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Local Capacity Requirements (LCR) for Year 2009 Local Capacity Requirements (LCR) for Year 2009 Fresno and Kern Areas Fresno and Kern Areas LCR Stakeholder Meeting, April 10 th , 2008, Folsom CA Xiaobo Wang Senior Regional Transmission Engineer


  1. Local Capacity Requirements (LCR) for Year 2009 Local Capacity Requirements (LCR) for Year 2009 Fresno and Kern Areas Fresno and Kern Areas LCR Stakeholder Meeting, April 10 th , 2008, Folsom CA Xiaobo Wang Senior Regional Transmission Engineer Department of Planning and Infrastructure Development California Independent System Operator (CAISO)

  2. LCR Areas in This Study Fresno and Kern Areas Big Creek Ventura Kern Area Stakeholder Meeting, April 10 th , 2008 – LCR 2009 2

  3. I n This Presentation Table of Contents Kern Kern Kern Kern Kern Kern Kern Kern Kern Kern PP Weedpatch Kern PP Weedpatch Kern PP Weedpatch Area Area Area Area Area Area Area Area Area Sub- Sub -Area Area Sub Sub- -Area Area Sub-Area Sub-Area Overview Summary Summary Overview Summary Summary Overview Summary Summary Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno Wilson Wilson Herndon Herndon Henrietta Henrietta Wilson Wilson Herndon Herndon Henrietta Henrietta Wilson Wilson Herndon Herndon Henrietta Henrietta Area Area Area Area Area Area Area Area Area Area Area Area Sub- Sub- -Area -Area Area Area Sub- Sub- -Area -Area Area Area Sub- Sub- -Area -Area Area Area Sub Sub Sub Sub Sub Sub Sub-Area Sub-Area Sub-Area Sub-Area Sub-Area Sub-Area Overview Overview Summary Summary Summary Overview Overview Overview Summary Summary Summary Overview Stakeholder Meeting, April 10 th , 2008 – LCR 2009 3

  4. I n This Presentation Updates since the Last Stakeholder Meeting on March 4 th Kern Area Kern Area Kern Area Kern area LCR remains the same as the last presentation Kern area LCR remains the same as the last presentation Show comparison of LCR results for 2008 and 2009 Show comparison of LCR results for 2008 and 2009 Fresno Area Fresno Area Fresno Area Removed new generation Q#54 (120 MW, Aug 2009) due to cut- -out date out date Removed new generation Q#54 (120 MW, Aug 2009) due to cut Removed Herndon deficiency because of updated NQC data Removed Herndon deficiency because of updated NQC data Fresno area LCR is 12 MW less due to above change Fresno area LCR is 12 MW less due to above change Show comparison of LCR results for 2008 and 2009 Show comparison of LCR results for 2008 and 2009 Stakeholder Meeting, April 10 th , 2008 – LCR 2009 4

  5. Kern Area Overview Geography Stakeholder Meeting, April 10 th , 2008 – LCR 2009 5

  6. Kern Area Overview Electrical Boundaries and LCR Sub-Areas Electrical Boundaries: Electrical Boundaries: ● Gates – Midway 230 kV line ● Gates – Arco 230 kV line ● Morro Bay – Midway 230 kV lines #1 and #2 ● Midway 230/115 kV transformers ● Smyrna – Semitropic – Midway 115 kV line ● Temblor – San Luis Obispo 115 kV line ● Arco 230/70 kV transformer ● Arco – Cholame 70 kV line Kern PP Kern PP Sub-Area Sub-Area LCR Sub- -Areas: Areas: LCR Sub 500 kV Wheeler Wheeler 230 kV Ridge Ridge 115 kV Sub-Area Sub-Area 70 kV Stakeholder Meeting, April 10 th , 2008 – LCR 2009 6

