Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016 Earnings | February 2, 2017
Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements in these slides and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements in these slides and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016 Earnings | February 2, 2017 Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements in these slides and made during this presentation may be considered forward-looking statements. These statements reflect management's
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements in these slides and made during this presentation may be considered forward-looking
- statements. These statements reflect management's current views and are subject to risks and
uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these
- statements. Factors which could cause actual results to differ include but are not limited to: (i) the level of
- ur indebtedness and changes in interest rates; (ii) industry conditions, including but not limited to
changes in the cost or availability of raw materials, energy and transportation costs, competition we face, cyclicality and changes in consumer preferences, demand and pricing for our products; (iii) global economic conditions and political changes, including but not limited to the impairment of financial institutions, changes in currency exchange rates, credit ratings issued by recognized credit rating
- rganizations, the amount of our future pension funding obligation, changes in tax laws and pension and
health care costs; (iv) unanticipated expenditures related to the cost of compliance with existing and new environmental and other governmental regulations and to actual or potential litigation; (v) changes in our estimates for the costs and insurance coverage associated with the recent incident at our Pensacola, Florida mill and for the time required to resume full operations at the mill; (vi) whether we experience a material disruption at one of our other manufacturing facilities; (vii) risks inherent in conducting business through joint ventures; (viii) the failure to realize the expected synergies and cost-savings from our purchase of the cellulose fibers business of Weyerhaeuser Company; and (ix) our ability to achieve the benefits we expect from all other strategic acquisitions, divestitures and restructurings. These and other factors that could cause or contribute to actual results differing materially from such forward-looking statements are discussed in greater detail in our Securities and Exchange Commission filings. We undertake no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
2
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Statements Relating to Non-GAAP Financial Measures
During the course of this presentation, certain non U.S. GAAP financial measures will be presented, such as Adjusted Operating EPS, Adjusted EBIT, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA Margin, Free Cash Flow and Adjusted ROIC. A reconciliation of all presented non-GAAP measures (and their components) to U.S. GAAP financial measures is available on the company’s website at internationalpaper.com under Performance/Investors.
3
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Ilim JV Information
All financial information and statistical measures regarding our 50/50 Ilim joint venture in Russia (“Ilim”), other than historical International Paper Equity Earnings and dividends received by International Paper, have been prepared by the management of Ilim. Any projected financial information and statistical measures reflect the current views of Ilim management and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such projections. See “Forward-Looking Statements.”
4
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
9.2% 11.0% 9.9% 2014 2015 2016
Adjusted ROIC1 Full-Year 2016 Highlights
- Strong Free Cash Flow2 of $1.9B
- Delivered Adjusted ROIC of ~10%,
7th consecutive year above cost of capital
- Key strategic levers:
- Further strengthened N.A. Industrial
Packaging business
- Acquisition of Weyco’s pulp business
- Conversion of Riegelwood Mill
- Acquisition and planned conversion of
Madrid Mill
- Sale of Asia Box business
- Increased dividend by 5% to $1.85/share
5
1 Adjusted ROIC = Adjusted Operating Earnings before Interest / Average Invested Capital [Equity (adjusted to remove pension related amounts in OCI, net of tax) +Interest-bearing Debt]
2 See slide #27 for a reconciliation of cash provided by operations to Free Cash FlowEarnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Full-Year 2016 Financial Results
$ Billion
(Except as noted)
2014 2015 2016 Sales $23.6 $22.4 $21.1
- Adj. EBIT1
$2.7 $2.6 $2.3
- Adj. Operating EPS2
$3.00 $3.65 $3.35 Operating EPS impact
- f Ilim F/X3 – IP Share
($0.63) ($0.18) $0.06
- Adj. EBITDA1
$4.1 $3.9 $3.5
- Adj. EBITDA Margin
17.5% 17.6% 16.6% FCF4 $2.1 $1.8 $1.9 Year-End Debt $9.4 $9.3 $11.3 Cash Balance $1.9 $1.0 $1.0
1 From continuing operations before special items and non-operating pension expense 2 Adjusted operating EPS based on Adjusted Operating Earnings (defined as Net Earnings (GAAP) from continuing operations before special items and non-operatingpension expense)
3 Represents F/X impact including that related to Ilim JV USD-denominated net debt (balance of ~$0.6B at year end 2016) 4 See slide #27 for a reconciliation of cash provided by operations to Free Cash Flow6
$2.1 $1.8 $1.9 2014 2015 2016
FCF4
($MM)
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Global Economic Recession
$1.6 $1.8 $2.1 $1.8 $1.9
$0.0 $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 $ Billions
Strong, Sustainable Free Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow, a non U.S. GAAP measure, reflects cash provided by continuing operations for 2005 – 2011, based on data in the 10-K for each year at the time of
- filing. Free Cash Flow reflects cash provided by operations for 2012 onward.
