My Life My Origin
Company Presentation
A nalyst M eeting Q3’2018 12 N ovem ber 2018
Company Presentation My Life My Origin A nalyst M eeting Q32018 12 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Company Presentation My Life My Origin A nalyst M eeting Q32018 12 N ovem ber 2018 2 Disclaimers The information ( Confidential Information ) contained in this presentation provided by Origin Property Public Company Limited is
A nalyst M eeting Q3’2018 12 N ovem ber 2018
2
The information (“Confidential Information”) contained in this presentation provided by Origin Property Public Company Limited is strictly confidential and is for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell or the solicitation of an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe for share in Origin Property Public Company Limited (“Company”, and shares in the Company, “Shares”) in any jurisdiction, not should it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied upon in any connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever. Neither this presentation nor any part thereof may be (i) used or relied upon by any other party or for any other purpose; (ii) copied, photocopied, duplicated or otherwise reproduce in any form or by any means;
participants agree not to remove this document, or any materials provided in connection herewith, from the conference room where such documents are provided without express consent from the Company. In addition, this presentation contains projection and forward-looking statements that reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These views are based on a number of estimates and current assumptions which are subject to business, economic and competitive uncertainties and contingencies as well as various risks and these may change over time and in many cases are outside the control of the Company and its directors. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements which are based on the current view of the management of the Company on future events. No assurance can be given that future events will occur that projects will be achieved, or that the Company’s assumptions are correct. The Company does not assume any responsibility to amend, modify or revise any forward-looking statements, on the basis of any subsequent developments, information or events or otherwise. These statements can be recognized by the use of future performance and actual results may differ from those forecast and projected or in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors and assumptions. Although care has been taken to ensure that the Confidential Information in this presentation is accurate, and that the opinions expressed are fair and reasonable, the Confidential Information is subject to change without notice, its accuracy is not guaranteed, has not been independently verified and it may not contain all material information concerning the Company. None of the Company, or any of their respective members, directors, officers, employees or affiliates nor any other person accepts any liability (in negligence, or otherwise) whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation
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Q3’2018 Key Highlights Q3’2018 and 9M2018 Key Operation and Financial Highlights Source of Fund Strategy
2 3 4 5
Q4’2018 Update Backlog Profile And LTV Effect
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53 53 Projects Projects Pr Projec
value ue 81,29 81,293 3 MB MB Reven venue ue is is mo more re than n 10 100 0 MB per ye year
as of November 2018
3 Project Project Pr Projec
value ue 3, 3,700 0 MB MB 5 Pr Projec
Pr Projec
value ue 11 11,5 ,500 00 MB MB
(Calc alcula ulated ted by In Income come ap approac proach h me method) thod)
Condominiums House Recurring Income Service Solutions ORIGIN EMPIRE
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One Origin 24 with Nomura Real Estate
Sep Sep Sep Sep
with Nomura Real Estate
“ One SKV24, One Phromphong "
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Hotel & Mixed use
ORIGIN GIN 24 4
SUKHUMVIT 24
2,500 ,500 MB* MB* 3,700 ,700 MB* MB*
*Calculated by income approach method
KNI NIGHTSBR GHTSBRID IDGE GE
PRIME - ONNUT
KNI NIGHTSBR GHTSBRID IDGE GE
COLLAGE-RAMKHAMHAENG
KNI NIGHTSBR GHTSBRID IDGE GE
PRIME-RATCHAYOTHIN SPACE-RATCHAYOTHIN THONGLOR
ST STAY AYBRID IDGE GE SU SUITE TE
THONG LOR
Condominium
2,000 ,000 MB MB 2,700 ,700 MB MB 2,500 ,500 MB MB 1,600 ,600 MB MB 12,000 2,000 MB MB
KNI NIGHTSBR GHTSBRID IDGE GE
RATCHATHEWI
PA PARK K ORIGIN GIN PAR PARK K ORI RIGIN GIN
3,000 ,000 MB MB
“ One SKV24, One Phromphong "
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LOCATIO ATION : P : Phayath hayathai Road.
