Mets Board Corporation Investor presentation January September 2019 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Mets Board Corporation Investor presentation January September 2019 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Mets Board Corporation Investor presentation January September 2019 Contents This is Mets Board 3 January- September 2019 Results .. 32 Planned investments .. 14


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SLIDE 1

Metsä Board Corporation Investor presentation

January–September 2019

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SLIDE 2

This is Metsä Board ………………………… 3 January-September 2019 Results …….. 32 Planned investments ……………………….. 14 Sustainability ………………………………. 45 Profitability drivers ………………………….. 19 R&D ………………………………………… 56 Operating environment …………………….. 27 Owners, management, contacts ……….... 67

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Contents

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SLIDE 3

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Metsä Board in brief

Folding boxboard 56% White kraftlainer 26% Market pulp 18%

FY 2018: EUR 1,944m

EMEA 74% Americas 19% APAC 8%

FY 2018: EUR 1,944m

Sales split by product Sales split by region Year 2018: Sales EUR 1.9bn, comparable operating result EUR 252m, ROCE 14.4%, Capex EUR 70m, Personnel 2,352 Total paperboard capacity

2Mt/a

Net pulp balance

+600,000t/a

STRONG MARKET POSITION

#1 in folding boxboard and white kraftliner in Europe #1 in coated white kraftliner globally Largest European importer of folding boxboard to US

MAIN CUSTOMERS

Brand-owners, converters, merchants and manufacturers of corrugated products TOP10 customers: ~25% of sales Largest customer: <5% of sales

8

production units in Finland and Sweden

METSÄ BOARD IS PART OF METSÄ GROUP (Metsäliitto Cooperative)

Metsä Board owns 24.9% of its associated company Metsä Fibre Metsäliitto Cooperative, owned by 103,000 Finnish forest owners, holds 45% of Metsä Board’s shares and 63% of votes

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SLIDE 4

Our focus is on premium fresh fibre paperboards mainly used for consumer goods packaging

Total paperboard capacity 2Mt, of which 2/3 folding boxboard and 1/3 white kraftliners Folding boxboards and Food service boards

4

White kraftliners, coated and uncoated

Food and Food service Other consumer goods (e.g. pharma, cosmetics) Graphical end-uses

Folding boxboard end-uses*

Shelf-ready and Point-of-sale (food, beverages, cosmetics) Other consumer goods (e.g. electronics) E-commerce

White kraftliner end-uses*

*) all data is indicative and based on Metsä Board’s own estimates

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SLIDE 5

SUSTAINABILITY

We use only renewable fresh fibres from sustainably managed northern forests

FOOD SAFETY

We have good control of raw materials, which guarantees purity and safety in food contact uses

E-COMMERCE

Our paperboards

  • ffer a strong

promotion and branding experience

Our fresh fibre paperboards offer solutions for global trends

GLOBALISATION AND URBANISATION

We offer recyclable products that are ideal for the circular economy

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SLIDE 6

6

We have a leading position in Europe in our main products

35% 32%

Folding boxboard in Europe

Total capacity 3.8m tonnes

White kraftliner in Europe

Total capacity 2.1m tonnes

Metsä Board #1

#2 #3 #4 #5 Others

Metsä Board #1

#2 #3 #4 #5 Others

  • Regional sales split of

paperboard deliveries (2018):

  • 70% EMEA
  • 23% Americas
  • 7% APAC
  • In APAC we focus on high-

quality FBB segment

  • We are the largest European

importer of FBB to US

  • We are #1 in coated white

kraftliners globally

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SLIDE 7

Our production is close to our main raw material

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Husum, SWE

400,000 t/a FBB 250,000 t/a WKL 730,000 t/a Pulp

Kemi

425,000 t/a WKL 610,000 t/a Pulp*

Kaskinen

370,000 t/a BCTMP

Kyro

190,000 t/a FBB

Äänekoski

255,000 t/a FBB 1.3 million t/a Pulp*

Simpele

290,000 t/a FBB

Joutseno

330,000 t/a BCTMP 690,000 t/a Pulp*

Tako

210,000 t/a FBB

Wood sourced from Finland, Sweden, Baltics and Russia.

*Metsä Fibre mill

Our net balance in pulp in 2019, including the 24.9% ownership in Metsä Fibre, is 600,000 t/a Total paperboard capacity: Folding boxboard (FBB): 1,345,000 t/a White kraftliner (WKL): 675,000 t/a

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SLIDE 8

Wood products Paperboard

METSÄ TISSUE METSÄ FOREST

Wood supply and forest services

METSÄ FIBRE

Pulp and sawn timber

METSÄ WOOD METSÄ BOARD

Tissue and greaseproof papers Group’s parent company, owned by 103,000 Finnish forest owners METSÄLIITTO COOPERATIVE METSÄ GROUP

METSÄ BOARD OWNS 24.9%

  • High availability of Northern wood
  • Consistent quality of fibres that are tailor-made for the end products

