Two gas projects to nearly triple gas production by Dec 2018 (1) (1) - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Two gas projects to nearly triple gas production by Dec 2018 (1) (1) - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

September 2017 Two gas projects to nearly triple gas production by Dec 2018 (1) (1) From 85 230 MMcf/d, or 2.7x Forward Looking Statements Gas deficit This presentation may include certain forward looking statements. All statements other than


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SLIDE 1

September 2017

Two gas projects to nearly triple gas production by Dec 2018(1)

(1) From 85 → 230 MMcf/d, or 2.7x

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SLIDE 2

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Forward Looking Statements

This presentation may include certain forward looking statements. All statements

  • ther than statements of historical fact, included herein, including, without

limitation, statements regarding future plans and objectives of Canacol Energy

  • Ltd. (“Canacol” or the “Corporation”), are forward‐looking statements that

involve various risks, assumptions, estimates, and uncertainties. These statements reflect the current internal projections, expectations or beliefs of Canacol and are based on information currently available to the Corporation. There can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be accurate, and actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. All of the forward looking statements contained in this presentation are qualified by these cautionary statements and the risk factors described above. Furthermore, all such statements are made as of the date this presentation is given and Canacol assumes no obligation to update or revise these statements. Barrels of Oil Equivalent Barrels of oil equivalent (boe) is calculated using the conversion factor of 5.7 Mcf (thousand cubic feet) of natural gas being equivalent to one barrel of oil. Boes may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of 5.7 Mcf:1 bbl (barrel) is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Production and Reserves Production represents net before royalty Reserves represent 2P reserves and before tax NPV‐10 as of December 31, 2016 USD All dollar amounts are shown in US dollars, unless indicated otherwise

Ecuador 140 280 420 560 Km

  • S. Pacific Ocean

Natural Gas

Colombia

20 blocks / 2.2 MM net acres

Light oil Light oil Shale oil Shale oil

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Heavy oil Gas deficit

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SLIDE 3
  • ‘17 corporate production guidance
  • ↑ gas production

85 → 130 MMcf/d (Dec ’17 exit)

  • Fully funded capex

$89 MM

  • Production

18‐19k boepd % gas 81%

  • ‘18 gas production guidance
  • ↑ gas production

130 → 230 MMcf/d (Dec ’18 exit)

(1) Includes in‐the‐money options based on CDN $4.04 / share price ~140 MM shares in the float (2) Converted from CDN → USD exchange rate (0.825) as of 9/12/17 (3) As of 6/30/17

FOCUS: The Path To ~$300 MM EBITDA

In MM, except CDN $/share amounts TSX $/share (9/12/17) CDN $4.04 Fully diluted shares outstanding(1) 177 Market capitalization(2) US $590 Net debt(3) $230 Enterprise value US $820 Insider ownership 22%

3

TSX: CNE | BVC: CNE.C

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SLIDE 4

Strong Track Record Of Asset Optimization

Added 314 BCF in 2P reserves over the trailing 3‐yrs.

  • A conventional gas success story
  • Recent 2P NPV‐10

$1.2 B(2)

  • Gas exploration success

8/9 wells (89%)

  • 1P / 2P reserve

166% / replacement 194% y/y

  • Avg. F&D cost

$0.44 / MCF(3)

  • The lowest cost gas operator always wins

In US dollars unless otherwise noted (1) Represents before tax corporate total (oil + natural gas) 2P reserves value as of 12/31/16 (2) Represents before tax natural gas only 2P reserves value as of 12/31/16 (3) Average over the trailing 2‐yr. period

35 43

17 20 65 72 7 8 11 18 18 23 14 13 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16

79

85 +52% CAGR in 2P reserves

Gas

In MMboe(1)

  • il gas

4 For the 3 months ended 6/30/17

$ / MCF % margin Natural gas revenues $ 4.96 Royalties $ (0.64) 13% Production expenses $ (0.36) 7% Operating netback $ 3.96 80%

85% gas

Oil

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SLIDE 5

Caribbean Sea

Chuchupa Ballena

Canacol gas blocks Gas pipeline ‘17 pipeline ‘18 pipeline

La Creciente

Cartagena Barranquilla

Jobo facility

Sabanas

Pipeline Co.

