Mets Board Corporation Investor presentation January June 2019 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Mets Board Corporation Investor presentation January June 2019 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Mets Board Corporation Investor presentation January June 2019 Contents This is Mets Board 3 H1 2019 Results .. 32 Planned investments .. 14


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SLIDE 1

Metsä Board Corporation Investor presentation

January – June 2019

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SLIDE 2

This is Metsä Board ………………………… 3 H1 2019 Results ………………………….. 32 Planned investments ……………………….. 14 Sustainability ………………………………. 45 Profitability drivers ………………………….. 19 R&D ………………………………………… 56 Operating environment …………………….. 27 Owners, management, contacts ……….... 67

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 2

Contents

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SLIDE 3

3

Metsä Board in brief

Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 %

FY 2018: EUR 1,944m

EMEA 74 % Americas 19 % APAC 8 %

FY 2018: EUR 1,944m

Sales split by product Sales split by region Year 2018: Sales EUR 1.9bn, comparable operating result EUR 252m, ROCE 14.4%, Capex EUR 70m, Personnel 2,352 Total paperboard capacity

2Mt/a

Net pulp balance

+600,000t/a

STRONG MARKET POSITION

#1 in folding boxboard and white kraftliner in Europe #1 in coated white kraftliner globally Largest European importer of folding boxboard to US

MAIN CUSTOMERS

Brand-owners, converters, merchants and manufactures of corrugated products TOP10 customers: ~25% of sales Largest customer: <5% of sales

8

production units in Finland and Sweden

METSÄ BOARD IS PART OF METSÄ GROUP

Metsä Board owns 24.9% of its associated company Metsä Fibre Metsäliitto Cooperative, owned by 104,000 Finnish forest owners, holds 42% of Metsä Board’s shares and 61% of votes

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

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SLIDE 4

Folding boxboards

Packaging solutions for consumer goods

Food service boards

Solutions for food service

White kraftliners

E-commerce, retail-ready tray and point-of-sale solutions

Metsä Board is focused on premium fresh fibre paperboards with various end-uses

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SLIDE 5

SUSTAINABILITY

We use only renewable fresh fibres from sustainably managed northern forests

FOOD SAFETY

We have good control of raw materials, which guarantees purity and safety in food contact uses

E-COMMERCE

Our paperboards

  • ffer a strong

promotion and branding experience

Our fresh fibre paperboards offer solutions for global trends

GLOBALISATION AND URBANISATION

We offer recyclable products that are ideal for the circular economy

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SLIDE 6

6

We have a leading position in Europe in our main products

35% 32%

Folding boxboard in Europe

Total capacity 3.8m tonnes

White kraftliner in Europe

Total capacity 2.1m tonnes

Metsä Board #1

#2 #3 #4 #5 Others

Metsä Board #1

#2 #3 #4 #5 Others

  • Regional sales split of

paperboard deliveries:

  • 70% EMEA
  • 23% Americas
  • 7% APAC
  • In APAC we focus on high-

quality FBB segment

  • We are the largest European

importer of FBB to US

  • We are #1 in coated white

kraftliners globally

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

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SLIDE 7

Our production is close to our main raw material

7

Husum, SWE

400,000 t/a FBB 250,000 t/a WKL 730,000 t/a Pulp

Kemi

425,000 t/a WKL 610,000 t/a Pulp*

Kaskinen

370,000 t/a BCTMP

Kyro

190,000 t/a FBB

Äänekoski

255,000 t/a FBB 1.3 million t/a Pulp*

Simpele

290,000 t/a FBB

Joutseno

330,000 t/a BCTMP 690,000 t/a Pulp*

Tako

210,000 t/a FBB

Wood sourced from Finland, Sweden, Baltics and Russia.

*Metsä Fibre mill

Our net balance in pulp in 2019, including the 24.9% ownership in Metsä Fibre, is 600,000 t/a Total paperboard capacity: Folding boxboard (FBB): 1,345,000 t/a White kraftliner (WKL): 675,000 t/a

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

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SLIDE 8

Wood products Paperboard

METSÄ TISSUE METSÄ FOREST

Wood supply and forest services

METSÄ FIBRE

Pulp and sawn timber

METSÄ WOOD METSÄ BOARD

Tissue and cooking papers Group’s parent company, owned by 104,000 Finnish forest owners METSÄLIITTO COOPERATIVE METSÄ GROUP

METSÄ BOARD OWNS 24.9%

  • High availability of Northern wood
  • Consistent quality of fibres that are tailor-made for the end products

We have good control of wood raw materials, from forests to pulp and board production

