THNS Forum 2011 November 6 GREBERT Jean RENAULT New Mobility - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

THNS Forum 2011 November 6 GREBERT Jean RENAULT New Mobility & Alternative solutions in Metropolitan Regions DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT

SOMMAIRE 01 WORLDWIDE MOTORIZATION AS A MATTER OF FACT 02 TOWARDS COOPERATIVE CLOUD MOBILITY SYSTEMS 03 OPPORTUNITIES OF COOPERATION DIRECTION DE LA COMMUNICATION AVRIL 2010 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 2

Worldwide Motorization as a matter of fact DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 3

Growing personal mobility trends by region Average annual growth rate 2000-2050 2% former Soviet Union 2,1% Africa 2,3% India 2,9% Latin America 3% China by mode Source Mobility 2030 WBCSD DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 4

Main features � Motorization growth trend in fast growing countries � 600 cars / 1000 inhabitants in Europe, 800 in USA � 130 cars/ 1000 inh. In Brazil, 34 in China, 14 in India � If 184 cars/ 1000 inhabitants in China = the fleet of USA, 250 million cars (46 million of private cars in China and 38 in France) � Is car growth sustainable, desirable, even possible? � Massive population, high density levels, deficit of parking provision, … an unreliable challenge? � Public transport may not match the entire mobility demand, even if mass rapid transit corridors remain a priority � Have to be fed but they suffer from saturation as well as road congestion � New mobility services and alternative means able to provide intermediate needed solutions and implement sustainability � Ride-sharing, self-service systems, electro-mobility as significant contributions DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 5

Worldwide Two-wheelers & mopeds Worldwide Passenger cars Source: Worldmapper DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 6

A worldwide growth of Motorized two wheelers thousands 60000 800 745 700 50000 600 500 Fatalities 40000 400 333 305 300 200 30000 93 100 29 0 20000 Pedestrians Ciclysts Motorcyclists Occupants of No data Motocycles vehicles 10000 Traffic fatalities in Sao Paulo 0 1951 1956 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2-wheelers Cars, Jeeps, Taxis Buses Goods vehicles Others Source: Motor vehicle Statistics, Ministry of Road Transport and Highways,India Jakarta DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 7

Existing modes of the « public Transport supply chain » West Bengal, India Jakarta, Indonesia Surabaya, Indonesia DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 8

Asian Urban Patterns Jakarta, Gang Beijing Hutong, Lilong in Shanghai Bangkok Soi DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 9

Asian urban schemes with restricted access areas Surabaya 2 nd largest city of Indonesia DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 10

Parking provision at stake Parking optimization in Delhi Reshaping cities in western countries DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 11

The car use universal growing constraints Periphery of Shanghai: parking provision deficiency in the real estate planned projects ( according to european ratios and motorization rate) USAGE OF THE LAND 用地性 UNITS 单 SUGGESTED INDEX (DENSITY) 建议指标（密 质 位 度区） First Second Third Fourth District District District District Administration 0.6-0.8 0.6-0.8 0.6-0.8 0.6-0.8 Parking Place/100 square S>5000 Office meter square 0.3-0.5 0.4-0.6 0.4-0.6 0.3-0.5 办公 meter 车位 /100 平方米 Business Affaires 15000 〈 0.4-0.6 0.5-0.7 0.5-0.7 0.4-0.6 S<50000 S<15000 0.5-0.7 0.6-0.8 0.6-0.8 0.5-0.7 Parking Place/100 square S>40000 0.4-0.6 0.4-0.6 0.5-0.7 0.5-0.7 meter Market Place S<40000 0.5-0.7 0.5-0.7 0.6-0.8 0.6-0.8 Commerce Wholesaling Trading Place 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 商业 Large Super Market 0.7-1.0 0.8-1.2 1.0-1.5 1.0-1.5 Primary Goods Trading Place 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Average 0.25 0.25 0.3 0.3 S<80 Parking Place/Residence Residence Ordinary Residence 80<S<1 0.25-0.3 0.3-0.4 0.3-0.5 0.3-0.5 住宅 20 停车位 / 户 S>120 0.3-0.4 0.4-0.5 0.5-0.8 0.5-0.8 DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 12