+40 MMcf/d 130 MMcf/d

Dec ‘17

  • $40 MM pipeline; announced $30 MM

private financing

  • In Aug ‘17, build 6‐in. pipeline Jobo →

Sincelejo

  • Twin Jobo → Sincelejo pipeline
  • Construct new pipeline Cartagena→

Barranquilla

+100 MMcf/d 230 MMcf/d

Dec ‘18

Filadelfia Paiva Caracoli

Compressor 10 km Gas field

Reficar

1 2

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Two Gas Projects To Nearly Triple Gas Production By Dec ‘18

1 2

8 gas fields 5 blocks 1.1 MM net acres

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SLIDE 6

Lower Magdalena Basin

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Chuchupa Ballena La Creciente 477 432 381 337 299 265 25 75 85 138 230 230

200 400 600 '15 '16 '17E '18E '19E '20E

3 mature producing fields

Chuchupa, Ballena, & La Creciente

Excess demand

Caribbean Sea

Canacol’s Sweet Spot

Replacing Chevron’s gas supply to the Caribbean

  • Gas demand

+3%/yr. through 2025e(1) supply ‐20%/yr. decline ongoing

  • r ‐100 MMcf/d(2)
  • Excess demand ~70 MMcf/d avg. → ‘20e

(1)Source: Wood Mackenzie and UPME Colombia estimates (2) Average annual decline for the trailing 3 years

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SLIDE 7

X

Nelson

Esperanza VIM 5 SSJN7 VIM 19 Sincelejo

Oboe Trombon

VIM 21

Palmer

1

(1) As of Dec ‘16 reserve reports, net of ~50 BCF produced (2) Gaffney, Cline & Associates (“GCA”)prospective conventional natural gas resource report, effective Dec ‘16 (3) Expected Monetary Value discounted at 10%, GCA Dec ‘16 Legend Gas field Prospects / leads Facilities Existing pipeline Sabanas planned pipeline (12/1/17) Promigas planned pipeline (12/1/18) 20 km

Strong base production and reserves 3 acquisitions ('12‐'14) 96 BCF Trailing 3‐yr. 2P reserve adds 314 BCF Recent 2p reserves 410 BCF (1) Gas exploration success 8/9 wells (89%) Producing wells 14 Large resource upside Net acres 1.1 MM Blocks 5 Gross mean unrisked resources 2 TCF (2) BT EMV‐10 US $789 MM (3) Prospects / leads 44

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  • Canacol Gas

2

Canahuate Jobo ’17 Cañandonga‐1 ’17 Pandereta‐1 ’17 Gaitero‐1

A Conventional Natural Gas Success Story

3 exploration wells left for 2017

Clarinete Nispero Toronja

Bremen

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SLIDE 8

AVO Reduces Exploration Risk

Discovered 314 BCF from 8 gas fields over the trailing 3‐yrs.

2.5 KM PANDERETA‐1 OBOE‐1 FEB ‘16 CLARINETE‐1 Dec ‘14 ACORDEON‐1

Tubara Marker Lower Tubara Mid Miocene / Top CDO Upper CDO Mid CDO Basal CDO

1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200 2.400

PANDERETA‐1

  • Applying AVO technology to gas‐

charged sandstones

  • Exploration success

8‐for‐9 (89%)

  • Avg. net pay/well

78 ft. TVD

  • Avg. test rate/well

33 MMcf/d

  • Producers

14 wells

  • >2 TCF of running room(1)

The hunt for repeatable anomalies

AVO extraction over the Mid CDO Fluid Factor (AVO) section (1) Represents gross unrisked mean resources from the Gaffney, Cline & Associates prospective gas resource report, effective Dec ‘16

