Mets Board Corporation Investor presentation JanuaryDecember 2019 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

mets board corporation investor presentation
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

Mets Board Corporation Investor presentation JanuaryDecember 2019 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Mets Board Corporation Investor presentation JanuaryDecember 2019 Contents This is Mets Board 3 FY 2019 Results, debt and financing 33 Planned investments .. 14


slide-1
SLIDE 1

Metsä Board Corporation Investor presentation

January–December 2019

slide-2
SLIDE 2

This is Metsä Board ………………………… 3 FY 2019 Results, debt and financing …… 33 Planned investments ……………………….. 14 Sustainability ………………………………. 50 Profitability drivers ………………………….. 19 R&D ………………………………………… 61 Operating environment …………………….. 26 Owners, management, contacts ……….... 73

2

Contents

slide-3
SLIDE 3

3

Metsä Board in brief

Folding boxboard 56% White kraftlainer 25% Market pulp 13% Other 5%

FY 2019: EUR 1,932m

EMEA 71% Americas 21% APAC 8%

FY 2019: EUR 1,932m

Sales split by product Sales split by region Year 2019: Sales EUR 1.9bn, comparable operating result EUR 184m, ROCE 10.4%, Capex EUR 99m, Personnel 2,400 Total paperboard capacity

2Mt/a

Net pulp balance*

+600,000t/a

STRONG MARKET POSITION

#1 in folding boxboard and white kraftliner in Europe #1 in coated white kraftliner globally Largest European importer of folding boxboard to US

MAIN CUSTOMERS

Brand-owners, converters, merchants and manufactures of corrugated products TOP10 customers: ~25% of sales Largest customer: <5% of sales

8

production units in Finland and Sweden

METSÄ BOARD IS PART OF METSÄ GROUP

Metsä Board owns 24.9% of its associated company Metsä Fibre Metsäliitto Cooperative, owned by 103,000 Finnish forest owners, holds 46% of Metsä Board’s shares and 66% of votes

*Including Metsä Board’s ownership in Metsä Fibre

slide-4
SLIDE 4

Our focus is on premium fresh fibre paperboards mainly used for consumer goods packaging

Total paperboard capacity 2Mt, of which 2/3 folding boxboard and 1/3 white kraftliners Folding boxboards and food service boards

4

White kraftliners, coated and uncoated

Food and Food service Other consumer goods (e.g. pharma, cosmetics) Graphical end-uses

Folding boxboard end-uses*

Shelf-ready and Point-of-sale (food, beverages, cosmetics) Other consumer goods (e.g. electronics) E-commerce

White kraftliner end-uses*

*) all data is indicative and based on Metsä Board’s own estimates

slide-5
SLIDE 5

d

5

URBANISATION DIGITALISATION CLIMATE CHANGE GLOBALISATION POPULATION GROWTH

M E G A T R E N D S :

FOCUS

We are the leader in sustainability, focusing on premium fresh fibre products for consumer and retail packaging. The high performance

  • f our products is based on technical excellence and tailor made

high-quality Nordic pulps.

GROWTH

We grow globally together with our existing and new customers by offering sustainable, safe and high- performing products. Our growth is based on skilled people, industry leading products and new innovative packaging solutions.

PROFITABILITY

Our profitability is based on the efficiency of our operations and prioritisation of businesses that benefit from the high performance of our products and services.

S T R A T E G Y

Packaging solutions that respect nature

M I S S I O N V A L U E S Responsible profitability Reliability Cooperation Renewal

Preferred supplier of innovative and sustainable fibre-based packaging solutions, creating value for customers globally

V I S I O N

Metsä Board’s strategy

slide-6
SLIDE 6

6

We have a leading position in Europe in our main products

35% 30%

Folding boxboard in Europe

Total capacity 3.9m tonnes

White kraftliner in Europe

Total capacity 2.2m tonnes

Metsä Board #1

#2 #3 #4 #5 Others

Metsä Board #1

#2 #3 #4 #5 Others

  • Metsä Board is #1 in coated

white kraftliners globally

  • We are #1 European importer of

FBB to US

  • In APAC we focus on high-

quality FBB segment

  • Regional sales split of

paperboard deliveries (2019):

  • 70% EMEA
  • 24% Americas
  • 6% APAC

FBB = Folding boxboard WKL = White kraftliner

slide-7
SLIDE 7

Our production is close to our main raw material

7

Husum, SWE

400,000 t/a FBB 250,000 t/a WKL 730,000 t/a Pulp

Kemi

425,000 t/a WKL 610,000 t/a Pulp*

Kaskinen

370,000 t/a BCTMP

Kyro

190,000 t/a FBB

Äänekoski

260,000 t/a FBB 1.3 million t/a Pulp*

Simpele

290,000 t/a FBB

Joutseno

330,000 t/a BCTMP 690,000 t/a Pulp*

Tako

210,000 t/a FBB

Wood sourced from Finland, Sweden, Baltics and Russia.

