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Impact Futures: Anticipating Post- Pandemic Risks on National Security Dr. James Canton CEO & Chairman GlobalFuturist.com Institute for Global Futures Founded 1990 Think Tank Advise Fortune 1000 Advise government

  1. Impact Futures: Anticipating Post- Pandemic Risks on National Security Dr. James Canton CEO & Chairman GlobalFuturist.com

  2. Institute for Global Futures • Founded 1990 • Think Tank • Advise Fortune 1000 • Advise government • S&T futures, security, finance

  3. Clients

  4. Key Themes • Pandemic Geopolitical Risk Landscape • Financial System Reality Check • Accelerate US S&T Innovation • Develop Biosecurity Playbook and Strategic Plan for Next Time

  5. Future Situational Awareness: Three Global 2030 Scenarios Off World Commerce

  6. Fortress World: Protect, Prevent, Disengagement Anti-Globalist, Nat Security Driven Pandemic Contain, Repel, Prevent Fortress World

  7. Conflict World: Hybrid War Conflict World Perpetual Kinetics Great Power Conflicts Off-World to IW Econ Warfare Welcome to the Institutional Terrorism Extreme Future

  8. Three Future Scenarios Collaboration World: Interdependence, • Fortress World Merged Trade Ecosystems & Markets Digital Networks & Connected Economies Joint Ops Anti-Terrorism

  9. Global Security Impact Futures • Social dissent in EU after G7, WHO, World Bank drop ball • EU decline, EU Union fragmented • Failing states in dev world—Africa spawning immigration crisis into EU • Failing economies • Russia Arctic and EU domination • Terrorism/Bad actors rising • Global debt over $10 Trillion • Rise of Anti-Globalization • Ideological War—Democracy versus Autocracy

  10. US National Security Impact Futures • Biosecurity Readiness & National Security • Econ Volatility 12-36 month uncertainty economic recovery from endpoint • Negative Wealth Effect • Low Consumer Confidence/$4-7 Trillion Debt • Exploitation China/Russia/Saudi bad actors • Increased BKs & Unemployment

  11. US National Security Impact Futures • Surging Non-Kinetic conflicts--Cyber and IW • Anti-Globalization, Democracy vs Autocratic • Asset Crashes—real estate, markets, • Risk Convergence-climate, econ, jobs, dollar • Supply chain reorganization • Accelerated S&T Investment to Counter China • Military Post-Industrial Complex Challenges

  12. China Impact: Exploits Pandemic Strategy • China/Russia max disruption ops-EU • Neo-Tech Mercantilism • Global Tech/Econ Domination—AI, Big Data, 5G, Belt & Road refresh • Longer range objectives use Pandemic to rewrite Bretton Woods—Replace US dollar

  14. Innovations: Faster Then Moore’s Law

  15. Digital Biology: Hacking Life Genetic Revolution: Hacking Biology

  16. Materials Science Revolution: Hacking Matter

  17. Innovation Economy: Competitive Innovations Will Come Faster Advantage of Nations TECWARS

  18. Cognitive Prediction--AI/Big Data Will Shape ALL Future Conflicts

  19. GlobalFuturist.com Thank You Jcanton@futureguru.com

  22. GlobalFuturist.com This is AI Thank You Jcanton@futureguru.com

  23. GlobalFuturist.com This is AI Thank You Jcanton@futureguru.com

  24. GlobalFuturist.com This is AI Thank You Jcanton@futureguru.com

  25. GlobalFuturist.com This is AI Thank You Jcanton@futureguru.com

  26. Emergence of Smart Machines & Autonomous CyberFuture: Economy—Cogntive Smart Machines Threat Systems as a Platform

  27. Disease Begins at the Atomic Future Computers: Deep Learning to Neuromorphic + Quantum Computing

  28. Summary • Develop US Biosecurity Plan—early warning predictive analytics/sensing networks to anticipate disruptions • Expand the National Security posture post- Covid-19 to include socio-economic, geopolitical and biosecurity risks/offsets • Define Non-Kinetic conflict zones • Hardening of critical crisis-ready infrastructure: internet, biosecurity, telecom, health care, monetary, supply chains

  29. GlobalFuturist.com Thank You Jcanton@Globalfuturist.com

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