Relationship between Density/ Motorization rate/ number of Taxis Densité Urbaine (habitants / hectare) Voitures/ 1000 habitants 350 400 350 300 300 250 250 200 200 150 150 100 100 50 50 0 0 o o a i i i i a n a r a h a o o l a i i i i i u b g b a n a i h n a h a l e l l r i e i b g b s a i i m u i h n t g j n l e l n i D i e P i s a i i m a r n e e t g j n a u n i D u P i r a r n e e o J a B h a B M u u C r a h C o J a B h e B M C a h C S D S e S D S o i o R i R Nombre de taxis / millions d'habitants 12 000 The number of taxis/inhabitants is 10 000 related to the 8 000 population density and inversely 6 000 correlated 4 000 to the motorization level 2 000 0 i i a o a n i o i a h a a i l b g r b l l u h e n i i i i s a e m t g j D n i i a P n r e n e u u r a B h o a B C M J C a h e S S D o i R DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 13

High rate of taxis in growing large metropolises Shanghai before Expo 2010: - 47 000 taxis move 25% of public transport passengers, 3 million/day, 754 M/year - 70 trips/taxi/day - 30,65 passengers/day Shanghai - taxis account 50% of the traffic in the Singapore city central area - 193 passengers.km/day DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 14

Intermodality growing issues Source AREP DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 15

Need of a hierarchical organization of the different transportation means As incremental feeders of more massive corridors Surabaya interchange Becak - minibuses DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 16

Towards « cooperative cloud mobility systems » DIRECTION DE LA COMMUNICATION AVRIL 2010 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 17

Diverse solutions of mobility services MIT stackable cars London bike system DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 18

Self-service bike sharing system Dongchuanlu Jinpinglu Huaninglu Wenjinglu Ligne 5 Jiangchuan in Minghang Nombre de vélos électriques fabriqués en Chine (en Mille) 25000 21880 22200 21382 - 6000 bikes in Minhang district managed by 20000 19500 Forever 15000 12500 - 140 million electric bikes in China 10000 6750 - No special border defintion between e-bike and 5000 4000 580 293 126 55,4 e-scooter 1580 0 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - Classified as non mororized transport 9 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 19

Intertitial mobility gaps DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 20

Promoting multimodality by « Drive the change » Public Transport Private Transport Pédibus Subway Ride sharing Traxx Tram Collective Tapis roulants/escalator BRT Cabine, SK Transport Shuttle Car sharing Rickshaw Scooter Taxi Electric bicycle Individual Segwa Velib y Transport Autolib Twizy Walking Roller rolling skate Non soumis à homologation auto Non appliqué en Europe DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 21

A change of Value Compulsory mobility � � commuting trips: on going continuous growing traveler.km trend forecast � Choosen mobility � a new shrinking trend � the trip cost � cost leisure work � time purposes � Equipment of the domestic dwelling Sao Paulo Transportation Survey 2007 � urbanity and neighbouhood value � Sustainable issues DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 22

Weekly mobility related to the household’s income, 2007- 2008 Kilometers travelled weekly by people aged of 6 years and more Décile 1 er 2nd 3rd 4th Poor Lower middle Upper middle wealthy classes classes Public 273 211 213 226 transport Motorized 2 W 42 36 30 48 bicycle 27 20 30 27 car 1338 2006 2451 2388 total 1683 2274 2726 2693 Number of 12,7 19 16,9 17,8 trips/ capita/day Source: ENTD 2007-2008 DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 23

Potentiallity appraisal of the each alternative mode to conventional private car in Greater Paris Transfers: Mode %Users % trips Conventional Paris- near Far car trips suburb periphery suppressed loops loops duration duration 63 mn 55 mn bicycle 24% 21% 5% 85 mn 154 mn Electric 35% 30% 9% 57 mn 119 mn bicycle Light M2W 45% 40% 19% scooter 63% 62% 31% 43 mn 51 mn EV100 km 100% 100% 100% autonomy Source: Jean-Pierre Orfeuil, Paris 12 For each alternative mean: - Substitution of 10 to 20% of the trips between Paris and near suburb more than in far periphery - Share of substitution distance: 50% more DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 24

Mobility services based on car use DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 25

The Singapore carsharing systems Singapore accounts about 10 000 car sharing members DREAM NOVEMBER 2011 PROPRIÉTÉ RENAULT 26