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Relationship between EOC Assessments & ACT Subject Tests Karla L. Egan Center for Assessment NCSA, 2015 Guiding Questions How do the Proficient cut scores compare to the ACT college readiness benchmarks? What score on an EOC best

  1. Relationship between EOC Assessments & ACT Subject Tests Karla L. Egan Center for Assessment NCSA, 2015

  2. Guiding Questions • How do the Proficient cut scores compare to the ACT college readiness benchmarks? • What score on an EOC best predicts students’ reaching the ACT college readiness benchmark? • Does the predicted cut score vary by grade level? Page 2 • Egan• Presentation to NCSA, June 2015

  3. Assessment Data • EOC – Administered since Fall 2008 • English II • Algebra I • Biology – Administered since Fall 2009 • English I • American History • Government • Algebra II • Geometry Page 3 • Egan• Presentation to NCSA, June 2015

  4. Assessment Data: Graduating Cohorts EOC Subject Test 2014 2013 2012 English I 38808 37308 2101 English II* 61295 60866 61213 Algebra I* 59539 48087 22159 Algebra II 23508 23142 21436 Geometry 28539 26867 21029 American History 35129 33334 21226 Government* 62103 61317 44453 Biology* 60924 60251 50676 ACT 41564 40784 40535 Page 4 • Egan• Presentation to NCSA, June 2015

  5. EOC to ACT EOC ACT Subject Area Test English I English English II* Algebra I* Mathematics Algebra II Geometry American History Reading Government* Biology* Science Physical Science Page 5 • Egan• Presentation to NCSA, June 2015

  6. Matched Data 2014 2013 2012 Matched Assessments EOC English I 25005 24129 661 ACT English EOC English II* 40256 39469 38883 ACT English EOC Algebra I* 38834 28278 8837 ACT Math EOC Algebra II 19049 18411 16557 ACT Math EOC Geometry 20317 19209 13581 ACT Math EOC American History 22948 21654 13482 ACT Reading EOC Government* 40808 39863 27442 ACT Reading EOC Biology* 40057 39200 30634 ACT Science Page 6 • Egan• Presentation to NCSA, June 2015

  7. Study 1: EOC Proficiency and ACT College Readiness • Methodology – Logistic Regression • Find EOC cut score that best predicts ACT College Readiness • Find ACT score that best predicts ACT proficiency – Borderline Groups • Find mean ACT score of students who are within one SEM of the EOC cut score • Find mean EOC score of students who are within one SEM of the ACT College Readiness benchmark Page 7 • Egan• Presentation to NCSA, June 2015

  8. Choosing Cut Score • Accuracy rate: % of students correctly classified Page 8 • Egan• Presentation to NCSA, June 2015

  9. Results • Similar Cut Scores Predicted in 2013 & 2014 • Similar Results between Borderline Groups and Logistic Regression • Accuracy rates very similar – Slightly better for Logistic Regression Page 9 • Egan• Presentation to NCSA, June 2015

  10. Accuracy Rates, 2014 Only Current EOC BG LOG50 Cut Scores English I 80.2 77.7 80.3 English II 79.8 79.0 81.5 Algebra I 66.3 78.7 78.7 Algebra II 75.6 78.8 78.5 Geometry 67.4 77.2 76.5 American 70.8 72.4 72.2 History Government 70.5 74.2 74.2 Biology 62.8 74.4 74.8 Page 10 • Egan• Presentation to NCSA, June 2015

  11. Results, 2014 Only Current EOC Cut BG LOG50 Score English I 200 204 197 English II 200 208 202 Algebra I 200 215 215 Algebra II 200 207 207 Geometry 200 210 211 American 200 204 205 History Government 200 209 209 Biology 200 213 216 Page 11 • Egan• Presentation to NCSA, June 2015

  12. Study 2 • Does an EOC score that links with the ACT college readiness benchmark vary based on the grade level in which the student first took the EOC? • How do the EOC linking scores in this study compare with the EOC linking scores from Study 1? • Only use logistic regression for these analyses Page 12 • Egan• Presentation to NCSA, June 2015

  13. Background • Students can take courses at any point in their high school career – Algebra I is often taken in Grade 8 • Course ‐ taking pattern – Grade 9: English I, Algebra I, American History – Grade 10: English II, Geometry, Biology – Grade 11: Algebra II, Government, American History Page 13 • Egan• Presentation to NCSA, June 2015

  14. Accuracy Rates, 2014 Only Current EOC LOG50 By Grade Cut Scores English I 80.2 80.3 80.4 English II 79.8 81.5 81.6 Algebra I 66.3 78.7 81.3 Algebra II 75.6 78.5 80.1 Geometry 67.4 76.5 80.5 American 70.8 72.2 72.6 History Government 70.5 74.2 74.6 Biology 62.8 74.8 75.8 Page 14 • Egan• Presentation to NCSA, June 2015

  15. Results, 2014 Only EOC LOG50 8 9 10 English I 197 196 206 English II 202 198 202 Algebra I 215 207 217 227 Algebra II 207 194 203 Geometry 211 187 200 213 American 205 201 205 History Government 209 204 206 208 Biology 216 210 216 Page 15 • Egan• Presentation to NCSA, June 2015

  16. Results • Similar results between graduating cohorts • Predicted college readiness cut score increases by grade • Accuracy rates are similar to single cut score Page 16 • Egan• Presentation to NCSA, June 2015

  17. Final Recommendations Page 17 • Egan• Presentation to NCSA, June 2015

  18. For more information: Center for Assessment www.nciea.org Page 18 • Marion • Presentation to the NH Superintendents Association

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