2-14, a slight 1% decrease from Q1-14
rebounded with the biggest increase in Q2- 14, up 3% from Q1-14. The Material and Industrial sectors saw the biggest decreases in Q2-14, down 2% from Q1-14
Source: Bridgepoint Merchant Banking, Capital IQ (07/23/15), www.axial.net, www.bloomberg.com, www.qz.com, www.themiddlemarket.com
Financials 28% Consumer 24% Industrials 16% Healthcare 9% Info Tech 9% Energy 7% Materials 3% Telecomm / Utilities 4%
Bridgepoint Midwest M&A Quarterly Update, Q2-15 17
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Borrowers with less than $15mm EBITDA Borrowers with at least $15mm EBITDA Pricing Multiples Pricing Multiples Asset Based Senior
Cash Flow Senior
Senior Stretch
Unitranche
2nd Lien Loans
Sub Debt
Equity
As regularly published in:
Lincoln’s View on Pricing and Terms 18
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Pre 2008 2008 - 2009 2015 Hold Levels $50 million $25 million max $50 million + Stretch Pieces Aggressive Nonexistent Yes Term Loan Amortization Little or none Nearly a prerequisite Little or back-end loaded Covenants Limited to 1 or 2 and loose Full package, much tighter 1 to 2 covenants; looser Advance Rates Aggressive (ABL-Lite) Conservative (ABL-Heavy) Aggressive (ABL-Lite) Rate Floors Rare Standard Rare Rate Protection Language Minimal Robust and complex Robust and complex Prepayment Penalties Rare Standard Rare Bank Commitment Fully underwritten Best efforts Best efforts Market Flex Language Limited, if any Required Required Bank Group Syndications Relationship driven "Club Deals" Syndications 19
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$0.0 $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0 $3.5
Middle-Market M&A Loan Volume
Source: Standard & Poor’s Leveraged Commentary and Data
Middle-Market Leverage Multiples
2009: $1.4 2010: $4.4 2011: $6.3 2012: $5.6 2013: $4.8 2014: $9.5
Competition among lenders have driven the strongest lending markets since 2007
($ in billions)
4.1x 3.3x 2.5x 3.2x 3.6x 3.5x 4.0x 4.3x 4.4x 5.6x 4.5x 3.3x 4.2x 4.3x 4.5x 4.8x 5.3x 4.9x 0.0x 2.0x 4.0x 6.0x 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1'15
Other
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Source: Bridgepoint Merchant Banking, Capital IQ (07/23/15), www.axial.net, www.bloomberg.com, www.qz.com, www.themiddlemarket.com
average length of bull markets has been 42.5 months
market has lasted 47 months to date
markets end due to:
valuations
policy
geopolitical events
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Source: Bridgepoint Merchant Banking, Capital IQ (07/23/15), www.axial.net, www.bloomberg.com, www.qz.com, www.themiddlemarket.com
election, 6 out of 12 election years were followed by a bear market within one year
transactions during Republican terms are 20,346
transactions during Democratic terms are 8,553
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D E S M O I N E S ▼ A U G U S T 6
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Moderator: Roger Rhoten, Faegre Baker Daniels Ty Doggett, McGladrey LLP Adam Hertzke, Faegre Baker Daniels David King, Iowa State University College of Business Amanda Rusin, Polaris Industries, Inc. Shane Slominski, Tonka Bay Equity Partners
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►Various studies suggest that 70%-90% of M&A transactions fail to meet
►What goes wrong?
► Inadequate planning and advance integration preparation ► Failure in due diligence ► Identifying the wrong targets ► Customer issues due to changes in people and process ► Pro forma assumptions too optimistic
►What works?
► Repetition and consistency…if you have learned to repeat what is working, and not
just a process that continues to achieve mixed or negative results
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►Two concurrent company-changing initiatives
► Split the board into groups or full board attention for both? ► Bypass committee review if time and resources are restricted?
►How important is the “target” date for major announcements or
►Do due diligence reports go through CFO or another executive (such as
►How much weight should CFO dissent to a major transaction carry?
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►If due diligence uncovers allegations or complaints by one or more
► Does it matter if the independent accountants assure you that the
►How much diligence is enough, and how much comfort is taken in the
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►Stick to a well-defined strategy
► A formal but flexible “charter” setting forth your growth strategy and
► What is your growth strategy?
► Consider level of board involvement
► Does this opportunity fit into that strategy? ► How does this opportunity expand or complement your core
► Expand the core / grow market share ► Become a stronger competitor
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►Plan for selection of the right targets
► Identify potential targets that may fit your growth strategy well in
► Start to build the investment case for each identified investment ► Build important relationships with high priority targets on a selective
►Building a foundation now with high priority targets may result in a
►Easier to do with businesses that are more complementary
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►Improve the integration process (including through effective planning)
► Formalized integration plans are critical ► Consider level of board involvement in integration plan for key acquisitions ► Where possible, avoid letting antitrust concerns slow down information flow ► Clean teams, etc. can often be used to share competitively sensitive
information during the period between antitrust filings and the transaction closing
► Use firm target dates for reaching goals; keep score ► Empower a strong project management office ► Communicate across functions and throughout organization ► Update the integration plan regularly (including after the transaction closes)
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►Identify critical due diligence topics
► Business should identify key concerns and value drivers for advisors conducting
due diligence
► “Off the shelf” due diligence will not be as effective as a process that includes
informed advisors
► Understanding the key value drivers is not only essential in the underlying due
diligence, but also in constructing meaningful transaction documents
► Identify and continuously update potential synergies ► Keep advisors informed of these key business drivers throughout the process ► Be cautious in overreliance on the target’s publicly available disclosures for SEC
issuers
► Focus on quality of earnings, tax implications and deal-related liabilities or potential
liabilities
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Moderator: Keith Radtke, Faegre Baker Daniels Jeremy Atencio, Agrium Terry Bressler, Prairie Capital Advisors, Inc. Eric Lohmeier, NCP Investment Bank Mike Taylor, Midwest Growth Partners
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D E S M O I N E S ▼ A U G U S T 6
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Moderator: Trevor Belden, Partner, Faegre Baker Daniels Joe Caruso, Franklin Partners Steve Jacobs, BCC Advisers Patrick Jensen, Prairie Capital Brian Zaversnik, McCarthy Capital
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►Why would a seller want to conduct an auction to sell the business? ►Under what circumstances does an auction not make sense? ►How can a buyer avoid an auction process?
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4 -8 Weeks
SELECT BUYER
NEGOTIATION & CLOSE
agreement
6 -8 Weeks
MARKETING – PHASE II
6 Weeks
MARKETING – PHASE I
6 Weeks 2 Weeks
PREPARATION
D E S M O I N E S ▼ A U G U S T 6
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Mike Abbott Partner | Faegre Baker Daniels
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