Excludes net cash pension contributions impacting 2006, 2010, 2011, 2013, 2014, 2015 & 2016, cash flows under European accounts receivable securitization beginning in 2009 and ending in 2011, and cash received from Black Liquor Tax Credits in 2009 and 2010. 2012 excludes $120MM cash paid for Temple-Inland change-in-control agreements, $251MM cash received from unwinding a timber monetization, $44MM cash paid for Temple-Inland pension plan contribution, and $80MM cash paid for Guaranty Bank settlement. 2013 excludes $31MM cash paid for pension plan contribution and $30MM cash received from Guaranty Bank insurance reimbursements. For 2014 onward, see slide #27 for a reconciliation of cash provided by operations to Free Cash Flow.
Transformation: $0.5 Billion (average) 5-Year Average $1.8 Billion
7
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Global Economic Recession
4.5% 6.3% 7.5% 6.5% 5.0% 8.1% 9.5% 8.3% 9.3% 9.2% 11.0% 9.9%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Expanded Spread of Adj. ROIC1 Above Cost of Capital | Increasing Shareholder Value
8
5-Year Average 9.6%
WACC for 2016
1 Adjusted ROIC = Adjusted Operating Earnings before Interest / Average Invested Capital [Equity (adjusted to remove pension related amounts in OCI, net of tax) +Interest-bearing Debt]
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
3.65 3.35
(.70) (.14) .10 .02 .13 .10 .16 .03
2015 Price / Mix Volume Operations & Costs Maintenance Outages Input Costs Tax / Interest / Other Ilim JV Pulp Acquisition 2016
2016 vs. 2015 Adj. Operating EPS
9
Adjusted operating EPS based on Adjusted Operating Earnings (defined as Net Earnings (GAAP) from continuing operations before special items and non-operating pension expense)
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
4Q16 Financial Results
4Q15 3Q16 4Q16 Sales ($B) $5.4 $5.3 $5.4
- Adj. EBIT1 ($MM)
$616 $613 $498
- Adj. Operating EPS2
$0.87 $0.91 $0.73 Operating EPS impact
- f Ilim F/X3 – IP Share
($0.05) $0.01 $0.01
- Adj. EBITDA1 ($MM)
$930 $927 $826
- Adj. EBITDA Margin1
17.1% 17.6% 15.4% Free Cash Flow4 ($MM) $501 $575 $467
1 From continuing operations before special items and non-operating pension expense 2 Adjusted operating EPS based on Adjusted Operating Earnings (defined as Net Earnings (GAAP) from continuing operations before special items and non-operatingpension expense)
3 Represents F/X impact including that related to Ilim JV USD-denominated net debt (balance of ~$0.6B at end of 4Q16) 4 See slide #27 for a reconciliation of cash provided by operations to free cash flow- Solid results in N.A. Industrial Pkg
driven by strong demand and increasing prices
- Higher input costs ($17MM)
unfavorably impacted earnings
- Impact from Hurricane Matthew
- Continued solid operational
performance across businesses
- Strong performance at Ilim JV
continued with adjusted operational EBITDA of $180MM
- Closed acquisition of Weyco pulp
business and integrating as new Global Cellulose Fibers business
10
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
.91 .73
(.18) (.01) (.03) .01 .03
3Q16 Price / Mix Volume Operations & Costs Maintenance Outages Input Costs Tax / Other Ilim JV Pulp Acquisition 4Q16
4Q16 vs. 3Q16 Adj. Operating EPS
11
Adjusted operating EPS based on Adjusted Operating Earnings (defined as Net Earnings (GAAP) from continuing operations before special items and non-operating pension expense)
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
429 379
(12) (57) (11)
22 8
3Q16 Price / Mix Volume Operations & Costs Maintenance Outages Input Costs 4Q16
Industrial Packaging | 4Q16 vs. 3Q16 Adj. EBIT1
12
$ Million
1 Segment adjusted operating profit before special itemsEarnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
N.A. Industrial Packaging | October 2016 Price Increase Update
13
2017 Full Year benefits partially offset by:
- 2016 price reductions and exit rate (see chart above)
- Price increase implementation timing
- Rising input costs
9MM Tons 1MM Tons 2MM Tons