We have good control of wood raw materials, from forests to pulp and board production

Through Metsä Fibre’s ownership Metsä Board’s annual net pulp balance is 600,000 tonnes long in 2019

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SLIDE 9

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We have been growing well above average market growth rate during past years …

763 801 865 988 1144 1215 373 444 539 580 658 615 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

White kraftliner deliveries Folding boxboard deliveries Total paperboard capacity

Metsä Board’s annual paperboard deliveries and current capacity, 1,000 tonnes

* During 2013-2017 the demand growth for FBB and WKL was ~3%/year

1,000 tonnes

Total paperboard capacity 2 million tonnes

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SLIDE 10

Investments in growth 2011–2018:

2019 New sheeting line in Äänekoski 2018 New baling line in Kaskinen BCTMP mill: 30,000 new BCTMP capacity 2017 New extrusion coating line in Husum: 100,000 t/a PE coating capacity 2015–16 New folding boxboard production line in Husum: 400,000 t/a of FBB and linerboard production line conversion: 250,000 t/a of WKL 2011–12 Debottlenecking in Simpele, Äänekoski and Kyro mills: total 150,000 t/a of FBB

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… driven by paperboard capacity increases

30 60 90 120 150 180 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E Maintenance capex Growth capex Depreciation

Capital expenditure and depreciation

EUR million

Note! Estimated 2019 capex includes the first instalments related to Husum pulp mill renewal

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SLIDE 11

Our long-term financial targets aim for profitability and a strong balance sheet

Comparable ROCE: At least 12%

11.3 8.1 11.2 14.4 11.8 2015 2016 2017 2018 LTM 1.2 2.0 1.2 1.0 1.2 2015 2016 2017 2018 LTM

Net debt/comparable EBITDA: Maximum level 2.5x

> 12% < 2.5x

11 11

44 76 50 51 2015 2016 2017 2018

Dividend policy: Payout ratio at least 50% of net result

> 50% LTM = last twelve months

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Our aim is to create the highest possible shareholder value

Enterprise value, EUR million

500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 9/2019

Net debt Market capitalization, EUR million

Dividend, EUR and payout ratio, %

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0,00 0,05 0,10 0,15 0,20 0,25 0,30 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Dividend, EUR Dividend/EPS, %

12

CAGR in dividend

+30%

in 2012–2018

Note! Year 2018 total distribution consists of a dividend of EUR 0.10 and other distribution of equity of EUR 0.19 per share

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SLIDE 13
  • 40
  • 20

20 40 60 80

  • 100
  • 50

50 100 150 200 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 LTM FCF, EUR million FCF/EBITDA,%

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Capital allocation

EUR million %

Free cash flow in EUR million and % of EBITDA

Comparable EBITDA, LTM, EUR 301 million

FCF=Cash flow from operations after investments

LTM = 10/2018–09/2019

  • Capital allocation for 2019

– EUR 103 million dividend paid in April – Capex: Estimated EUR 90-100 million, including the first instalments of Husum pulp mill renewal

  • Estimated impacts on capital allocation from

Husum pulp mill renewal going forward

– Capex EUR 320 million in 2019-2022

  • 2020 and 2021 will be the main investment years –

capex split to be communicated when the timing of the environmental permit is known – Financing mainly through incremental debt – cost <1% p.a. and P&L impact EUR 2 million/year from start-up – Dividend policy unchanged

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SLIDE 14

Planned investments:

Renewal of MetsäBoard Husumpulp mill New bioproduct mill and a sawmill line by MetsäFibre

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SLIDE 15

Metsä Board: Husum, SWE Renewal of the pulp mill

EUR 320 million (first phase)

Metsä Fibre: Kemi, FIN New bioproduct mill

EUR ~1.5 billion

Metsä Fibre: Rauma, FIN New pine sawmill line

EUR ~200 million

Metsä Board and Metsä Fibre are planning three major investments with total value of EUR 2 billion

The aim is to further improve the competitiveness of pulp and energy production and move towards fossil-free mills

Metsä Board owns 24.9% of Metsä Fibre

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SLIDE 16

Metsä Board is planning to renew its pulp mill in Husum integrate in Sweden

2019 2020 2021 2022

Final investment decision expected to be made in Q2 2020, at the earliest New recovery boiler and turbine expected to be in

  • peration, at the earliest

Prefeasibility study on the renewal concluded Company to apply for an environmental permit

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The renewal of the pulp mill would:

➢ Create a solid foundation to increase paperboard capacity in the integrate in the future ➢ Secure cost efficient pulp and energy production ➢ Enable the company to reach its ambitious target of fossil-free mills by 2030

* The second phase of the investment would include the replacement the old fibre lines with one new line and take place during the 2020s after the first phase is fully completed

The first phase* of the investment Investment value is EUR 320 million, divided over 2019–2022

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SLIDE 17
  • Background: On 27 August, Länsstyrelsen1)

decided that the planned new recovery boiler will require an amendment to the environmental permit

