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Dig Digit ital al So Solu lutions ions for or Africa Af - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Dig Digit ital al So Solu lutions ions for or Africa Af ican A n Agr gricu icultu lture re Ms. Atsuko TODA, Director, Agriculture Finance & Rural Development Ms. Olukemi AFUN-OGIDAN, Principal Agribusiness Officer I. I. In


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SLIDE 1

Dig Digit ital al So Solu lutions ions for

  • r

Af Africa ican A n Agr gricu icultu lture re

  • Ms. Atsuko TODA, Director, Agriculture Finance & Rural Development
  • Ms. Olukemi AFUN-OGIDAN, Principal Agribusiness Officer
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SLIDE 2

I. I. In Introduct

  • duction

ion

Un Unde derstandi anding g di differen rent t country y and ag d agricult culture ure sector

  • r

context xt and c d comm mmon n agenda da MENTI NTIMETER METER Question tion 1

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SLIDE 3

A R A Ris ising ing Co Conti ntinent nent – Sus ustained ained Gr Grow

  • wth

th

Rank Country Real GDP Growth Rate 1 Macao SAR 13.4 2

Ethiopia

8.5 3

Côte d'Ivoire

7.6 4 Nepal 7.5 5 Myanmar 7.2 6 Bangladesh 7.1 7

Djibouti

7 8 Cambodia 6.9 9 Lao P .D.R. 6.9 10 China, People's Rep. of 6.8 11

Senegal

6.8 12

Guinea

6.7 13 India 6.7 14 Philippines 6.6 16

Tanzania

6.5 17 Turkmenistan 6.5 19

Burkina Faso

6.4 20 Vietnam 6.3

  • 2
  • 4
  • 6

10 8 6 4 2 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Asia and Pacific Africa Latin America and the Caribbean Source: IMF , WEO,2017 World European Union

Sustained economic growth in some countries (17 countries with growth rates above 5% in 2017) and sometimes outperforming the rest of the world (7 countries among the 20 world’s fastest growing economies)

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SLIDE 4

50% 65% 40%

De Demo mogr graphic aphic Di Divi vidend end of

  • f a

a You

  • ung

ng Co Continent ntinent

40% of Africans are between the age

  • f 15-35 and classified as “Youth”

Over 65% of Africa’s 1 Billion population is under the age of 35

50% are under 25 years By y 2050 there e will ll be close se to close se to 2 bill llion ion you youth In the meantim time, e, labor r force ce in other r parts s of the world ld will ll decli line ne

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SLIDE 5

The he Ri Rise se of th the Mid iddle le Cl Clas ass

  • Average income increased by about 30% over the past 10 years (as

compared to 20% of decrease between 1980 and 2000)

  • By 2060, 43% of Africans will belong to the middle or upper classes,

implying considerably higher demand for goods and services

Source: Pwc, 2017 Source: Brookings 2016 8

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SLIDE 6

Agri ricu cultu lture re in in Af Afri rica a – An An Un Untapp apped ed Mar arket

POPULATION GROWTH & EXPANDING MIDDLE CLASS

2.5 billion

people living in Africa

MEGATRENDS

URBANIZATION & TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGES EVOLVING DIETARY PREFERENCES

IMPACT BY 2050

65%

  • f the world’s

uncultivated arable land

is in Africa

51%

  • f Africans are engaged in

agriculture

but contribute only one quarter

  • f Africa's GDP

US$ 47 billion

was spent on

food imports

into Sub-Saharan Africa in 2017

  • ver 60%

increase in Africa’s food demand

  • AFDB. 2017. Betting on Africa to Feed the World; FAO. 2018. The Regional Outlook on Gender and Agrifood Systems; FAO. 2018. Food Outlook, Nov. 2018;
  • PNAS. 2016. Can Sub-Saharan Agriculture Feed Itself; ILRI. 2015. African Livestock Transformation, presented at AFDB Feeding Africa Conference Oct. 2015

