UNIVERSITY AT BUFFALO A Window of Opportunity Faculty Senate - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

UNIVERSITY AT BUFFALO A Window of Opportunity

Faculty Senate Executive Com m ittee

October 24, 20 12

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• NYSUNY 20 20 - $10 0 M in new tuition revenue and state

fund held harm less through 15/ 16

• The Buffalo $1B Initiative
• A favorable SUNY state funding m odel
• A foundation of university strength preserved despite

reductions

• UB can create an exciting plan of action in a changing

world

UB in 20 12

A Window of Opportunity

3

THE PLAN OF ACTION

• Addresses internal and external challenges
• Gives strategic direction and tactical discipline
• Aligns resources to desired im pact
• Moves beyond strength-building to local and national

problem -solving

• Defines roles for all

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The best response to both – answer the question:

W ha t m a kes UB d istinctiv e? OPPORTUNITY AND CHALLENGE

• Different ways of teaching
• Different ways of doing research
• Different ways of collaborating
• Different ways of engaging
• Attract better students
• Attract m ore funding
• Attract new sponsors
• Econom ic im pact
• Engage the com m unity in new ways

A New UB Brand

5

KEY BRIEFINGS I

The Opportunity

6

UB NYSUNY 20 20

Objectives

• Grow Ladder Faculty by 250
• Grow Research Expenditures by $60 M (40 %)
• Increase UG Degree Attainm ent
• 4 Year graduation rate from 42 55%
• 6 Year graduation rate from 63 75%
• Move Medical School downtown
• Strengthen regional econom ic im pact

7

UB NYSUNY 20 20

The Tools

• The Tuition Program – 11/ 12 – 15/ 16
• UG resident tuition increases - $30 0 / year
• Non-resident UG tuition increases – 10 %/ year
• Grad/ professional program s – 8 %/ year (on average)
• $100M Total Revenue
• Academ ic Excellence and Success Fee - $75/ year (all

students)

• Medical School Relocation
• $35M Challenge Grant
• $215M Tax exem pt bond financing
• $50 M Capital funds reappropriation
• School pays debt service and $75M in cash/ gifts

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BUFFALO INVESTMENT DEVELOPMENT PLAN “BILLION DOLLARS FOR BUFFALO (B4B)”

• Governor Cuom o announced the B4B in

20 12

• Fund key transform ations building the

regional econom y

• Private-sector jobs - #1 priority
• 5-1 m atch w ill be required
• Sustainability plan releases funds
• Public-private partnerships
• $75 m illion capital allocation through

March 31, 20 13

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BILLION DOLLARS FOR BUFFALO (B4B)

Potential Strategies

• UB potential initiatives:
• Healthcare
• Personalized Medicine
• Advanced Manufacturing
• Materials Sciences
• UB is expected to play a role in other key enablers:
• Workforce developm ent
• Innovation and entrepreneurship
• Infrastructure

10 Governm ent & Education Institutions

Education

Higher Education & Industry

Research Prosperity Spin-Off Com panies Skilled Workforce

Industry & Higher Education

Product Developm ent

Entrepreneurship

Innovation Industry Needs

Com m ercialization and Econom ic Developm ent Translation

BILLION DOLLARS FOR BUFFALO (B4B)

Develop an Entrepreneurship Ecosystem !

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BILLION DOLLARS FOR BUFFALO (B4B)

Sum m ary

• Im pact on UB’s core research m ission?
• Applied/ clinical research in tenure/ prom otion process

decision?

• IP ownership?
• Tech transfer?
• Metrics for success?
• Sharing of facilities?

• Optim ize the System ’s lim ited resources
• Responsive to strategic goals
• Acknowledge cam pus differences
• Sensitive to each cam pus (and to cam pus retention of

tuition)

• Rational and data driven
• Predictable and useful for longer term planning

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Resource Allocation Model

PRINCIPLES

ENROLLMENT: $6 9 1M

• Cost by enrollm ent level and discipline based on national

study

• Different cost factors (Carnegie classifications)
• Research
• Doctoral
• Com prehensive
• Technology (Baccalaureate)
• Separate funding pools (distributions) by enrollm ent level
• Undergraduate (UG)
• Beginning Graduate (G1)
• Advanced Graduate (G2)
• First Professional (1st Pro)
• Strategic enrollm ent planning com m ittee (SUNY)
• 3 Year average – plan/ actual (2 years)