Through Metsä Fibre’s ownership Metsä Board’s annual net pulp balance is 600,000 tonnes long in 2019

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 8

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SLIDE 9

We have been growing well above average market growth rate during past years …

763 801 865 988 1144 1215 373 444 539 580 658 615 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 500 1 000 1 500 2 000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

White kraftliner deliveries Folding boxboard deliveries Total paperboard capacity

Metsä Board’s annual paperboard deliveries and current capacity, 1,000 tonnes

Annual global demand growth for folding boxboard and white kraftliner is estimated to be 3%

Source: Metsä Board´s own research

1,000 tonnes

Total paperboard capacity 2 million tonnes

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SLIDE 10

Investments in growth 2011–2018:

2018 New baling line in Kaskinen BCTMP mill: 30,000 new BCTMP capacity New sheeting line in Äänekoski (to be in production 9/2019) 2017 New extrusion coating line in Husum: 100,000 t/a PE coating capacity 2015–16 New folding boxboard production line in Husum: 400,000 t/a of FBB and linerboard production line conversion: 250,000 t/a of WKL 2011–12 Debottlenecking in Simpele, Äänekoski and Kyro mills: total 150,000 t/a of FBB

10

… driven by paperboard capacity increases

30 60 90 120 150 180

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E

Maintenance capex Growth capex Depreciation Capital expenditure and depreciation

EUR million

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

Note! 2019E Capex does not include the planned investments announced on 26 April 2019

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SLIDE 11

Our focus is now on profitability and a strong balance sheet …

Comparable ROCE: At least 12%

11.3 8.1 11.2 14.4 11.7 2015 2016 2017 2018 H1/19 1,2 2,0 1,2 1,0 1,2 2015 2016 2017 2018 6/19

Net debt/comparable EBITDA: Maximum level 2.5x

> 12% < 2.5x

11 11 Investor presentation 1–6/2019

44 76 50 51 2015 2016 2017 2018

Dividend policy: Payout ratio at least 50% of net result

> 50%

In April, Metsä Board removed its earlier growth target for annual paperboard volumes. The target was to exceed average market growth. Other financial targets and the dividend policy remained unchanged.

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SLIDE 12

… and our aim is to create the highest possible shareholder value

Enterprise value, EUR million

500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 6/2019

Net debt Market capitalization, EUR million

Dividend, EUR and payout ratio, %

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0,00 0,05 0,10 0,15 0,20 0,25 0,30 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Dividend, EUR Dividend/EPS, %

12

CAGR in dividend

+30%

in 2012–2018

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

Note! Year 2018 total distribution consists of a dividend of EUR 0.10 and other distribution of equity of EUR 0.19 per share

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SLIDE 13
  • Free cash flow

– Since 2016 improved FCF as a result of improved profitability, decreased capex and good working capital discipline

  • Our capital allocation for 2019

– EUR 103 million dividend paid in April – Approximately EUR 100 million to reduce debt – CAPEX: return-based allocation (ROCE above 12%),

  • ngoing pre-engineering phase regarding the

renewal of Husum pulp mill

  • 40
  • 20

20 40 60 80

  • 100
  • 50

50 100 150 200 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 LTM FCF, EUR million FCF/EBITDA,%

13

Capital allocation in 2019

EUR million %

Free cash flow in EUR million and % of EBITDA

Comparable EBITDA, LTM, EUR 323 million

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

FCF=Cash flow from operations after investments

LTM = 07/2018–06/2019

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SLIDE 14

Investment plans by Metsä Board and Metsä Fibre

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SLIDE 15

Metsä Board: Husum, SWE Renewal of the pulp mill

EUR ~300 million (first phase)

Metsä Fibre: Kemi, FIN New bioproduct mill

EUR ~1.5 billion

Metsä Fibre: Rauma, FIN New pine sawmill line

EUR ~200 million

Metsä Board and Metsä Fibre are planning three major investments with total value of EUR 2 billion

The aim is to further improve the competitiveness of pulp and energy production and move towards fossil-free production Metsä Board owns 24.9% of Metsä Fibre

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Investment in Husum pulp mill would enable the long-term development of the integrate

First phase: A new recovery boiler and a new turbine

– Reduced energy costs, improved reliability of production and decreased duration of maintenance – Self-sufficiency in electricity would increase to over 80%, and be entirely based on renewable biomass – Annual production capacity remains at 750,000 tonnes

Second phase: Replacing the old fibre lines with one new fibre line Cost efficient, long-term energy production solution will create a solid foundation to increase paperboard capacity in the future.