BTS/APL PHAYATHAI ) LAND PLOT D PLOT SIZ IZE : : 2 2 – 1– 36 36.3 .3 Rai ai PROJ ROJEC ECT T TYPE TYPE : : High ri h rise e Condomi ndominium nium 35 35 Sto tore reys ys 4 4 Bas aseme ments nts PROJ ROJEC ECT T VA VALUE UE : : 4, 4,600 600 MB MB TO TOTA TAL L UNIT IT : : 55 550 0 Unit nits LAUNC UNCHED HED DA DATE TE : : SEP EPTEMBE TEMBER R 2018 2018 EX EXPEC ECTE TED D TR TRANSFER ANSFER : Q : Q4’20 2021 21
%SOLD LD : : 75 75% % (AS OF OCTOBER 2018)
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2018F : Target launch of new projects around 25,500 MB (+68%)
Y2015 Y2016 Y2017 Y2018F Launch 6,955 11,340 15,150 25,500 Pre-Sale 5,356 10,844 14,757 24,000 Actual L
Actual P
6,955 11,340 15,150 25,500 5,356 10,844 14,757 24,XXX Actual 22,600 Actual 22,496
10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000
10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000
MB
+63 63% +68 68%
YT YTD (11 Nov’18)
9M’18 18
10
Solid Growth YoY
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Superior Growth Profile over Years
773 1,235 1,435
6,813 10,946 11,024 22,496
1,611 1,735 2,776 1,366 4,387 6,813 1,606 3,487 3,733
5,356 10,844 14,757
10 15 Y2015 Y2016 Y2017 Q3'17 Q3'18 9M17 9M18
Pr Presale sale
+61 61% % YoY +104 104% % YoY
Unit: M.Baht
2,055 3,199 9,988 1,960 4,035 4,014 10,693
4 6 8 10 12 Y2015 Y2016 Y2017 Q3'17 Q3'18 9M17 9M18
Re Reven venue ue
+106 106% % YoY 166 166% % YoY
Unit: M.Baht
386 638 2,021 556 892 967 2,400
19% 20% 20% 28% 22% 24% 22%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 Y2015 Y2016 Y2017 Q3'17 Q3'18 9M17 9M18
Ne Net t Pr Profit fit
Unit: M.Baht
+60 60% % YoY +148 148% % YoY
861 1,429 3,102 779 1,302 1,718 3,566
43% 45% 35% 47% 40% 47% 40%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
1 2 2 3 3 4 4 Y2015 Y2016 Y2017 Q3'17 Q3'18 9M17 9M18
Gr Gross ss Ma Margin rgin
Unit: M.Baht
+67 67% % YoY +108 108% % YoY
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Re Ready dy to mo move 6, 6,98 988 8 MB MB 20 20% Pr Pre-Sales Sales 27 27,965 ,965 MB MB 80 80%
Backlog, which will be recognized revenue Y2018-2020 is about 25,896 MB. Backlog, which will be recognized revenue Y2021 is about 9,057 MB.
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Q1’18 Q2’18 Q3’18 Q4’18
ME MEGA GA TOW OWN BAN N BANGN GNA 2,300 ,300 MB MB 2,700 ,700 MB MB 1,000 ,000 MB MB 4,600 ,600 MB MB 12,000 2,000 MB MB 1,900 ,900 MB MB 1,000 ,000 MB MB BA BANG NGNA NA K KM. M.12 12
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LOCATIO CATION : : Th Thong
lor So Soi 10 10 LAND PLOT D PLOT SIZ IZE : : Approx.