CLARINETE‐1 8

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SLIDE 9

Drilling For Repeatable Anomalies In The Porquero

Jun ’17: Toronja‐1 exploration well tested 46 MMcf/d

NELSON‐5 NELSON‐4 NELSON‐3 NELSON‐8 PALMER‐1

2 1

Mid Porquero time structure

1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2.000 2,200 2.400

Basement Intra Porquero Top CDO

Fluid Factor (AVO) section 1KM

  • Tested 46 MMcf/d
  • Exploration target

Porquero reservoir sandstones

  • Well cost

41% below budget

  • Work underway to tie Toronja into Jobo (3 kms)
  • Porosity

20%

NELSON‐2 PORQUERO

2 1

NELSON‐6 Nov ‘16 TORONJA‐1 Jun ‘17

Esperanza SSJN7 VIM 5 VIM 21

VIM 19

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SLIDE 10

Toronja‐1 Suggests Much More In Store For The Porquero

  • Nov ’16 Nelson‐6 spelled opportunity
  • Net pay

39 ft. TVD

  • Tested

23 MMcf/d

  • Dec ‘16 Nelson‐5 Porquero recompletion ↑ confidence
  • Net pay

79 ft. TVD

  • Tested

13 MMcf/d

  • Jun ‘17 Toronja‐1 says more running room…
  • Tested

46 MMcf/d

  • Aranadala‐1, Breva‐1, Carambolo‐1 offer 3 follow‐up

exploration locations

TORONJA‐1 BREVA‐1 ARANDALA‐1 CARAMBOLO‐1

1 KM AVO extraction over Mid Porquero SST marker

NELSON‐5 NELSON‐6

Nelson‐5, Nelson‐6 added 25 Bcf from the Porquero Formation(1)

SSJN7 VIM 5 VIM 21

VIM 19

Esperanza

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(1) Represents 2P reserves as of Dec ‘16 reserve report

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SLIDE 11

Pandereta‐1 Exploration Target

  • Estimated spud October 2017
  • Exploration target

Cienaga de Oro reservoir sandstones

  • Drill & test / Depth $5.5 MM / ~9k ft. MD
  • Days to drill/test

5 weeks

  • 13 km from Clarinete discovery
  • On success, rapid tie‐in to 6” flow‐line

connecting Clarinete to Jobo

1KM Fluid Factor (AVO) section

1,500 1,700 1,900 2,100 2,300

SSJN7 VIM 5 VIM 21

VIM 19

Esperanza

11

2 1 Basement Top Basal Top Red Top Blue Mid Miocene / Top CDO Lower Tubara Marker Tubara Marker

2KM

1 2

Mid CDO time structure

Pandereta‐1 Pandereta‐1

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SLIDE 12

NELSON‐5 NELSON‐4 NELSON‐3 NELSON‐2

Cañandonga‐1 Exploration Well | 3 Potential Pay Zones

4 km (1) Includes Arianna and Palmer fields (not pictured on map)

Nelson Field 193 BCF

  • On strong structural trend
  • Canacol fields

240 BCF(1)

  • Nelson, Nispero & Trombon
  • Formerly producing fields

378 BCF

  • Castor, Sucre, Tablon
  • Cañandonga‐1 spud Nov 2017
  • Fault dependent closure
  • Stacked multi‐zone objectives

(CDO, Porquero, Tubara)

  • AVO‐supported new play in Tubara sandstones
  • Drill & test / Depth $5.5 MM / ~10k ft. MD

Jobo Station Sucre Sucre S

Castor N

Tablon

Castor S

Flow line NISPERO‐1 TROMBON‐1

Cañandonga‐1

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SLIDE 13

Aim To Deliver 230 MMcf/d By 2018 Exit

Only 3 wells or $18 MM to maintain 230 MMcf/d

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  • 85 MMcf/d today
  • Today ‐ 13 gas wells producing

85 MMcf/d

  • Wells choked back
  • Potential ‐ 13 gas wells producing

130 MMcf/d

  • To 130 MMcf/d to exit 2017
  • Drill 2 more wells

~$12 MM

  • Debottleneck gathering systems

$5 MM

  • Additional flowlines

$12 MM

  • To 230 MMcf/d to exit 2018
  • Drill 5‐7 wells

~$30 ‐ $42 MM

  • +50 MMcf/d of processing capacity ~$10 ‐ $15 MM
  • Additional flowlines

$10 ‐ $12 MM

Construction of the new Sabanas pipeline project, Sep 2017

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SLIDE 14

Spend ~$40 MM To +40 MMcf/d in Dec ‘17

→ 130 → 230 MMcf/d in Dec ‘18

Jobo Station La Union Station San Luis Station

Sincelejo

Bremen Station

20 m

VIM 19 SSJN 7 VIM 21 Esperanza VIM 5

Promigas

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  • Building 84 km Sabanas pipeline +