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

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SLIDE 17

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 17

Estimated time schedule for the Husum pulp mill renewal

2019 2020 2021 2022

Final investment decision expected to be made in Q4 2019, at the earliest

The investment value of the first phase is ~EUR 300 million, divided between the years 2019–2022

New recovery boiler and turbine in

  • peration

~24 months after the investment decision

Prefeasibility study on the renewal concluded

06 / 19

The second phase of the investment would take place during the 2020s after the first phase is fully completed.

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SLIDE 18

New bioproduct mill* in Kemi, Finland

  • Size of the investment EUR 1.5 billion
  • Annual capacity 1.5 million tonnes of chemical pulp and

several other bioproducts

  • Final investment decision expected in the summer of 2020

New sawmill line in Rauma, Finland

  • Size of the investment EUR 200 million
  • Annual capacity 750,000 cubic meters
  • If realised, would be the most modern and efficient sawmill

line in the world

  • Final investment decision in the beginning of 2020

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 18

Metsä Fibre is planning two major investments

*) would replace the existing pulp mill in Kemi, with

annual capacity of 630,000 tonnes of chemical pulp

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SLIDE 19

Main contributors in Metsä Board’s profitability

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SLIDE 20

Component Change Impact on EBIT Folding boxboard Price +/- 10% > EUR 100 million White kraftliners Price +/- 10% > EUR 50 million FX USD/EUR +/- 10% EUR 70 million SEK/EUR +/- 10% EUR 50 million Pulp Pix price of SW/HW per tonne +/- 10% EUR 25 million Wood Price per m3 in Finnish mills +/-10% EUR 30 million* Price per m3 in Husum +/-10% EUR 20 million

20

Our main profit components and sensitivities

* incl. ownership in Metsä Fibre

In 2018, Metsä Board sourced 5.5 million m3 wood, of which 37% from Sweden, 28% Finland, 20% Baltics and 15% Russia. Including the 24.9% share from Metsä Fibre, the total sourcing was 8.5 million m3

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

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SLIDE 21

FX impacts and sensitivies

USD 57 % SEK 34 % GBP 7 % Other currencies 2 %

Annual transaction exposure total EUR 1.1 billion FX sensitivities excluding hedges

10% strengthening of foreign currency vs. EUR would have an impact on Metsä Board’s EBIT of Currency Next 12 months USD, $ EUR +65 million SEK, kr EUR -40 million GBP, £ EUR +8 million

21 Investor presentation 1–6/2019

FX impact, including hedges:

  • Q2 2019 vs Q1 2019: Neutral
  • H1 2019 vs H1 2018: EUR +21 million
  • Q3 2019 vs Q2 2019, estimated: Neutral
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SLIDE 22

Main cost components and expected development

Wood 28 % Logistics 16 % Chemicals 15 % Energy 14 % Personnel 13 % Other fixed 14 %

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 22

Metsä Board’s cost split in 2018

  • incl. 24.9% share from Metsä Fibre’s costs

Total costs in 2018: EUR 1.7 billion (2017: EUR 1.6 billion)

Cost component Near-term outlook

Wood Prices in Finland and Sweden are expected to remain

  • stable. In the Baltics, the price level will depend on the

demand in export markets Logistics In line with general cost inflation Chemicals In line with or below general cost inflation Energy Stabilisation following the oil and electricity price hikes in 2018 Personnel Approximately +2% y-on-y, mainly based on collective agreements Other fixed In line with or below general cost inflation

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SLIDE 23

350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250

'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19

350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 Source: Fastmarkets Foex

Long-fibre, USD

Long-fibre, EUR

Short-fibre, EUR Short-fibre, USD

Price development of pulp in Europe (PIX)

With a net long position in pulp, Metsä Board gains from higher pulp prices

23 Investor presentation 1–6/2019

Price per tonne, USD and EUR

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SLIDE 24

500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

24

Price development of folding boxboard and white kraftliner in Europe

EUR/ tonne Sources: Fastmarkets RISI & Fastmarkets FOEX

Folding boxboard White-top kraftliner

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

EUR/ tonne

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SLIDE 25

Price development of roadside pulpwood in Finland and Sweden

Pulpwood roadside prices in Finland, EUR/m3

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 25

Pulpwood roadside prices in Sweden*, SEK/m3

200 220 240 260 280 300 320 340 360 380 400

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 –Spruce –Birch –Pine

Sources: Luke (Natural Resources Institute Finland) and Skogsstyrelsen (The Swedish Forest Agency)