IP Containerboard Shipment Volume ~12 Million Tons1
US IP Box Plants; ~9MM Tons Domestic (Open Mkt); ~1MM Tons Export (Open Mkt) and Non-US IP Box Plants; ~2MM Tons
1 Excludes Saturating Kraft/Gypsum Liner 2 IP dataImpact of Domestic Containerboard Price Increase = ~$400MM Annualized
95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 4Q'15 1Q'16 2Q'16 3Q'16 4Q'16 Box OCC
Indexed to 4TH Quarter 20152
OCC Delivered Cost Box Pricing
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Global Cellulose Fibers | Business Overview
14 ~70% ~30%
Current Product Mix1
Fluff Pulp & Specialties Market Pulp
Total Capacity ~3.6MM MTPY Targeted Mix
Fluff Pulp & Specialties 3.0MM 85% Market Pulp 0.6MM 15%
1 Combined businesses, with Riegelwood PM18 running SW market pulpEarnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Global Cellulose Fibers | Advantaged Position in Advantaged Markets
15
Well-Positioned to Serve Growing Demand with Global, Strategic Customers
Source: Poyry World Fibre Outlook up to 2030, IP Analysis
North America Latin America EMEA Asia Other
2016 2016 - 2020 CAGR
Column1
4.3% 3.6% 3.5% 2.9%
Airlaid 11% Adult Incontinence 30% Feminine Care 23% Baby Diapers 36%
5.5MM MTPY CAGR = 3.6%
Fluff Demand by Region and End Use
3.0% 1.8% 5.1% 5.8% 1.1% 2016 - 2020 CAGR
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
$479 $209
2015 2016
Global Cellulose Fibers | Pro-forma Operating Results and 2017 Outlook 2017 Outlook
- Demand growth
- Ramp up of synergies
- Implement recently announced
price increases
- Exit rate pricing
- Short-term mix impact
- Port Wentworth capital
investment downtime
16
Combined Business Pro-forma EBITDA
(Before Special Items)
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Global Cellulose Fibers | Synergies Overview
17
Synergy Categories
- SG&A
- Commercial mix opportunities
- Manufacturing, Supply Chain
and Sourcing
One-time Costs/Expenses1 ~$85 Million
$0
Synergies Run-Rate Timeline
Dec 2018 Dec 2017 Jan 2017
$100 MM $175 MM
1 Treated as special itemsEarnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
61 41
(2) (5) (4) (9)
3Q16 Price / Mix Volume Operations & Costs Maintenance Outages Input Costs 4Q16
Consumer Packaging | 4Q16 vs. 3Q16 Adj. EBIT1
18
$ Million
1 Segment adjusted operating profit before special itemsEarnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
167 121
(8) (35) (14) (4) (5) 20
3Q16 Price / Mix Volume Operations… Maintenance… Input Costs Other 4Q16
Printing Papers | 4Q16 vs. 3Q16 Adj. EBIT1
19
$ Million
1 Segment adjusted operating profit before special itemsEarnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Ilim Joint Venture | 4Q16 vs. 3Q16
$ Million 4Q15 3Q16 4Q16 2015 2016 Sales Volume
(thousand tons)
891 849 987 3,349 3,523 Sales $492 $473 $539 $1,931 $1,927 EBITDA $129 $172 $194 $506 $743 F/X (Impact of USD Net Debt)1 ($48) $6 $14 ($188) $63
- Adj. Operational EBITDA2
$177 $166 $180 $694 $680 IP Equity Earnings (Loss)3 $34 $46 $45 $131 $199
- Record production at all three mills in 4Q and full year
- Higher sales volume driven by stronger demand
- Expect modest export price improvement, more than offset by normal seasonality for 1Q’17
20
Ilim JV results are on U.S. GAAP basis
1 Represents F/X impact including that related to Ilim JV USD-denominated net debt (balance of ~$0.6B at end of 4Q16); Ilim Group’s functional currency is theRuble (RUB); Non-functional-denominated currency balances are measured monthly using the month-end exchange rate
2 Before F/X impact including USD-denominated net debt 3 IP Equity Earnings (Loss) for 4Q15 include after-tax f/x losses (primarily on USD-denominated net debt) of ($19)MM, 3Q16 and 4Q16 include after-tax F/X gains(primarily on USD-denominated net debt) of $3MM and $6MM, respectively; FY15 include after-tax f/x loss of ($75)MM and FY16 include after-tax f/x gain of $25MM
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Balance Sheet | Financial Strength
$ Billion
3.2x $9.4
Balance Sheet Debt $0.8 Op. Lease Adj. $0.5 Op. Lease Adj.