6 – 0– 18 18.5 .5 Rai ai PROJ ROJEC ECT T TYPE TYPE : : High ri h rise e Condomi ndominium nium 3 3 Build lding ing / 39 39,5 ,53,54 3,54 Sto tore reys ys PROJ ROJEC ECT T VA VALUE UE : : 12 12,000 ,000 MB MB TO TOTA TAL L UNIT IT : : 1, 1,182 182 Unit nits LAUNC UNCHED HED DA DATE TE : : NOVE VEMB MBER ER 2018 2018 EX EXPEC ECTE TED D TR TRANSFER ANSFER : Q : Q4’20 2021 21
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Location Land Area 55-3-63.89 Rai Launched date Dec 2018 Project Value 1,900 MB Total units 272 Units Semi-Detached House 148 Units Townhouse 124 Units Bua Na Ka Rin Rd. (Bangna Trad – Samutprakarn) Location Land Area 39-2-82.4 Rai Launched date Dec 2018 Project Value 1,000 MB Total units 182 Units Detached House 182 Units Sukhaphiban 6 Rd. (Bangna Trad KM.12) Location Land Area 22-3-79.7 Rai Launched date Nov 2017 Project Value 800 MB Total units 149 Units Detached House 15 Units Semi-Detached House 134 Units Namdaeng-Bangplee Rd. (Srinakarin)
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PRODU ODUCT CT MI MIXE XED D Semi-Detached House 148 Units Town House A Width 5.70 m. 112 Units Town House B Width 5.30 m. 12 Units Tota tal l Un Unit 472 72 Un Units ts LOCATI ATION ON Bua Na Ka Rin Rd. (Bangna Trad – Samutprakarn) PROJECT OJECT LAND ND AREA EA 55-3-63.89 PROJECT OJECT VA VALUE UE 1,900 MB
BRITANIA ME MEGA GA TO TOWN WN-BAN BANGN GNA
Main Gate / Clubhouse / Main Park
FACILITIES
TW TWIN IN HOUSE USE 140 40 – 36 6 sq.wa q.wa. 138 units 4 BR / 3 WC / 2 Parking TO TOWN WN HOUS USE E wi width dth 5.70 .70 m. m.- 19.95 9.95 sq.wa q.wa 158 units 3 BR / 3 WC / 2 Parking TO TOWN WN HOUS USE E wi width dth 5.30 .30 m.
18.55 5 sq.wa q.wa 176 units 2 BR / 3 WC / 2 Parking
PRODUCT MIXED BRITANIA ME MEGA GA TO TOWN WN-BAN BANGN GNA
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PRODU ODUCT CT MI MIXE XED D Detached House (Oxford) 19 Units Detached House (Regent) 103 Units Detached House (Brompton) 60 Units Tota tal l Un Unit 182 82 Un Units its LOCATI ATION ON Sukhaphiban 6 Rd. ( Bangna Trad KM.12 , Samutprakarn ) PROJECT OJECT LAND ND AREA EA 39-2-82.4 Rai PROJECT OJECT VA VALUE UE 1,000 MB
BANGNA BANGNA KM KM.12 12
Main Gate 1
FACILITIES BRITANIA – BA BANG NGNA NA KM. M.12 12
Main Gate 2
FACILITIES BRITANIA – BA BANG NGNA NA KM. M.12 12
SH SH2-Oxfo Oxford rd 150 50 – 60 0 sq.wa q.wa 19 units SH SH2-Regent gent 140 40 – 50.5 0.5 sq.w sq.wa 103 units SH SH2-Brompton
30 – 50.5 0.5 sq.wa q.wa 60 units 4 BR / 2 Living / 3 WC / 2 Parking 3 BR / 1 Living / 3 WC / 2 Parking 3 BR / 3 WC / 2 Parking
PRODUCT MIXED
BRITANIA – BA BANG NGNA NA KM. M.12 12
Transfer Begins Q3’18 Q3’18 Q3’18 Q4’18 On time Construction and Advance Transfer Plan
Transfer Begins Q1’19 Q2’19 Q3’19 Q4’19 On time Construction and Advance Transfer Plan
Gr Grand nd Ba Bangna na-Suvar Suvarnnabhu nabhumi
Britania projects will help filling backlog to achieve target transfer
Home Ba Bangna gna-Suvarnnab Suvarnnabhumi humi
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Re Ready dy to mo move 6, 6,98 988 8 MB MB 20 20% Pr Pre-Sales Sales 27 27,965 ,965 MB MB 80 80%
Backlog, which will be recognized revenue Y2018-2020 is about 25,896 MB. Backlog, which will be recognized revenue Y2021 is about 9,057 MB.