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RESEARCH: $70 M

GOALS

• Increase funding brought into the state that will support

SUNY’s role as the key driver for econom ic revitalization through research

• All Indirect Recovery (70 %)
• SUNY Research Excellence Fund (10 %)
• Direct Allocation for CNSE ($6.5M)
• Per capita?
• Provide research support across all academ ic disciplines
• Advanced Doctoral FTE (20 %)

GEOGRAPHIC: $15M

• Recognition of location pay:
• Contractual obligation
• Accurate, defensible, m easurable
• Major subcom ponent of the Geographic Differential
• Distribution consistent w ith current funding
• Other m ethods are very difficult to m aintain, explain and

verify; included arbitrary assum ptions

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• Model includes:
• ESF (40 % of State Support, 25% of Financial Plan)
• Maritim e (20 % of State Support, 7% of Financial Plan)
• Working with the cam puses, the use of detailed cost of

instruction data, Peer and National Cost Study will be used to justify final adjustm ents

• Long-term plans to reduce adjustm ents will be developed

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ACADEMIC MISSION ADJUSTMENTS: $11M

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SUNY RESOURCE ALLOCATION

• National peer university based m ethod
• Transparent
• Incentivizes sound enrollm ent planning
• Incentivizes federal, full indirect cost bearing research
• UB adds m ultiple m illions if we m eet enrollm ent plan

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LADDER FACULTY FTE

Including GFT 20 0 5/ 0 6 – 20 12/ 13

Source: Human Resources Ladder faculty including those faculty holding GFT appointments; FTE for GFT faculty is assumed to be 1.0 regardless of actual FTE listed on personnel systems.

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STRATEGIC STRENGTHS

Total Hires by Strategic Strength (FTE)

(Unit & Central Com bined)

13.00 30.00 18.00 2.00 14.00 14.50 23.50 5.00 3.00 1.00 2.00 1.00 4.00

18.00 33.00 18.00 6.00 15.00 16.50 24.50

5 10 15 20 25 30 35

Artistic Expression Cultures and Texts Extrem e Events Health and Wellness Inform ation and Com puting Technology Integrated Nanostructured System s Molecular Recognition

Total Num ber of Hires (FTE)

Total approved hires through September, 2012 Previously made hires to be replaced Health and Wellness hires to be made

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RESEARCH METRICS

(20 0 4/ 0 5 to 20 11/ 12)

125713121249 1423 1632 14721416 1447

10 0 0 1150 130 0 14 50 16 0 0 1750 Num ber of Proposals

466 490 472 48 0 526 537 573 531

• 20 0

40 0 60 0 8 0 0 0 5 0 6 0 7 0 8 0 9 10 11 12 Value of Proposals

($ in m illions)

368 38 5 38 2 411 457 466 573 531

30 0 40 0 50 0 60 0 70 0 New Awards

37%37%38 % 34%32% 36% 40 % 37%

20 % 25% 30 % 35% 4 0 % 4 5% 50 %

0 5 0 6 0 7 0 8 0 9 10 11 12

Award Conversion

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KEY MEASURES

Grants and Contracts Expenditures per Faculty

Source: Office of Research

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UNDERGRADUATE TUITION & FEES

Source: AAUDE Tuition and Fees, 2012-13

$7,56 0 $7,6 9 0 $7,9 8 9 $8 ,0 57 $9 ,4 8 4 $10 ,38 5 $12,36 3 $12,6 9 2 $13,0 73 $13,122 $13,217 $13,8 19 $16 ,4 4 4 $16 ,59 0

Stony Brook UNC UB Iowa UB 20 15/ 16 Wisconsin Washington UCLA Rutgers UC Irvine UCSD Michigan Penn State Pittsburgh

Resident

$18 ,18 0 $18 ,6 0 9 $24 ,29 4 $26 ,279 $26 ,28 0 $26 ,39 3 $26 ,6 34 $28 ,4 4 2 $28 ,74 6 $29 ,9 16 $35,570 $36 ,0 0 0 $36 ,0 9 5

Stony Brook UB UB 20 15/ 16 Iowa Pittsburgh Rutgers Wisconsin UNC Penn State Washington UCLA UC Irvine UCSD

