Leading the sector
Int Interim im Res esult lts Six months ended 30 June 2020
Leading the sector Int Interim im Res esult lts Six months - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Leading the sector Int Interim im Res esult lts Six months ended 30 June 2020 Leading the sector Foc Focuse sed on do doin ing the the rig ight thin thing fo for all ll stak stakeholders H1 2020 H1 2019 FY 2019 First PBSA
Int Interim im Res esult lts Six months ended 30 June 2020
Foc
Focuse sed on do doin ing the the rig ight thin thing fo for all ll stak stakeholders
Universities, creating new partnership opportunities
EPRA earnings
s gro growth dr driven by by Libe Libert rty Livin Living acqu cquis isition, offs ffset by by im impa pact of f Covi vid-19 19
Su
Succ ccess ssful in inte tegration of f Libe Libert rty Livi Living
Gro
rowing visi visibil ility ove ver r in inco come fo for r 2020/21
by nomination agreements
H1 2020 H1 2019 FY 2019 EPRA Earnings £74.8 .8m £61.2m £110.6m EPRA EPS 20.5 .5p 23.2p 39.1p Dividend per share 0.0 .0p 10.25p 10.25p EPRA NAVps 833p 833p 820p 853p Total accounting return (2.3 .3)% 6.3% 11.7% Loan to value1 33% 33% 29% 37% EBIT margin 71.7 .7% 76.0% 71.7% Reservations2 84% 84% 93% n/a
2
3
Int Interim Re Resu sults Six months ended 30 June 2020
75 69 83 79 80 79 81 80 83 81 85 82 20 40 60 80 100 Customer satisfaction Higher Education trust
Customer sati atisfaction an and Uni University enga ngagement
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Hig
igh-quality, well ll lo loca cated po port rtfolio
Tru
Trusted pa partner to to Univ iversitie ies
Be
Best st-in in-cla lass ope
rating plat platfo form
already in the UK
accredited by the British Safety Council
£300m pla
placing enabl bling continued in inve vestment at t enhanced returns
£250m, either contracted or under offer
development pipeline
45% 45% 40% 36% 33% 41% 43% 50% 52% 57%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 Post pipeline & disposals
Un Unive vers rsity ty al align gnment t by by tari ariff group
Medium High
Source: Unite, TRIM, Redbrick Source: Unite, 2020 Times Rankings
5
YoY
hange in in ac accep eptances es by y dom
ile (18 18 Jun June deadline)
Cha Change in acc cceptances % YoY YoY UK 2,200 0.5% EU (2,170) (5.9)% Non-EU 5,770 11.6% Tot
5,800 1.2%
6
Un
Univers rsities will ill be be ope pen fo for r bu busi siness this this Au Autumn
and student support
Stu
Student dem demand expe xpected to to be be robust
international students, recognising additional risk
Se
Seri ries of f Govern rnment su support measu sures announced fo for HE
forward to ensure the viability of all Universities
students
97% 87% 90% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% In-person teaching In-person social
Plans communicated to students
Uni niversity pla lans for
the 20 2020/21 Aut utumn ter term (% of
resp sponses) )
Source: Universities UK Source: UCAS
819 715 893 213 236 294 210 220 235 423 456 529 200 400 600 800 1,000 2010 2020 2030 2010 2020 2030 000s
Fo Forecast growth in n UK UK 18 18-year-old population an and number of f UK UK ac accepta tances to unive vers rsity ty1
UK 18 year old Other UK
University Acceptances 18 year-old-population
Source: ONS, UCAS, Unite
7
UK Undergraduate, 1,241,000 PBSA, 650,000 UK PG, 163,000 HMO, 855,500