6

STATE OF AGRICULTURE IN AFRICA

By 2030, African food market will be worth

US$ 1 trillion

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SLIDE 7

To sustainably feed a growing population, Africa must close the yield gap and build a robust agribusiness sector

Asia Latin Amer & Caribeans North America + Europe Sub-Sahara Africa 1 2 3 4 5 6 1961 1963 1965 1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

Metric tons per ha

Average Cereal Yields

Ch Chal allenges lenges in in the he Agri ricu cultur lture e Val alue ue Ch Chai ain

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SLIDE 8

Ch Chal allenges lenges in in the Agriculture Value Chain (Cont’d)

8

Agriculture Value Chain Input Supply On Farm Production Post Harvest & Agro-processing Marketing & Consumption

  • Fragmented

demand for inputs

  • Lack of credit for

farmers and agro- dealers

  • Government

crowding out private sector

  • Insufficient reach
  • f extension

services

  • Lack of

information on climate data, input needs, etc.

  • Lack of access to

finance and markets

  • Land

fragmentation, degraded soils

  • High post harvest

losses

  • Insufficient

storage facilities

  • Inconsistency in

quality of produce

  • Poor processing &

handling techniques

  • Lack of technical

knowhow to access markets

  • Lack of

information on product origin & farmer practices

  • Almost non-

existent tracking systems

Challenges

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SLIDE 9

II II. African ican De Deve velopm

  • pment

ent Ba Bank nk - FEED AF

AFRI RICA

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SLIDE 10

1.

Power and Light Up Africa

  • 2. Feed Africa
  • 3. Industrialize Africa
  • 4. Integrate Africa

5.

Improve Quality of Life of Africans

AFDB’s “High 5” Pr Prio iorities rities

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SLIDE 11

The he “Feed Africa” St Strat ategy egy

Feed Africa Vision: To transform African agriculture into a competitive and inclusive agribusiness sector that creates wealth, improves lives and secures the environment.

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SLIDE 12

A Focused Approach on Integrated Commodity Value Chains

The Bank and its partners will pursue an agenda to transform a selection of key agricultural commodities and agro-ecological zones

Tree crops (inc. cocoa, coffee, cashew, and oil palm), horticulture and fish farming across all of Africa Cassava in humid and sub-humid zones Maize, soybean, livestock, and poultry across the Guinea Savannah Agricultural commodity value chains and agro-ecological zones targeted by the Feed Africa Wheat in North Africa Sorghum, millet, cowpea, and livestock across the Sahel Rice in West Africa

In particular, Feed Africa will take a commodity- focused integrated approach – simultaneously addressing multiple bottlenecks across entire prioritized agricultural commodity value chains and within related agro- ecological zones

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SLIDE 13

II III.

  • I. Introducing Digitalization’s Rise

e in Afric rica

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SLIDE 14

THE RISE OF DIGITIZATION IN AFRICA

14

The entry point for digitization in Africa has been through the telecommunications sector and the rise in increasing internet connectivity and mobile phone uptake over the last decade

Between 2010 – 2015, Africa had the fastest growth of mobile phone subscribers

Forbes https://www.forbes.com/sites/tobyshapshak/2015/09/02/african-internet-capacity-growth-continues-to-outstrip-the-world-2/#7aafaf2f568e

  • GSMA. The Mobile Economy Africa 2016
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SLIDE 15

Internet connection in Africa outpaced the rest of world from 2011 - 2015 FACTORS BEHIND THE TREND Scarce diffusion on fixed line networks Entry of key international mobile service providers Increasing affordability of new devices and a growing market for second-hand devices

THE RISE OF DIGITIZATION IN AFRICA (CONT’D)

30 300 m 0 million lion

additional people to come online by

2025 2025

GSM Association: The Mobile Economy Sub-Saharan Africa 2018

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SLIDE 16

Though Africa remains weak on ICT performance compared to rest of world…

4.8 5.0 7.5

Avrg. US & Canada

8.0

Avrg. Africa

2.8

Avrg. Asia Pacific Avrg. Americas Avrg. Europe

1.0 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.6 2.7 2.9 2.9 3.1 4.6 4.6 4.8 4.8 5.0