  7. Kern Area Overview Area Generation, Load and Transmission Generation and Load Generation and Load ● Generation (Net Qualifying Capacity): 677 MW Market ● Generation (Net Qualifying Capacity): 677 MW Market Muni ● Load (1-in-10 Summer-Peak): 1316 MW ● Load (1-in-10 Summer-Peak): 1316 MW Muni QF QF Utility Utility System Additions in 2008-2009 System Additions in 2008-2009 ● New Generation: None ● New Generation: None ● Transmission Upgrades: None ● Transmission Upgrades: None Stakeholder Meeting, April 10 th , 2008 – LCR 2009 7

  8. Kern Area LCR Kern PP Sub-Area Midway Limiting Contingencies: Smyrna Famoso Ultra Power Kern Ridge Category B: • T-1: Kern PP 230/115 kV bank #5 San Luis Lerdo Category C: Obispo Vedder Semitropic • T-1: Kern PP 230/115 kV bank #5 Mt Poso Temblor • L-1: Kern PP – Kern Front 115 kV line Dexel Kern PP Constrained Elements: Kern Oil • Kern PP 230/115 kV bank #3 Live Oak Midsun • Kern PP 230/115 kV bank #3a Navy West Park Discovery LCR Results (MW): Contingency Cat. B Cat. C Taft Oildale Kern Magunden LCR 208 401 Chalk Front Cliff Including: PSE Bear Mtn University QF 639 639 Bolthouse Farms Muni 0 0 Lamont Deficiency 0 0 Double C, High Sierra, Bader Creek Wheeler Ridge Stakeholder Meeting, April 10 th , 2008 – LCR 2009 8

  9. Kern Area LCR Weedpatch Sub-Area Limiting Contingencies: Kern Canyon Category B: None Rio Bravo Category C: • L-1: Wheeler Ridge – San Bernard 70 kV line • L-1: Wheeler Ridge – Tejon 70 kV line Wellfield Constrained Element: Wheeler Ridge • Wheeler Ridge – Weedpatch 70 kV line Weedpatch 230 kV 70 kV Midway LCR Results (MW): Lamont Contingency Cat. B Cat. C 115 kV San Bernard LCR 0 21 Rose Grapevine Including: Tecuya QF 0 6 Muni 0 0 Tajon Castaic Lebec Deficiency 0 5 Stakeholder Meeting, April 10 th , 2008 – LCR 2009 9

  10. Kern Area LCR Summary of 2009 LCR Kern Total LCR Kern Total LCR Kern Total LCR Kern Total LCR “Category B” “Category C” “Category B” “Category C” 208 MW 422 MW 208 MW 422 MW 208 MW 401 MW Kern PP Kern PP Sub-Area Sub-Area 115 kV 115 kV Weedpatch Weedpatch 0 MW 21 MW Sub-Area Sub-Area 70 kV 70 kV Includes 5 MW deficiency Stakeholder Meeting, April 10 th , 2008 – LCR 2009 10

  11. Kern Area LCR Comparison of Year 2008 and 2009 Study Assumptions on Generation, Load and Path Flow (MW) Study Assumptions on Generation, Load and Path Flow (MW) Year 2008 Year 2009 677 Generation 646 1316 Load 1324 Note: The generation numbers are based on Net Qualifying Capacity (NQC) “Category B Category B” ” LCR (MW) LCR (MW) “Category C Category C” ” LCR (MW) LCR (MW) “ “ Year 2008 Year 2009 Year 2008 Year 2009 208 401 Kern PP 259 Kern PP 448 0 21 Weedpatch 0 Weedpatch 38 208 422 Kern Area Total 259 Kern Area Total 486 115 kV 70 kV With more NQC available, able to utilize effective units more The overall effect is decrease of LCR by 64 MW (Category C) from 2008 to 2009 Stakeholder Meeting, April 10 th , 2008 – LCR 2009 11