  • Metsä Board aims to minimize the delay

caused by the permit process and will make financial commitments up to EUR 100 million2) before the final investment decision

  • Final investment decision will be made after

receiving the environmental permit, estimated in Q2 2020, at the earliest

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Update on planned renewal

Announced after the review period on 31 October

1) Competent authority in Sweden 2) Included in the total investment value of EUR 320 million

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SLIDE 18
  • Self-sufficiency in electricity to increase from the current

40% to over 80%*

  • Reduced amount of purchased oil
  • Lower maintenance capex and costs

– Extended intervals between planned shutdowns – Reduced duration of the planned shutdowns → Increased pulp and paperboard production

  • Annual cash flow improvement EUR 35 million, of which EUR

30 million EBITDA improvement and EUR 5 million lower capex

  • Financing costs to increase EUR 2 million per year

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Estimated impacts on the first phase of the investment

*) Annual increase in electricity production about 330 GWh, resulting in cost

savings at current electricity prices of approximately EUR 12 million

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SLIDE 19

New bioproduct mill* in Kemi, Finland

  • Size of the investment EUR 1.5 billion
  • Annual capacity 1.5 million tonnes of chemical pulp and

several other bioproducts

  • Final investment decision expected in the summer of 2020

– environmental permit application filed in September 2019

New sawmill line in Rauma, Finland

  • Size of the investment EUR 200 million
  • Annual capacity 750,000 cubic meters
  • If realised, would be the most modern and efficient sawmill

line in the world

  • Final investment decision in the beginning of 2020

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Metsä Fibre is planning two major investments

*) would replace the existing pulp mill in Kemi, with

annual capacity of 630,000 tonnes of chemical pulp

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Main contributors in Metsä Board’s profitability

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Component Unit Change Impact on EBIT Folding boxboard Price +/- 10% > EUR 100 million White kraftliners Price +/- 10% ~ EUR 50 million FX USD/EUR +/- 10% EUR 65 million SEK/EUR +/- 10% EUR 40 million Pulp PIX price of SW/HW per tonne +/- 10% EUR 25 million Wood Cost, delivered to Finnish mills +/-10% EUR 40 million* Cost, delivered to Husum +/-10% EUR 20 million

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Our main profit components and sensitivities

* incl. ownership in Metsä Fibre

In 2018, Metsä Board sourced 5.5 million m3 wood, of which 37% from Sweden, 28% Finland, 20% Baltics and 15% Russia. Including the 24.9% share from Metsä Fibre, the total sourcing was 8.5 million m3

USD 57 % SEK 34 % GBP 7 % Others 2 % Annual FX transaction exposure total EUR 1.1 billion

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Costs have remained at a high level in 2019 after the rapid rise in 2018

Wood 28% Logistics 16% Chemicals 15% Energy 14% Personnel 13% Other fixed 14%

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Metsä Board’s cost split in 2018

  • incl. 24.9% share of Metsä Fibre’s costs

Metsä Board’s total costs in 2018: EUR 1.7 billion (2017: EUR 1.6 billion) Cost component Estimated development in 2019 vs. 2018 Wood Rapid rise in 2018. Stabilised but high price level in 2019 leads to slightly higher costs year-on-year. Small decline in Baltics at the end of H1. Logistics Stable Chemicals Stable or slightly lower Energy Lower costs year-on-year. Offsets the increase in wood costs. Personnel Stable or slightly lower Other fixed In line with or below general cost inflation

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SLIDE 23

500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Folding boxboard White-top kraftliner

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Price development of folding boxboard and white kraftliner in Europe

EUR/ tonne Sources: Fastmarkets RISI & Fastmarkets FOEX EUR/ tonne

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SLIDE 24

350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250

'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19

350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 Source: Fastmarkets Foex

USD or EUR USD or EUR

24

Price development of pulp in Europe (PIX)

Long-fibre (SW) and short-fibre (HW) pulp

Long-fibre, USD

Long-fibre, EUR

Short-fibre, EUR Short-fibre, USD

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SLIDE 25

Price development of roadside pulpwood in Finland and Sweden

Pulpwood roadside prices in Finland, EUR/m3 Pulpwood roadside prices in Sweden*, SEK/m3

Sources: Luke (Natural Resources Institute Finland) and Skogsstyrelsen (The Swedish Forest Agency)

20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Spruce Birch Pine 150 170 190 210 230 250 270 290 310 330 350 370 390 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Spruce Birch Pine

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FX rates development: EUR/USD and EUR/SEK

EUR/USD

26

EUR/SEK

1,08 1,1 1,12 1,14 1,16 1,18 1,2 1,22 1,24 1,26 9,6 9,8 10 10,2 10,4 10,6 10,8 11

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Operating environment for fresh fibre paperboards

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Paperboard is roughly one third of total packaging market

The total packaging market is USD 850 billion Average annual growth rate of paperboard packaging USD 300 bn