Nonresident

23

AVERAGE FRESHMAN NET PRICE

AAU Publics

Source: Estimates based on IPEDS Financial Aid, 2010-11 Penn State U Pitt Illinois Minnesota Rutgers Michigan State UC San Diego UC Irvine U Texas - Austin U Virginia UC Santa Barbara U Wisconsin UC Davis U Washington GA Tech U Michigan Purdue UC Berkeley UCLA U Colorado Kansas Oregon Texas A&M Indiana Missouri Buffalo Stony Brook Ohio State Maryland U Florida U Iowa U Arizona Iowa State UNC

$13,4 38 $11,0 0 1 $10 ,8 4 2 $10 ,0 39 $9 ,9 59 $8 ,9 8 6 $8 ,112 $7,8 50 $7,530 $7,323 $7,24 4 $7,226 $7,0 79 $7,0 17 $6 ,9 6 8 $6 ,78 0 $6 ,722 $6 ,4 0 5 $6 ,355 $6 ,34 9 $5,9 0 8 $5,729 $5,571 $5,50 1 $5,4 77 $5,4 15 $5,373 $5,20 9 $5,19 1 $3,8 6 1 $3,74 2 $3,20 5 $3,111 $2,9 9 8

$0 $2,0 0 0 $4 ,0 0 0 $6,0 0 0 $8 ,0 0 0 $10 ,0 0 0 $12,0 0 0 $14,0 0 0 $16,0 0 0

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AVERAGE FRESHMAN NET PRICE

UB and NY Privates

Source: Estimates based on IPEDS Financial Aid, 2010-11

Colgate Skidmore Hobart & Wm. Smith Columbia Syracuse Ithaca U of Rochester RIT Hartwick Clarkson

Canisius

• St. Bonaventure

Daemen D'Youville Niagara

UB

$29,162 $27,28 6 $25,191 $24,8 22 $21,20 6 $20 ,593 $20 ,299 $19,563 $16,313 $13,119 $12,550 $11,30 1 $11,10 9 $10 ,994 $10 ,131 $5,415 $0 $5,0 0 0 $10 ,0 0 0 $15,0 0 0 $20 ,0 0 0 $25,0 0 0 $30 ,0 0 0 $35,0 0 0

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AVERAGE FRESHMAN NET PRICE

at SUNY institutions

Source: Estimates based on IPEDS Financial Aid, 2010-11

Binghamton Morrisville Purchase Geneseo Cobleskill Farmingdale Delhi Albany Maritime Fredonia Canton Cortland New Paltz Oneonta Alfred Old Westbury Buff State Potsdam Buffalo SUNY IT Stony Brook Oswego Brockport Empire State Plattsburgh ESF

$6 ,36 5 $6 ,24 0 $6 ,174 $6 ,123 $6 ,0 52 $6 ,0 12 $5,9 9 7 $5,9 8 6 $5,9 54 $5,9 52 $5,8 4 2 $5,8 31 $5,751 $5,74 2 $5,6 9 5 $5,6 0 6 $5,58 9 $5,4 58 $5,4 15 $5,38 0 $5,373 $5,28 4 $5,217 $5,18 0 $5,0 8 4 $4 ,18 1

$0 $1,0 0 0 $2,0 0 0 $3,0 0 0 $4 ,0 0 0 $5,0 0 0 $6,0 0 0 $7,0 0 0

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Source: Institutional Analysis; Acceptance Rate from Undergraduate Admissions

FRESHMAN ENTRY COHORT QUALITY AND ACCEPTANCE RATE

1150 1145 1140 1145 1150 1165 1160 1155 1155 1120 1140 1160 118 0

Median SAT

56% 56% 55% 51% 52% 52% 51% 53% 57% 48 % 50 % 52% 54% 56% 58 % F0 4 F0 5 F0 6 F0 7 F0 8 F0 9 F10 F11 F12

Acceptance Rate

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INTERNATIONAL ENROLLMENT (Regular Enrollm ent, F1 Visas Only)

3,0 49 2,8 95 3,0 8 7 3,218 3,221 3,528 3,725 3,6 8 6 3,9 16 1,9 79 1,8 22 1,9 53 1,9 96 1,9 0 0 2,0 72 2,138 2,16 0 2,275 1,0 70 1,0 73 1,134 1,222 1,321 1,4 56 1,58 7 1,526 1,6 41 50 0 1,0 0 0 1,50 0 2,0 0 0 2,50 0 3,0 0 0 3,50 0 4 ,0 0 0 4 ,50 0 20 0 4 20 0 5 20 0 6 20 0 7 20 0 8 20 0 9 20 10 20 11 20 12