20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Spruce Birch Pine

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SLIDE 26

FX rates development: EUR/USD and EUR/SEK

Metsä Board gains from strong USD and weak SEK

EUR/USD

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 26

EUR/SEK

1,1 1,13 1,16 1,19 1,22 1,25 1,28 29.12.2017 29.1.2018 28.2.2018 31.3.2018 30.4.2018 31.5.2018 30.6.2018 31.7.2018 31.8.2018 30.9.2018 31.10.2018 30.11.2018 31.12.2018 31.1.2019 28.2.2019 31.3.2019 30.4.2019 31.5.2019 30.6.2019 9,7 9,9 10,1 10,3 10,5 10,7 10,9 29.12.2017 29.1.2018 28.2.2018 31.3.2018 30.4.2018 31.5.2018 30.6.2018 31.7.2018 31.8.2018 30.9.2018 31.10.2018 30.11.2018 31.12.2018 31.1.2019 28.2.2019 31.3.2019 30.4.2019 31.5.2019 30.6.2019

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SLIDE 27

Operating environment for fresh fibre paperboards

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SLIDE 28

Paperboard is the packaging material of the future

The total packaging market is USD 850 billion Average annual growth rate of paperboard packaging USD 300 bn

USD bn

Source: Smithers Pira

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2022F +3% per year 2017–2022

Other fibre- based Plastic Metal Glass

36%

10% 34% 13% 7%

Paperboard

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SLIDE 29

29

We have good growth opportunities in premium paperboards

Cartonboard White linerboard Cartonboard White linerboard Cartonboard White linerboard Total annual demand: 10 million tonnes 3 million tonnes 10 million tonnes 5 million tonnes 22 million tonnes 3 million tonnes

Americas EMEA APAC

FSB FBB Other fresh fibre grades Recycled grades CWKL WKL White testliner FSB FBB Other fresh fibre grades Recycled grades CWKL WKL White testliner FSB FBB Other fresh fibre grades Recycled grades WKL White testliner

FSB = food service board, FBB = folding boxboard, SBS & CUK = other fresh fibre grades, WLC = recycled grades WKL = uncoated white kraftliner, CWKL=coated white kraftliner

28% 77% 41% 38% 36% Source: Metsä Board research based on several sources, e.g. CEPI Cartonboard and Containerboard, RISI Investor presentation 1–6/2019

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SLIDE 30

30

We sell globally, but have a regional approach

The Americas is the biggest growth area

AMERICAS

SHARE OF TOTAL PAPERBOARD DELIVERIES IN 2018

23% EMEA

SHARE OF TOTAL PAPERBOARD DELIVERIES IN 2018

70% APAC

SHARE OF TOTAL PAPERBOARD DELIVERIES IN 2018

7% Demand drivers:

  • Growing upper and middle

classes, and increased purchasing power

  • More brand-aware

consumers

  • Continued shift to modern

retail and mobile commerce

Demand drivers:

  • Acceleration in

environmental commitments and regulations

  • Stricter food safety

requirements

Demand drivers:

  • Emerging environmental

considerations

  • Trend for lightweight

packaging – but limited local capacity in FBB

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

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SLIDE 31
  • Functionality, durability and consumer experience are the

key words

  • Demand for white kraftliner driven by

– Increasing branding of the packaging – Trend towards shipping the product in its own container – Personalisation of boxes, supported by advanced technology in digital printing

  • The global value of E-commerce is expected to grow by

20% per year on average, increasing its share of the retail trade from 10% to 18% in 2017–2021

Branding and personalisation becoming more important in E-commerce

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 31

Sources: eMarketer, Smithers Pira

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SLIDE 32

Results for January – June 2019

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SLIDE 33

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 33

Key financials

Q2/19 Q2/19 Change Q2/19 vs. Q1/19 H1/19 H1/18 Change H1/19 vs. H1/18 FY 2018 Sales

EUR, m

477 519

  • 9%

964 1,011

  • 5%

1,944 EBITDA*

EUR, m

68 84

  • 19%

158 178

  • 11%

344 Operating result*

EUR, m

41 59

  • 31%

103 128

  • 20%

252 % of sales*

%

8.6 11.4 10.7 12.7 13.0 Metsä Fibre’s share of

  • perating result*

EUR, m

16 30

  • 47%

38 58

  • 34%

124 Earnings per share

EUR

0.10 0.12

  • 17%

0.27 0.27 0.57 ROCE*

%

9.7 13.9 11.7 15.1 14.4 Capex

EUR, m

18 15 20% 24 26

  • 8%

70 Cash flow from operations

EUR, m

31 36

  • 14%

67 67 151 IB Net debt, at end of period

EUR, m

380 388

  • 2%

380 388

  • 2%

335 *comparable

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SLIDE 34
  • Steady market situation in folding