$3.6
Pension Gap
[2.3x]1
2015 2014 2016 3.9x
Moody’s methodology: Adjusted Debt reflects gross balance sheet debt plus pension gap and operating leases Moody’s methodology: 2016 Adjusted EBITDA of $3.9B incorporates pension and lease expense adjustments
1 Simple Debt Coverage: Balance Sheet Debt / 2014 IP’s Adjusted EBITDA of $4.1B 2 Simple Debt Coverage: Balance Sheet Debt / 2015 IP’s Adjusted EBITDA of $3.9B 3 Simple Debt Coverage: Balance Sheet Debt / 2016 IP’s Adjusted EBITDA of $3.5BMoody’s Target: Adjusted Debt < 3X Adjusted EBITDA
- Pension gap decreased by $0.2B
Made $750MM voluntary
pension contribution
Year-end discount rate decreased from
4.4% (2015) to 4.1% (2016)
- Attractive debt financing
10 year and 30 year debt to finance Weyco pulp acquisition
- $ 1.0B cash balance at year end
$9.3
Balance Sheet Debt
[2.4x]2
$0.5 Op. Lease Adj.
$3.9
Pension Gap
3.2x
21
$11.3
Balance Sheet Debt
$3.4
Pension Gap
[3.2x]3
2016 Highlights
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
North America EMEA & Russia Brazil Price / Mix
Packaging
Continued implementation Stable Stable
Cellulose Fibers
Stable
Paper
Stable Stable Improving
Volume
Packaging
Stable Stable Stable
Cellulose Fibers
Acquisition
Paper
Stable Stable Seasonal decrease
Operations & Other
Packaging
Non-repeats Stable Stable
Cellulose Fibers
Stable
Paper
Non-repeats Improving Stable
Mill Maintenance Outages
Packaging
Increase $46MM N/A Increase $1MM
Cellulose Fibers
Increase $47MM
Papers
Increase $23MM Decrease $15MM N/A
Inputs & Freight
Packaging
Higher OCC & energy Stable Stable
Cellulose Fibers
Higher energy
Printing Papers
Higher energy Stable Stable
Other Items
- Corporate expense, ~$15MM in 1Q17
- Interest expense, in line with full-year outlook of ~$575MM-$600MM
- Tax rate, in line with full-year outlook of ~33%
- Ilim JV, lower due to normal seasonality
First Quarter Outlook1 | Changes from 4Q16
22
1 Does not include impact from 1/22/17 Pensacola incidentEarnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Pensacola Update | January 22 Digester Incident
23
Key Focus Areas:
- Ensure the health and safety of all
employees, contractors and residents
- Clean up affected areas and property
and address community needs
- Take care of our customers
- Safely restore mill operations
Overview:
- Entire mill went down following significant structural damage to the mill’s largest digester
and power house
- Teams currently engaged in cleanup outside the mill
- Business continuity and restoration plans underway
~500M tons virgin containerboard ~200M tons fluff pulp
Pensacola Mill
Cantonment, FL
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Key Financial Metrics
$ Million (Except as noted)
2015 2016 2017
Capital Spending
$1.5B $1.35B ~$1.5B
Depreciation & Amortization
$1.3B $1.2B ~$1.4B
Net Interest Expense
$555 $520 $575 - 600
Corporate Items
$36 $69 ~$60
Effective Tax Rate
33% 32% ~33%
Input Cost Fav / (Unfav)
$232 $82 ($180 - $200)
24
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
- Deliver strong free cash flow and Adjusted ROIC ≥ 10%
- Integrate newly acquired pulp business and drive synergies to bottom line;
improve Global Cellulose Fibers product mix
- Drive N.A. Industrial Packaging earnings improvement
- Continue strong operations and cost reduction initiatives
- Conversion of Madrid Mill
- Continue strong performance at Ilim JV
- Allocate capital to create value with focus on near-term debt reduction
IP Focus Areas For 2017
25
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Appendix
Investor Relations Contacts
Jay Royalty 901-419-1731 Michele Vargas 901-419-7287
Media Contact
Tom Ryan 901-419-4333
26
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
$ Million 2014 4Q15 2015 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 2016
Cash Provided by Operations $3,077 $990 $2,580 $620 $605 $341 $912 $2,478 Cash Invested in Capital Projects ($1,366) ($489) ($1,487) ($309) ($328) ($266) ($445) ($1,348) Cash Contribution to Pension Plan $353
- $750
- $250
$500
- $750
Free Cash Flow $2,064 $501 $1,843 $311 $527 $575 $467 $1,880