Live at Home, 392,000
500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 Demand Supply
So Sourc rces of f de demand an and supp pply (20 2019/2 /20)
Source: HESA, JLL, Unite
We exp
xpect stro strong stu student dem demand in in 2021/22
societal right
An
Anticipate co continued flig flight to to qu quali lity by by stud students
favouring High and Mid-ranked Universities
Outlook su
supportive of f return to to rental gro growth
agreements (6 year avg. WAULT)
beds in Houses of Multiple Occupancy (HMOs)
8
Re
Reser servations at at 84% 84% for
2020/21 (20 2019/20: : 93% 93%)
their decision making
in income
incentives
Nom
rese servat ations for
52% of
eds (42% contracted)
Bro
road-bas ased dem demand for dire direct-let bed eds
Hig
igher er tha han usu usual risk risk of
ancel ellations, par articularly for
international st students
Cu Current bre reakdown of
reser servations (20 2020/21, tot
group)
St Status Beds % of f beds to
sell Gro ross rental inco ncome (£m) Nominations, contracted 31,442 42% 218.9 Nominations, unsigned 7,412 10% 50.7 UK direct-let 10,064 14% 61.8 International direct-let 13,713 18% 112.8 Tot
62,631 84% 444.2
Cu Current dir irect-let etre reser servationsby y dom
le an and yea year of
study (20 2020/21, tot
group)
000s UK UK Ch China EU EU Other r int ntl. Tot
First year 3.2 1.0 0.8 0.4 5.4 2nd & 3rd year 6.6 3.4 1.5 1.6 13.1 Postgraduate 0.3 4.3 0.2 0.5 5.3 Tot
10.1 8.7 2.5 2.5 23.8 % of f res eservations 42% 36% 11% 11% 100%
9
Sig
Signifi ficant pr progress du duri ring H1
integrated
Confident in
in co cost st syn synergies of f £15m p. p.a. fr from 2021
Operational learnings from the ‘best of both'
University partners
5 10 15 20 2020 2021 2022 £m
Exp Expected sy synergy rea ealisation
Operating expenses Overheads
Source: Unite
Int Interim Re Resu sults Six months ended 30 June 2020
11
% chang hange H1 2020 H1 2019 FY FY 2019 Inc ncome st state tement EPRA earnings +22% £74.8 .8m £61.2m £110.6m EPRA EPS (12)% 20.5 .5p 23.2p 39.1p Dividend per share (100)% 0.0 .0p 10.25p 10.25p Ba Balance nce she sheet EPRA NAVps1 (2)% 833p 833p 820p 853p EPRA NTAps1 (2)% 828p 828p 812p 847p Loan to value 33% 33% 29% 37% Ca Cash sh flow
Operations cash flow (41)% £27.8 .8m £47.0m £85.4m Ot Other fin inanc ncial KPIs Is Total accounting return (2.3 .3)% 6.3% 11.7% EPRA EPS yield 2.4 .4% 2.9% 4.9%
12
H1 2020 £m £m H1 2019 £m FY 2019 £m Rental income 154.9 108.3 213.9 Property operating expenses (37.5) (23.9) (53.1) Ne Net op
ng inc ncom
I) 117.4 .4 84.4 .4 160.8 .8 NOI margin 75.9% 78.0% 75.2% Management fees 7.7 7.2 14.4 Operating expenses (14.1) (9.3) (21.8) Finance costs (33.5) (20.7) (43.9) Acquisition and net performance fees
Development and other costs (2.7) (0.4) (5.7) EPRA EPRA ear arni nings 74.8 .8 61.2 .2 110.6 .6 EPRA EPRA EPS EPS 20.5 .5p 23.2 .2p 39.1 .1p EBIT margin 71.7% 76.0% 71.7%
13
EPRA earnings
s im impa pacted by by Covid-19 19
74.8
14
We
e antic nticip ipate EP EPRA EP EPS of
22-25 25p in n 20 2020 20, , re refle lectin ing:
Ea
Earnin ings heav heavily ly H1 1 weig eighted giv given zero ero sum summer inc ncome and nd ant ntic icip ipated impact on
utumn te term
Targetin
ing fur further annu nnual l cost cost savin savings s fr from 202 2021
Guid
uidance ass ssumes no no ret eturn to to mor more st strin ingent loc