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Thai 68%
HK 14% Chinese 8% SG 6% TW 1% Others 3%
Foreign 32%
Thai 68%
⚫The 1st Foreign Customers;
⚫Deposit from Foreign Customers is
about 25-30%
⚫Chinese 8% is assumed the effect from “Trade
War” around 30-40%, so the effect from portion of Chinese is about 3.2%.
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6,988 , 20% 27,965 , 80%
Park 74%
Knightsbridge 6% Kensington 3% Notting Hill 8% Britania 7% Others 2%
Re Ready ady to to mo move ve
Pre Pre-Sale Sales
Park 26%
Knightsbridge 56%
Kensington 8% Notting Hill 10%
⚫ Main portion is under “ Pa
Park rk Br Bran and d “ whose 90% customers pay by cash. Measures for new LTV; 1. Increase Down Payment to be 15-20% 2. 0% Installment on Credit card for Balloon period. 18% 30-35% 90%
New Pre-Sales Strategy
⚫ SPA has been signed before 15 Oct 2018 that are not effect form LTV.
NH 8% is affected around 6% from the customers loan from Bank 82%.
6 – 20 MB
4 – 6 MB 2.5 – 4 MB 2 – 2.5 MB
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Total Project Value 17 Billion
3,142 3,352 6,494
3,142 5,500 - 6,000 8,500 - 9,000
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000
Actual 2017 Actual 2018 Actual 2017-2018 Actual Forecast
Transfer Performance/Backlog ➢ Around 90% of total transfer is paid by Cash ➢ Remaining 10% is through mortgage with average 65 – 80% LTV ➢ Backlog 5,195 MB (as of Q3’18) Inventory
187 236 935 487 567
400 600 800 1,000 1,200
Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Oct-Nov'18
Average 663 MB/quarter
ORI started marketing campaign
➢ Based on historical data, expect selling rate per quarter around 500 - 650 MB so that the project is expected to be sold out in 2 years ➢ Project relaunch in Q1’19 with financial package promotion
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5,862 3,723 3,482 3,037 2,454 2,320 927
2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000
0.00 1,000.00 2,000.00 3,000.00 4,000.00 5,000.00 6,000.00 7,000.00
Q3'17 (Beg) Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 (F)
2 Oct’17 Oct’18 Dec’18
ORI Acquired Park 24
Outstanding P/N 377 MB
(as of Oct’18)
P/N fully repayment (Dec’18)
Park 24
Outstanding loan 2,320 MB
(as of Oct’18)
Loan fully repayment (Dec’18) Cash 1,000 MB P/N 1,000 MB P/N 1,000 MB P/N 1,000 MB Phase 1: 3,235 MB Phase 2: 4,320 MB
Total Loan: 7,555 MB
Oct’17 Jan’18 Apr’18 Oct’17
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**Note : JV depend on negotiate as case by case
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**Note : JV depend on negotiate as case by case
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BANGKOK THONGLOR SIRACHA LEAMCHABANG CHONBURI SIRACHA
Ne Net t Pr Prof
it Re Reve venue nue fr from
mana nage geme ment nt fe fee e JV p JV par artne tner r
SUKHUMVIT 24 / PhromPhong PHAYATHAI NE NEW W POTENT NTIAL IAL
Start Operation
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34 76 57 284 151 744 375 523 778 1,639 1,066 732
38 296 521 820 1,250 2,000 Y'14 Y'15 Y'16 Y'17 Y'18 (F) Y'19 (F) (500)
1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500
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IBD/E continuously decreased from beginning of 2018 to be 1.49 times as of Q3’2018
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IR Contact E-mail: ir@origin.co.th Tel : +662 029 1936 Fax: +662 398 8066