Ethiopia Côte d’Ivoire Botswana Tanzania Angola Eritrea Congo, DR Senegal Kenya Zimbabwe Mauritius

5.9

Tunisia South Africa Nigeria Egypt Morocco Source: International Telecommunication Union (ITU) - ICT Development Index 2017 ; BCG analysis

ICT Development Index by world regions and African countries (from highest score 8.9 to lowest score 1.0)

72 92 99 100 103 105 131 136 138 142 143 160 165 170 171 176 African countries

ICT Development Index combines 11 indicators in three categories

  • ICT access (e.g. fixed telephone & cellular subscriptions)
  • ICT use (e.g. % of individuals using internet)
  • ICT skills (e.g. tertiary gross development ratio)

Global Ranking (on 176 countries)

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SLIDE 17

…ICT adoption is booming in Africa….

759 708 366 2010 2015 2017 +20% p.a. 87 2005

Mobile-cellular telephone subscriptions (M)

181 2017 253 +51% p.a. 2015 2010 14

Active mobile-broadband subscriptions (M)

10 9 5 2015 2010 2017 +9% p.a. 4 2005

Households with a computer (%)

213 164 54 2015 2010 2017 +25% p.a. 15 2005

Individuals using the Internet (M)

Source: ITU

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SLIDE 18

….and is already moving fast in some service sectors, such as mobile money – MENTI QUESTION 2

Source: Sagaci Research 2015, BCG Africa Consumer Sentiment survey February to April 2015 GSMA Note: Survey reached 11,127 total consumers., of which 8,977 were lived in urban areas.

Mobile money services are developing quickly

  • n the continent...

... and are already well adopted

2 mobile money services 1 mobile money services 3+ mobile money services

Number of live mobile money services Percent of respondents who have a mobile money account Africa Consumer Sentiment Survey 2015 17% 98% 64% 28% 17% 56%

47%

2015 Africa

Ghana South Africa Angola Ivory Coast DRC Kenya

Urban consumers

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SLIDE 19

AFRICA’S DIGITAL AGRICULTURE LANDSCAPE

19

As at 2018, there are at least 390 ICT and digital solutions actively operating in the African agriculture space Reaching an estimated 33.1 million smallholder farmers

Dalberg Analysis, CTA Digitalization for Agriculture Report – Africa, 2019

42 66 112 163 220 314 390 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Advisory services Market linkage Financial Inclusion Supply Chain Mgt Total

Estimated number (in millions) of smallholder farmers using ICT4Ag solutions

ICT outreach and technological innovation is on the rise

Number of ICT4Ag Solutions currently operating in Africa

35% 27% 14% 13%

33.1M

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SLIDE 20

UPTAKE OF DIGITAL AG SOLUTIONS

20

Dalberg Analysis, CTA Digitalization for Agriculture Report – Africa, 2019; https://www.gsma.com/mobilefordevelopment/wp- content/uploads/2018/03/Africa.pdf

East Africa accounts for the largest number of known active ICT4Ag users:

20.9 million users

Kenya alone has the highest agritech intensity in Africa

30% of agtech startups

  • perate in Kenya

West Africa has

3.7 million

known active ICT4Ag users Central Africa is least penetrated with only

599,000

known active ICT4Ag users Southern Africa has

5.1 million

known active ICT4Ag users

Nigeria has the largest number of tech hubs in W.Africa

55 hubs

South Africa has the largest number of tech hubs on the continent

59 hubs

>50 Tech Hubs 10–49 Tech Hubs

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SLIDE 21

COUNTRIES WHERE AGTECH SOLUTIONS ARE CREATED

HQ Present

Dalberg Analysis, CTA Digitalization for Agriculture Report – Africa, 2019

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SLIDE 22

Estimated sector revenue

Advisory & information Services €54m Market linkages €39m Financial access €21m Supply chain management €9m D4Ag data intermediaries €3m Macro agri-intelligence €3m

Total ~€127m average (€110–145m range)

