Opportunity Day Pacific Pipe Public Company Limited
Pacific acific Pipe Pipe PCL PCL
Opportunity Day
8 March 2017
Pacific acific Pipe Pipe PCL PCL Opportunity Day 8 March 2017 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Pacific acific Pipe Pipe PCL PCL Opportunity Day 8 March 2017 Opportunity Day Pacific Pipe Public Company Limited Disclaimer This presentation includes forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties,
Opportunity Day Pacific Pipe Public Company Limited
8 March 2017
Opportunity Day Pacific Pipe Public Company Limited
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This presentation includes forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realized from the proposals described herein. This presentation contains a number of forward-looking statements including, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation and supply and demand. PAP has based these forward-looking statements on its views with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance of the entities described herein could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than
statements. Forward-looking statements represent estimates and assumptions only as of the date that they were made. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and PAP does not undertake any duty to update the forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
Opportunity Day Pacific Pipe Public Company Limited
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Opportunity Day Pacific Pipe Public Company Limited 4
engaging in the production of toy cars.
known as Pacific Pipe Public Company Limited, engaging in the production and distribution of structural steel pipes and plumbing system steel pipes
Opportunity Day Pacific Pipe Public Company Limited 5
In the present, our company has the capability to manufacture black steel pipes and lip channel steel pipes in the total of 450,000 tons, and 50,000 tons of galvanized steel pipes per year.
Type Round Pipe Square Pipe Rectangular Pipe Lip C Channel Size Range
Min: 1/2* (DN 15 mm) Min: 12 x 12 mm Min: 38 x 19 mm Min: 60 x 30 x 10 mm Max: 16* (DN 400 mm) Max: 300 x 300 mm Max: 400 x 200 mm Max: 250 x 75 x 25 mm
Architecture Structure of roof Fence Structure
Opportunity Day Pacific Pipe Public Company Limited 6
Furniture Roller conveyor Pallets Plaything
Opportunity Day Pacific Pipe Public Company Limited 7
Nursery Tractor
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Conduits Fire Pump Plumbing
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Opportunity Day Pacific Pipe Public Company Limited
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Steel Demand, Finished Steel thousands tones y-o-y growth rate, %
Region FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 (F) FY 2017 (F) FY 2016 FY 2017 (F) European Union 166,029 160,309 162,554 10%
1.40% Other Europe 33,991 35,852 37,179 2% 5.50% 3.70% C.I.S. 101,374 101,784 103,922 6% 0.40% 2.10% North America 110,945 110,002 113,192 7%
2.90% Central and South America 43,899 39,119 40,723 3%
4.10% Middle East 26,974 28,805 28,834 2% 6.80% 0.10% Africa 12,791 12,056 12,526 1%
3.90% Asia 1,086,170 1,101,887 1,097,480 69% 1.40%
China 794,356 804,671 802,040 50% 1.30%
India 89,026 95,355 92,463 6% 7.10%
Japan 105,134 104,600 105,206 7%
0.60% Pakistan 2,892 3,467 3,187 0% 19.90%
South Korea 69,670 68,555 69,338 4%
1.10% Taiwan, China 21,370 21,364 21,436 1% 0.00% 0.30% Oceania 5,717 5,761 5,738 0% 0.80%
World Steel Demand 1,587,889 1,595,575 1,602,146 100% 0.50% 0.40%
Opportunity Day Pacific Pipe Public Company Limited 11 Source: World Steel Association
Source: ISIT Opportunity Day Pacific Pipe Public Company Limited 12
13.70 10.70 14.00 14.50 16.80 17.70 17.30 16.70 17.70 17.80
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Million MT Import Production Export Total
+9.1% +21.8% +7.6% +14.1% Growth 16/15
100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 USD / MT
Steel Price Trend
Scrap Billet Slab CNY HRC
100 150 200 250 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 Price Index (Iron Ore & Coke) USD per bbl
Raw Material and Energy Price Trend
WTI Coal Coke Iron Ore 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600
4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 USD per tons THB per kilogram
Hot Roll Coil Price Trend
THB HRC CNY HRC 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15 Jul-15 Sep-15 Nov-15 Jan-16 Mar-16 May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16 Nov-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 May-17 Jul-17 Sep-17 Nov-17 Inventory x 10,000 MT HRC Market Price (USD/MT)
Possibility : Side Way Uptrend in 2017
Inventory HRC Price HRC (F1) Actual Zone Forecast Zone
Source : PAP data center
Opportunity Day Pacific Pipe Public Company Limited 14
100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600
10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 USD per tons THB per kilogram
Steel Price Trend
2 years back data
THB HRC Scrap Billet Slab CNY HRC (1.50) (0.50) 0.50 1.50 2.50 3.50 (120) (70) (20) 30 MACD - CNY HRC MACD - THB HRC
MACD Analysis
120 days back data
MACD 15 Days MACD 35 Days
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25.00 35.00 45.00 55.00 65.00 75.00 85.00 95.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00 100.00 110.00 120.00 130.00
MACD Analysis
120 days back data
Iron Ore 15 Days Iron Ore 35 Days WTI (4) 1 6 11 (16) (11) (6) (1) 4 9 MACD - Iron Ore MACD - WTI
100.00 150.00 200.00 250.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00 55.00 60.00 65.00 Price Index (Iron Ore & Coke) USD per bbl
Raw Material and Energy Price Trend
2 years back data
WTI Coal Coke Iron Ore
Opportunity Day Pacific Pipe Public Company Limited 16
20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000 Net Weight Tons x 1,000
China Other Country
Start Investigation Process for AD Pipe from China & S.Korea Announced Temporary Rate for AD Pipe from China & S.Korea in Dec
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Opportunity Day Pacific Pipe Public Company Limited 18
Listed: FY 2004 Market cap: THB 5,082 million (1 Mar.17) Par: 1 THB/Share Shareholding Structure
Free float 24.38%
0.33 0.55 0.21 (0.12) 0.78
0.25 0.40 0.16
5.04% 7.92% 3.60% 0.00% 12.86%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
EPS DPS Dividend Yield
75.76% 72.73% 76.19% 0.00% 126.92% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Dividend payout ratio
Dividend policy > 40%
19 Opportunity Day Pacific Pipe Public Company Limited 19
Production Utilization
Cap 350,000 mt
2014
New Plant Cap 450,000 mt
2015
7,471 7,020 6,615 7,150
279,779 260,137 301,482 326,226
100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 6,000 6,200 6,400 6,600 6,800 7,000 7,200 7,400 7,600
FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 Millions Baht
Metric Tons
80% 74% 67% 73% 83%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 (F)
Production Utilization
666 379 156 811 407 181 546 5.45% 2.58%
7.64%
0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% (100)
200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900
FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
EBITDA Net Profit Net profit (%)
Millions Baht
Total Revenue EB EBITD ITDA & Ne Net t pr prof
it
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Statement of financial position
2,011 2,557 478 51 249 234 580 866 1,456 1,404 18 103 847 1,149 556 606 441 446
As at Dec 31,2015 As at Dec 31,2016 Cash Inventory A/R CA PPE + Non CA STL CL Share Holder's Equity THB : 3,708 (Millions) Non-CL A/S Li + E Li + E A/S THB : 3,318
Inventory Turnover (month)
1,393 1,575 847 1,149
2.80 2.79 2.34 1.99
1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00
400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800
FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 Inventory (Millions) Inventory turnovers (Mth) Millions Baht Months
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0.54 0.85 0.65 0.45
0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00
FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
12% 5%
15% 18% 8%
21%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 ROA YTD ROE YTD
ROA & ROE D/E Ratio