USD bn

Source: Smithers Pira

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2022F +3% per year 2017–2022

Other fibre- based Plastic Metal Glass

36%

10% 34% 13% 7%

Paperboard

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SLIDE 29

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Metsä Board operates in a growing market

10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 1000 metric tonnes Asia 2.5%/a

Containerboard growth forecast Cartonboard growth forecast

Source: RISI Paper Packaging Forecasts

25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 Million metric tonnes

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We have good growth opportunities in premium paperboards

Cartonboard White linerboard Cartonboard White linerboard Cartonboard White linerboard Total annual demand: 10 million tonnes 3 million tonnes 10 million tonnes 5 million tonnes 22 million tonnes 3 million tonnes

Americas EMEA APAC

FSB FBB Other fresh fibre grades Recycled grades CWKL WKL White testliner FSB FBB Other fresh fibre grades Recycled grades CWKL WKL White testliner FSB FBB Other fresh fibre grades Recycled grades WKL White testliner

FSB = food service board, FBB = folding boxboard, SBS & CUK = other fresh fibre grades, WLC = recycled grades WKL = uncoated white kraftliner, CWKL=coated white kraftliner

28% 77% 41% 38% 36% Source: Metsä Board research based on several sources, e.g. CEPI Cartonboard and Containerboard, RISI

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SLIDE 31

Total containerboard market 170Mt Linerboards 102Mt

White linerboard 11Mt

White kraftliner 4Mt White coated kraftliner 1Mt White uncoated kraftliner 3Mt White testliner 7Mt

Brown linerboard 91 Mt

Brown kraftliner 24Mt Brown testliner 67Mt

Fluting 68Mt

Fresh fibre fluting 8Mt Recycled fluting 60Mt

Metsä Board’s fresh fibre linerboards are at the top of the quality pyramid

Global annual demand in containerboards totals 170 million tonnes

Source: Metsä Board’s own estimate based on several sources

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SLIDE 32

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Paperboard demand and supply by region

AMERICAS 23% EMEA 70% APAC 7%

  • Growing upper/middle class

and increased purchasing power support demand for paperboard

  • Plenty of local supply in

cartonboard

  • Metsä Board’s focus is on

high-quality segment

  • Stable demand in FBB, but

customers operate with low stocks

  • Environmental commitments

and regulations support demand for sustainable packaging materials

  • No significant growth in

cartonboard supply

  • Several conversions from

paper into containerboard production

Share of Metsä Board’s total paperboard deliveries in 2018:

  • Decreasing local supply of

SBS/FSB and declined imports from China

  • FSB demand growing
  • Stable market situation in

coated WKL

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SLIDE 33
  • Functionality, durability and consumer experience are the

key words

  • Demand for white kraftliner driven by

– Increasing branding of the packaging – Trend towards shipping the product in its own container – Personalisation of boxes, supported by advanced technology in digital printing

  • The global value of E-commerce is expected to grow by

20% per year on average, increasing its share of the retail trade from 10% to 18% in 2017–2021

Branding and personalisation becoming more important in E-commerce

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Sources: eMarketer, Smithers Pira

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Results for January– September 2019

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Key financials

Q3/19 Q3/18 Change Q3/19 vs. Q3/18 Q1-Q3 2019 Q1-Q3 2018 Change Q1–3/19 vs. Q1–3/18 FY 2018 Sales

EUR, m

489 475 3% 1,453 1,486

  • 2%

1,944 EBITDA*

EUR, m

62 84

  • 26%

220 263

  • 16%

344 Operating result*

EUR, m

43 64

  • 33%

145 192

  • 24%

252 % of sales*

%

8.7 13.4 10.0 12.9 13.0 Metsä Fibre’s share of

  • perating result*

EUR, m

6 34

  • 83%

44 92

  • 52%

124 Earnings per share

EUR

0.09 0.16

  • 44%

0.36 0.43

  • 16%

0.57 ROCE*

%

9.7 15.0 11.0 14.7 14.4 Capex

EUR, m

18 11 67% 42 36 16% 70 Cash flow from operations

EUR, m

44 54

  • 19%

111 121

  • 8%

151 IB Net debt, at end of period

EUR, m

352 344 2% 352 344 2% 335

*comparable

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SLIDE 36
  • Favourable development in paperboard business

– Higher paperboard volumes, stable price levels and lower costs compared to Q2 2019

  • Market pulp prices continued to decline with a

negative impact on the result

  • Planned maintenance shutdowns in Kemi and

Husum integrates Planned renewal of Metsä Board’s Husum pulp mill

  • proceeds. Company to make financial commitments

prior to the final investment decision

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Q3 in summary

Announced after the review period on 30 October:

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SLIDE 37

Higher kraftliner volumes pushed total paperboard deliveries up in Q3

265 304 299 276 297 328 297 293 302 299 305 163 173 170 152 171 161 149 134 138 146 161