boxboards, more uncertainty in white kraftliners

  • Pulp prices continued to weaken
  • Several planned maintenance shutdowns

at the Finnish mills

  • Metsä Board and Metsä Fibre launched

pre-engineering phases for three major investments

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 34

Q2 in summary

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SLIDE 35

Total paperboard delivery volumes in Q2 slightly up from Q1

265 304 299 276 297 328 297 293 302 299 163 173 170 152 171 161 149 134 138 146

100 200 300 400 500 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019

White kraftliner Folding boxboard

489 1,000 tonnes

35 Investor presentation 1–6/2019

1,000 tonnes H1 2018 total: 957k tonnes H1 2019 total: 886k tonnes 440 445

  • 7%
  • 9%

+1%

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SLIDE 36

Paperboard delivery split in H1 2019 vs. H1 2018

Stable in FBB, main changes in white kraftliners in EMEA

Folding boxboard (FBB) deliveries in H1 2019 (H1 2018) 1,000 tonnes

EMEA 432k (433) Americas 120k (127) APAC 50k (64) EMEA 183k (237) Americas 97k (93) APAC 4k (3)

36

White kraftliner (WKL) deliveries in H1 2019 (H1 2018) 1,000 tonnes 71% 22% 8% 65% 35%

Total FBB deliveries H1 2019: 602,000 tonnes (H1 2018: 624,000) Total WKL deliveries H1 2019: 284,000 tonnes (H1 2018: 332,000)

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

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SLIDE 37

69 62 59 41 8.0% 10.5% 13.0% 12.7% 10.7% 0,0 3,0 6,0 9,0 12,0 15,0 60 120 180 240 300 2016 2017 2018 H1 2018 H1 2019

Sales and profitability behind year-on-year levels

Sales

EUR million 492 487 519 477 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2016 2017 2018 H1 2018 H1 2019

37

Comparable operating result

EUR million and % of sales

EUR million EUR million

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

Operating result, % of sales: Q2/19: 8.6% Q1/19: 12.7%

Q2 Q1 Q2 Q1

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SLIDE 38

+ FBB prices + paperboard production costs

  • market pulp
  • annual maintenance

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 38

Higher FBB prices supported operating result in H1 2019, negative from lower pulp prices and higher production costs

Q1 2019: EUR 62 million Q2 2019: EUR 41 million

+ improved prices in paperboard + changes from FX

  • production costs
  • lower delivery volumes
  • market pulp

H1 2018: EUR 128 million H1 2019: EUR 103 million

Comparable operating result Q1 2019 vs. Q2 2019 Comparable operating result H1 2018 vs. H1 2019

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SLIDE 39

4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% Q1/16 Q2/16 Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19

Return on capital employed, %

Quarterly Rolling 12m Target

39

H1 2019 ROCE at 11.7%

Target level > 12%

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

R12m 13.3% Q2/19: 9.7%

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SLIDE 40

Pulp prices in Europe have continued to slide throughout H1 2019

40

Pulp price (PIX) development in Europe and China

  • In 2019, activity in the pulp market picked

up in Q1, especially in China, but weakened again in Q2

  • The PIX price of NBSK in Europe has

declined by $200/tonne from the beginning

  • f year
  • Annual maintenance shutdowns and

production curtailments by some producers will reduce short term supply

  • Producers’ inventory levels globally are

still very high

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

Long-fibre pulp, Europe Long-fibre pulp, China (net)

Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream/ Fastmarkets Ltd, Metsä BI

200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Note! The specifications of PIX China Net index were renewed in the beginning of 2017. Earlier data not comparable with new USD

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SLIDE 41

68 106 30 36 54 30 36 31 59 79 20 23 43

  • 3

29 13

  • 50

50 100 150 200 250

  • 50

50 100 150 200 250 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19

Cash flow from operations, quarterly Free cash flow, quarterly Cash flow from operations, rolling 12 months Free cash flow, rolling 12 months

EUR million

41

Free cash flow = cash flow from operations − investments

Cash flow from operations EUR 67 million in H1 2019

EUR million

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

slide-42
SLIDE 42

495 437 358 335 388 344 335 297 380 2.0 1.7 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.2

0,0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 100 200 300 400 500 600 6/2017 9/2017 12/2017 3/2018 6/2018 9/2018 12/2018 3/2019 6/2019 Net debt, EUR million Net debt to comparable EBITDA (12 months)

42

Net debt increased from Q1, leverage at 1.2x

Net debt / EBITDA target level: <2.5

EUR million

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

slide-43
SLIDE 43

50 100 150 200 250 2019 2020 2021 2022–26 2027

Bonds Loans from financial institutions Pension loans Other loans

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 43

Debt and its maturity

30 June 2019

Long-term interest-bearing debt maturity profile 30 June 2019

EUR million

  • Interest-bearing debt on 30 June was EUR 466 million (30.6.2018:

EUR 483 million)

  • Interest-bearing net debt on 30 June was EUR 380 million

(30.6.2018: EUR 388 million)

Rating agency Rating and

  • utlook

Last update S&P Global BBB- stable 02/2018 Upgrade from BB+ Moody‘s Investor Services Baa3 stable 01/2019 Upgrade from Ba1 Metsä Board’s both credit ratings are investment grade In addition, Metsä Board has an undrawn revolving credit facility of EUR 150 million maturing in 2020 and unraised pension loans of EUR 166 million

slide-44
SLIDE 44

44

Near-term outlook

  • Paperboard delivery volumes in Q3 are expected to

remain roughly at the Q2 level

  • Good market situation for FBB,

some uncertainty with white kraftliners

  • Average market pulp prices will be lower in H2 2019

compared to H1 2019

  • Planned maintenance shutdowns in Q3:

– Kemi integrate, Husum integrate (partly) – Metsä Fibre’s Rauma pulp mill

  • Stable production costs and FX impacts in Q3

compared to Q2

  • Metsä Board’s comparable operating result for

Q3 2019 is expected to weaken compared to Q2 2019

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

slide-45
SLIDE 45

Sustainability

slide-46
SLIDE 46
  • Growing consumer awareness:

Origin and transparency of materials, renewability, resource efficiency and recylability

  • Brand owners are committed to

reducing their carbon footprints: Lighter packaging reduces CO2 emissions across the value chain

46

Sustainability is on everybody’s agenda

“Our comprehensive approach to reducing our environmental impact means looking at all aspects of our business, how they intersect and how we can integrate new solutions to create meaningful and sustained change.” – Starbucks website “We want low-carbon to become the new normal, so we’re taking action to reduce GHG emissions throughout our value chain.” – Unilever website

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

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SLIDE 47
  • Consumers regard paperboard as a more responsible choice than plastic packaging –

willingness to pay more for it

  • Paperboard cartons preserved the cherry tomatoes at least as well as the plastic equivalent
  • The climate effect of a recycled PET container was calculated at six times higher than the average

value for the paperboard cartons

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 47

Alternative to plastics: Paperboard adds value to packaging

A detailed consumer study with cherry tomatoes was carried out in Finland by Sense N Insight, Luke (Natural Resources Institute Finland) and Metsä Board

slide-48
SLIDE 48

Replacing fossil- based materials, i.e. plastics The solution: renewable and biodegradable wood fibre Increased waste generation due to urbanisation The solution: Paperboard is recyclable – and widely recycled Reducing carbon footprint The solution: renewable energy, efficient energy and water usage in production Ensuring food safety The solution: pure and safe fresh fibres in food packaging Fresh fibre paperboards offer solutions to major challenges

slide-49
SLIDE 49

Lighter packaging reduces CO2 emissions across the value chain – Our fossil CO2 emissions per product tonne have reduced by almost 50% since 2009

Less energy, water and raw material consumed Less transport weight Less waste generated

slide-50
SLIDE 50
  • Metsä Board sources its

wood mainly from Finland and Sweden (65 %)

  • All wood used is 100% traceable and

comes from sustainably managed forest sources ensuring the bio-diversity and recreational use of forests

  • 79% of wood sourced is certified

(remaining 21 % from controlled forest sources)

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 50

Wood is our main raw material

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SLIDE 51

Finland – the largest forest cover in Europe

51

100+

MILLION M3

Annual growth of Finnish forests is

  • ver 100 million m3 – more than ever

Forests grow more than they are used, annual harvesting 72 million m3 (2017) Four seedlings are planted for each harvested tree Over 20% of the Finnish export comes from forest-based products

The area of Finland

Cities, villages and roads Fields and agricultural use Lakes and rivers Forest

10% 10% 75% 5%

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SLIDE 52
  • Metsä Board uses only

surface water in its processes

  • Water is been recirculated

in processes several times

  • 99% of the water used is returned

back to the close-by waterways after thorough purification

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 52

We have decreased our process water use by 20% since 2010

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SLIDE 53

Own generation 21 % Through PVO shareholding 32 % Purchased electricity 44 % Outsourced generation 3 %

Electricity sourced in 2018 (total 2.4 TWh)

53

Our energy efficiency has improved by almost 12% during 2009–2018

Renewable, mainly wood-based 55 % Nuclear power 27 % Fossil-based 18 %

Primary energy used in 2018

(total 12.0 TWh)

  • Over 80% of primary energy we use is fossil free
  • After OL31) starts up, we will be nearly self-sufficient in

electricity in Finland

− Including the electricity used in Husum mill, self-sufficiency will be nearly 80%

  • Metsä Board’s shareholding in PVO2) is 3.2%

− Fair value as per 31 December 2018 was EUR 266 million

1) Olkiluoto Nuclear Power Plant 2) Pohjolan Voima Oyj is a non-listed public limited liability company.