*Metsä Fibre mill

Our net balance in pulp in 2019, including the 24.9% ownership in Metsä Fibre, is 600,000 t/a Total paperboard capacity: Folding boxboard (FBB): 1,350,000 t/a White kraftliner (WKL): 675,000 t/a

slide-8
SLIDE 8

Wood products Paperboard METSÄ TISSUE METSÄ FOREST Wood supply and forest services METSÄ FIBRE Pulp and sawn timber METSÄ WOOD METSÄ BOARD Tissue and greaseproof papers Group’s parent company, owned by 103,000 Finnish forest owners METSÄLIITTO COOPERATIVE METSÄ GROUP

METSÄ BOARD OWNS 24.9%

  • High availability of Northern wood
  • Consistent quality of fibres that are tailor-made for the end products

We have good control of wood raw materials, from forests to pulp and board production

Through Metsä Fibre’s ownership Metsä Board’s annual net pulp balance is 600,000 tonnes long

8

100% 100% 100% 50.1% 46%

Metsäliitto’s ownership:

slide-9
SLIDE 9

9

Annual paperboard delivery volumes have remained stable during the recent years

763 801 865 988 1144 1215 1207 373 444 539 580 658 615 584 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

White kraftliner deliveries Folding boxboard deliveries Total paperboard capacity

Metsä Board’s annual paperboard deliveries and current capacity, 1,000 tonnes

* During 2013-2017 the demand growth for FBB and WKL was ~3%/year

1,000 tonnes

Total paperboard capacity 2 million tonnes

slide-10
SLIDE 10

Main growth and development investments in 2014–2020E:

2020E Husum pulp mill renewal 2019 Husum pulp mill renewal, new sheeting line in Äänekoski 2018 New baling line in Kaskinen BCTMP mill: 30,000 new BCTMP capacity 2017 New extrusion coating line in Husum: 100,000 t/a PE coating capacity 2015–16 New folding boxboard production line in Husum: 400,000 t/a of FBB and linerboard production line conversion: 250,000 t/a of WKL

10

Investments have been moderate during 2017–2019

Husum pulp mill renewal will increase capex in the coming years

50 100 150 200 250 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020E

Capex for growth and development Maintenance capex Depreciation

Capital expenditure and depreciation

EUR million

NOTE! Estimated investments in 2020 are provisional and dependent

  • n the environmental permit

process related to the Husum pulp mill renewal

slide-11
SLIDE 11

Our long-term financial targets aim for profitability and a strong balance sheet

Comparable ROCE: Target at least 12%

8.1 11.2 14.4 10.4 2016 2017 2018 2019 2.0 1.2 1.0 1.1 2016 2017 2018 2019

Net debt/comparable EBITDA: Maximum level 2.5x

> 12% < 2.5x

11 11

76 50 51 59 2016 2017 2018 2019

Dividend policy: Payout ratio at least 50% of net result

> 50%

slide-12
SLIDE 12

Our aim is to create the highest possible shareholder value

Enterprise value, EUR million

500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Net debt Market capitalization

Dividend, EUR and payout ratio, %

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0,00 0,05 0,10 0,15 0,20 0,25 0,30 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Dividend, EUR Dividend/EPS, %

12

Year 2019 is the Board’s proposal to AGM Year 2018 and 2019 total distributions consist

  • f a dividend and other distribution of equity
slide-13
SLIDE 13
  • Capital allocation for 2020

– EUR 85 million dividend will be paid in April (Dependent on AGM’s decision on March) – CAPEX: Estimated EUR 200-210 million, including EUR 50-60 million annual maintenance capex and EUR 130-140 million capex to Husum pulp mill renewal (dependent on the timing of environmental permit granted by Swedish authorities)

  • Husum pulp mill renewal and estimated impacts
  • n capital allocation going forward

– Phase 1: Total investment value EUR 320 million, divided over 3 years in 2019-2022 – Financing mainly through incremental debt – cost estimated at ~1% p.a. or EUR 2 million/year – Dividend policy unchanged

  • 40
  • 20

20 40 60 80

  • 100
  • 50

50 100 150 200 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 FCF, EUR million FCF/EBITDA,%

13

Capital allocation

EUR million %

Free cash flow in EUR million and % of EBITDA

Comparable EBITDA, EUR 279 million

FCF=Cash flow from operations after investments

slide-14
SLIDE 14

Planned investments

Renewal of MetsäBoard Husumpulp mill New bioproduct mill and a sawmill line by MetsäFibre

slide-15
SLIDE 15

Metsä Board: Husum, SWE Renewal of the pulp mill

EUR 320 million (first phase)

Metsä Fibre: Kemi, FIN New bioproduct mill

EUR ~1.5 billion

Metsä Fibre: Rauma, FIN New pine sawmill line

EUR ~200 million

Metsä Board and Metsä Fibre are planning three major investments with total value of EUR 2 billion

The aim is to further improve the competitiveness of pulp and energy production and move towards fossil-free mills

Metsä Board owns 24.9% of Metsä Fibre

slide-16
SLIDE 16

Husum pulp mill renewal

2019 2020 2021 2022

Company expects to make the final investment decision* New recovery boiler and turbine expected to be in operation Pre- engineering phase launched Company applies amendment to environmental permit

16

The renewal consists of two phases

Ø Create a solid foundation to increase paperboard capacity in the Husum integrate in the future Ø Secure cost efficient pulp and energy production Ø Enable the company to reach its ambitious target of fossil-free mills by 2030

Second phase, in 2020s: New fibre line. To be implemented after the first phase is fully completed First phase, 2019–2021E: New recovery boiler and turbine

