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Tredyffrin/E edyffrin/Eas asttown School School Di Distri rict ct El Elemen ementary En Enrollme ment nt Hi Histor ory and and Fu Future Projections ojections Fall 2019 Total Elementary School Enrollment Historical Data (15 Years)


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SLIDE 1

Tredyffrin/E edyffrin/Eas asttown School School Di Distri rict ct El Elemen ementary En Enrollme ment nt Hi Histor

  • ry and

and Fu Future Projections

  • jections

Fall 2019

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SLIDE 2

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

1,887 1,942 2,021 2,096 2,145 2,166 2,126 2,101 2,073 2,077 2,138 2,190 2,233 2,268 2,326

Total Elementary School Enrollment ‐ Historical Data (15 Years) Total Elementary School Enrollment – Past 10 Years

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

2,291 2,343 2,336 2,402 2,424 2,426 2,429 2,400 2,501 2,544

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SLIDE 3

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Beaumont 331

358 374 382 411 437 426 440 425 397 421 449 444 455 458

Devon

366 374 386 364 348 352 358 337 362 381 393 409 443 456 523

Hillside

398 398 407 447 470 465 442 442 430 431 437 452 463 460 435

New Eagle

397 411 424 437 448 450 438 425 406 412 405 409 414 431 456

Valley Forge

395 401 430 466 468 462 462 457 450 456 482 471 469 466 454

Elementary School Enrollment by Building – Historical Data (15 Years)

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SLIDE 4

Elementary School Enrollment by Building – Last 10 Years

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Beaumont

438 437 425 419 387 401 404 392 475 513

Devon

525 535 526 544 577 592 585 603 500 478

Hillside

448 451 458 471 472 434 441 423 473 455

New Eagle

435 438 418 429 415 441 467 480 486 533

Valley Forge

445 482 509 539 573 558 532 502 567 565

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SLIDE 5

Elementary School Enrollment by Building – 5 Year Projection Demographer’s Report dated 11/1/2019

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Beaumont

540 576 588 608 577

Devon

460 470 454 461 466

Hillside

451 455 448 451 455

New Eagle

534 534 550 553 538

Valley Forge

595 630 636 623 630

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SLIDE 6

Elementary Core Inventories 2019‐2020

Available Classrooms Available Seminar Rooms

Beaumont

26 4

Devon

27 9

Hillside

26 5

New Eagle

26 8

Valley Forge

28 7

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SLIDE 7

Special Programming

School Program Net Classrooms Beaumont

Language Class, Autistic Support 1

Devon

CCIU Early Intervention Class 1

Hillside

Autistic Support 4

New Eagle

Emotional Support 1

Valley Forge Life Skills

1

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SLIDE 8

Descriptions for Color Coding

Color Details

Green Enrollment has little or no impact on program delivery (Less than or equal to 525 Students) Yellow Enrollment has potential for minimal impact on program delivery (526‐569 Students) Orange Enrollment has minimal impact on program delivery and will require additional resources (570‐614 Students) Red Enrollment has impact on program delivery, requires additional resources with potential for significant impact (Greater than or equal to 615 Students)

Red enrollments can be mitigated and managed if only temporary and not present in several schools.

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SLIDE 9

What Red Enrollment Does Not Mean:

  • Building Capacity is reached
  • Schools won’t be able to operate
  • Students will have a poor experience
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SLIDE 10

Elementary School Enrollment by Building – Historical Data (15 Years)

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Beaumont

331 358 374 382 411 437 426 440 425 397 421 449 444 455 458

Devon

366 374 386 364 348 352 358 337 362 381 393 409 443 456 523

Hillside

398 398 407 447 470 465 442 442 430 431 437 452 463 460 435

New Eagle

397 411 424 437 448 450 438 425 406 412 405 409 414 431 456

Valley Forge 395

401 430 466 468 462 462 457 450 456 482 471 469 466 454

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SLIDE 11

Elementary School Enrollment by Building – Last 10 Years

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Beaumont

438 437 425 419 387 401 404 392 475 513

Devon

525 535 526 544 577 592 585 603 500 478

Hillside

448 451 458 471 472 434 441 423 473 455

New Eagle

435 438 418 429 415 441 467 480 486 533

Valley Forge

445 482 509 539 573 558 532 502 567 565

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SLIDE 12

Elementary School Enrollment by Building – 5 Year Projection Demographer’s Report dated 11/1/2019

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Beaumont

540 576 588 608 577

Devon

460 470 454 461 466

Hillside

451 455 448 451 455

New Eagle

534 534 550 553 538

Valley Forge

595 630 636 623 630

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SLIDE 13

Strategies

  • 1. Maximize Footprint / Maintain Status Quo
  • 2. Add on / Expand Current Facilities
  • 3. Redistrict
  • 4. Build a New School
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SLIDE 14

5 Year Projection of Elementary Average – Demographer’s Report 11/1/2019

Year:

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Elementary Average:

516 533 535 539 533

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SLIDE 15

377 388 404 419 429 433 425 420 415 415 428 438 447 454 465

340 360 380 400 420 440 460 480 500 520

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Average Elementary School Enrollment – Historical Data (15 Years)

Students Year

Green = Less Than or equal to 525 Students Orange = 570‐614 Students Yellow =526‐569 Students Red = Greater than or equal to 615 Students

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SLIDE 16

Green = Less Than or equal to 525 Students Orange = 570‐614 Students Yellow =526‐569 Students Red = Greater than or equal to 615 Students

Students Year

458 469 467 480 485 485 486 480 500 509

340 360 380 400 420 440 460 480 500 520

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Average Elementary School Enrollment – Past 10 Years

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SLIDE 17

Green = Less Than or equal to 525 Students Orange = 570‐614 Students Yellow =526‐569 Students Red = Greater than or equal to 615 Students

516 533 535 539 533

340 390 440 490 540

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

5 Year Projection ‐ Elementary Average ‐ (Demographer's Data 11/1/2019)