It supplies electricity and heat for its shareholders at cost price

3) Out of 44% share of purchased energy, 14% is from Metsä Fibre

3)

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

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SLIDE 54

Fossil free mills

  • Fossil CO2 emissions

0 tCO2 (Scope 1) Fossil-free purchased energy

  • Fossil CO2 emissions,

0 tCO2 (Scope 2) Resource efficient production

  • Utilisation of side-streams

100%

  • Process water use per

product ton (m3/t) – 30% vs. 2018

  • Energy efficiency

improvement >10% vs. 2018

Metsä Board’s strategic 2030 sustainability objectives and targets

WE WORK FOR A BETTER CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENT WE OFFER SUSTAINABLE CHOICES WE CREATE WELL-BEING WE BRING THE FOREST TO YOU

Certified wood fibre

  • Share of certified fibre >90%

Increasing the amount of carbon stored in forests and products

  • Area of regeneration and

management of young stands +30% vs. 2018

  • Amount of carbon stored in

products (t) +30% vs. 2018 Safeguarding biodiversity

  • Increasing the amount of

decayed wood: high biodiversity stumps in 90% of thinnings and retention trees in all regeneration logging sites Responsible corporate culture

  • Ethics barometer 100%

Accident-free work environment

  • Accident frequency LTA1 0

Fossil free raw materials

  • Share of fossil free raw

materials 100% Sustainable supply chain

  • Sustainable suppliers 100%
  • Traceability of raw

materials 100%

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 54

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SLIDE 55

External recognition and commitments

Metsä Board was awarded “Prime” status in ISS-oekom corporate responsibility rating in May 2018. Metsä Board scored the highest recognition level “Gold” in EcoVadis’ CSR ranking in 2018, and is included in the top 1% of suppliers assessed across all categories. Metsä Board has been included on the CDP Water A List every year since 2015 and on the CDP Climate A List since 2016. In addition, Metsä Board has scored A- in the CDP Forest programme since 2015, and is included on the Supplier Engagement leader board in 2019 for its efforts to address climate change. Metsä Board as a part of Metsä Group is committed to the UN Global Compact corporate responsibility initiative and its principles in the areas of human rights, labour, environment and anti-corruption. Metsä Board is committed to Science Based Targets to reduce its GHG emissions in line with the goal of the Paris Agreement. As a member of Pack2Go Europe Metsä Board is committed to the environmental, health and safety aspects within the on-the- go food and beverage packaging industry. Metsä Board received a rating of AAA (on a scale of AAA-CCC) in the MSCI ESG Ratings assessment in June 2018. Metsä Board has an overall ESG score of 86/100 and is considered a Leader in Sustainalytics’ assessment in May 2018.

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 55

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SLIDE 56

Research and Development

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SLIDE 57

Our key product development focus areas

LIGHTWEIGHTING

57

BARRIER BOARDS

  • Improved BCTMP
  • Microfibrillated cellulose (MFC)
  • Strength additives
  • Dispersion barriers
  • Bio-based raw materials

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

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SLIDE 58
  • Metsä Board launched its renewed FBB

portfolio in April helping customers tackle big issues in packaging: To save resources and reduce carbon footprint

  • A new R&D excellence centre to be established

in Äänekoski to boost the development of new paperboard and packaging solutions of the future

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 58

Our R&D and innovation work is based on sustainability

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SLIDE 59

PROMOTION

Brightness

PROTECTION

Stiffness

Folding boxboard (FBB) White lined chipboard (WLC)

Metsä Board’s folding boxboard

Coated unbleached kraft (CUK)

The role of packaging is to promote the brand and protect the product – in a cost-effective way

Solid bleached board (SBB)

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 59

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SLIDE 60

60

We achieve high bending stiffness from a strong outer layers and a thick and light inner layer

Bleached chemical pulp High yield pulp (BCTMP)

  • r groundwood pulp

Bleached chemical pulp Top coating

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

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SLIDE 61

Light weight – better yield and sustainability High strength and bending stiffness – secure protection High brightness and smoothness – excellent printability Consistent quality – improved production efficiency