First investments made

* After the environmental permit is granted

slide-17
SLIDE 17

Investment value

  • Investment value of first phase is EUR 320 million,

divided over 2019–2022

– In 2019 investments were EUR 21 million

Estimated impacts of the first phase

  • Self-sufficiency in electricity increases from 40% to over 80%*
  • Reduced amount of purchased oil
  • Lower maintenance capex and costs

– Reduced duration and extended intervals between planned shutdowns → Increased pulp and paperboard production

  • Annual cash flow improvement EUR 35 million, of which EUR 30 million

EBITDA improvement and EUR 5 million lower capex

  • Financing costs to increase EUR 2 million per year

17

Husum pulp mill renewal in figures

*) Annual increase in electricity production about 330 GWh,

resulting in cost savings at 2019 electricity prices of approximately EUR 12 million

slide-18
SLIDE 18

New bioproduct mill* in Kemi, Finland

  • Size of the investment EUR 1.5 billion
  • Annual capacity 1.5 million tonnes of chemical pulp and

several other bioproducts

  • Final investment decision expected in the summer of 2020

– environmental permit application filed in September 2019

New sawmill line in Rauma, Finland

  • Size of the investment EUR 200 million
  • Annual capacity 750,000 cubic meters
  • If realised, would be the most modern and efficient sawmill

line in the world

  • Final investment decision in the beginning of 2020

18

Metsä Fibre is planning two major investments

*) would replace the existing pulp mill in Kemi, with

annual capacity of 630,000 tonnes of chemical pulp

slide-19
SLIDE 19

Main contributors impacting Metsä Board’s profitability

slide-20
SLIDE 20

Component Unit Change Impact on EBIT Folding boxboard Price +/- 10% > EUR 100 million White kraftliners Price +/- 10% ~ EUR 50 million FX USD/EUR +/- 10% EUR 63 million SEK/EUR +/- 10% EUR 39 million Pulp PIX price of SW/HW per tonne +/- 10% EUR 30 million Wood Cost, delivered to Finnish mills +/-10% EUR 30 million* Cost, delivered to Husum +/-10% EUR 20 million

20

Our main profit components and sensitivities

In 2019, Metsä Board sourced 8.2* million m3 wood, of which 50% from Finland; 26% from Sweden; 13% from Baltics, Germany and Poland; and 11% from Russia.

USD 57 % SEK 34 % GBP 7 % Others 2 % Annual FX transaction exposure total EUR 1.1 billion

* Includes the wood used in the pulp purchased from Metsä Fibre

slide-21
SLIDE 21

Wood is the biggest cost component in Metsä Board’s total costs

Cost inflation accelerated in 2018 and costs remained at a high level in 2019

Prices of raw materials remained high in 2019. Wood costs were at a higher level than the year before, but declined slightly towards the end of the year. Total costs in 2019 were EUR 1.70 billion (2018: EUR 1.69 billion).

Wood 28% Logistics 16% Chemicals 16% Energy 14% Personnel 12% Other fixed 14%

2019 Results 21

Metsä Board’s cost split in 2019

slide-22
SLIDE 22

500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Folding boxboard White-top kraftliner

22

Price development of folding boxboard and white kraftliner in Europe

EUR/ tonne Sources: Fastmarkets RISI & Fastmarkets FOEX EUR/ tonne

slide-23
SLIDE 23

350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250

'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19

Source: Fast Markets Foex

USD or EUR USD or EUR

23

Price development of pulp in Europe (PIX)

Long-fibre (SW) and short-fibre (HW) pulp

Long-fibre, USD

Long-fibre, EUR

Short-fibre, EUR Short-fibre, USD

slide-24
SLIDE 24

Price development of roadside pulpwood in Finland and Sweden

Pulpwood roadside prices in Finland, EUR/m3 Pulpwood roadside prices in Sweden*, SEK/m3

Sources: Luke (Natural Resources Institute Finland) and Skogsstyrelsen (The Swedish Forest Agency)

20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Spruce Birch Pine 150 170 190 210 230 250 270 290 310 330 350 370 390 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Spruce Birch Pine

24

slide-25
SLIDE 25

FX rates development: EUR/USD and EUR/SEK

EUR/USD

25

EUR/SEK

1,08 1,1 1,12 1,14 1,16 1,18 1,2 1,22 1,24 1,26

29.12.2017 29.1.2018 28.2.2018 31.3.2018 30.4.2018 31.5.2018 30.6.2018 31.7.2018 31.8.2018 30.9.2018 31.10.2018 30.11.2018 31.12.2018 31.1.2019 28.2.2019 31.3.2019 30.4.2019 31.5.2019 30.6.2019 31.7.2019 31.8.2019 30.9.2019 31.10.2019 30.11.2019 31.12.2019

9,6 9,8 10 10,2 10,4 10,6 10,8 11

29.12.2017 29.1.2018 28.2.2018 31.3.2018 30.4.2018 31.5.2018 30.6.2018 31.7.2018 31.8.2018 30.9.2018 31.10.2018 30.11.2018 31.12.2018 31.1.2019 28.2.2019 31.3.2019 30.4.2019 31.5.2019 30.6.2019 31.7.2019 31.8.2019 30.9.2019 31.10.2019 30.11.2019 31.12.2019

slide-26
SLIDE 26

Operating environment for fresh fibre paperboards

slide-27
SLIDE 27

The total packaging market and estimated growth for paperboard packaging

The size of total packaging market is USD 920 billion

27

Average annual growth rate of paperboard packaging 33 % 12 % 36 % 13 % 6 %

Paperboard

Other fibre-based Plastic Metal Glass 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2024f +3% per year 2019–2024