Free Cash Flow
27
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Maintenance Outages Expenses | 2016 Actual
$ Million 1Q16A 2Q16A 3Q16A 4Q16A 2016A Industrial Packaging $73 $80 $44 $36 $233 North America 73 78 44 35 230 Brazil 2 1 3 Global Cellulose Fibers1 $50 $9 $16 $3 $78 Printing Papers Total $16 $41 $11 $28 $96 North America 16 26 13 55 Europe 8 10 15 33 Brazil 7 7 India 1 1 Consumer Packaging $19 $3 $2 $11 $35 North America 19 11 30 Europe 3 2 5 Total Impact $158 $133 $73 $78 $442
28
1 4Q’16 and FY’16 includes Dec’16 maintenance outages expenses from newly-acquired pulp businessEarnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Maintenance Outages Expenses | 2017 Forecast
$ Million 1Q17F 2Q17F 3Q17F 4Q17F 2017F Industrial Packaging $94 $95 $47 $48 $284 North America 92 95 47 48 282 Brazil 2 2 Global Cellulose Fibers $50 $49 $27 $10 $136 Printing Papers Total $36 $42 $9 $12 $99 North America 36 33 1 11 81 Europe 9 1 10 Brazil 7 7 India 1 1 Consumer Packaging $0 $31 $0 $11 $42 North America 28 11 39 Europe 3 3 Total Impact $180 $217 $83 $81 $561
29
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
North American Downtime
30
93 140 146 72 92 141 125 86 117 53 55 78 230 212 85 107 41
Maintenance Economic
7 18 12 15 21 10
41 13 4 29 31
31 13 29 30 11 25 10 3 17 13 11 4 27 16
119
Containerboard Uncoated Papers Global Cellulose Fibers
Thousand Short Tons Thousand Short Tons Thousand Metric Tons 146 150 48
Coated Paperboard
201 31 16 322 46 353 210 193 158 13 Thousand Short Tons
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Special Items Pre-Tax ($ Million)
4Q15 3Q16 4Q16 Industrial Packaging
Turkey Facility Closure
($7)
Impairment of Asia Box & Restructuring
($5)
Impairment of Brazil Packaging Goodwill & Intangible
($137) Global Cellulose Fibers
Weyco Pulp Business Acquisition
($7) ($19)
Weyco Pulp Business Inventory Step-up Amortization
($19) Consumer Pkg.
Riegelwood Repurposing
($15)
Impairment of Sun JV Goodwill & PPE
$12 Corporate
Debt Extinguishment
($29)
India Packaging Evaluation Write-off
($17)
Regulatory Pre-Engineering Write-off
($8)
Legal Reserve
($15)
Other
($3) Total Special Items Before Tax ($158) ($66) ($45)
Special Items Before Tax | Continuing Operations
31
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Special Items Net of Taxes
4Q16 2016 $ Million EPS $ Million EPS
Earnings Before Special Items $303 $0.73 $1,392 $3.35 Special Items Net of Taxes: Impairment of Asia Box & Restructuring ($58) Debt Extinguishment ($18) Weyco Pulp Business Acquisition ($14) ($21) Weyco Pulp Business Inventory Step-up Amortization ($11) ($11) India Packaging Evaluation Write-off ($11) Turkey Facility Closure ($6) ($6) Riegelwood Repurposing ($6) Regulatory Pre-Engineering Write-off ($5) Sale of Arizona Chemical Investment $5 Tax Adjustments ($31) $23 Total Special Items Net of Taxes ($62) ($0.15) ($108) ($0.26) Non-Operating Pension Expense ($23) ($0.05) ($375) ($0.90) Discontinued Operations Net of Taxes ($5) ($0.01) Net Earnings $218 $0.53 $904 $2.18
32
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
- Adj. Operating Profits by Industry Segment | Continuing Operations
33
$ Million 4Q15 3Q16 4Q16 2015 2016
Earnings (Loss) From Continuing Operations Before Income Taxes and Equity Earnings
$265 $373 $280 $1,266 $956
Interest Expense, Net $133 $132 $136 $555 $520 Noncontrolling Interest / Equity Earnings Adjustment ($2) $1 $0 $8 $1 Corporate Items, Net $9 $11 $11 $36 $69 Special Items, Net $158 $66 $45 $559 $182 Non-Operating Pension Expense $60 $42 $37 $258 $6101
- Adj. Operating Profit Before Special Items
$623 $625 $509 $2,682 $2,338
Industrial Packaging2 $441 $429 $379 $1,990 $1,728 Global Cellulose Fibers2,3 $14 ($32) ($32) $68 ($130) Printing Papers2 $130 $167 $121 $465 $540 Consumer Packaging2 $38 $61 $41 $159 $200 Total Adj. Industry Segment Operating Profit2,3
$623 $625 $509 $2,682 $2,338
Equity Earnings (Loss), net of taxes – Ilim
$34 $46 $45 $131 $199
