THE 3 0 th I APH W ORLD PORTS CONFERENCE 7 - 1 2 May 2 0 1 7 Bali Nusa Dua Convention Center, Bali - I ndonesia Developing of the Northern Sea Route: current situation and perspective Igor Krotov Logistic operation manager South Tambey LNG Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
Speaker 45 year Ph.D in economics Logistic operation manager South Tambey LNG Scope – transport & port operation in framework of Yamal LNG project. Experience: logistic & transport management for phoject in hydro energy (Kybansky Cascade HPP ) and space (ATV, CryoSat, Metop, Swarm, etc.). Ex-customs officer (major of customs service). Author of publications on transport & customs clearance, a speaker on Russian and international conferences. 2 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
The Northern Sea Route (NSR) 3 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
The Northern Sea Route (NSR): Questions Is it safe? Is it possible? What’s benefits? What’s need for sailing? 4 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
The Northern Sea Route (NSR): Is it possible? BBC Lima Germany BBC Charteting Carriers GmbH and Co.KG Arc 5 General cargo carrier General cargo Shanghai (China) Bremerhaven (Germany) Yong Sheng Hong Kong Cosco Shipping Ltd Arc 4 General cargo carrier Ore in bulk,steel Shanghai (China) Glasgow (Scotland) 5 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
The Northern Sea Route (NSR): Is it possible? Winter Bay St. Kitts & Nevis Darliada Ltd Ice 1 Refeer Frozen meat Tromse (Norway) Osaka (Japan) Gretke Oldendorf Portugal Oldendorff Carriers GmbH & Co KG Ice 2 General cargo carrier Coal Vancouver (Canada) Raahe (Finland) 6 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
The NSR: mv Audax The Audax(ARC7) , have arrived on January 4, 2017 in the port of Sabetta, on the Yamal Peninsula. The ship departed Qingdao, China, in November, passing first through the Bering Strait, and then westbound along the NSR, where it was escorted for part of the way by Russian icebreakers. 7 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
The NSR: mv Nordic RUMMK RUDKS ATD : 2017-02-06 15:27 ATA: 2017-02-15 01:00 8 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
The NSR: Safety 9 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
The NSR: Is it safe? • On September 10, Arctic sea ice extent stood at 4.14 million square kilometers (1.60 million square miles). This appears to have been the lowest extent of the year and is tied with 2007 as the second lowest extent on record. This year’s minimum extent is 750,000 square kilometers (290,000 square miles) above the record low set in 2012 and is well below the two standard deviation range for the 37-year satellite record. Satellite data show extensive areas of open water in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas, and in the Laptev and East Siberian seas. • Trend is clear 10 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
Low sea ice extent continues in both poles Climate change is causing the ice covering sections of the Arctic Ocean to recede. This enables greater use of the Northern Sea Route. 11 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
NSR – sailing requirements Ice-breaker Ice class ship assistance NSR Infrastructure (Ports, Weather forecast Customs clearance point, tsniimf, etc) 12 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
NSR – Ice class ships For vessels without ice reinforcement and for vessels with class Ice1 – Ice3 during navigation in the period July to 15 th November For vessels class Arc4 – Arc9 during navigation in the period July to October For vessels class Arc4 – Arc9 during navigation in the period November to December and January to June 13 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
NSR – Ice-breaker assistance The acting fleet includes four atomic icebreakers with two nuclear reactors 75 thousand horse power strong – i/b “Rossiya”, i/b “Sovetsky Soyuz”, i/b “Yamal”, i/b “50 Let Pobedy”, two atomic icebreakers with a single reactor power plant 40 thousand horse power strong – i/b “Taymir” and i/b “Vaygach” and atomic lighter “Sevmorput”. 14 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
NSR – new generation of Ice-breakers A new icebreaker is expected to commence its operation in 2018. The designed width of the icebreaker will constitute 34 metres which will allow the large Aframax-type vessels to safely follow the icebreaker through the water passage. 15 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
NSR – Weathernews (WNI) service • Data source for Sea ice analysis – AMSR2 • Type: Passive microwave • Resolution: 12.5km – MODIS • Type: Visible / Infrared • Resolution: 250m(Visible) / 500m(Infrared) – WNISAT-1R (launch in 2017) • Type: Visible / Infrared • Resolution: 500m 16 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
NSR – Weathernews (WNI) opportunity Strategic Voyage Planning for your Business Prioritization 17 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
NSR – Sea Ice Trend before Departure for Decision making Sea Ice Trend : Current – 2 months 18 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
NSR – Polar Routing Planning Sheet Ice Concentration Charts with DR positions Speed down RC Message assumption WP List Weather information Estimation / Comparison 19 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
NSR – 4 panel wx chart 20 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
NSR – QRT for Polar Routing - Master reports us Ice concentration in noon report (QRT) - WNI Ice forecast chart made from "I-SEE" engine (Also mapped based on Ice concentration from satellite data) 21 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
Ice Risk Index for operators Sea Ice Concentration Sea Ice Compression [kPa] Sea Spray Icening [cm/h] Sea Ice Thickness [m] 22 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
WNI – After arrival Voyage Summary Report for Polar Routeing 23 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
NSR – Customs There are 21 customs point in Russian Arctic zone – 21 sea, 6 – air, 3 – auto. According to customs authorities in the Yamal-Nenets region the value of the goods customs-declared at Sabetta in 2016 had a fivefold increase from the previous year. The increase comes as construction proceeds at the nearby Yamal LNG plant. A total of 120 ships with goods subjected to customs declaration docked in Sabetta in 2016, more than twice the number of 2015. They delivered a total of 505,000 tons of goods with a value of $5.2 billion. The shiploads destined from China, Belgium, Germany, Egypt, Korea, the USA, Finland and Spain. 24 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
NSR –Trend Historically, brisk growth of shipping on the NSR seaways was, first of all, connected with the commercial exploration of the High North regions. Icebreaker fleet and special-purpose transport vessels successfully carried out and continue to perform assignments to transport natural resources and to deliver equipment and commodities to the areas of hard access. At present the main forecasts of growth in the scopes of transportations in the Arctic are also related to the exploration of new fields and exportation of raw materials from the Arctic shelf. Also the NSR presents opportunities for international shipping as a transit route between Western Europe and the Asia-Pacific region. The unique geographical position of the NSR allows significant reduction of the shipping route under the transcontinental transportations. 25 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
NSR –Trend Historically, brisk growth of shipping on the NSR seaways was, first of all, connected with the commercial exploration of the High North regions. Icebreaker fleet and special-purpose transport vessels successfully carried out and continue to perform assignments to transport natural resources and to deliver equipment and commodities to the areas of hard access. At present the main forecasts of growth in the scopes of transportations in the Arctic are also related to the exploration of new fields and exportation of raw materials from the Arctic shelf. Also the NSR presents opportunities for international shipping as a transit route between Western Europe and the Asia-Pacific region. The unique geographical position of the NSR allows significant reduction of the shipping route under the transcontinental transportations. 26 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
NSR – route comparison: Murmansk – Ningbo (Laden) Total Time Total FOC Total Dist. [MT] ATD ATA (ETA) [h] [MT] ① Actual 6586 634.7 714.7 8/11 0018Z 9/6 1100Z ② Via Suez 12000 1075 1235 8/11 0018Z 9/24 1920Z ③ Via CGH 15300 1425 1710 8/11 0018Z 10/9 0930Z 27 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
NSR – route comparison: Busan – Hamburg 28 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
NSR – project cargo 29 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
NSR – perspective 30 IAPH Bali 2017 | Enabling Trade. Energizing The World
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