Source: Smithers Information Ltd

slide-28
SLIDE 28

28

Metsä Board operates in a growing market

10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 1000 metric tonnes Asia 2.4%/a

Containerboard growth forecast Cartonboard growth forecast

Source: RISI Paper Packaging Forecasts

25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 Million metric tonnes

slide-29
SLIDE 29

29

We have good growth opportunities in premium paperboards

Cartonboard White linerboard Cartonboard White linerboard Cartonboard White linerboard Total annual demand: 10 million tonnes 3 million tonnes 10 million tonnes 5 million tonnes 22 million tonnes 3 million tonnes

Americas EMEA APAC

FSB FBB Other fresh fibre grades Recycled grades CWKL WKL White testliner FSB FBB Other fresh fibre grades Recycled grades CWKL WKL White testliner FSB FBB Other fresh fibre grades Recycled grades WKL White testliner

FSB = food service board, FBB = folding boxboard, SBS & CUK = other fresh fibre grades, WLC = recycled grades WKL = uncoated white kraftliner, CWKL=coated white kraftliner

28% 77% 41% 38% 36% Source: Metsä Board research based on several sources, e.g. CEPI Cartonboard and Containerboard, RISI

slide-30
SLIDE 30

Total containerboard market 170Mt Linerboards 102Mt

White linerboard 11Mt

White kraftliner 4Mt White coated kraftliner 1Mt White uncoated kraftliner 3Mt White testliner 7Mt

Brown linerboard 91 Mt

Brown kraftliner 24Mt Brown testliner 67Mt

Fluting 68Mt

Fresh fibre fluting 8Mt Recycled fluting 60Mt

Metsä Board’s fresh fibre linerboards are at the top of the quality pyramid

Global annual demand in containerboards totals 170 million tonnes

Source: Metsä Board’s own estimate based on several sources

30

slide-31
SLIDE 31

31

Paperboard demand and supply by region

AMERICAS 24% EMEA 70% APAC 6%

FOCUS ON HIGH-QUALITY SEGMENT

  • Growing middle class and

increased purchasing power support demand for packaging

  • Plenty of local supply in

cartonboard

  • Metsä Board’s focus is on

high-quality segment STRONG MARKET POSITION IN EUROPE

  • Stable demand in FBB and

WKL

  • Increased environmental

awarness and tightened regulations support demand for sustainable packaging materials

  • Several conversions from

paper into lower quality containerboard production

Share of Metsä Board’s total paperboard deliveries in 2019:

GROWTH POTENTIAL IN NORTH-AMERICA

  • Limited availability of

lightweight FBB and coated WKL

  • Decreased local supply of

SBS/FSB and changing import volumes from China

  • FSB demand growing
slide-32
SLIDE 32
  • Functionality, durability and consumer experience are the

key words

  • Demand for white kraftliner driven by

– Increasing branding of the packaging – Trend towards shipping the product in its own container – Personalisation of boxes, supported by advancing technology in digital printing

  • The global value of E-commerce is expected to grow by

17% per year on average, increasing its share of the retail trade from 12% to 22% in 2018–2023

Branding and personalisation becoming more important in E-commerce

32

Sources: eMarketer, Smithers Information Ltd

slide-33
SLIDE 33

2019 Full year results

slide-34
SLIDE 34

34

Key financials

Q4/19 Q4/18 Change Q4/19

  • vs. Q4/18

FY 2019 FY 2018 Change 2019

  • vs. 2018

Sales

EUR, m

478 458 4% 1,932 1,944

  • 1%

EBITDA*

EUR, m

59 81

  • 27%

279 344

  • 19%

Operating result*

EUR, m

39 60

  • 35%

184 252

  • 27%

% of sales*

%

8.2 13.1 9.5 13.0 Metsä Fibre’s share of operating result*

EUR, m

1 32

  • 97%

43 124

  • 64%

Earnings per share

EUR

0.05 0.14

  • 64%

0.41 0.57

  • 28%

ROCE*

%

8.9 13.7 10.4 14.4 Capex (own assets)

EUR, m

54 34 59% 95 70 33% Cash flow from operations

EUR, m

90 30 195% 201 151 33% IB Net debt, at end of period

EUR, m

308 335

  • 8%

308 335

  • 8%

*comparable

slide-35
SLIDE 35
  • Strong cash flow
  • Paperboard delivery volumes slightly lower

due to seasonality, prices remained stable

  • In Europe, market pulp prices continued to

decline

  • Profitability supported by less maintenance

and lower production costs

  • First investments made in the renewal of

the Husum pulp mill

  • Board of Directors proposes a distribution
  • f EUR 0.24 per share for 2019

35

Q4 2019 in summary

COMPARABLE OPERATING RESULT

39.1

EUR million OPERATING CASH FLOW

89.6

EUR million PAPERBOARD DELIVERIES

440,000

tonnes TOTAL INVESTMENTS

56.8

EUR million

slide-36
SLIDE 36

Total paperboard delivery volumes slightly down year-on-year

265 304 299 276 297 328 297 293 302 299 305 300 163 173 170 152 171 161 149 134 138 146 161 140