100 200 300 400 500

Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019

White kraftliner Folding boxboard

447 1,000 tonnes

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1,000 tonnes Q1-Q3 2018 total: 1,405k tonnes Q1-Q3 2019 total: 1,352k tonnes 445 466

  • 4%

+4% +5%

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Year-to-date paperboard deliveries by grade

Biggest deviations in WKL in EMEA and FBB in APAC

Folding boxboard (FBB) deliveries in tonnes January–September 2019 (1–9/2018)

EMEA 645,000 (637k) Americas 185,000 (192k) APAC 77,000 (92k) EMEA 290,000 (344k) Americas 147,000 (134k) APAC 7,000 (3k)

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White kraftliner (WKL) deliveries in tonnes January–September 2019 (1–9/2018) 71% 20% 9% 65% 33%

Total FBB deliveries 1–9/2019: 907,000 tonnes (1–9/2018: 922,000) Total WKL deliveries 1–9/2019: 445,000 tonnes (1–9/2018: 481,000)

2%

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69 62 59 41 64 43 8.0% 10.5% 13.0% 12.9% 10.0% 0,0 3,0 6,0 9,0 12,0 15,0 60 120 180 240 300 2016 2017 2018 Q1–Q3 2018 Q1–Q3 2019

January–September 2019 (1-9/2018)

Sales were roughly at the same level but operating result weakened

Sales

EUR million 492 487 519 477 475 489 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2016 2017 2018 Q1–Q3 2018 Q1–Q3 2019

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Comparable operating result

EUR million and % of sales

EUR million EUR million

Operating result, % of sales: Q3/19: 8.7% Q2/19: 8.6% Q1/19: 12.7%

Q3 Q2 Q1 Q3 Q2 Q1 1,486 1,453 192 145

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SLIDE 40

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Year-to-date result was supported by higher paperboard prices and FX, negative from pulp and production costs

Q3 2019: EUR 43 million (EUR 41 million) Positive: + favourable development in paperboard business + lower costs + lower depreciation Negative:

  • weakened market pulp prices
  • Metsä Fibre’s result share
  • more maintenance

Q1–Q3 2018: EUR 145 million (EUR 192 million) Positive: + higher prices in FBB and WKL + FX Negative:

  • weakened market pulp prices and volumes
  • Metsä Fibre’s result share
  • higher production costs in paperboard and pulp

Comparable operating result

Q3 2019 vs. Q2 2019

Comparable operating result

Jan-Sep 2019 vs. Jan–Sep 2018

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SLIDE 41

Market pulp prices in China and Europe have declined throughout the year

41

Pulp price (PIX) development in Europe and China

  • The PIX price of NBSK has declined by

roughly 30% in Europe and by 40% in China from their highest levels in 2018

  • Net prices in China and Europe are

approaching each other

  • Seasonally higher demand at year end
  • Some producers have announced price

increases in China

  • Producers’ inventory levels have

decreased but are are still high

Long-fibre pulp, Europe Long-fibre pulp, China (net)

Source: Fastmarkets Foex Note! The specifications of PIX China Net index were renewed in the beginning of 2017. Earlier data not comparable with new USD/tonne USD/tonne

200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

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SLIDE 42

68 106 30 36 54 30 36 31 44 59 79 20 23 43

  • 3

29 13 26

  • 50

50 100 150 200 250

  • 50

50 100 150 200 250 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Cash flow from operations, quarterly Free cash flow, quarterly Cash flow from operations, rolling 12 months Free cash flow, rolling 12 months

EUR million

42

Free cash flow = cash flow from operations − investments

Year-to-date cash flow from operations EUR 111 million

(1–9/2018: EUR 121 million)

EUR million

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SLIDE 43

437 358 335 388 344 335 297 380 352 1.7 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.2 1.2

0,0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 100 200 300 400 500

600

9/2017 12/2017 3/2018 6/2018 9/2018 12/2018 3/2019 6/2019 9/2019

Net debt, EUR million Net debt to comparable EBITDA (last 12 months)

43

Net debt at EUR 352 million, leverage 1.2x

Net debt / EBITDA target level: <2.5 EUR million

On 30 September, Metsä Board signed a financing facility with sustainability targets consisting of EUR 150 million term loan and EUR 200 million RCF to replace existing loan (EUR 50 million) and RCF (EUR 150 million)

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SLIDE 44

50 100 150 200 250 2019 2020 2022–26 2027

Bonds Loans from financial institutions Pension loans Other loans

2)

44

Debt and its maturity

Long-term interest-bearing debt maturity profile as per 30 September 2019

EUR million

  • On 30 September, Metsä Board agreed on a new bank financing

facility consisting of five-year term loan of EUR 150 million1) and five-year RCF of EUR 200 million to replace the drawn loan of EUR 50 million2) and undrawn RCF of EUR 150 million

  • Interest-bearing debt on 30 September was EUR 461 million

(30.9.2018: EUR 469 million)