  12. Fresno Area Geography Stakeholder Meeting, April 10 th , 2008 – LCR 2009 12

  13. Fresno Area Electrical Boundaries and LCR Sub-Areas Electrical Boundaries: Electrical Boundaries: LCR Sub- LCR Sub -Areas: Areas: ● Gates – Henrietta Tap 1 230 kV line Wilson Wilson Sub-Area Sub-Area ● Gates – Henrietta Tap 2 230 kV line ● Gates 230/115 kV transformer #1 Merced Merced ● Gates – Panoche #1 230 kV line Sub-Area Sub-Area ● Gates – Panoche #2 230 kV line (Inactive) (Inactive) Herndon Herndon ● Coburn – Panoche 230 kV line Sub-Area Sub-Area ● Moss Landing – Panoche 230 kV line ● Los Banos – Panoche 230 kV line #1 ● Los Banos – Panoche 230 kV line #2 McCall McCall ● Dos Amigos – Panoche 230 kV line Sub-Area Sub-Area ● Warnerville – Wilson 230 kV line (Inactive) (Inactive) ● Melones – Wilson 230 kV line 500 kV 230 kV ● Los Banos #3 230/70 kV transformer 115 kV ● Los Banos #4 230/70 kV transformer 70 kV ● Smyrna – Alpaugh – Corcoran 115 kV line ● San Miguel – Coalinga #1 70 kV line Henrietta Henrietta Sub-Area Sub-Area Note: ► Installation of Atwater SPS in 2008 eliminates the Merced LCR Sub-Area. ► Replacement of McCall 230/115 kV transformer #1 in 2008 eliminates the McCall LCR Sub-Area. Stakeholder Meeting, April 10 th , 2008 – LCR 2009 13

  14. Fresno Area Overview Area Generation, Load and Transmission Northern Northern Market Market PG&E PG&E Fresno Fresno Muni Muni System System Area QF Area QF Utility Utility Los Banos Path 15: Generation and Load Generation and Load Gates 1275 MW ● Generation (Net Qualifying Capacity): 2829 MW ● Generation (Net Qualifying Capacity): 2829 MW ● Load (1-in-10 Summer-Peak): 3381 MW ● Load (1-in-10 Summer-Peak): 3381 MW Kern Kern Morro Bay Area System Additions in 2008-2009 Area System Additions in 2008-2009 Diablo Diablo Canyon ● New Generation Canyon ● New Generation Path 26 Midway - Project Q#75, 10.5 MW Biomass (Mar 2008) - Project Q#75, 10.5 MW Biomass (Mar 2008) - Project Q#76, 10.5 MW Biomass (Apr 2008) - Project Q#76, 10.5 MW Biomass (Apr 2008) 500 kV Vincent Vincent 230 kV ● Major Transmission Upgrades 2008-2009 ● Major Transmission Upgrades 2008-2009 - Replacement of McCall 230/115 kV Bank #1 (May 2008) - Replacement of McCall 230/115 kV Bank #1 (May 2008) Southern Southern - Installation of Atwater SPS in Merced area (May 2008) - Installation of Atwater SPS in Merced area (May 2008) California California - Re-rate of Henrietta 230/70 kV Bank #2 (Nov 2007) - Re-rate of Henrietta 230/70 kV Bank #2 (Nov 2007) System System Stakeholder Meeting, April 10 th , 2008 – LCR 2009 14

  15. Fresno Area LCR Wilson Sub-Area Melones Warnerville Limiting Contingencies: Merced Wilson Category B: • L-1: Melones – Wilson 230 kV line Borden Gregg • G-1: Helms unit #3 Madera Category C: • L-1: Melones – Wilson 230 kV line • L-1: Gates-Gregg 230 kV line Helms Constrained Elements: Mendota • Warnerville – Wilson 230 kV line Fresno Herndon Panoche Kearney LCR Results (MW): McMullin Contingency Cat. B Cat. C LCR 2262 1913 Including: Helm McCall QF 216 216 Muni 294 294 Hanford Henrietta Haas Deficiency 0 0 Balch Pine Flats Gates Stakeholder Meeting, April 10 th , 2008 – LCR 2009 15

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