100 200 300 400 500

Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019

White kraftliner Folding boxboard

1,000 tonnes

36

1,000 tonnes FY 2018: 1,830,000 tonnes FY 2019: 1,791,000 tonnes

  • 2%

+3%

slide-37
SLIDE 37

Paperboard sales development by market area in 2019

37

EMEA 860,000 (844k) Americas 242,000 (252k) APAC 105,000 (119k)

FBB deliveries in 2019 (2018)

total 1,207,000 tonnes (1,215k)

71%

EMEA 385,000 (438k) Americas 190,000 (173k) APAC 9,000 (4k)

WKL deliveries in 2019 (2018)

total 584,000 tonnes (615k)

EMEA

  • Stable demand in FBB with rising price levels
  • Soft market situation in WKL in H1, demand picked

up during the summer. Slightly improved price levels year-on-year AMERICAS

  • Slightly lower delivery volumes in FBB with clearly

improved price levels. Stable market situation in WKL with increased delivery volumes APAC

  • Lower FBB delivery volumes

20% 9% 66% 33% FBB = Folding boxboard WKL = White kraftliner

slide-38
SLIDE 38

69 62 59 41 64 43 60 39 60 120 180 240 300 2018 2019

Higher paperboard prices supported 2019 sales, profitability burdened mainly by lower market pulp prices

Sales

EUR million 492 487 519 477 475 489 458 478 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2018 2019

38

Comparable operating result

EUR million and % of sales

EUR million EUR million Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1

FY 2018: EUR 252 million 13.0% FY 2019: EUR 184 million 9.5% FY 2018: EUR 1,944 million FY 2019: EUR 1,932 million

slide-39
SLIDE 39

39

Comparable operating result

Q4 2019 vs. Q3 2019 and FY 2019 vs. FY 2018

Positive: + less annual maintenance + lower production costs + sale of emission rights Negative:

  • weakened market pulp prices
  • Metsä Fibre’s result share
  • lower paperboard delivery volumes

Positive: + higher prices in FBB and WKL + FX Negative:

  • weakened market pulp prices
  • Metsä Fibre’s result share
  • higher wood and raw material costs in paperboard and pulp

Comparable operating result

Q4 2019: EUR 39.1 million

(Q3 2019: EUR 42.5 million) Comparable operating result

FY 2019: EUR 184.4 million

(FY 2018: EUR 251.9 million)

slide-40
SLIDE 40

4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% Q1/16 Q2/16 Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19

Comparable return on capital employed, % Quarterly Rolling 12m Target

40

In 2019 comparable ROCE at 10.4%

Target level > 12%

R12m 10.4% Q4/19: 8.9%

slide-41
SLIDE 41

Market pulp price decline decelerating but coronavirus causes uncertainty

41

Pulp price (PIX) development in Europe and China

  • In 2019 European NBSK (USD) decreased by

16%, while Chinese prices dropped by 28%*. Some stabilisation especially for Chinese prices towards the end of the year

  • Strong Chinese consumption throughout 2019,

driven by the resurgence of paper and paperboard

  • production. Demand trend remains expanding. In

Europe, the trend remains rather weak

  • Global stock levels for both NBSK and BHK have

declined from the peak levels in the summer 2019

Long-fibre pulp, Europe Long-fibre pulp, China (net)

Source: Fastmarkets Foex USD/tonne USD/tonne

200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

*) calculated from the difference between the average yearly prices

slide-42
SLIDE 42

68 106 30 36 54 30 36 31 44 90 59 79 20 23 43

  • 3

29 13 26 37

  • 50

50 100 150 200 250

  • 50

50 100 150 200 250 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 Cash flow from operations, quarterly Free cash flow, quarterly Cash flow from operations, rolling 12 months Free cash flow, rolling 12 months

EUR million

42

Free cash flow = cash flow from operations − total investments

Strong operative cash flow in 2019

Q4 cash flow supported by release in working capital

EUR million

slide-43
SLIDE 43

43

Near-term outlook

  • Strikes in Finnish mills will have a negative

impact on operating result of approximately EUR 20 million, affecting mainly Q1 2020

  • Metsä Board’s paperboard delivery volumes will

be roughly at the same level as in Q4 2019

  • Paperboard prices expected to be stable, pulp

prices are not expected to decline

  • No major planned maintenance shutdowns

during Q1 2020

  • Stable production costs, prolonged mild winter

might increase wood costs

slide-44
SLIDE 44

Metsä Board’s comparable operating result for the first quarter of 2020 is expected to weaken compared to the fourth quarter of 2019 due to strikes at mills in Finland.

44

Result guidance for January–March 2020

slide-45
SLIDE 45

Debt and financing

slide-46
SLIDE 46

358 335 388 344 335 297 380 352 308

1.2 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.1

0,0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 100 200 300 400 500 600 12/2017 3/2018 6/2018 9/2018 12/2018 3/2019 6/2019 9/2019 12/2019 Net debt, EUR million Net debt to comparable EBITDA (last 12 months)

46

Strong balance sheet at the year end

Net debt at EUR 308 million, leverage 1.1x

Net debt / EBITDA target level: <2.5 EUR million

slide-47
SLIDE 47

50 100 150 200 250 2020 2021-2024 2025 2027

Bonds Loans from financial institutions Pension loans Finance lease liabilities

47

Debt and its maturity

Long-term interest-bearing debt maturity profile as per 31 December 2019

EUR million

  • In 2019, Metsä Board agreed on a new bank financing facility

consisting of a five-year term loan of EUR 150 million and a five- year RCF of EUR 200 million to replace the drawn loan of EUR 50 millionand undrawn RCF of EUR 150 million