FUNDING SOURCES FROM AGTECH AND REVENUES

Estimated annual Sub-Saharan Africa D4Ag funding, 2018 € millions, Sub-Saharan Africa, 2018 ~€300 million €175 million Top global D4Ag funders

Dalberg Analysis, CTA Digitalization for Agriculture Report – Africa, 2019

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SLIDE 23

PROJECTED UNIQUE AND ACTIVE USERS

Dalberg Analysis, CTA Digitalization for Agriculture Report – Africa, 2019

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SLIDE 24

IV

  • IV. Bus

usiness ness mo mode dels ls for

  • r di

diffusi fusion

  • n & tr

tran ansf sfer er

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SLIDE 25

Weather based monitoring and insurance products Mobile and ICT based advisory on best agronomic practices Data capture & analysis of field performance Land and soil fertility mapping through remote sensing Mobile apps for soil testing and mapping of soil characteristics Mobile and ICT based advisory on input markets and application Satellite or drone based monitoring of fields, production area, water resources, etc. Harvest forecasting & shared automated harvesting Blockchain for origin traceability and mapping Price monitoring Digital marketplaces Digital payment and mobile money systems $

OPPORTUNITIES FOR TRANSFORMATION

DIGITAL AND TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATIONS CAN ADDRESS THESE CHALLENGES AND LEAPFROG TRANSFORMATION OF AFRICAN AGRICULTURE

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SLIDE 26

Pioneering Digital Solutions in Africa

Mobi bile le mone ney y and d e-wall allets ets tr transfor nsform m th the e busi siness ess of agricu ricultur ture

48.76%

  • f

Kenya’s GDP processed over M-PESA.

US$32.5 billion, the

value of M-PESA transactions.

93%

  • f Kenyans have access to

mobile payments. M-PESA offers payment solutions for agricultural services but alsofurther services such as international transfers, loans and health provision.

KENYA YA NIGER ERIA IA

14.5 million farmers

registered under the Growth Enhancement Support Scheme (GESS). Farmers achieved a 157% increase in income – from US$700 to US$ 1,800. Nigeria liberalized input distribution through an e-wallet system – the Growth Enhancement Support Scheme (GESS)

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SLIDE 27

IMPACT DATA SUGGESTS POWER OF BUNDLING – MENTI Question 3

Dalberg Analysis, CTA Digitalization for Agriculture Report – Africa, 2019

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SLIDE 28

V. V. Training aining to

  • us

use e ne new w technology hnology

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SLIDE 29
  • f respondents expect to integrate

new technologies over the next three years, the most popular of which are IoT, blockchains and machine learning.

USE OF ADVANCED TECHNOLOGIES

Dalberg Analysis, CTA Digitalization for Agriculture Report – Africa, 2019

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SLIDE 30

CURRENT SHARE OF USERS - WOMEN AND YOUTH

Creates es an opportunit ity y for entrepr epreneur eneursh ship ip

Dalberg Analysis, CTA Digitalization for Agriculture Report – Africa, 2019

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SLIDE 31
  • Devel

velop p human ca capit ital: l: digital literacy across the agriculture ecosystem

  • Support the deve

velop lopment ment of sustaina inable ble busine iness ss models ls: push B2B rather than B2C; support research on innovative business models

  • Fo

Focu cus s on im impa pact ct: leverage youth and women capital to drive entrepreneurship and wealth creation

  • Inves

vest in in the mis issing sing mid iddl dle e in infras astructu ucture re

  • St

Strengt ngthen hen enabling ling envi viron

  • nment

ment: : policies and governance of the digital economy

  • Driv

ive e a kn knowledge ledge agenda nda: Develop set of best practices and stronger community of practice

SPECIFIC INVESTMENTS NEEDED

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SLIDE 32

VI. VI. Cha hallenge llenges s an and RES ESPONSE ONSES

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SLIDE 33

Digital Solutions for African Agriculture

  • Our goal is to increase investments in digital enablers

across agriculture value chains in Africa.

