LIVING SEAMLESS Mrs.Kamonwan Wipulakorn Chairman Of Board Of - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
LIVING SEAMLESS Mrs.Kamonwan Wipulakorn Chairman Of Board Of - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
LIVING SEAMLESS Mrs.Kamonwan Wipulakorn Chairman Of Board Of Director, One Origin Co., Ltd. INTERNATIONAL TOURIST ARRIVAL +20.4% 60.0 +8.9% +8.5% +7.5% 5-YEARS +4.2% CAGR 50.0 -6.5% 5.9% 40.0 million 30.0 TRADE WAR, THAI BAHT
Mrs.Kamonwan Wipulakorn
Chairman Of Board Of Director, One Origin Co., Ltd.
SOURCE : MINISTRY OF TOURISM AND SPORT
INTERNATIONAL TOURIST ARRIVAL
60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0
- million
24.8 29.8 32.5 35.3 38.2 39.8 41.0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020F
COUP D’ETAT KING RAMA IX’S PASSING PHUKET BOAT CAPSIZE TRADE WAR, THAI BAHT APPRECIATION
- 6.5%
+20.4% +8.9% +8.5% +7.5% +4.2%
NUMBER OF INTERNATIONAL TOURIST (PERSON) % CHANGE ( Y-0-Y )
5-YEARS
CAGR
5.9%
FOREIGN
SOURCE : MINISTRY OF TOURISM AND TRAVEL
TOP 5 VISITOR BY COUNTRY
4.2%
CHANGE
Y-0-Y
39.79
MILLION VISITORS
3.0%
CHANGE
Y-0-Y
1.9
TRILLION BAHT
COUNTRY
CHINA MALAYSIA INDIA KOREA LAOS
VISITOR
(MILLION PERSON)
CHANGE
Y-O-Y
+4.3% +24.8% +5.1% +10.8% +3.6% 10.9 4.1 1.9 1.8 1.8
TOP 5 REVENUE BY COUNTRY
COUNTRY
CHINA MALAYSIA RUSSIA JAPAN INDIA
REVENUE
(MILLION BATH)
543,707 106,728 103,784 89,807 86,372
CHANGE
Y-O-Y
+11.4.8% +27.4%
- 1.2%
+3.1% +4.7%
COUNTRY
BANGKOK CHIANG MAI PHUKET
REVENUE
(MILLION BATH)
CHANGE
Y-O-Y
24,058 9,486 6,216
- 2.3%
+1.6%
- 4.3%
0.06%
CHANGE
Y-0-Y
166.8
MILLION VISITORS
1.1%
CHANGE
Y-0-Y
1.1
TRILLION BAHT
DOMESTIC
SOURCE : MINISTRY OF TOURISM AND TRAVAL
TOP 3 REVENUE BY PROVINCE
INTERNATIONAL MICE VISITOR
SOURCE : MICE Intelligence Center
NUMBER OF VISITORS
0.5M 2006
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
1.0M 1.5M 2.0M 2.5M
0.74M 0.82M 0.68M 0.90M 1.01M 0.92M 1.27M 1.27M 2.00M
REVENUE GENERATED ( MB )
50K 2006
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
100K 150K
59,735 61,570 79,770 88,485 102,936 137,225 93,970
DOMESTIC MICE VISITOR
SOURCE : MICE Intelligence Center
NUMBER OF VISITORS
10M 2014
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
20M 30M 40M 50M
23.70M 14.51M 28.85M 35.32M 33.44M 29.61M
REVENUE GENERATED ( MB )
0K 50K 100K 150K 200K
31.494.00 46,401.00 73,322.00 91,010.00 114,376.00 107,046.00
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
FDI INVESTMENT
NORTH EAST OTHER WEST SOUTH NORTH EAST CENTRAL
2016 2017 2018 (JAN-SEP) 2019 (JAN-SEP) 2015 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000
38%
Million Baht
47% 56% 30% 52% 33% 44% 43% 56% 34%
SOURCE : BOI
Top 5 Source of Investment
Japan 59,187 M. China 45,439 M. Switzerland 11,710 M. Taiwan 9,660 M. Singapore 9,304 M.
THAILAND HOTEL OCCUPANCY RATE
2017 2018 2019
68.8% 71.1% 71.3%
SOURCE : BANK OF THAILAND
SOURCE : JLL Thailand
UPSCALE AND UPPER UPSCALE HOTEL PERFORMANCE IN BANGKOK
2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 1.500 1,000 500 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 30% 20% 10% 0%
ADR REVPAR OCCUPANCY RATE
price ( baht ) 2012 - 1H 2019
- ccupancy rate (%)
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H 2019
ADR 3,447 OCC 81.4% REVPAR 2,807
1H 2019
JOINT VENTURE HOTEL OPERATOR TENANT PARTNERSHIP PROPERTY LEASING AND MANAGEMENT
TO INCREASE BUSINESS AGILITY
SYNERGY
BUSINESS MODEL
STRATEGIC DIVERSION
- Mr. Chanchai Phansopha
Director/Executive Director of One Origin Co., Ltd.