Total Graduate Undergraduate

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Source: Institutional Analysis

DEGREE ATTAINMENT

Undergraduate

69%70 %70 % 73% 70 %70 % 71% 70 %70 %

0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 6 0 7 0 8 0 9

1st to 4 th Year Retention

35%36% 39% 40 % 42%43% 47%46%45%47%

9 9 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 6 0 7 0 8

4-Year Graduation Rate

58 %60 %59% 61% 63%65%65% 67% 71%

9 7 9 8 9 9 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5

6-Year Graduation Rate

8 5%8 5% 8 8 %8 7%8 7%8 7% 8 9 %8 8 %8 8 %8 7%

0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 6 0 7 0 8 0 9 10 11

1st to 2 nd Year Retention

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100 130 134 135 140 145 156 176 180 194 206 184 153 167 182 203 214 211 181 167 149 149 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 2002/ 03 2003/ 04 2004/ 05 2005/ 06 2006/ 07 2007/ 08 2008/ 09 2009/ 10 2010/ 11 2011/ 12 2012/ 13

TUITION $ STATE TAX $

FINANCIAL CONTEXT

State Tax Funds Plus UB Tuition Revenue

$ in m illions

Source: Financial Services

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FACULTY AND STAFF TURNOVER

State PSR Only

Source: Human Resources

370 353 30 0 30 3 463 277 $20 .1M $20 .3M $18 .4M $18 .3M $30 .5M $20 .6M 0 6-0 7 0 7-0 8 0 8 -0 9 0 9-10 10 -11 11-12 FTE Dollars

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FINANCIAL CONTEXT

Endowm ent Market Value

20 0 3/ 0 4 – 20 11/ 12

$ in m illions

Source: University at Buffalo Foundation

4 28 .1 4 6 3.2 4 9 9 .6 56 6 .4 535.6 4 10 .5 4 28 .9 4 9 4 .8 511.0

10 0 20 0 30 0 4 0 0 50 0 60 0

20 0 3/ 0 4 20 0 4 / 0 5 20 0 5/ 0 6 20 0 6 / 0 7 20 0 7/ 0 8 20 0 8 / 0 9 20 0 9 / 10 20 10 / 11 20 11/ 12 State Held UBF

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FINANCIAL CONTEXT

Fundraising

20 0 4/ 0 5 – 20 11/ 12

$ in m illions

Source: Development & Alumni Relations

27.8 29 .0 26 .9 34 .2 24 .1 25.6 32.7 6 8 .1 26 .5 33.0 29 .9 4 7.2 25.4 30 .4 76 .6 52.0 $0 $10 $20 $30 $4 0 $50 $6 0 $70 $8 0 $9 0 20 0 4 / 0 5 20 0 5/ 0 6 20 0 6 / 0 7 20 0 7/ 0 8 20 0 8 / 0 9 20 0 9 / 10 20 10 / 11 20 11/ 12

Collections Commitments Linear (Collections)

33

COMPOSITE FINANCIAL INDEX

CFI Scale

1 5 10 4.7 UB

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KEY BRIEFINGS II

The Challenges

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CHALLENGES

• Tim e to Start Thinking: Am erica in the Age of Descent
• The Im pact of the Internet
• NYS Top Level Policy Directions
• NY SUNY20 20 Expectations
• Faculty Hiring Trends
• Research Growth Trends
• Other NY/ SUNY
• Meeting Enrollm ent Goals
• Infrastructure Needs

36

AMERICA IN DECLINE

• Econom ic Decline – US %
• f global econom y
• 31% - 2000
• 23.5% - 2012
• 17% - 2025
• Com placency and inaction
• Top 0.01 fam ilies – 37% of grow th

since 2009

• Shrinking core industries
• Globalization/ technology – few er jobs
• Hollow ing of m iddle class
• K-12 – no pathw ay to social m obility
• Student indebtedness
• Casinos – m etaphor for intellectual

bankruptcy

REMEDIES AND LESSONS

• Build econom ic

com petitiveness

• Fix K-12
• Maintain universal access

to 12-16+ by m anaging educational costs

• Im prove educational
• utcom es – reassert role

and value of public higher education

Tim e to Start Thinking: Am erica in the Age of Descent

An Interview with Edward Luce

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Tim e To Start Thinking: Am erica in the Age of Descent

Questions for UB

• How to contribute to a national com petitiveness agenda?
• How to help the K-12 problem ?
• How to balance access and rising tuition?
• How to becom e m ore productive and cost-effective?