Rating agency Rating and

  • utlook

Last update S&P Global BBB- stable 02/2018 Upgrade from BB+ Moody‘s Investor Services Baa3 stable 01/2019 Upgrade from Ba1 Metsä Board’s both credit ratings are investment grade

In addition, Metsä Board has unraised pension loans of EUR 166 million

1) drawn and booked after the review period 2) earlier drawn loan that would have expired on 2020

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SLIDE 45

45

Near-term outlook

  • Paperboard delivery volumes in Q4 are

expected to decline from Q3 levels due to seasonally slower December

  • Stable price levels for FBB and WKL
  • Pulp prices remain low globally
  • Less planned maintenance shutdowns
  • Stable production costs and FX impacts

in Q4 compared to Q3

  • Metsä Board’s comparable operating

result for the fourth quarter of 2019 is expected to remain roughly at the same level as in the third quarter of 2019

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SLIDE 46

Sustainability

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SLIDE 47
  • Growing consumer awareness:

Origin and transparency of materials, renewability, resource efficiency and recylability

  • Brand owners are committed to

reducing their carbon footprints: Lighter packaging reduces CO2 emissions across the value chain

47

Sustainability is on everybody’s agenda

“Our comprehensive approach to reducing our environmental impact means looking at all aspects of our business, how they intersect and how we can integrate new solutions to create meaningful and sustained change.” – Starbucks website “We want low-carbon to become the new normal, so we’re taking action to reduce GHG emissions throughout our value chain.” – Unilever website

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SLIDE 48
  • Consumers regard paperboard as a more responsible choice than plastic packaging –

willingness to pay more for it

  • Paperboard cartons preserved the cherry tomatoes at least as well as the plastic equivalent
  • The climate effect of a recycled PET container was calculated at six times higher than the average

value for the paperboard cartons

48

Alternative to plastics: Paperboard adds value to packaging

A detailed consumer study with cherry tomatoes was carried out in Finland by Sense N Insight, Luke (Natural Resources Institute Finland) and Metsä Board

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SLIDE 49

Replacing fossil- based materials, i.e. plastics The solution: renewable and biodegradable wood fibre Increased waste generation due to urbanisation The solution: Paperboard is recyclable – and widely recycled Reducing carbon footprint The solution: renewable energy, efficient energy and water usage in production Ensuring food safety The solution: pure and safe fresh fibres in food packaging Fresh fibre paperboards offer solutions to major challenges

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SLIDE 50

Lighter packaging reduces CO2 emissions across the value chain – Our fossil CO2 emissions per product tonne have reduced by almost 50% since 2009

Less energy, water and raw material consumed Less transport weight Less waste generated

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SLIDE 51
  • Metsä Board sources its wood mainly from

Finland and Sweden (65%)

  • All wood used is 100% traceable and comes

from sustainably managed forest sources ensuring the bio-diversity and recreational use

  • f forests
  • 79% of wood sourced is certified (remaining

21% from controlled forest sources)

  • Our target is that >90% of our used wood fibre

is certified by 2030

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Wood is our main raw material

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SLIDE 52

Finland – the largest forest cover in Europe

52

100+

MILLION M3

Annual growth of Finnish forests is

  • ver 100 million m3 – more than ever

Forests grow more than they are used, annual harvesting 72 million m3 (2017) Four seedlings are planted for each harvested tree Over 20% of the Finnish export comes from forest-based products

The area of Finland

Cities, villages and roads Fields and agricultural use Lakes and rivers Forest

10% 10% 75% 5%

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SLIDE 53
  • Metsä Board uses only

surface water in its processes

  • Water is been recirculated

in processes several times

  • 99% of the water used is returned

back to the close-by waterways after thorough purification

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We have decreased our process water use by 20% since 2010

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SLIDE 54

Own generation 21% Through PVO shareholding 32% Purchased electricity 44% Outsourced generation 3%

Electricity sourced in 2018 (total 2.4 TWh)

54

Our energy efficiency has improved by almost 12% during 2009–2018

Renewable, mainly wood-based 55% Nuclear power 27% Fossil-based 18%

Primary energy used in 2018

(total 12.0 TWh)

  • Over 80% of primary energy we use is fossil free
  • After OL31) starts up, we will be nearly self-sufficient in

electricity in Finland

− Including the electricity used in Husum mill, self-sufficiency will be nearly 80%

  • Metsä Board’s shareholding in PVO2) is 3.2%

− Fair value as per 31 December 2018 was EUR 266 million

1) Olkiluoto Nuclear Power Plant 2) Pohjolan Voima Oyj is a non-listed public limited liability company.