  • Interest-bearing debt on 31 December was EUR 445 million

(31 Dec 2018: EUR 447 million)

Rating agency Rating and

  • utlook

Last update S&P Global BBB- stable 02/2018 Upgrade from BB+ Moody‘s Investor Services Baa3 stable 01/2019 Upgrade from Ba1 Metsä Board’s both credit ratings are investment grade

slide-48
SLIDE 48

48

Net financial costs in 2019 were EUR 15.4 million

32 31 36 22 15

3.8 3.3 3.3 3.3 2.5 2,0 2,5 3,0 3,5 4,0 4,5 5,0 10 20 30 40 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Net financial costs, EUR million Average interest rate at the end of period, % EUR million %

  • Net financial costs, including foreign

exchange differences, in 2019 were EUR 15.4 million (FY 2018: 22.3)

  • Average interest rate on loans at the end of

review period was 2.5% and the average maturity of long-term loans was 6.4 years

  • No major differences in annual interest

payments after the new financial arrangements on 30 September 2019

  • Annual financial costs expected to increase

by EUR 2 million with the Husum pulp mill renewal

slide-49
SLIDE 49

Debt structure and liquidity on 31 December 2019

249 149 24 23

Bonds Loans from financial institutions Pension loans Finance leases and other loans

24 134 200 190

Cash and cash equivalents RCF, unraised Pension loans, unraised

Interest-bearing debt

EUR 445 million

Available liquidity

EUR 524 million Average maturity of long-term loans on 31 December 2019 was 6.4 years.

49

slide-50
SLIDE 50

Sustainability

slide-51
SLIDE 51
  • Growing consumer awareness:

Origin and transparency of materials, renewability, resource efficiency and recylability

  • Brand owners are committed to

reducing their carbon footprints: Lighter packaging reduces CO2 emissions across the value chain

51

Sustainability is on everybody’s agenda

“Our comprehensive approach to reducing our environmental impact means looking at all aspects of our business, how they intersect and how we can integrate new solutions to create meaningful and sustained change.” – Starbucks website “We want low-carbon to become the new normal, so we’re taking action to reduce GHG emissions throughout our value chain.” – Unilever website

slide-52
SLIDE 52
  • Consumers regard paperboard as a more responsible choice than plastic packaging –

willingness to pay more for it

  • Paperboard cartons preserved the cherry tomatoes at least as well as the plastic equivalent
  • The climate effect of a recycled PET container was calculated at six times higher than the average

value for the paperboard cartons

52

Alternative to plastics: Paperboard adds value to packaging

A detailed consumer study with cherry tomatoes was carried out in Finland by Sense N Insight, Luke (Natural Resources Institute Finland) and Metsä Board

slide-53
SLIDE 53

Replacing fossil- based materials, i.e. plastics The solution: renewable and biodegradable wood fibre Increased waste generation due to urbanisation The solution: Paperboard is recyclable – and widely recycled Reducing carbon footprint The solution: renewable energy, efficient energy and water usage in production Ensuring food safety The solution: pure and safe fresh fibres in food packaging Fresh fibre paperboards offer solutions to major challenges

slide-54
SLIDE 54

Lighter packaging reduces CO2 emissions across the value chain – Our fossil CO2 emissions per product tonne have reduced by almost 50% since 2009

Less energy, water and raw material consumed Less transport weight Less waste generated

slide-55
SLIDE 55
  • Metsä Board sources its wood mainly

from Finland and Sweden (76 %)

  • All wood used is 100% traceable and

comes from sustainably managed forest sources ensuring the biodiversity and recreational use of forests

  • 76% of wood sourced is certified

(remaining 24 % from controlled forest sources)

55

Wood is our main raw material

slide-56
SLIDE 56

Finland – the largest forest cover in Europe

56

100+

MILLION M3

Annual growth of Finnish forests is

  • ver 100 million m3 – more than ever

Forests grow more than they are used, annual harvesting 78 million m3 (2018) Four seedlings are planted for each harvested tree Over 20% of the Finnish export comes from forest-based products

The area of Finland

Cities, villages and roads Fields and agricultural use Lakes and rivers Forest

10% 10% 75% 5%

slide-57
SLIDE 57
  • Metsä Board uses only

surface water in its processes

  • Water is been recirculated

in processes several times

  • 99% of the water used is returned

back to the close-by waterways after thorough purification

57

We have decreased our process water use by 29% since 2010

slide-58
SLIDE 58

Own generation 20 % Purchased through PVO shareholding 32 % Purchased electricity 48 %

Electricity sourced in 2019 (total 2.4 TWh)

58

83% of our total energy used is fossil free

Renewable, mainly wood- based side streams 49 % Nuclear power 34 % Fossil-based 17 %

Primary energy used in 2019

(total 11.7 TWh)

  • Our energy efficiency has improved by 12% during

2009–2019

  • After OL31) starts up, we will be nearly self-sufficient in electricity in

Finland

− Self-sufficiency includes own generation and electricity purchased through PVO holding or from Metsä Fibre − After the first phase of Husum pulp renewal, self-sufficiency in electricity increases from 40% to over 80% at Husum integrate

  • Metsä Board’s shareholding in PVO2) is 3.2%

− Fair value as per 31 December 2018 was EUR 266 million

1) Olkiluoto Nuclear Power Plant 2) Pohjolan Voima Oyj is a non-listed public limited liability company.