1 Includes non-cash settlement charge before tax of $439MM 2 Excludes special items (Non-GAAP) 3 4Q’16 and FY’16 includes Dec’16 results from newly-acquired pulp businessEarnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Geographic Business Segment Operating Results | Quarterly
34
$ Million
Sales D & A Adj. Operating Profit1 4Q15 3Q16 4Q16 4Q16 4Q15 3Q16 4Q16
Industrial Packaging North America $3,098 $3,087 $3,052 $167 $451 $439 $384 Europe $293 $313 $325 $9 $4 $0 $9 Brazil $48 $62 $77 $7 ($12) ($9) ($14) Global Cellulose Fibers2 Global Cellulose Fibers $244 $241 $379 $40 $14 ($32) ($32) Printing Papers North America $489 $477 $465 $20 $33 $82 $43 Europe $270 $278 $284 $10 $41 $40 $28 Brazil $252 $229 $260 $25 $58 $53 $50 India $41 $35 $47 $5 ($2) ($8) $0 Consumer Packaging North America $475 $407 $386 $27 $12 $39 $21 Europe $81 $87 $78 $3 $26 $22 $20
1 Excludes special items (Non-GAAP) 2 4Q’16 and FY’16 includes Dec’16 results from newly-acquired pulp businessEarnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Geographic Business Segment Operating Results | Annually
35
$ Million
Sales
- Adj. Operating Profit1
2015 2016 2015 2016
Industrial Packaging North America $12,541 $12,227 $2,009 $1,757 Europe $1,114 $1,227 $13 $22 Brazil $228 $232 ($26) ($43) Global Cellulose Fibers2 Global Cellulose Fibers $975 $1,092 $68 ($130) Printing Papers North America $1,942 $1,890 $179 $236 Europe $1,064 $1,109 $111 $142 Brazil $878 $897 $186 $173 India $172 $167 ($11) ($11) Consumer Packaging North America $1,939 $1,628 $91 $107 Europe $319 $327 $87 $93
1 Excludes special items (Non-GAAP) 2 4Q’16 and FY’16 includes Dec’16 results from newly-acquired pulp businessEarnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
2016 Operating Earnings
36 Pre-Tax $MM Tax $MM Non- controlling Interest $MM Equity Earnings Net Income $MM Average Shares MM Diluted EPS1 Net Earnings from Continuing Operations 1Q16 $317 ($41)
- $63
$339 414 $0.82 2Q16 ($14) $9
- $45
$40 415 $0.10 3Q16 $373 ($107) $3 $43 $312 415 $0.75 4Q16 280 ($108) ($1) $47 $218 416 $0.53 Net Special Items 1Q16 $38 ($74)
- ($36)
414 ($0.09) 2Q16 $33 $7
- $40
415 $0.10 3Q16 $66 ($24)
- $42
415 $0.10 4Q16 $45 $17
- $62
416 $0.15 Non-Operating Pension Expense 1Q16 $44 ($17)
- $27
414 $0.07 2Q16 $487 ($188)
- $2992
415 $0.722 3Q16 $42 ($16)
- $26
415 $0.06 4Q16 $37 ($14)
- $23
416 $0.05
- Adj. Operating Earnings
1Q16 $399 ($132)
- $63
$330 414 $0.80 2Q16 $506 ($172)
- $45
$379 415 $0.92 3Q16 $481 ($147) $3 $43 $380 415 $0.91 4Q16 $362 ($105) ($1) $47 $303 416 $0.73
1 A reconciliation to GAAP EPS is available at www.internationalpaper.com under the Performance tab, Investors section 2 Includes non-cash settlement charge before tax of $439MM and net of taxes of $270MM, or ($0.65) EPSEarnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
- Adj. Operating EPS
37
2006 as originally reported 2007-2011 adjusted for elimination of the Ilim JV reporting lag 2006-2010 Net Earnings from continuing operations and before special items; 2010 onward reflects Operating Earnings xpedx is reflected as a Discontinued Operation from 2010 onward
.12 .35 .40 .47.45 .52 .57 .73 .45 .49
.41
.15 .07 .27 .38 .22 .05 .44
.85
.72 .76.77 .78 .67 .58 .49 .77 .66.64 .61 1.01 .81 .60 .93.95 .53 .84 .97.97 .87 .80 .92.91 .73
.42 .08 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
2006 2007 2010 2008
Impact of Mineral Rights Gain
2009
.83
2011
.93
Final Land Sale
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
.87 .73
(.21) (.04) (.03) (.03) .02 .06 .03 .03 .03
4Q15 Price / Mix Volume Operations & Costs Maintenance Outages Input Costs Corporate & Other Items Tax Ilim JV Pulp Acquisition 4Q16
4Q16 vs. 4Q15 Adj. Operating EPS
38
Adjusted operating EPS based on Adjusted Operating Earnings (defined as Net Earnings (GAAP) from continuing operations before special items and non-operating pension expense)
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
441 379
(64) (21) (23) 18 28
4Q15 Price / Mix Volume Operations & Costs Maintenance Outages Input Costs 4Q16
Industrial Packaging | 4Q16 vs. 4Q15 Adj. EBIT1
39
$ Million
1 Segment adjusted operating profit before special itemsEarnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