It supplies electricity and heat for its shareholders at cost price

3) Out of 44% share of purchased energy, 14% is from Metsä Fibre

3)

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SLIDE 55

Fossil free mills

  • Fossil CO2 emissions

0 tCO2 (Scope 1) Fossil-free purchased energy

  • Fossil CO2 emissions,

0 tCO2 (Scope 2) Resource efficient production

  • Utilisation of side-streams

100%

  • Process water use per

product ton (m3/t) – 30% vs. 2018

  • Energy efficiency

improvement >10% vs. 2018

Metsä Board’s strategic 2030 sustainability objectives and targets

WE WORK FOR A BETTER CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENT WE OFFER SUSTAINABLE CHOICES WE CREATE WELL-BEING WE BRING THE FOREST TO YOU

Certified wood fibre

  • Share of certified fibre >90%

Increasing the amount of carbon stored in forests and products

  • Area of regeneration and

management of young stands +30% vs. 2018

  • Amount of carbon stored in

products (t) +30% vs. 2018 Safeguarding biodiversity

  • Increasing the amount of

decayed wood: high biodiversity stumps in 90% of thinnings and retention trees in all regeneration logging sites Responsible corporate culture

  • Ethics barometer 100%

Accident-free work environment

  • Accident frequency LTA1 0

Fossil free raw materials

  • Share of fossil free raw

materials 100% Sustainable supply chain

  • Sustainable suppliers 100%
  • Traceability of raw

materials 100%

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SLIDE 56

External recognition and commitments

Metsä Board was awarded “Prime” status in ISS ESG corporate responsibility rating in May 2018. Metsä Board scored the highest recognition level “Gold” in EcoVadis’ CSR ranking in 2018, and is included in the top 1% of suppliers assessed across all categories. Metsä Board has been included on the CDP Water A List every year since 2015 and on the CDP Climate A List since 2016. In addition, Metsä Board has scored A- in the CDP Forest programme since 2015, and is included on the Supplier Engagement leader board in 2019 for its efforts to address climate change. Metsä Board as a part of Metsä Group is committed to the UN Global Compact corporate responsibility initiative and its principles in the areas of human rights, labour, environment and anti-corruption. Metsä Board also supports the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals, the SDGs. Metsä Board is committed to Science Based Targets initiative to reduce its GHG emissions in line with the goal of the Paris Agreement. In 2018, Metsä Board received a rating of AAA (on a scale of AAA-CCC) in the MSCI ESG Ratings assessment. Metsä Board has an overall ESG score of 86/100 and is considered a Leader in Sustainalytics’ assessment in May 2018.

SUSTAINALYTICS SCIENCE BASED TARGETS

Link to MSCI Terms and Conditions

Metsä Board’s ESG performance was rated “Advanced” in Vigeo Eiris ESG assessment in July 2019.

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SLIDE 57

Research and Development

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SLIDE 58

Unique opportunities for sustainability and yield gains through lightweighting and raw material efficiency Enhanced and balanced visual properties that enable highly demanding printing and finishing techniques for premium looks

Customers want better brand experiences with less environmental impacts

58

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SLIDE 59

PROMOTION

Brightness

PROTECTION

Stiffness

Folding boxboard (FBB) White lined chipboard (WLC)

Metsä Board’s folding boxboard

Coated unbleached kraft (CUK)

The role of packaging is to promote the brand and protect the product – in a cost-effective way

Solid bleached board (SBB)

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SLIDE 60

60

High-yield pulp makes the difference between folding boxboard and other grades …

Three-layer structure of Folding Boxboard

Light weight

→ better yield and sustainability

High strength and bending stiffness

→ secure protection

High brightness and smoothness

→ excellent printability

Consistent quality

→ improved production efficiency

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SLIDE 61

SBS (100% chemical pulp) Metsä Board FBB (up to 70% BCTMP, 30% chemical pulp )

… and leave more trees standing

5 m3 of wood per tonne of pulp 3.4 m3 of wood per tonne of pulp

= =

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SLIDE 62
  • Metsä Board to establish a new Paperboard and Packaging

Excellence Centre, to be operational in 2020

– Combines packaging design and R&D excellence under the same roof – Enables to organise packaging design workshops and innovation days together with customers and partners

  • We are testing and developing new types of paperboard in

collaboration with Metsä Spring, Metsä Group’s innovation company

  • Pro Nemus Visitor Center provides a new way to learn about

Metsä Group’s business operations, products and innovation activities

62

Developing new paperboard and packaging solutions of the future

A unique bioeconomy ecosystem in Äänekoski, Finland

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SLIDE 63

Our key product development focus areas

LIGHTWEIGHTING

63

BARRIER BOARDS

  • Improved BCTMP
  • Microfibrillated cellulose (MFC)
  • Strength additives
  • Dispersion barriers
  • Bio-based raw materials
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SLIDE 64

Lighter-weight paperboards: Better with Less

Metsä Board lightweight paperboard Average FBB – Folding boxboard SBB – Solid bleached board WLC – White lined chipboard

64

The weights equal to a print job of 30 000 sheets on a standard size printing press

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SLIDE 65

In April 2019, we announced of our new, improved FBB portfolio, that answers to increasing demands for sustainability, product safety and brand promotion