measures and nd Univ Universit ity ca camp mpuses ope
n th the Aut utumn, , ref efle lecting socia social l di dista stancin ing req equir irements
Furt
Further guid guidance for for 202 2021 to to be be provid ided follo following st start of
the e 202 2020/21 aca cade demic c year year
853 833 (26) (3) (1) (3) 1 12 790p 800p 810p 820p 830p 840p 850p 860p 31-Dec-19 Covid-19 income deductions Yield movement Development portfolio June share placing Cladding provision Retained profits/Other 30-Jun-20
15
2%
% reduction in in EPRA NAV in in H1
Sw
Swap br breakage co cost sts s of f £24m/6p to to be be in incu curred on repayment of f Gro roup se secu cure red debt debt in in H2
16
Ro
Robust bala alance e shee sheet an and liq liquidity posi
interruption to income
Co
Continued bala alance shee sheet dis iscipline
Re
Repay ayment of
£207m of
secured deb ebt at at a a 4.8 4.8% ble lended coupon
Sig
Significant he head adroom in in ICR ICR covenants
year to breach tightest covenants
beds, providing visibility over income collection
UPDATE
Ke Keyde debt t stati tisti tics (Unite te share)
30 Ju Jun 2020 2020 30 Ju Jun 2019 2019 31 Dec c 2019 19 Net debt £1,688m £897m £1,884m LTV 33% 29% 37% Net debt:EBITDA ratio1 7.3 6.1 6.8 Interest cover ratio 3.3 4.1 3.5 Average debt maturity 4.6 years 5.4 years 5.4 years Average cost of debt 3.0% 3.8% 3.3% % investment debt fixed or capped 77% 100% 93%
£0m £100m £200m £300m £400m £500m £600m 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
De Debt maturi rity pro rofile le2
Group Funds
Source: Unite
Performance of
f US USAF and d LS LSAV im impa pacted by by dis disru ruption ca cause sed by by Covi vid-19 19
LSAV in Q1 but flat in Q2
Gro
rowth in in management fe fees s dr driven by by in incre reases in in GAV ove ver r the the pa past st 12 mon
No fu
further LS LSAV pe performance fe fee realis ised in in pe period
2019 results
evidence post-Covid-19
Source: Unite
17
UPDATE
Su Summary fi financials USA USAF £m £m LSA SAV £m £m GAV 2,789 1,316 Net debt (854) (478) Other assets/(liabilities) (16) (33) NAV 1, 1,919 919 805 805 Unite share of NAV 423 402 LTV 31% 36% Unite stake 22% 50% Maturity Infinite 2022/2027 Un Unite fe fees in peri riod Asset/property management 6.0 1.7 Acquisition fees
Tota tal 6. 6.0 1. 1.7
Int Interim Re Resu sults Six months ended 30 June 2020
Horizon Heights SkelhorneStreet, Liverpool
0% Leisure Retail Hotel All Property Office Unite portfolio Industrial
Ca Capital va valu lue gro growth (6m 6m to to Jun Jun-2020)
Source: Unite, MSCI
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Va Valuation yields
Unite ite Com
leted P Portf tfol
io IPD All Property NIY 10Yr Swap Rate Prime Regional PRS NIY
Source: Unite, MSCI, CBRE
St
Stro rong va valu luation pe perf rformance rela lative to to wide ider UK UK real estat state se secto ctor in in H1
transact at pricing in line with pre-Covid-19 levels
Un
Unite va valu luations: -2.6% in in H1
Removal
l of f mate terial uncertainty cla lause fo for va valu luations s of f stu student acc ccommodation by by RICS po post-period end end
Ta
Targ rgeting £100-150m of f dis disposals in in 2020 (Un Unite sh share re)
19
2020
20
Horizon Heights Skelhorne Street, Liverpool L35GH
2,2
2,257 beds to to be deli livered acr cross thr three sc schemes for