4Q16 vs. 3Q16 4Q16 vs. 4Q15 Business
Volume Price / Mix per Ton Volume Price / Mix per Ton
N.A. Container1 5% $4 2% ($18) European Container 12% (€12) 2% €1
Average IP volume and price realization (includes the impact of mix across all segments)
1 Corrugator plant sales on FBA shipping day basisIndustrial Packaging | Volume and Pricing Trends
40
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
N.A. Industrial Packaging Relative Adj. EBITDA Margins
41
22.0% 22.0% 17.7% 21.3% 20.8% 18.2% 19.7% 20.6% 15.8%
IP PCA WestRock
4Q15 3Q16 4Q16
IP Adjusted EBITDA margins based on North American Industrial Packaging operating profit before special items Excludes the Recycling Business and revenue from trade volumes Competitor Adjusted EBITDA margin estimates obtained from public filings and IP analysis
2016
21.1%
2016
21.5% 17.5%
2016
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Global Cellulose Fibers | 4Q16 vs. 3Q16 Adj. EBIT1
42
1 Segment adjusted operating profit before special items(32) (32)
(14) (2) (9) (2) 10 17
3Q16 Price / Mix Volume Operations & Costs Maintenance Outages Input Costs Pulp Acquisition 4Q16
$ Million
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Global Cellulose Fibers | 4Q16 vs. 4Q15 Adj. EBIT1
43
1 Segment adjusted operating profit before special items14 (32)
(45) (18) (1) (2) 3 17
4Q15 Price / Mix Volume Operations & Costs Maintenance Outages Input Costs Pulp Acquisition 4Q16
$ Million
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
38 41
(11) (7) (2) 16 3 4
4Q15 Price / Mix Volume Operations & Costs Maintenance Outages Input Costs Other 4Q16
Consumer Packaging | 4Q16 vs. 4Q15 Adj. EBIT1
44
$ Million
1 Segment adjusted operating profit before special itemsEarnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Average IP price realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades)
1 All periods exclude Carolina brand coated bristols sales4Q16 vs. 3Q16 4Q16 vs. 4Q15
Volume Price / Mix per Ton Volume Price / Mix per Ton
N.A. Coated Paperboard1 (10%) $2 (1%) ($34)
Revenue Revenue
Foodservice 2% (5%) Consumer Packaging | Volume and Pricing Trends
45
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
130 121
(9) (3) (2) (3) 7 1
4Q15 Price / Mix Volume Operations & Costs Maintenance Outages Input Costs Other 4Q16
Printing Papers | 4Q16 vs. 4Q15 Adj. EBIT1
46
$ Million
1 Segment adjusted operating profit before special itemsEarnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
4Q16 vs. 3Q16 4Q16 vs. 4Q15 Business
Volume Price / Mix per Ton Volume Price / Mix per Ton
N.A. Printing Papers Flat ($23) (1%) ($41) European Papers1 16% (€15) 11% (€15)
Average IP volume and price realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades)
1 Excludes RussiaPrinting Papers | Volume and Pricing Trends
47
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
N.A. Printing Papers Relative Adj. EBITDA Margins
48
10.8% 9.2% 15.9% 21.6% 19.1% 17.3% 13.5% 18.4%
IP PCA Domtar
4Q15 3Q16 4Q16
UFS Reports 2/9/17
IP Adjusted EBITDA margins based on operating profit from continuing operations before special items Competitor Adjusted EBITDA margin estimates obtained from public filings and IP analysis
2016
16.7%
2016
17.1%
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Printing Papers | IP Brazil
49
$ Million 4Q15 3Q16 4Q16 Sales $252 $229 $260
- Adj. Earnings
$58 $53 $51
- Adj. EBITDA Margin
31% 34% 29% 4Q16 vs. 3Q16 4Q16 vs. 4Q15
Uncoated Freesheet
Volume Price / Mix per Ton Volume Price / Mix per Ton
Domestic (BRL) 8% R$64 (16%) R$515 Export (USD) 20% ($3) (1%) ($55)
Segment adjusted operating profit before special items IP Brazil results are reported in the Printing Papers segment Average IP Brazil price realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades)
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Ilim Joint Venture | Full Year Financials
50
2013 2014 2015 2016
Sales Volume (Million tons) 2.7 3.2 3.3 3.5 Sales ($B) 1.9 2.1 1.9 1.9 Debt ($B) 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.5
- Adj. Operating EBITDA ($MM)