High-yield pulp makes the difference between folding boxboard and other grades …

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SLIDE 62

SBS (100% chemical pulp) Metsä Board FBB (up to 70% BCTMP, 30% chemical pulp )

… and leave more trees standing

5 m3 of wood per tonne of pulp 3.4 m3 of wood per tonne of pulp

= =

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

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SLIDE 63

Lighter-weight paperboards: Better with Less

Metsä Board lightweight paperboard Average FBB – Folding boxboard SBB – Solid bleached board WLC – White lined chipboard

63

The weights equal to a print job of 30 000 sheets on a standard size printing press

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

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SLIDE 64

In April 2019, we announced of our new, improved FBB portfolio, that answers to increasing demands for sustainability, product safety and brand promotion

– Further opportunities for lightweighting – Enhanced visual properties – Industry-leading quality consistency – Improved supply security and availability

Enabled by our improved high-yield BCTMP and full R&D focus on paperboard

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 64

Metsä Board enhances its leading position in premium lightweight paperboards

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SLIDE 65
  • Fresh fibre paperboards can help replace non-

renewable packaging materials

  • Metsä Board’s eco-barrier paperboard

– is developed especially for food service use with short food contact time and when light grease resistance is sufficient – has an industrial compostability certification

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 65

Brand-owners seek more sustainable packaging solutions

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SLIDE 66

66

Getting familiar with terminology:

Barrier boards types

NON-BIOBASED BIODEGRADABLE BIOBASED NON-BIODEGRADABLE PLA (polylactide): often based on corn starch PVA (polyvinyl alcohol) PBS (polybutylene succinate) Green PE: made from biomaterials PE: made from fossil raw materials, used in extrusion coating

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

Examples of materials used in coating

Note! Biobased material = Renewable material ≠ Compostable ≈ Biodegradable

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SLIDE 67

Owners, management and contact information

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SLIDE 68

Market cap and foreign owners

30 June 2019

Ownership distribution

30 June 2019

Market cap and ownership distribution

Metsä Board shares are listed on Nasdaq Helsinki

5 10 15 20 25 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000

12/2014 12/2015 12/2016 12/2017 12/2018 6/2019

Market cap, EUR million Share of foreign owners, %

Metsäliitto Cooperative 41% Domestic institutional investors 22% Domestic private investors 22% Foreign

  • wners

15%

EUR million

68

%

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

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SLIDE 69

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 69

Metsä Board Corporate Management Team

Mika Joukio

CEO Chairman of CMT since 2014 MG employee since 1990 Share ownership: 297,700

Jussi Noponen

CFO Member of CMT since 2016 MG employee since 2000 Share ownership: 73,000

Sari Pajari

SVP, Marketing and Sales Member of CMT since 2011 MG employee since 2007 Share ownership: 66,075

Ari Kiviranta

SVP, Development Member of CMT since 2014 MG employee since 1993 Share ownership: 50,000

Harri Pihlajaniemi

SVP, Production Member of CMT since 2017 MG employee in 2001-2004 and since 2017 Share ownership: no ownership

Camilla Wikström

SVP, HR Member of CMT since 2019 MG employee since 2001 Share ownership: 17,807 Share ownerships are B-shares. MG = Metsä Group

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SLIDE 70

Katri Sundström Vice President, Investor relations Tel +358 400 976 333 katri.sundstrom@metsagroup.com Metsä Board Corporation P.O. Box 20 02020 Metsä, Finland www.metsaboard.com

70

Contact information

Investor presentation 1–6/2019

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SLIDE 71

This presentation includes forward-looking statements. The words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “may,” “plan,” “estimate,” “will,” “should,” “could,” “aim,” “target,” “might,” or, in each case, their negative, or any similar expressions identify certain of these forward-looking statements. Others can be identified from the context in which the statements are

  • made. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to assumptions, risks and uncertainties. Although we

believe that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, actual results may differ, even materially, from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. We urge presentation participants not to place undue reliance on such statements. The information and views contained in this presentation are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. Metsä Board does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except to the extent legally required. Viewers should understand that this presentation does not constitute, and should not be construed as, an offer to buy or subscribe for Metsä Board’s securities anywhere in the world or an inducement to enter into any investment activity relating to the same. No part of this presentation should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract

  • r commitment or decision to invest in Metsä Board securities whatsoever. Potential investors are instructed to acquaint

themselves with Metsä Board’s annual accounts, interim reports and stock exchange releases as well as other information published by Metsä Board to form a comprehensive picture of the company and its securities. Metsä Board publishes inside information according to Market Abuse Regulation (MAR) and rules of the Nasdaq Helsinki.

Investor presentation 1–6/2019 71

Disclaimer

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SLIDE 72