q2 q2 20 2019 19 202 2020
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Q2 Q2 20 2019 19/202 /2020 May 28, 2020 Q2-20 Highlights Q2-20 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Q2 Q2 20 2019 19/202 /2020 May 28, 2020 Q2-20 Highlights Q2-20 CHANGE VS. Q2-19 Q2-20 Financial drivers EBT Virtually non-existent demand during second half of quarter MSEK -3 722 MSEK -2 506 Government support packages


  1. Q2 Q2 20 2019 19/202 /2020 May 28, 2020

  2. Q2-20 Highlights Q2-20 CHANGE VS. Q2-19 Q2-20 Financial drivers EBT • Virtually non-existent demand during second half of quarter MSEK -3 722 MSEK -2 506 • Government support packages Capacity • Cash preservation measures (ASK, total, mill. km) • Negative effect from fuel hedges 5 906 -47.4% • Implementation of IFRS 16 Unit Revenue, PASK (SEK, currency adjusted) 0.59 -15.2% Headwinds and tailwinds Passenger yield + Government tendered traffic in Norway (SEK, currency adjusted) + High demand for all cargo flights 1.02 +3.7% - Large uncertainty with regards to travel restrictions to/from all of SAS’ destinations - Concerned travelers CASK ex. fuel (SEK, currency adjusted) - Negative GDP development 0.90 +32.3% - Weak Swedish and Norwegian krona 2

  3. Q2-20 Strong momentum prior to COVID-19 Market share Increasing market share in declining market PASK 21 consecutive months of improved R12 PASK Operational High punctuality and regularity quality CSI Strong customer satisfaction trend and record high CSI in January (75) Sustainability SAS seen as a global front runner in sustainable aviation 3

  4. Q2-20 COVID-19 has resulted in virtually non-existent demand for air travel SAS’ passengers Million Mid-Jan: Early March: March 14-16 th : Decline in SAS began gradually International and domestic bookings to/from reducing capacity travel restrictions China 2.1 introduced in SE/NO/DK January February March 1.0 Late February: March 7 th: By end of March: General decline in Travel restrictions Ban on incoming 0.1 bookings introduced in all EU travel to EU and Schengen states Feb Mar Apr (except Ireland) 4

  5. Q2-20 SAS has taken rapid measures to preserve cash Cash development during Q2-20 Measures taken SEKbn Cash outlook ▪ Majority of fleet grounded – in April SAS’ ASK was down 95% Opening cash balance 6.6 ▪ Secured SEK 3.3bn ▪ 90% of staff on temporary lay-offs guaranteed facility Cash flow from 1.8 ▪ All non-essential spend and operating activities ▪ Monthly average projects suspended operating cash burn Cash flow from of MSEK 500-700 3.3 ▪ Payment holidays or discounts investing activities until end of FY20 from majority of suppliers (incl. Lessors) Cash flow from ▪ 2.7 5 A320neo spare financing activities engines financed in ▪ Standstill agreements with wet May (56 MUSD) lease providers Closing cash balance 4.2 ▪ Reduced CAPEX through delayed aircraft deliveries 5

  6. Q2-20 COVID-19 will impact aviation demand for the years to come – SAS expects 3 phases of recovery Phase 1 – “Travel restrictions” Phase 2 – ”Ramp - up” Phase 3 – “New normal” Q2-Q3 FY20 FY20-FY21 FY22- Demand index, 100 = Pre COVID-19 100 0 ▪ Slow ramp-up of traffic due to ▪ Lower demand due to new travel ▪ Virtually non-existent demand for uncoordinated easing of behaviors air travel restrictions ▪ Slower long-term growth than ▪ Mainly government tendered ▪ Domestic and infrastructure historical due to economic traffic critical routes rebound first downturn ▪ Safe travel measures 6

  7. Q2-20 SAS is supporting Scandinavian society during the “travel restrictions” phase ▪ Helping citizens Special flights for repatriation of citizens from countries such as Spain, UK, USA, Peru, Brazil and Pakistan ▪ Air bridges for essential medical supplies, in Shipping medical close cooperation with the three governments supplies and the Knut and Alice Wallenberg foundation ▪ Maintaining flights that are critical to society, as Securing certain domestic flights and flights between the infrastructure three Scandinavian capitals ▪ Employees on temporary lay-off retrained to Supporting support healthcare and schools society 7

  8. Q2-20 During “ramp - up” phase, SAS must ensure flexible and cost efficient operations while addressing concerns about traveling SAS’ ramp -up measures ▪ New analytics dashboard to monitor travel Cost-efficient restrictions, travel intent and early booking trends ramp-up ▪ Ramp-up program with efficient add- on “blocks” that are easy to schedule for crew, tech and ground Ramp-up characterized by ▪ Adjusted revenue management principles to ▪ High uncertainty with maximize revenue in low demand environment regards to travel restrictions and demand ▪ ▪ Safety has been in SAS’ DNA since 1946 New safety measures imposed Safe travels ▪ SAS’ aircraft are equipped with HEPA filters with high circulation of air ▪ Concerned travelers ▪ In addition, SAS has introduced ▪ New on-ground and on-board procedures ▪ Deep cleaning and sanitization of aircraft ▪ Protective face masks until end of August 8