203 459 694 680 F/X Gain (Loss)1 ($MM) (80) (674) (188) 63 EBITDA ($MM) 123 (215) 506 743 Depreciation ($MM) 176 188 128 121 EBIT ($MM) (53) (403) 378 622 Interest Expense ($MM) 39 69 52 81 Net Income / (Loss) ($MM) (72) (359) 237 385 IP Equity Earnings / (Loss) ($MM) (46) (194) 131 199 Dividends (to IP) ($MM) 56 35 60
Ilim JV results are US GAAP basis
1 Represents F/X impact including that related to Ilim JV USD-denominated net debt (balance of ~$0.6B at year end 2016)Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Ilim Joint Venture | Volume and Pricing Trends
51
4Q16 vs. 3Q16 4Q16 vs. 4Q15 Business
Volume Price / Mix per Tonne Volume Price / Mix per Tonne
Pulp (metric ton) 16% ($15) 11% ($27)
Average Ilim JV (100%) volume and price realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades and destinations)
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
Total Cash Cost Components | FY 2016
52
Fiber 35% Materials 15% Freight 12% Labor 12% Energy 8% Overhead 10% Chemicals 8%
North American mills only
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
($8) ($4) ($4) ($1)
Fiber Energy Chemicals Freight
North America Outside North America
($11) ($2) ($4) $0
Industrial Packaging Global Cellulose Fibers Printing Papers Consumer Packaging
Energy Wood Chemicals Freight OCC
By Business By Input Type
Input costs ($MM) for continuing businesses
1 IP legacy pulp onlyGlobal Input Costs vs. 3Q16 | $17MM Unfavorable, or $0.03/Share
53 OCC Wood
1
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
($2) ($17) $0 ($1)
Fiber Energy Chemicals Freight
North America Outside North America
($23) ($2) $1 $4
Industrial Packaging Global Cellulose Fibers Printing Papers Consumer Packaging
Energy Wood Chemicals Freight OCC
By Business By Input Type
Global Input Costs vs. 4Q15 | $20MM Unfavorable, or $0.03/Share
54 OCC Wood
1
Input costs ($MM) for continuing businesses
1 IP legacy pulp onlyEarnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
$11 $34 $3 $34
Fiber Energy Chemicals Freight
North America Outside North America
$42 $6 $4 $30
Industrial Packaging Global Cellulose Fibers Printing Papers Consumer Packaging
Wood Energy Chemicals Freight OCC
By Business By Input Type
Global Input Costs vs. 2015 | $82MM Favorable, or $0.13/Share
OCC
Wood
55
1
Input costs ($MM) for continuing businesses
1 IP legacy pulp onlyEarnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130
U.S. Mill Wood Delivered Cost Trend | 4Q16 Average Cost Down 1% vs. 3Q16
56
IP cost Indexed to January 2007 values
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
IP cost Indexed to January 2007 values
U.S. OCC Delivered Cost Trend | 4Q16 Average Cost Up 4% vs. 3Q16
57
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016 50 100 150 200 250
U.S. Natural Gas Cost Trend | 4Q16 Average Cost Up 6% vs. 3Q16
58
IP cost Indexed to January 2007 values NYMEX Natural Gas closing prices
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016 50 100 150 200 250 300
U.S. Fuel Oil Cost Trend | 4Q16 Average Cost Up 3% vs. 3Q16
59
IP cost Indexed to January 2007 values WTI Crude prices
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016 75 100 125 150 175 200
U.S. Chemical Composite Cost Trend | 4Q16 Average Cost Up 3% vs. 3Q16
60
IP cost Indexed to January 2007 values Delivered cost to U.S. facilities: includes Caustic Soda, Sodium Chlorate, Starch and Sulfuric Acid 2007 - 2008 excludes WY PKG
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Earnings Presentation | Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2016
2017 Global Consumption | Annual Purchase Estimates for Key Inputs
61
Commodity
- U. S.
Non – U. S. Energy
Natural Gas (MM BTUs)
75,000,000 11,000,000
Fuel Oil (Barrels)
350,000 400,000
Coal (Tons)
130,000 600,000 Fiber
Wood (Tons)
52,000,000 8,000,000
Old Corrugated Containers / DLK (Tons)
4,800,000 400,000 Chemicals
Caustic Soda (Tons)
320,000 70,000
Starch (Tons)
370,000 120,000
Sodium Chlorate (Tons)
160,000 50,000
LD Polyethylene (Tons)
40,000
- Latex (Tons)
10,000 6,000
Data does not include newly-acquired pulp business