38

PEW RESEARCH CENTER

Sum m ary

• New teaching m ethods
• Less uniform ity in degree content
• Bricks replaced by clicks
• Collaborative education and peer to peer learning
• Com petency credentialing and certification
• Degree custom ization will not be widespread, or will it?

39

NEW YORK STATE

Top Level Policy Directions Im pacting UB

• Elim inate “m arbleized” cost escalators
• Collective bargaining agreem ents
• Reduce debt financing – SUNY 25% of NYS capital budget (08-13)
• Econom ic developm ent - REDC and the Buffalo $1B
• NYSUNY 20 20 expectations – im pact on a political

calendar

• Cam pus autonom y not on radar

40

Faculty Hiring Trends

20 0 6/ 0 7– 20 16/ 17

Source: Human Resources

20 4 0 6 0 8 0 10 0 120

0 6 / 0 7 0 7/ 0 8 0 8 / 0 9 0 9 / 10 10 / 11 11/ 12 12/ 13 13/ 14 14 / 15 15/ 16 16 / 17 Current Hiring Trend Three-Year Plan Projections 1 NYSUNY 20 20 Expectation

GAP

1 Three-Year Plan projections include hiring required to maintain current faculty levels.

41

FACULTY SALARY COMPARISON

Source: IPEDS Faculty Salaries, Fall 2011

$129K $8 8 K $78 K $135K $93K $77K Professor Associate Assistant AAU Public Median Buffalo

42

STARTUP PACKAGES FOR SELECTED DISCIPLINES

Source: Ehrenberg, R. G., Rizzo, M. J., & Condie, S. S. (2003). Start-up costs in American research universities (CHERI Working Paper #33). Adjusted to 2011 dollars using HEPI.

$- $20 0 ,0 0 0 $4 0 0 ,0 0 0 $60 0 ,0 0 0 $8 0 0 ,0 0 0 $1,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 $1,20 0 ,0 0 0 $1,40 0 ,0 0 0 $1,60 0 ,0 0 0 PHY BIO CHEM ENG Assistant Professor Professor

43

UB NYSUNY 20 20

Faculty Hiring Sum m ary

• Strategic Strength Initiative has preserved strength
• Pace of hiring m ust increase
• New strategic paradigm and accelerated hiring

process required

• Com petitiveness in hiring needs further exam ination
• Faculty salaries are com petitive
• Ability to pay start up costs depends on pace
• Must study space use and need
• Capital budget outcom e critical

44

FEDERAL R&D OUTLOOK

($ in billions)

Source: NSF Higher Education R&D Survey & 2012 Global R&D Funding Forecast (Battelle)

$30 .4 $31.3 $32.6 $36.5 $36.9 $37.6 $38 .0 $38 .8 $39.9 $40 .7 $41.6 $34.6 $31.8 $29.3 $29.3 $29.3 20 0 7 20 0 8 20 0 9 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15 20 16 20 17

• ARRA funds provided one-time bump
• Budget deficit and political gridlock

will restrict federally funded R&D in coming years

• Sequestration could lead to large cuts

in R&D funding

45

SUNY PROJECTIONS

Sponsored Program Revenue

Actual Projections Projections Projections % 20 11 20 13 20 15 20 17 Change Federal $412 $415 $396 $406 (1.4%) Federal Flow Through 163 147 150 155 (4.9%) State 187 155 107 109 (41.7%) Private/ Other 179 248 291 307 71.2% $941 $964 $944 $976 3.8 %

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NYSUNY 20 20

Research Goals and Cam pus Plans

$217 $19 5 $173

$10 0 $125 $150 $175 $20 0 $225 0 4 / 0 5 0 5/ 0 6 0 6 / 0 7 0 7/ 0 8 0 8 / 0 9 0 9 / 10 10 / 11 11/ 12 12/ 13 13/ 14 14/ 15 15/ 16 16/ 17

3-Year Plan Proj.1 NYSUNY 20 20 Expectation

GAP

1 Three-Year Plan projections are extended beyond the end of the plans at the average rate of growth between 2012/ 13 and 2014/ 15.