SOURCE : CBRE Thailand
BANGKOK OFFICE SUPPLY, DEMAND AND OCCUPANCY RATE
1M 2M 4M 5M 3M 6M 7M 9M 10M 11M SQ.M. 8M 5% 10% 0% 20% 25% 15% 30% 35% 45% 50% Vacancy Rate 40% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F Total Supply Total Take-up Vacancy Rate
400 500 300 700 800 900 1,000 1,100
THB / sq.m.
600 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019
1,057 876 790 720
CBD Grande A CBD Grande B NON-CBD Grande A NON-CBD Grande B
8.34 M
SQ.M.
DEMAND
1,057 THB
PER SQ.M.
GRADE A CBD RENT
93.0%
OVERALL OCCUPANCY 2.2% 4.8%
BANGKOK OFFICE OCCUPANCY RATE
( ALONG MASS TRANSIT )
NATIONAL STADIUM RATCHADAMRI SALA DAENG CHONG NONSI SURASAK SAPHAN TAKSIN KRUNG THON BURI WONGWIAN YAI PHO NIMIT TALAT PHLU WUTTHAKAT BANG WA SAM YOT ITSARAPHAP SANAM CHAI PHAHON YOTHIN LAT PHRAO CHATUCHAK PARK RATCHADAPHISEK KHLONG TOEI LUMPHINI SI LOM SAM YAN HUA LAMPHONG WAT MANGKON SUTHISAN HUAI KHWANG THAILAND CULTURAL CENTRE PHRA RAM 9 PHETCHABURI QUEEN SIRIKIT NATIONAL CONVENTION CENTRE THA PHRA BANG PHAI BANG WA KASETSART UNIVERSITY SENA NIKHOM RATCHAYOTHIN PHAHON YOTHIN 24 HA YAEK LAT PHRAO SAPHAN KHWAI ARI SANAM PAO VICTORY MONUMENT PHAYA THAI CHIT LOM NANA ASOK PHROM PHONG THONG LO EKKAMAI PHRA KHANONG ON NUT BANG CHAK PUNNAWITHI UDOM SUK BANG NA BEARING SAMRONG PU CHAO MO CHIT
PAHONYOTHIN – VIBHAVADI
91.4
RAMA 9 - RAMKHAMHAENG
90.3
ASOKE - PHETCHBURI
93.8
BANGNA
92.1
ASOKE-PHROMPHONG
96.8
SILOM-SATHORN
93.0
PLOENCHIT-CHIDLOM
95.7
WIRELESS
91.3
TAO POON BANG SUE KAMPHAENG PHET RATCHATHEWI SIAM SUKHUMVIT PHLOEN CHIT
BANGKOK RETAIL SUPPLY, TAKE-UP AND OCCUPANCY RATE
1M 2M 4M 5M 3M 6M 7M 9M Net Area (sq.m.) 8M 88% 90% 86% 94% 96% 92% 98% 100% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Total Supply Total Take-up Occupancy Rate
SOURCE : CBRE Thailand, Colliers Thailand
92% 94% 90% 98% 100% 96%
1Q 2013 3Q 2013 1Q 2014 3Q 2014 1Q 2015 3Q 2015 1Q 2016 3Q 2016 1Q 2017 3Q 2017 1Q 2018 3Q 2018 1Q 2019 3Q 2019 CBD Outer CBD Suburban Bangkok
Occupancy Rate
OCCUPANCY RATE BY LOCATION
PEOPLE LOCATION CUSTOMER INSIGHT PRODUCT DESIGN
GROWTH STRATEGY
OPEN PLATFORM OPEN PLATFORM
MEGA FOOD CHAIN HYPERMART CO-WORKING SPACE OUTLET LOGISTIC
PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY
- Mr. Pitipong Trinurak
Chief Executive Officer of One Origin Co., Ltd.