It supplies electricity and heat for its shareholders at cost price

3) Out of 48% share of purchased energy, 14% is from Metsä Fibre and 34% includes other purchased energy

3)

slide-59
SLIDE 59

Certified wood fibre

  • Share of certified fibre >90%
  • In 2019: 76%

At Metsä Group level: Increasing the amount of carbon stored in forests and products

  • Area of regeneration and

management of young stands

  • Amount of carbon stored in

products (t) Safeguarding biodiversity

  • Increasing the amount of

decayed wood Fossil free mills

  • Share of fossil free energy

100%, 0 tCO2 (Scope 1)

  • In 2019: 82%

Fossil-free purchased energy

  • Share of fossil free energy

100%, 0 tCO2 (Scope 2)

  • In 2019: 85%

Resource efficient production

  • Utilisation of side streams

100%

  • In 2019: 99%
  • Process water use per prod.

ton (m3/t) -30% vs. 2018

  • In 2019: -11%
  • Energy efficiency

improvement >10% vs. 2018

  • In 2019: -0.5%

Metsä Board’s 2030 sustainability targets and actuals in 2019

CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENT SUSTAINABLE CHOICES WELL-BEING FOREST

Responsible corporate culture

  • Ethics barometer 100%
  • In 2019: new ethics

barometer to be developed, coverage of Code of Conduct e-training 97% Accident-free work environment

  • Accident frequency LTA1 0
  • In 2019: LTA1 5.5

Fossil free raw materials

  • Share of fossil free raw

materials 100%

  • In 2019: 99%

Sustainable supply chain

  • Sustainable suppliers 100%
  • In 2019: commitment to

Supplier Code of Conduct: 95%, compliance analysis conducted 82%, coverage

  • f sustainability

questionnaire 58%

  • Traceability of raw

materials 100%

  • In 2019: 93%

59

slide-60
SLIDE 60

External recognition and commitments

In ISS ESG Corporate Rating (previously oekom research Corporate Rating) Metsä Board has a Prime status. Metsä Board scored the Gold level in EcoVadis’ CSR ranking in 2019, and is included in the top 1% of companies assessed in the corrugated paper and paperboard industry. Metsä Board has been on the CDP Climate A List since 2016. In addition, Metsä Board scored A- in the CDP Water and Forest Programmes and in the Supplier Engagement Rating in 2019. Metsä Board as a part of Metsä Group is committed to the UN Global Compact corporate responsibility initiative and its principles in the areas of human rights, labour, environment and anti-corruption. Metsä Board also supports the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals, the SDGs. Metsä Board’s GHG emissions’ reduction targets are approved by the Science Based Targets initiative. In 2019, Metsä Board received a rating of AAA (on a scale of AAA-CCC) in the MSCI ESG Ratings assessment. In December 2019 , Metsä Board received an overall ESG Risk Rating score of 17.6 and is considered by Sustainalytics to be at low risk of experiencing material financial impacts from ESG factors.

Link to MSCI Terms and Conditions

Metsä Board’s ESG performance was rated “Advanced” in Vigeo Eiris ESG assessment in July 2019.

60

slide-61
SLIDE 61

Research and Development

slide-62
SLIDE 62

Our key product development focus areas

Unique opportunities for sustainability and yield gains through raw material efficiency

Further lightweighting of paperboards

62

Developing new barrier boards

  • Improved BCTMP
  • Microfibrillated cellulose (MFC)
  • Strength additives
  • Dispersion barriers
  • Bio-based raw materials
slide-63
SLIDE 63

PROMOTION

Brightness

PROTECTION

Stiffness

Folding boxboard (FBB) White lined chipboard (WLC)

Metsä Board’s folding boxboard

Coated unbleached kraft (CUK)

The role of packaging is to promote the brand and protect the product – in a cost-effective way

Solid bleached board (SBB)

63

slide-64
SLIDE 64

64

High-yield pulp makes the difference between folding boxboard and other grades …

Three-layer structure of Folding Boxboard

Light weight

→ better yield and sustainability

High strength and bending stiffness

→ secure protection

High brightness and smoothness

→ excellent printability

Consistent quality

→ improved production efficiency

slide-65
SLIDE 65

SBS (100% chemical pulp) Metsä Board FBB (up to 70% BCTMP, 30% chemical pulp )

… and leave more trees standing

5 m3 of wood per tonne of pulp 3.4 m3 of wood per tonne of pulp

= =

slide-66
SLIDE 66

Lighter-weight paperboards: Better with Less

Metsä Board lightweight paperboard Average FBB – Folding boxboard SBB – Solid bleached board WLC – White lined chipboard

66

The weights equal to a print job of 30 000 sheets on a standard size printing press

slide-67
SLIDE 67

In 2019, we announced of our new, improved FBB portfolio, that answers to increasing demands for sustainability, product safety and brand promotion

– Further opportunities for lightweighting – Enhanced visual properties – Industry-leading quality consistency – Improved supply security and availability

Enabled by our improved high-yield BCTMP and full R&D focus

  • n paperboard

67

Metsä Board enhances its leading position in premium lightweight paperboards

slide-68
SLIDE 68

Metsä Board has developed a new plastic-free eco-barrier paperboard for food and food service purposes Medium barrier for grease and moisture Can be recycled in paper or paperboard streams