2020/21
Whi
hite Ro Rose se View iew in in Le Leed eds will ill be e com
ime an and bud udget
University of Leeds
Co
Completion of
First Way, y, Lo London and nd Arti rtisan Heights, Man anchester dela elayed un until il Q4 4 202 2020
Exp
Expect to
restart con
2022 deli deliveries es in in Q1 Q1 20 2021
Plan
lanning ap appro roval al sec secured for 416 416-bed Old ld BRI RI dev evelopment in in Bris ristol dur uring H1
White Rose View Leeds
21
Cur Current t se secured pipeline of
,370 beds s to
ver by y 2024
Pl Placi acing to
und ac acqui uisiti tion n of
hree ne new si sites tes excha hang nged or
under of
2023/2 /2024 delivery at at a a tot
velopment t cos
t of
.£250m1
Ta Targe geting ng enhan nhanced retu turns ns on
new devel velopments ts
Cap Capita talising ng on
and and and reputa tati tion
add to
niversity y Part Partne nerships pipeline ne
nomination agreements
New op
uniti ties for
unded ac acqui uisition
Curr rrent t Un University Part Partnerships pipe peline Typ Type Beds Executi tion risk Multi-year nominations Existing 11,400 Low/Medium Off-campus development New 3,100 Medium On-campus development New 7,500 High Stock transfer/outsourcing New 8,000 High To Tota tal 30, 30,00 000 Curr rrent t secure red de deve velopmentpipe peline Beds To Tota tal Development Cost(£m) Yi Yield d on co cost Traditional development 2,469 312 6.9% University Partnerships 2,901 381 6.4% To Tota tal 5, 5,370 370 693 693 6. 6.6%
1,861 370 6.0%
3,509 323 7.2%
Int Interim Re Resu sults Six months ended 30 June 2020
A sec
sector-lea eading bus usines ess wit ith an an en enha hanced re reputation
and cashflow
Inc
Increas ased vis visibility fol
start of
he 202 2020/21 aca academ emic yea year
Co
Continued st structural al dem emand for
igher Ed Education
Mid-ranked Universities
Sig
Significant gro growth op
es
above pre-Covid levels
23
Horizon Heights Skelhorne Street, Liverpool
Int Interim Re Resu sults Six months ended 30 June 2020
100 200 300 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
(000s)
Cu Cumulative cha change in in appli lications by Uni niversity tar ariff
Higher tariff Medium tariff Lower tariff
Source: UCAS
25
A
A UK UK Un Univers rsity edu duca cation is is hig ighly va valu lued
top 200 globally (Source: QS World Rankings)
St
Strong stu student de demand fo for 2020/21
strong growth in acceptances
Record appli
pplication rate fo for UK K stu students
experience provided by University
Government tar
targeting 115k (25%) in incre rease in in in inte ternational stu student numbers rs by by 2030
in growth in applications for 2020/21
Confident in
in our r abili bility to to abso bsorb Bre Brexit im impa pact
equates to 3% of our customer base
34.7% 33.3% 34.1% 35.3% 36.0% 37.0% 37.5% 37.8% 38.9% 40.5% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Par articipation ra rate e by y UK 18 18-year-olds (30 Jun June dea eadline)
Source: UCAS
All
All-incl clusive pr pricing
Help when it’s needed
City
ity-centre lo loca cations wit ith range of f pr price po points
Dir
Direct ct-le let an and d Uni Universi sity co cont ntracts
26
Of customers used
available properties
75%
Staff trained in studentwelfare
1,000
Of maintenance fixes by the end of the working day
80%
Of customers using MyUnite app
90%
27
Valu