Current Trend

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UB NYSUNY 20 20

Research Growth Sum m ary

• Hiring success reduces teaching load
• Lag tim e from hire to funding
• Federal funding outlook – increased m arket

share to stay still, m uch less grow

• New paradigm for research developm ent?

48

NYSUNY 20 20

Other Issues

• “Will” to increase tuition
• Actual vs. planned enrollm ent – revenue shortfalls
• Key infrastructure needs

49

NYSUNY 20 20 , SUNY RESOURCE ALLOCATION and UB Enrollm ents

Window of funding opportunity afforded by Governor and the Chancellor m eans that Achieving Enrollm ent Goals is Essential

Planned Tuition/ Tax Revenue Growth Funds for Faculty Hiring Research Expansion Econom ic Im pact

If we are not successful, the window will close

50

UNDERGRADUATE ENROLLMENT

Source: Official Enrollment, includes full- and part-time regular enrollment.

PLAN

3,215 3,170 3,38 9 3,18 4 3,16 6 3,19 7 3,157 3,0 71 3,4 16 3,26 5 3,26 5 3,26 5 1,6 9 5 1,731 1,718 1,78 6 1,8 9 7 1,8 24 1,9 30 1,74 8 1,731 1,9 55 1,9 55 1,9 55

1,0 0 0 2,0 0 0 3,0 0 0 4 ,0 0 0 5,0 0 0 20 0 4 20 0 5 20 0 6 20 0 7 20 0 8 20 0 9 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15 Freshman Transfer Continuing/ Returning

12,8 4 9 13,0 20 13,0 35 13,170 13,0 6 0 13,26 4 12,9 9 9 12,6 4 5 12,70 2 13,0 75 13,0 75 13,0 75

10 ,0 0 0 11,0 0 0 12,0 0 0 13,0 0 0 14 ,0 0 0 15,0 0 0

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High school graduates projected to decline ~ 7% through 20 20

PROJECTED NYS HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATES

18 1,6 0 4 176 ,228 171,8 4 6 170 ,313 16 6 ,9 75 16 8 ,312 16 7,726 171,38 4 16 8 ,16 9

20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15 20 16 20 17 20 18 20 19 20 20

52

PROJECTED CHANGES IN HS GRADUATES FROM OTHER KEY STATES

PA

• 6 .0 %

NJ 0 .3% CA

• 0 .5%

OH

• 3.1%

FL

• 6 .1%

MI

• 10 .1%

MA

• 3.9 %

CT

• 5.3%

MD

• 1.0 %

IL 0 .5%

53

PROJECTED DECLINE IN APPLICATIONS

Applications to UB projected to decline ~ 6% by 20 20

21,246 20 ,74 6 20 ,327 20 ,0 4 9 19 ,70 2 19 ,90 8 19 ,8 54 20 ,28 4 19 ,98 2 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15 20 16 20 17 20 18 20 19 20 20

54

PIPELINE FOR STUDENTS TRANSFERRING FROM ANOTHER NYS INSTITUTION

82% of students transferring from SUNY/CUNY or a NYS private institution also resided in NYS

Not NYS Institution 12% NYS Com m unity College 44% SUNY/ CUNY 4-Year 22% NYS Private 22%

55

SUNY COMMUNITY COLLEGE

Freshm an Enrollm ents

*-preliminary estimate

Source: NYSED ORIS, First-time, Full-time Enrollments

37,468 37,0 90 38 ,8 8 6 41,0 94 42,740 46,135 46,773 44,161 41,50 0

30 ,0 0 0 32,0 0 0 34 ,0 0 0 36,0 0 0 38 ,0 0 0 4 0 ,0 0 0 4 2,0 0 0 4 4 ,0 0 0 4 6,0 0 0 4 8 ,0 0 0 50 ,0 0 0 Fall 20 0 4 Fall 20 0 5 Fall 20 0 6 Fall 20 0 7 Fall 20 0 8 Fall 20 0 9 Fall 20 10 Fall 20 11 Fall 20 12*

56

ENROLLMENT IMPACT OF DEMOGRAPHICS AND SUCCESS IN FINISH IN 4

Source: Office of Institutional Analysis projections based on demographic trends and historical transfer student enrollment draw.

