Rol ole e of of DE in in Lo Low Car arbon bon Bui uildings - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Rol ole e of of DE in in Lo Low Car arbon bon Bui uildings - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Rol ole e of of DE in in Lo Low Car arbon bon Bui uildings ldings of of th the e fut utur ure February 23 rd , 2017 www.communityenergy.bc.ca Community Energy Association Pu Purpose pose CEA is charitable non-profit society

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www.communityenergy.bc.ca

Rol

  • le

e of

  • f DE in

in Lo Low Car arbon bon Bui uildings ldings of

  • f th

the e fut utur ure

February 23rd, 2017

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www.communityenergy.bc.ca

Community Energy Association Pu Purpose pose

  • CEA is charitable non-profit society
  • CEA is the trusted independent advisor to local governments
  • We are helping local governments close the implementation gap

Accelerate Climate Action with People and Projects

Awareness & Recognition

  • Workshops & Presentations
  • Research & Publications
  • Collaboration
  • Climate & Energy Action Awards

Projects

  • Planning
  • Implementation
  • Technology Acceleration
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www.communityenergy.bc.ca

Community Energy Association Members

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www.communityenergy.bc.ca

DE Community of Practise

  • Demonstration Project
  • Shared Experiences
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Pathways for deep emissions reductions in buildings

Context for low-carbon district energy systems

Tom-Pierre Frappé-Sénéclauze @tompierrefs CEA webinar, 23 February 2017

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Leading Canada’s transition to a clean energy future

The Pembina Institute advocates for strong, effective policies to support Canada’s clean energy transition.

@tompierrefs

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Context

 Carbon reduction targets for building sector  The role of energy efficiency and fuel switching  Tensions between building code evolution and district energy

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B.C. Emissions

  • 33%

BC 2020 target

  • 80%

BC 2050 target 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Annual emissions in Mt CO2e

CIMS modeling by Navius

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  • 33%

BC 2020 target

  • 30% from

2005, based

  • n federal

target

  • 80%

BC 2050 target 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Annual emissions in Mt CO2e

CIMS modeling by Navius

B.C. Emissions

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Reference case

  • 33%

BC 2020 target

  • 30% from

2005, based

  • n federal

target

  • 80%

BC 2050 target 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Annual emissions in Mt CO2e

CIMS modeling by Navius

B.C. Emissions

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Reference case

CLP + Fed. Carbon price

  • 33%

BC 2020 target

  • 30% from

2005, based

  • n federal

target

  • 80%

BC 2050 target 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Annual emissions in Mt CO2e

CIMS modeling by Navius

(+ forestry credits)

B.C. Emissions

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Reduction target for building sector?

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  • Env. & Climate Change Canada
  • verall: -80% (below 2005)

Stationary sources

  • 87%

Trottier, current technology scenario

  • verall: -65% (below 2015)

residential

  • 87%

commercial

  • 76%

Trottier, new technology scenario

  • verall: -65% (below 2015)

residential

  • 89%

commercial

  • 88%

Deep decarbonization pathways

  • verall: -89% (below 2015)

residential

  • 99%

commercial

  • 99%

Buildings:

  • 80% to 100%

By 2050

i.e. near total decarbonization

Reduction target for building sector?

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Proposed building sector targets

40-50%

by 2030

80-100%

by 2050

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Net Zero Ready Commitments

Ontario  Code to require Net Zero Carbon for small buildings by 2030 B.C.  Code to require Net Zero Energy Ready by 2032 Feds  Net Zero Ready code released in 2020 for broad adoption by 2030

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What about existing buildings?

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Buildings emissions

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Buildings emissions (Mt) NZEr building code Shallow retrofits Low carbon pathway Base case

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Low carbon pathway

Efficiency Fuel switching

Deep retrofit of 3% of stock / yr (60% reduction) Fuel switching 2% of stock / yr to low carbon fuel

Hybrid

Moderate retrofit of 3%

  • f stock / yr

(25% reduction) + Fuel switch 1 out of 2

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Electrify!

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Electrify!

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Images: FVB Energy, SAB mag

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Methane reactor, Fraser Richmond Soil and Fibre Biogas Plant, BC Photo: GICON

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3% per year…

Homes MURBs ICI

Current stock 1 million 25,000 (575,000 units) 60,000 (100 million m2) 3% 2,500 per month 800 per year (17,000 units) 1,800 per year (3 million m2)

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Homes MURBs ICI

Current stock 1 million 25,000 (575,000 units) 60,000 (100 million m2) 3% 2,500 per month 800 per year (17,000 units) 1,800 per year (3 million m2)

3% per year…

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How does that compare?

Data: Gov. of B.C.

0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000

Post-audits per month % of eligible stock retrofitted

ecoENERGY v.i ecoENERGY v.i / LSBC v.i LSBC v.ii LSBC v.iii LSBC v.iii / ecoENERGY v.ii LSBC v.iv HERO Bonus v.i & ERS

Average energy reduction: ~ 25%

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Tensions between DE and efficiency

What is the future of district energy systems if net- zero buildings become an increasing share of the building stock?

Should developers be allowed to reduce efficiency if the heat supply is from a low-carbon source?