2 compressor stations

  • ~42 MMcf/d flow line capacity to Bremen
  • Utilizing state‐of‐the‐art flexible steel pipe
  • Flex pipe requires no welding and optimal

construction (2km of pipe/day)

  • IN PROGRESS ‐ deployment of flowline + civil

works for compressor station sites

  • $40.6 MM budget

Caribbean Sea Pipeline $12.4 EPC pipeline $11.8 Customs & transport $6.8 Envrionmental & social $4.2 Other $4.4

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SLIDE 15

+49% CAGR in gas production

MMcf/d

Outlook

85 → 130 → 230 MMcf/d

70 85 130 230

60 100 140 180 220

'16 '17 '17 exit '18 exit forecast '16 '19e $135 ~$300

Substantial liquidity enables execution

US $ in MM

2Q ‘17 net debt $230 MM ‘19e ebitda ~$300 MM

  • Senior secured term loan
  • Credit Suisse + syndicate / L+5.50%
  • No re‐determination if oil prices fall
  • Mar ’19 → Mar ’22

~$22 MM of principal payments for 13 consecutive quarters

  • For the remainder of 2017e:
  • Drill 3 more gas exploration wells
  • Completion of Sabanas flow line

15

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SLIDE 16
  • > 2.3 trillion oil barrels in S.A. has La Luna source rock
  • Source: 2010 Journal of Petroleum Geology
  • 1.7 M acres of La Luna fairway in Colombia
  • Source: 2013 U.S. EIA study
  • Canacol blocks

5

  • Gross / net acres

625k / 371k

  • Canacol’s VMM 2 and VMM 3 offer over pressured, Tier 1

acreage in the La Luna fairway

  • Gross/net acres

159k / 32k

  • Operating partner

ConocoPhillips

  • Solid results from multiple fracs in the latest well (Pico Plata)
  • Potential prize: 1.9 B barrels of net mean OOIP(1)
  • Source: DeGolyer & McNaughton unconventional oil

prospective resource report, Oct ’14

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Canacol’s Acreage Is Colombia’s Shale Oil Sweet Spot

VMM 2 VMM 3

(1) Pro forma for the relinquishment of the Santa Isabel block DeGolyer & McNaughton (“D&M”) Resource Report as of 6/30/14. D&M provided mean estimates of Original Oil In Place (OOIP). These estimates have not been adjusted for the probability of geologic success. 10 km Wells Oil fields Canacol wells

Mono Araña

Normal pressure Over pressured

Tier 1

% Vro 0.6‐1.2

Mono Capuchino Pico Plata Tier 2

% Vro >0.6

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SLIDE 17

PicoPlata‐1 Vertical Unconventional Well

  • Operated By Conoco
  • VMM3 gross acres

83k

  • Canacol WI

20%

  • La Luna shales
  • Gross thickness

1369 ft.

  • Net pay

866 ft.

  • Avg. porosity

10%

  • Jan 2017, 3 successful fracs
  • Highly over pressured
  • All fracture treatment successfully placed
  • Induced fractures grow in height (125 ‐ 200 ft.)
  • Variable flow rates 60 – 500 bopd (no water)
  • 31 ̊ API gravity oil

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Frac #3

SALADA A GALEMBO D‐1 GALEMBO C

Frac #2 Frac #1

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SLIDE 18

Contact

Carolina Orozco Director, Investor Relations 44 (0) 755.537.3873 corozco@canacolenergy.com Kevin Flick VP, Investor Relations 214.235.4798 kflick@canacolenergy.com Phil Heinrich Investor Relations Manager 403.561.1648 pheinrich@canacolenergy.com

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