alue-for-money is the most important factor influencing students’ decisions on where to live
The
The cost of
accommodation is is onl
8% mor
e exp expen ensive e tha han HMO
We
e allo allow st students to
hat is is im important 136 113 13 10
£60 £80 £100 £120 £140 Rent Bills Service premium
Hass ssle le fr free se serv rvice ces
All-inclusive pricing for utilities, insurance & services High-speed Wi-Fi MyUnite app 80% of maintenance fixes by end of working day
Help when it’s needed
24/7 customer support centre with on-site security Customer service teams trained in active listening Peer support from 160 Student Ambassadors
Bu Buildings des designed around stud student needs
Close to university campuses Shared living with ensuite bathrooms Spaces to study and relax
* Includes ensuite and non-ensuite rooms for Unite, adjusted to 43-week average tenancy length Source: Unite, Rightmove, Save the Student
Aver verage e wee eekly ac accommodation cost (UK exc excluding Lon London)*
Unite HMO sector
28
De
Demonstrating se secto ctor le leade ders rship around Covid-19 19
term rents for students who chose to return home
Add
Addressi sing the the ch chall llenge of f mental l healt lth and d wellb llbeing
Commitment to
to pro provide the the sa safe fest st and d most st se secu cure envi vironment fo for r stu students s and d our r pe people le
accredited by the BSC Wide
idening HE acc ccess ss and d im impro roving stu student outcomes
Investing to
to im impro rove our r envi vironmental l im impa pact
New su
sust stainabil ility st strategy to to be be la launched by by end d of f 2020
Improving pe
perf rformance in in ext xtern rnal ben benchmark rks
29
1 London 7 Newcastle
Aberdeen Glasgow Edinburgh Durham
5 Leeds 4
Manchester
3
Liverpool
6 Sheffield
Leicester
Loughborough Nottingham
2
Birmingham
Wolverhampton Coventry Medway Exeter
8
Bristol
9
Cardiff
Bath Southampton Bournemouth Portsmouth Reading Oxford Bedford
Geo eograp aphical al bre reak akdown of
2020 rank nk Ci City Com Completed bed eds (20/21) Ful ull-timestudent num umbers (18/19) Market sha hare 1 London 11,591 327,840 3.5% 2 Birmingham 6,498 73,845 8.8% 3 Liverpool 6,469 51,980 12.4% 4 Manchester 5,620 66,195 8.5% 5 Leeds 5,610 59,525 9.4% 6 Sheffield 4,498 53,150 8.5% 7 Newcastle 3,763 47,845 7.9% 8 Bristol 3,753 47,345 7.9% 9 Cardiff 3,480 40,065 8.7% 10 Leicester 3,251 38,680 8.4% Top
54,533 806 06,470 6.8% Tot
76,354
Source: Unite, HESA
10
30 30 June 2020 Wholly
USAF LSAV Lease Total Unite share
London Value (£m) 1,015 397 1,046 17 2,475 1,641 Beds 3,499 1,863 5,291 260 10,913 35% Properties 11 6 12 1 30 Prime provincial Value (£m) 867 638
1,533 1,037 Beds 7,042 5,337
12,997 22% Properties 16 18
36 Major provincial Value (£m) 1,151 1,470 270 29 2,920 1,639 Beds 17,324 19,506 3,067 753 40,650 35% Properties 37 48 1 2 88 Provincial Value (£m) 284 283
600 379 Beds 4,958 3,520
9,537 8% Properties 11 10
24 Total Value (£m) 3,317 2,788 1,316 107 7,528 4,696 Beds 32,823 30,226 8,358 2,690 74,097 100% Properties 75 82 13 8 178 Unite ownership share 100% 22% 50% 100% Value (£m) 3,317 614 658 107 4,696
31
£m £m Whol
ly owne ned USA SAF (Uni nite shar hare) LSA SAV (Uni nite shar hare) Unit ite Group up Ju Jun 2020 20 Unite Group Dec 2019 Bala lanc nce sheet Rental properties 3,317 614 658 4,589 4,702 Leased properties 107