ACCOMMODATION
HOTEL & SERVICED APARTMENT
OFFICE & RETAIL
OFFICE & RETAIL
LOGISTICS & WAREHOUSE
WAREHOUSE
FUTURE PLAN
OVERVIEW & PIPELINE 2020-2023F
GRAND OPENING YEAR
~830 KEYS ~830 KEYS ~410 KEYS ~1,050 KEYS ~1,130 KEYS ~1,240 KEYS ~ 2,290 KEYS
BUDGET HOTEL
(TENTATIVE)
CHONBURI SIRACHA
BANGKOKTHONGLOR
~3,420 KEYS
RAMINTRA
(FUTURE PROJECT)
RAYONG MAPTAPHUT PHAYATHAI
BANGKOK PHAYATHAIBANGKOK SUKHUMVIT
24
BANGKOK SUKHUMVIT PHROMPHONGNEW JOINT VENTURE NEW JOINT VENTURE NEW JOINT VENTURE ACCUMULATE NUMBER OF KEYS NUMBER OF KEYS / YEAR
RETAIL & OFFICE : ~16,000 SQ.M. (NSA)
2020 2021 2022 2023
BUDGET HOTEL
(TENTATIVE)
BUDGET HOTEL
(TENTATIVE) RAYONG MAPTAPHUT
PROJECT LOCATIONS
BANGKOK EEC
TOTAL REVENUE BREAKDOWN
( 2020-2025F )
Hotel Operation Mgt Fee-Constuction Mgt Fee-Operation Other Income
Y2020 Y2021 Y2022 Y2023 Y2024 Y2025
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 70 20 10
300
50 20 10 50 10 10
450 700 900 1,000 1,100
60 10 10
200 370 580 780 850 930 110 140 160
Y2020 Y2021 Y2022 Y2023 Y2024 Y2025
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 70 20 10 50 20 10 50 10 10 10
520
220
700
250
1,550
850 1,700
2,600
10
1,900
2,900 3,200
2,100 200 370 580 110 780 140 850 160 930
TOTAL REVENUE BREAKDOWN & JV REVENUE
( 2020-2025F )
Hotel Operation Mgt Fee-Constuction Mgt Fee-Operation Other Income JV Project (100%)
Net Profit 30 MB 50 MB 120 MB 300 MB 420 MB 500 MB ROE as of Year 2025 = 15-16% (Max. Equity = 3,200 MB)
REVENUE BY SEGMENT 2025F
HOTEL RETAIL & OFFICE BG HOTEL
85% 10% 5%
93,000 SQ.M. 16,000 SQ.M. 13,000 SQ.M.
EQUITY (YEARLY) EQUITY (ACCUMULATE)
Y2020
320 1,920 2,650 3,200
Y2021
730
Y2022
550
ESTIMATE EQUITY I ONE
Unit : MB
ESTIMATE IBD/E I ORI
FORECAST
1.42 1.51 1.53 1.25 1.11 0.96
0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50
Y2022(F) Y2023(F) Y2021(F) Y2020(F) Y2019(F) Y2018(A)
Unit : Time
EQUITY PLAN
( 2020-2022F )
Total Investment = 12,000 MB Accumulated Equity & Shareholders loan as of 2019 = 1,600 MB Accumulate Equity as of 2022 = 3,200 MB
REIT CONTRIBUTION
GRAND OPENING
- Staybridge Bangkok Thonglor 303 Rooms
- Holiday Inn & Suites Siracha Laemchabang 347 Rooms
REIT Value ~ 5,000 MB Net Profit ~ 1,250 MB
2020 2021-2022F
- Ms. Aliwassa Pathnadabutr
Managing Director of CBRE Thailand Co., Ltd.
GLOBAL TRENDS IN DEVELOPING COMMERCIAL SPACE
29 FEBRUARY 2020
TECH DISRUPTION
ONE ORIGIN PRESS CONFERENCE | 29 JANUARY 2020 CBREMIXED-USE DEVELOPMENT TRENDS
ONE ORIGIN PRESS CONFERENCE | 29 JANUARY 2020 CBRE▪ DISCOVER ▪ LEARN ▪ PLAY ▪ WORK ▪ SHARE ▪ SHOP ▪ LIVE ▪ HEALTH ▪ GREEN
FUNAN DIGITALIFE MALL (SINGAPORE)
▪ 82,500 SQ.M. GFA ▪ RETAIL + OFFICE + SERVICED RESIDENCE ▪ URBAN FARM ▪ INDOOR CYCLING PATH ▪ TECH, CRAFT, PLAY, FIT, CHIC, AND TASTE
ONE ORIGIN PRESS CONFERENCE | 29 JANUARY 2020 CBREHOTELISATION
▪ HOTEL-LIKE QUALITY OF SERVICE ▪ HOTEL-LIKE AMENITIES ▪ Office – Meeting Room, Catering, Wellness ▪ Retail – Valet Parking, Pickup Instore, Return Service, Drive-through
ONE ORIGIN PRESS CONFERENCE | 29 JANUARY 2020 CBRE Source | CBRE ResearchFLEXIBLE WORKPLACE
▪ LEASE TERM ▪ CO-WORKING SPACE ▪ WORKPLACE STRATEGY ▪ Host ▪ WORK HOUR
ONE ORIGIN PRESS CONFERENCE | 29 JANUARY 2020 CBRE Source | CBRE ResearchTECHNOLOGY FOR ENGAGEMENT
ONE ORIGIN PRESS CONFERENCE | 29 JANUARY 2020 CBREPARTNERSHIP MODEL
▪ JOINT VENTURES
ONE ORIGIN PRESS CONFERENCE | 29 JANUARY 2020 CBRE Source | CBRE Research10 20 30 40 50
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Projects Condominium Housing Office Mixed-use Serviced Apartment Retail Industrial Hotel
Japanes e 83% Singaporean 5% Hong Kong 6% American 6%
Source | CBRE ResearchPARTNERSHIP MODEL
▪ OPEN DEVELOPMENT PLATFORM ▪ LANDLORD AND TENANT COLLABORATION ▪ Office – Talent (Service On Demand) ▪ Retail – Traffic (Experience) ▪ BRAND COLLABORATION
ONE ORIGIN PRESS CONFERENCE | 29 JANUARY 2020 CBRE Source | CBRE ResearchTHANK YOU