– Further opportunities for lightweighting – Enhanced visual properties – Industry-leading quality consistency – Improved supply security and availability

Enabled by our improved high-yield BCTMP and full R&D focus on paperboard

65

Metsä Board enhances its leading position in premium lightweight paperboards

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SLIDE 66

Metsä Board has developed a new plastic-free eco-barrier paperboard for food and food service purposes Medium barrier for grease and moisture Can be recycled in paper or paperboard streams

END-USES: Food service, fresh, dry and frozen food and

  • ther packaging end-uses that require barrier properties

66

New plastic-free barrier board for even more demanding end-uses

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SLIDE 67

✓ Plastic-free ✓ Easily recyclable ✓ Protective with medium barrier for grease and moisture ✓ Safe for direct food contact – no fluorochemicals or

  • ptical brighteners (OBA)

✓ Brightest OBA-free board on the market, with excellent printability on both sides

5

KEY ADVANTAGES OF METSÄ BOARD’S NEW ECO-BARRIER PAPERBOARD

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SLIDE 68

HIGH

WVTR < 15 g/m²/d

PE barrier boards

MEDIUM

15 ≤ WVTR < 100

MetsäBoard Prime FBB EB

MODERATE

100 ≤ WVTR < 250

NONE

WVTR > 250 g/m²/d

Paperboards without barrier

MetsäBoard Prime FBB EB1

NONE

< 10 min

MODERATE

10 min ≤ OGR < 6 h

MEDIUM

6 h ≤ OGR < 72 h

HIGH

OGR > 72 h

68

The new plastic-free eco-barrier is the next step in Metsä Board’s barrier board development

Oil and grease resistance (flat sample) Moisture resistance

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SLIDE 69

69

Getting familiar with terminology:

Barrier boards types

NON-BIOBASED BIODEGRADABLE BIOBASED NON-BIODEGRADABLE PLA (polylactide): often based on corn starch PVA (polyvinyl alcohol) PBS (polybutylene succinate) Green PE: made from biomaterials PE: made from fossil raw materials, used in extrusion coating

Examples of materials used in coating

Note! Biobased material = Renewable material ≠ Compostable ≈ Biodegradable

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SLIDE 70

Owners, management and contact information

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SLIDE 71

Market cap and foreign owners

30 September 2019

Ownership distribution

30 September 2019

Market cap and ownership distribution

Metsä Board shares are listed on Nasdaq Helsinki

5 10 15 20 25 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000

12/2014 12/2015 12/2016 12/2017 12/2018 9/2019

Market cap, EUR million Share of foreign owners, %

Metsäliitto Cooperative 45% Domestic institutional investors 21% Domestic private investors 21% Foreign

  • wners

13%

EUR million

71

%

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SLIDE 72

72

Metsä Board Corporate Management Team

Mika Joukio

CEO Chairman of CMT since 2014 MG employee since 1990 Share ownership: 297,700

Jussi Noponen

CFO Member of CMT since 2016 MG employee since 2000 Share ownership: 73,000

Sari Pajari

SVP, Marketing and Sales Member of CMT since 2011 MG employee since 2007 Share ownership: 66,075

Ari Kiviranta

SVP, Development Member of CMT since 2014 MG employee since 1993 Share ownership: 50,000

Harri Pihlajaniemi

SVP, Production Member of CMT since 2017 MG employee in 2001-2004 and since 2017 Share ownership: no ownership

Camilla Wikström

SVP, HR Member of CMT since 2019 MG employee since 2001 Share ownership: 17,807 Share ownerships are B-shares.

MG = Metsä Group

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SLIDE 73

Katri Sundström Vice President, Investor relations Tel +358 10 462 0101 katri.sundstrom@metsagroup.com Metsä Board Corporation P.O. Box 20 02020 Metsä, Finland www.metsaboard.com

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Contact information

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SLIDE 74

This presentation includes forward-looking statements. The words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “may,” “plan,” “estimate,” “will,” “should,” “could,” “aim,” “target,” “might,” or, in each case, their negative, or any similar expressions identify certain of these forward-looking statements. Others can be identified from the context in which the statements are

  • made. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to assumptions, risks and uncertainties. Although we

believe that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, actual results may differ, even materially, from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. We urge presentation participants not to place undue reliance on such statements. The information and views contained in this presentation are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. Metsä Board does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except to the extent legally required. Viewers should understand that this presentation does not constitute, and should not be construed as, an offer to buy or subscribe for Metsä Board’s securities anywhere in the world or an inducement to enter into any investment activity relating to the same. No part of this presentation should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract

  • r commitment or decision to invest in Metsä Board securities whatsoever. Potential investors are instructed to acquaint

themselves with Metsä Board’s annual accounts, interim reports and stock exchange releases as well as other information published by Metsä Board to form a comprehensive picture of the company and its securities. Metsä Board publishes inside information according to Market Abuse Regulation (MAR) and rules of the Nasdaq Helsinki.

74

Disclaimer

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SLIDE 75