  9. Q2-20 We are pleased to re-open routes in June ▪ SAS constantly monitors travel restrictions, travel intent and bookings to assess ramp-up demand ▪ As a consequence of positive demand trends, SAS is planning to double number of aircraft in traffic to 30 by mid- June ▪ In total, 25 new routes including ▪ Increased Domestic and Intra- Scandinavian traffic ▪ Selective European majors and leisure destinations ▪ Return to North America 9

  10. Q2-20 In the “new normal” phase , SAS will continue to focus on a strong Scandinavian footprint to serve Scandinavia’s frequent travelers Customers Network Product ▪ Focus on SAS’ core customer ▪ ▪ Prioritize main flows within Focus on care and feeling segments – corporate Scandinavia and to European safe customers and frequent majors ▪ travelers Strengthen sustainability ▪ Maintain CPH as main long position ▪ Complement with seasonal haul hub, right-size selective ▪ leisure routes from OSL/ARN with Strengthen EuroBonus value A321LR proposition 10

  11. Q2-20 However, reduced demand will require airlines to transform – SAS has set an ambitious business plan to secure competitiveness Components of SAS’ revised business plan ▪ Initiated reduction of work force by up to 5 000 full-time positions to meet lower expected demand for air travel Employees ▪ Zero based re-sizing of administration ▪ SEK 4bn additional ▪ Delayed Airbus deliveries, and negotiated increased flexibility in efficiency external wet lease platform Fleet improvements ▪ Accelerated phase out of older aircraft to reach single-type fleet ▪ Increased ▪ Increased productivity of 15-25% in all areas of the business, requiring flexibility to new CBA agreements, continued digitalization and enhanced planning Productivity adapt to ▪ Structural measures and increased outsourcing changes in market ▪ Negotiated discounts with large suppliers conditions ▪ Suppliers Initiated cost saving program across categories incl. brand, marketing, IT, product cost, and facilities ▪ Maintained sustainability ambition to support “Green Sustain- restart” of societies ability 11

  12. Q2-20 Active and constructive dialogue on recapitalization plan SAS’ societal contribution Status refinancing and recapitalization Given the impact of COVID-19, SAS will need to secure further funding in order to SAS’ contributes SEK 70+bn * to continue as the most important airline infrastructure provider in Scandinavia. Scandinavian economies, incl. This will require support from the Scandinavian governments ▪ Direct contribution through As a first step, the Danish and Swedish governments have provided 90% employment and taxes guarantees for the SEK 3.3bn RCF . SAS also continues its efforts to secure support from the Norwegian government ▪ Value creation by suppliers SAS is currently in active, intensive and constructive discussions with the and companies in supply company’s major shareholders and selected stakeholders on a recapitalization chain plan to ensure the future of SAS. This includes realization of key business ▪ Macro economic benefit from priorities of increased productivity and continuation of the green transition increased connectivity Any potential solution will require both government and market participation , Aviation has an important role as well as burden sharing measures involving stakeholders in the company to play in restart of economies Different options are currently being considered, and we aim to present a plan to the market in June 2020 * Source: Report by Copenhagen Economics in 2019 12

  13. FINANCIALS

  14. Q2-20 Highlevel Summary – Q2-20 Key Financials Comments Q2-20 Q2-19 Pct. Change Currency • COVID-19 has a had a Total Revenues 5,264 9,871 -46.7 32 significantly negative effect on Q2 results Total operating expenses • Sharp decline in capacity -8,571 -10,996 22.1 315 before i.a.c and traffic resulting in revenues nearly 50% below LY EBIT before i.a.c -3,307 -1,125 <-100% 347 • Measures to reduce costs EBIT margin, % -62.8% -11,4% -51.4 p.p. initiated mid-March reflected in 20% lower EBT before i.a.c -3,714 -1,211 <-100% 260 OPEX Items affecting comparability -8 -5 • Operating cash flow EBT -3,722 -1,216 <-100% 260 down driven by significant drop in forward bookings Cash flow from operating activities -1,757 2,344 14

  15. Q2-20 Revenue Development – Q2-20 MSEK -4,606 9,871 32 -3,645 -773 5,264 125 -223 -201 78 Passenger revenue: MSEK -4,293 Q2 FY19 Currency Capacity Cabin Yield Cargo Other traffic Other Q2 FY20 factor revenue revenue operating revenue 15

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