M O L S O N C O O R S B R E W I N G C O M PA N Y B A R C L AY S B A C K TO S C H O O L C O N F E R E N C E
S E P T E M B E R 4 , 2 0 1 4
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M O L S O N C O O R S B R E W I N G C O M PA N Y B A R C L AY S - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
M O L S O N C O O R S B R E W I N G C O M PA N Y B A R C L AY S B A C K TO S C H O O L C O N F E R E N C E S E P T E M B E R 4 , 2 0 1 4 1 PETER SWINBURN, PRESIDENT & CEO PETER SWINBURN, PRESIDENT & CEO MOLSON COORS BREWING
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This presentation includes estimates or projections that constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning
and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements, which generally are not historic in nature. Although the Company believes that the assumptions upon which its forward-looking statements are based are reasonable, it can give no assurance that these assumptions will prove to be correct. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the Company’s historical experience, and present projections and expectations are disclosed in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). These factors include, among others, impact of competitive pricing and product pressures; health of the beer industry and our brands in
packaging materials; our ability to maintain manufacturer/distribution agreements; our ability to implement our strategic initiatives, including executing and realizing cost savings; our ability to successfully integrate our Central Europe business; changes in legal and regulatory requirements, including the regulation of distribution systems; increase in the cost of commodities used in the business; our ability to maintain brand image, reputation and product quality; our ability to maintain good labor relations; changes in our supply chain system; additional impairment charges; the impact of climate change and the availability and quality of water; risks relating to
MillerCoors; and other risks discussed in our filings with the SEC, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year-ended December 31, 2013, which are available from the SEC. All forward-looking statements in this press release are expressly qualified by such cautionary statements and by reference to the underlying assumptions. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date they are made. We do not undertake to update forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or
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BRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
CASH GENERATION
CASH AND CAPITAL ALLOCATION Profit After Capital Charge (TSR) TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN
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1 Does not include underlying operating losses for Corporate and MCI. Totals may not sum due to rounding.
Non GAAP underlying income is calculated by excluding special and other non-core items from the nearest U.S. GAAP earnings. See reconciliation to nearest U.S. GAAP measures on our website. 6
46% 36% 14% 4% Worldwide Beer Volume 44% 28% 26% 2% Net Sales 48% 18% 34% Underlying Operating Income1
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS EUROPE CANADA UNITED STATES
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GDP – Real Change % (Per Annum) Recorded Unemployment %
(7.0) (5.0) (3.0) (1.0) 1.0 3.0 5.0 7.0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 2015F 2016F
USA CANADA UNITED KINGDOM BULGARIA CROATIA CZECH REPUBLIC SERBIA
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 2015F 2016F
Source: EIU (The Economist Intelligence Unit), May 2014 GDP = Gross Domestic Product
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 2015F 2016F
USA CANADA UNITED KINGDOM BULGARIA CROATIA CZECH REPUBLIC SERBIA
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 2015F 2016F
CASH AND CAPITAL CASH GENERATION BRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
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DRIVING SHARE IN ABOVE PREMIUM DRIVE COST SAVINGS AND COMMERCIAL EXCELLENCE DELIVERING VALUE ADDED INNOVATION INVESTING BEHIND CORE BRANDS
CASH AND CAPITAL CASH GENERATION BRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
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CASH AND CAPITAL CASH GENERATION BRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
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* Excludes the Modelo brands in Canada
CASH AND CAPITAL CASH GENERATION BRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
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CASH AND CAPITAL CASH GENERATION BRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH 14
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$441 $541 $646 $642 $719 $794 $821 $865 $865 $359 $437
$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1H'13 1H'14 ($millions)
MCBC Underlying Pretax Income (*)
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* Non-GAAP underlying pretax income is calculated by excluding special and other non-core items from the nearest U.S. GAAP earnings. See reconciliation to nearest U.S. GAAP measures on our website.
$1,106 $1,100 $1,091 $1,127 $1,212 $1,267 $1,398 $1,469 $667 $727
$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1H'13 1H'14 ($millions)
Underlying EBITDA1
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1 Non-GAAP underlying EBITDA (Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) is
calculated excluding special and other non-core items from U.S. GAAP earnings. See reconciliation to nearest U.S. GAAP measures on our website. Includes 42% of MillerCoors.
$0.64 $0.64 $0.76 $0.92 $1.08 $1.24 $1.28 $1.28 $1.48
$0.00 $0.50 $1.00 $1.50 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E (dividend per share)
Dividends Paid (Annual Per Share)
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CASH AND CAPITAL CASH GENERATION BRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
$81 $185 $331 $442 $657 $851 $958 $1,078 $1,195
$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 ($millions)
Cumulative Annualized Cost Savings (*)
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* Including 42% of MillerCoors cost savings
CASH AND CAPITAL CASH GENERATION BRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH 21
* Excludes MillerCoors cost savings.
CASH AND CAPITAL BRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH CASH GENERATION
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* Excludes MillerCoors capital spending
CASH AND CAPITAL BRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH CASH GENERATION
62 52
45 50 55 60 65 2012 2013
Day Sales Outstanding
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5 10 15 20 2012 2013
Cash Conversion Cycle (*)
76 86
70 75 80 85 90 2012 2013
Days Payables Outstanding
33 29
26 28 30 32 34
2012 2013
Days Inventory Outstanding
* Note: Cash Conversion Cycle = DSO+DIO-DPO Totals may not sum due to rounding
CASH AND CAPITAL BRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH CASH GENERATION
$426 $315 $508 $681 $887 $618 $865 $892 $775
$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F (1) ($millions)
MCBC Underlying Free Cash Flow (*)
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* Underlying free cash flow is defined as operating cash flow, less capital spending, plus or minus investing cash from/to MillerCoors and plus or minus the cash impact of special and
(1) Forecast, plus or minus 10%.
CASH GENERATION BRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH CASH AND CAPITAL
2.9x 1.9x 2.0x 4.3x 2.9x 2x(+/-) 2.7x 2.3x 2.4x 4.5x 3.0x 0.8x 0.6x 0.7x 2.8x 2.3x 0x 1x 2x 3x 4x 5x
2009 2010 2011 2012 Pro Forma 2013 2015 Goal
S&P Adjusted Debt/EBITDA* Moody's Adjusted Debt/EBITDA Net debt/EBITDA <2x
(1)
25 * In August 2014, S&P changed its rating methodology to include proportional consolidation of MillerCoors results and give MCBC credit for 90% of balance sheet cash (rather than 75% of balance sheet cash previously). S&P’s YE 2009-2013 ratios and MCBC’s 2015 goal reflect this change in methodology.
(1) Total debt less cash, divided by the sum of underlying pretax income, plus interest and depreciation &
amortization expense (incl. 42% of MillerCoors). See reconciliations to nearest US GAAP measures on
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