END-USES: Food service, fresh, dry and frozen food and

  • ther packaging end-uses that require barrier properties

68

New plastic-free barrier board for even more demanding end-uses

slide-69
SLIDE 69

ü Plastic-free ü Easily recyclable ü Protective with medium barrier for grease and moisture ü Safe for direct food contact – no fluorochemicals or

  • ptical brighteners (OBA)

ü Brightest OBA-free board on the market, with excellent printability on both sides

5

KEY ADVANTAGES OF METSÄ BOARD’S NEW ECO-BARRIER PAPERBOARD

slide-70
SLIDE 70

HIGH

WVTR < 15 g/m²/d

PE barrier boards

MEDIUM

15 ≤ WVTR < 100

MetsäBoard Prime FBB EB

MODERATE

100 ≤ WVTR < 250

NONE

WVTR > 250 g/m²/d

Paperboards without barrier

MetsäBoard Prime FBB EB1

NONE

< 10 min

MODERATE

10 min ≤ OGR < 6 h

MEDIUM

6 h ≤ OGR < 72 h

HIGH

OGR > 72 h

70

The new plastic-free eco-barrier is the next step in Metsä Board’s barrier board development

Oil and grease resistance (flat sample) Moisture resistance

slide-71
SLIDE 71

71

Getting familiar with terminology:

Barrier boards types

NON-BIOBASED BIODEGRADABLE BIOBASED NON-BIODEGRADABLE PLA (polylactide): often based on corn starch PVA (polyvinyl alcohol) PBS (polybutylene succinate) Green PE: made from biomaterials PE: made from fossil raw materials, used in extrusion coating

Examples of materials used in coating

Note! Biobased material = Renewable material ≠ Compostable ≈ Biodegradable

slide-72
SLIDE 72
  • Metsä Board to establish a new Paperboard and Packaging

Excellence Centre, to be operational in 2020

– Combines packaging design and R&D excellence under the same roof – Enables to organise packaging design workshops and innovation days together with customers and partners

  • We are testing and developing new types of paperboard in

collaboration with Metsä Spring, Metsä Group’s innovation company

  • Pro Nemus Visitor Center provides a new way to learn about

Metsä Group’s business operations, products and innovation activities

72

A unique bioeconomy ecosystem in Äänekoski, Finland

Developing new paperboard and packaging solutions of the future

slide-73
SLIDE 73

Owners, management and contact information

slide-74
SLIDE 74

Market cap and foreign owners

31 December 2019

Ownership distribution

31 December 2019

Market cap and ownership distribution

Metsä Board’s A- and B-shares are listed on Nasdaq Helsinki

5 10 15 20 25 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000

12/2015 12/2016 12/2017 12/2018 12/2019

Market cap, EUR million Share of foreign owners, % Metsäliitto Cooperative 46% Domestic institutional investors 19% Domestic private investors 20% Foreign

  • wners

15%

EUR million

74

%

slide-75
SLIDE 75

75

Metsä Board Corporate Management Team

Mika Joukio

CEO Chairman of CMT since 2014 MG employee since 1990 Share ownership: 297,700

Jussi Noponen

CFO Member of CMT since 2016 MG employee since 2000 Share ownership: 73,000

Sari Pajari

SVP, Marketing and Sales Member of CMT since 2011 MG employee since 2007 Share ownership: 66,075

Ari Kiviranta

SVP, Development Member of CMT since 2014 MG employee since 1993 Share ownership: 45,000

Harri Pihlajaniemi

SVP, Production Member of CMT since 2017 MG employee in 2001-2004 and since 2017 Share ownership: no ownership

Camilla Wikström

SVP, HR Member of CMT since 2019 MG employee since 2001 Share ownership: 17,807 Share ownerships are B-shares. MG = Metsä Group

slide-76
SLIDE 76

Katri Sundström Vice President, Investor relations Tel +358 10 462 0101 katri.sundstrom@metsagroup.com Metsä Board Corporation P.O. Box 20 02020 Metsä, Finland www.metsaboard.com

76

Contact information

slide-77
SLIDE 77

This presentation includes forward-looking statements. The words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “may,” “plan,” “estimate,” “will,” “should,” “could,” “aim,” “target,” “might,” or, in each case, their negative, or any similar expressions identify certain of these forward-looking statements. Others can be identified from the context in which the statements are

  • made. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to assumptions, risks and uncertainties. Although we

believe that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, actual results may differ, even materially, from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. We urge presentation participants not to place undue reliance on such statements. The information and views contained in this presentation are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. Metsä Board does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except to the extent legally required. Viewers should understand that this presentation does not constitute, and should not be construed as, an offer to buy or subscribe for Metsä Board’s securities anywhere in the world or an inducement to enter into any investment activity relating to the same. No part of this presentation should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract

  • r commitment or decision to invest in Metsä Board securities whatsoever. Potential investors are instructed to acquaint

themselves with Metsä Board’s annual accounts, interim reports and stock exchange releases as well as other information published by Metsä Board to form a comprehensive picture of the company and its securities. Metsä Board publishes inside information according to Market Abuse Regulation (MAR) and rules of the Nasdaq Helsinki.

77

Disclaimer

slide-78
SLIDE 78