110 Properties under development 458
412 To Total tal pr property po portf tfoli lio/
3,882 82 614 614 658 658 5,154 54 5,225 25 Net debt (1,261) (188) (239) (1,688) (1,885) Lease liability (97)
(99) Other assets/(liabilities) (24) (3) (17) (44) (132) EPRA net t asse sets ts 2,500 00 423 423 402 402 3,325 25 3,109 LTV TV1 33% 33% 31% 31% 36% 36% 33% 33% 37% Incom come stat tatement H1 H1 2020 H1 H1 2019 Net operating income 87.4 14.6 15.4 117.4 84.4 Overheads less management fees (2.8) (1.7) (1.9) (6.4) (2.1) Finance costs (25.7) (3.3) (4.5) (33.5) (20.7) Development/other (2.5) (0.1) (0.1) (2.7) (0.4) EPRA earni ning ngs 56.4 9.5 8.9 74.8 61.2
32
Faci cility £m £m Dra rawn £m £m Maturi rity Sec Secure red Legal + General1 107 107 2022 Mass Mutual2 100 100 2024 Un Unsecured HSBC/RBS3 350 350 2022 HSBC/RBC/RBS 400 400 2022 Unsecured bond (Unite) 275 275 2028 Unsecured bond (LL) 600 600 2024-29 Tot
1,832 1,832 Faci cility £m £m Dra rawn £m £m Maturi rity USA USAF Secured bond 775 775 2023-25 Wells Fargo 150 135 2024 Tot
925 910 LSAV Wells Fargo 250 250 2022 L&G 149 149 2022 Teachers RE 140 140 2027 Tot
539 539
Co Co-investment vehicles On On-balance sheet
1. To be repaid on 29 July 2020 2. Repaid in full on 20 July 2020 3. Credit approval received for a further £100m extension
33 Jun 2020 2020 £m £m Jun 2020 2020 p Dec 2019 2019 £m £m Dec ec 20 2019 19 p Net et as asset et val alue repo eporte ted under r IF IFRS RS 3, 3,27 273 822 822 3, 3,072 072 845 845 Mark to market interest rate swaps 25 8 Unamortised swap gain (2) (2) Unamortised fair value of debt recognised on acquisition 30 32 Current/deferred tax (1)
265 280 EPR PRA Net Net Reinstatement Val Value (NRV) 3, 3,590 590 899 899 3, 3,390 390 930 930 Real estate transfer taxes (265) (280) EPRA PRA NAV 3, 3,32 325 833 833 3, 3,110 110 853 853 Intangible assets (20) (23) EPRA PRA Net etTa Tangibl ble As Assets(NTA) 3, 3,30 305 828 828 3, 3,087 087 847 847 Intangible assets 20 23 Mark to market of fixed rate debt (98) (94) Mark to market interest rate swaps (25) (8) Current/deferred tax 1
PRA NNNAV /NetDisposal Va Value (NDV) 3, 3,20 203 803 803 3, 3,008 008 826 826
Ta Target deli livery Se Secu cured beds To Total tal co comp mple lete ted valu lue (£m) m) To Total tal develo lopment nt co costs sts (£m) Ca Capex x in pe perio iod (£m) m) Ca Capex x remai aini ning (£m) m) Fo Forecas ast t NAV remai aini ning ng (£m) m) Fo Forecas ast t yield ld on co cost st Tr Tradit itio ional naldevelo lopment nt First Way, London 2020 678 132 103 10 22 12 6.0% Artisan Heights, Manchester 2020 603 82 57 12 6 11 7.8% Derby Road, Nottingham1 2023 620 64 48 1 46 16 8.0% Wyvil Road, London1 2023 270 100 80
21 6.2% Abbey Lane, Edinburgh1 2023 298 33 24 1 23 9 8.3% To Total tal trad aditional development 2,469 411 411 312 312 24 24 159 159 69 69 6.9% Univ iversi sity Partne tnershi ships White Rose View, Leeds 2020 976 122 84 17 8 14 7.4% Middlesex Street, London 2022 913 277 187 57 86 52 6.0% Old BRI, Bristol 2022 416 57 43 3 19 7 6.2% Temple Quarter, Bristol1 2023 596 85 67 1 65 18 6.2% To Total tal Univ iversi sity Partne tnershi ships 2,901 01 541 541 381 381 78 78 178 178 91 91 6.4% To Total tal pi pipeli line ne 5,370 70 952 952 693 693 102 102 337 337 160 160 6.6%
34