Could DE business cases still work if only delivering domestic hot water? Still worth pipes in the ground?

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Thanks!

Tom-Pierre Frappé-Sénéclauze

tompierrefs@pembina.org tw: @tompierrefs

pembina.org

twitter.com/pembina facebook.com/pembina.institute

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Environment and Energy Division

Environment and Energy Division

Toronto is Changing

RESILIENCE GROWTH

CLIMATE CHANGE

CEA/NRCan Webinar: The Role of District Energy in Low Carbon Buildings of the Future – Feb 23, 2017

Fernando Carou, B.A.Sc., P.Eng. Lead, Community Energy Planning & Low-carbon District Energy Systems

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Environment and Energy Division

Toronto is Changing

Toronto’s population is growing & densifying at one of the fastest rates in North America, placing demands on services & infrastructure, energy systems & the environment. About 60% of households now live in multi-residential housing.

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Environment and Energy Division

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Toronto’s Growth: 2000 vs 2014 Skyline

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Environment and Energy Division

Toronto’s Future Weather: Wetter, Warmer & Wilder.

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Environment and Energy Division

Target 2012 Target 2020 Target 2050

5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 30,000,000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Tonnes of GHG Year

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Toronto is Reducing its Environmental Footprint, but..

5 Mt reduction

  • Coal Phase Out
  • Conservation
  • Methane
  • Land use

15 Mt reduction to go by 2050

10 Mt Gap

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Environment and Energy Division

Efficient Buildings & District Energy with local

renewable energy sources to reduce/displace natural gas.

Toronto’s GHG Emissions by Sector 2013 data

Electric High-order

Transit & EVs to

reduce/displace fossil fuels.

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Environment and Energy Division

Existing & Current Projects

Developing Toronto’s Transit Network

Source: March 2016 Chief Planner’s report to City Council

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Environment and Energy Division

6 to 15 years

Developing Toronto’s Transit Network

Source: March 2016 Chief Planner’s report to City Council

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Environment and Energy Division

Developing Toronto’s Thermal Networks District Energy w/ Large Renewables

2015 UNEP Report Opportunity for 30+ new District Energy systems in Toronto

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Environment and Energy Division

Developing Toronto’s Low-Carbon Thermal Networks Opportunities to co-locate energy and municipal infrastructure

Sewer heat recovery, Large geo-exchange fields with solar collectors Heat recovery from electric transit combined heat & power Toronto’s Deep Lake Water Cooling Enwave System

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Environment and Energy Division

Developing Toronto’s Low-carbon Thermal Networks

THE NETWORK EFFECT

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Environment and Energy Division

“For Cities to achieve a low-carbon future District Energy is to buildings, what Transit is to transportation”

Modelling is showing that future Large Scale GHG emission reductions in Toronto may primarily come from two sets of strategies:

  • 1. District Energy w/ Large Renewables + Efficient Buildings
  • 2. Transit + EVs
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Environment and Energy Division

ALIGNMENT: LOW CARBON FUTURE

Federal Province City

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Environment and Energy Division

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Climate change

will be fought in

  • cities. Toronto is

ready to do its part, but we can’t do it alone – John Tory #ParisAgreement

#COP21

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Environment and Energy Division

City of Toronto related INITIATIVES

Transform TO: renewed climate action for a healthy equitable,

prosperous Toronto. 30% GHG reduction by 2020, 80% GHG reduction by 2050 vs 1990

TOcore: Planning the Downtown (soft & hard infrastructure)

  • Energy strategy
  • Accelerated implementation of thermal networks w/ large renewables
  • Back-up power guidelines for Multi-residential buildings

Toronto Green development Standard – TGS V3 (2018 roll-out)

  • Recognition of off-site low-carbon / renewable energy
  • Energy Requirements above latest provincial code (OBC 2017)

New Official Plan: energy strategy requirement for large developments (plan for Net Zero energy & emission). Includes

Guidelines for Net-Zero Opportunities for Large Developments

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Environment and Energy Division

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How do we support integration and collaboration for District Energy toward carbon neutrality, resilience, and local economic benefit?

How do we maintain and build momentum? How do we scale up our efforts?

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Environment and Energy Division

Uncoordinated Action

Big Challenges

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Environment and Energy Division

Coordinated Action

Big Challenges

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www.communityenergy.bc.ca

Discussion

What is your local government looking at when in comes to reducing carbon in buildings and what is the role of DE?

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February 23rd, 2017

Proposal to Establish a Canadian District Energy Working Group

  • The goal is to advance the next generation of district energy in

Canada: positioning the DE industry for a changing energy system and low carbon economy

  • A diverse set of organizations will be invited to form the DE working

group, starting with interested IDEA Canadian Forum members and QUEST subscribers

  • Objectives are to:

1) Advocate for supportive policies and programs 2) Enhance awareness and education Among policymakers at the federal, provincial and municipal levels and with building developers and operators

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www.communityenergy.bc.ca

Thank You

Please complete the follow up survey. David Dubois Community Energy Association 604-628-7076 ddubois@communityenergy.bc.ca www.communityenergy.bc.ca