137 258 38 5 50 3 4 99 54 5 527 6 17 10 0 20 0 30 0 4 0 0 50 0 6 0 0 70 0 Fall '13 Fall '14 Fall '15 Fall '16 Fall '17 Fall '18 Fall '19 Fall '20

57

GRADUATE ENROLLMENT

Source: Official Enrollment, includes full- and part-time regular enrollment.

58

ONE-YEAR PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN NEW GRADUATE ENROLLMENTS 20 11

Source: Council of Graduate Schools.

59

IS OUT-OF-STATE ENROLLMENT INCREASE POSSIBLE?

New Students: % of In-State

Source: Official Enrollment, includes full- and part-time regular enrollment, undergraduate combines freshman and transfers.

69% 69% 63% 63% 65% 63% 63% 66% 65% 90 % 8 8 % 8 8 % 8 6% 8 6% 8 5% 8 5% 8 9% 8 7%

0 % 10 % 20 % 30 % 4 0 % 50 % 6 0 % 70 % 8 0 % 9 0 % 10 0 % 20 0 4 20 0 5 20 0 6 20 0 7 20 0 8 20 0 9 20 10 20 11 20 12

Graduate Undergraduate

60

REVENUE PER STUDENT UNDER NEW SUNY BUDGET MODEL

Tuition, Fees & State Support

Source: Estimates based on enrollment patterns of students in majors, Fall 2011.

61

ENROLLMENT

Top-Level Issues

• Enrollm ent m anagem ent capacity
• Enrollm ent plan developm ent
• Affordability plans
• Maintaining enrollm ent and budget linkage
• Investm ent in student experience
• Im pact of the internet – UB’s posture regarding online

education

62

BUILDING COMMUNITY RELATIONSHIPS

• South Cam pus and University Heights
• K-12 and the Buffalo Public Schools
• The Medical School Relocation – Stakeholder Engagem ent
• McCarley Gardens Acquisition
• UB/ Town of Am herst Relationship
• Student Housing Developm ent – on-cam pus v. off-cam pus

63

INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS NEED

Enrollm ent Managem ent Business Services, Inform ation System s & Reporting Developm ent Program Library Managem ent & Com m unications/ and Marketing Branding

Physical

(Building/ IT Services)

Student Services Fundraising Athletics Environm ents & Acquisitions Research Grant

64

A NEWCOMER’S OBSERVATIONS

65

STRENGTHS

• New leadership team
• Good financial health
• Low tuition
• Low debt
• Low student indebtedness
• State hold harm less
• SUNY m odel favorable
• Strong cash position
• Ability to plan, hire, invest
• NYSUNY 20 20 and the Medical School initiative
• The Buffalo $1B
• Window of com parative national advantage

UB in 20 12

A NEWCOMER’S OBSERVATIONS A Window of Com petitive Opportunity

66

UB in 20 12

A NEWCOMER’S OBSERVATIONS A Window of Com petitive Opportunity CONCERNS

• 3 Year plans can be m ore aggressive
• Hiring plans not clearly directed to institutional priorities
• Inadequate cross-university coordination (e.g.; enrollm ent planning,

research center developm ent)

• NYSUNY 20 20 expectations
• Must study costs/ efficiency/ productivity
• Weakness in key infrastructures
• Constraints on public/ private partnerships
• NYS posture on capital investm ent

67

OPPORTUNITY

• Create a focused hiring strategy
• Accelerate faculty hiring process
• Create effective cross-university decision and im plem entation

structures

• Diversify sources research sponsorship
• Optim ize available resources
• Think together as 1 institution
• Answer the question and follow through: what m akes UB

distinctive?

UB in 20 12

A NEWCOMER’S OBSERVATIONS A Window of Com petitive Opportunity

68

The best response to both – answer the question:

W ha t m a kes UB d istinctiv e? OPPORTUNITY AND CHALLENGE

• Different ways of teaching
• Different ways of doing research
• Different ways of collaborating
• Different ways of engaging
• Attract better students
• Attract m ore funding
• Attract new sponsors
• Econom ic im pact
• Engage the com m unity in new ways

A New UB Brand What about organizing around key them es?