  • It will be achieved by

Informing and optimizing decision-making processes

Unlocking finances for value chain actors

Creating opportunities for Tech agripreneurs

  • The Bank has launched a dedicated Flagship to drive

Africa’s digital agriculture in support of the Feed Africa Strategy: Digital Agriculture

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SLIDE 34

African Development Bank Digital Solutions for African Agriculture Objectives

Input Supply On Farm Production

Post Harvest & Agro-processing

Marketing & Consumption

Enhance yields, scale productivity Improve efficiency Improve traceability, sustainability and profitability Facilitate access to markets

  • Land & soil fertility

mapping by remote sensing/ mobile apps

  • Weather monitoring

and insurance products

  • Finance Agro dealers
  • Mobile and ICT

based advisory

  • Satellite or drone

based monitoring

  • E-wallet
  • Forecasting & shared

automated harvesting

  • Data capture &

analysis of field performance

  • Traceability and

mapping

  • Price monitoring
  • Digital payment &

mobile money systems

  • Digital marketplaces

Value Chain Goals ICT Tools

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SLIDE 35

Factors Needed To Scale up Digitalization In Agriculture

35

  • Data collection & analytics
  • Digital Ag incubators

ecosystem

  • Digital IDs & mapping
  • Agriculture data, policies and regulatory framework
  • Digital infrastructure
  • Financing for Digital Ag startups

& businesses

  • IT skills & digital literacy
  • Innovation & research

Digital Ag Enablers

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SLIDE 36

AFDB FOOTPRINT IN THE DIGITAL AGRICULTURE SPACE

LIBERIA ERIA E-Registra egistration tion Pl Platform form

Registered 313,329 farmers across 15 counties in Liberia The platform digitally ID-ed farmers and agro-dealers to link them to a supply chain of inputs, finance and market places

TOGO O AG AGRIPME PME (Ag Agri ri Po Porte Monnaie aie Electro ctroniqu nique)

Targeting 150,000 farmers The project allowed farmers to benefit from a US $1.3 million subsidy to buy inputs

Infrastr rastructure cture

Technology parks and innovation hubs/ funds in Senegal, Rwanda, Tunisia

Knowled wledge ge products cts

Assessment of E-Voucher Systems in Africa Digital Agriculture Profiles (DAP) for Morocco, Kenya, Cote d’Ivoire, Rwanda and South Africa Policy Innovation for Transforming Africa’s Food System with Digital Technologies

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SLIDE 37

VII.

  • VII. Creation

eation of

  • f Val

alue ue an and Sh Shar ared ed Go Goal als s – ME MENT NTI I Qu Ques estion ion 5

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SLIDE 38

Through public sector investments, the Bank will enable Governments to:

  • provide essential

public goods.

  • partner with the

private sector.

Entr try y Point Inter terven venti tion

  • n Are

reas

African Development Bank’s Approach to Promote Digital Agriculture

38

Pure re Publ blic ic Goods

  • ds

Inte tervent ventions ions Po Pote tential ntial PPP Inte tervent ventions ions Enabling Environment for Digitized Agriculture Access to Markets Blockchain for integrated food systems Information Systems for Enhanced Productivity Inclusive Fintech4Ag Co-invest in agtech startup funds Digital Literacy and Capacity building Smart Agriculture and Intelligent Systems

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SLIDE 39

African Development Bank Digital Ag Target Countries

Champion Countries Mid-Track Countries Early Starter Countries Countries leading Africa’s digital agenda Countries that have shown political interest and have a growing tech community Countries at the nascent stage of digital development Kenya, Nigeria, South Africa, Tunisia, Morocco, Egypt, Rwanda, Mauritius Cote d’Ivoire, Ghana, Senegal, Uganda, Zambia, Zimbabwe Ethiopia, Botswana and other countries where there is

  • pportunistic

demand

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SLIDE 40

Bank Digital Solutions for Agriculture Flagship Partnership Opportunities – Menti 6

Inves vestmen ments ts to scale

  • Novel farming systems
  • Agribusiness marketplaces
  • Remote sensing & drone technology
  • Automated mechanization

Afri rica ca is r s rapi pidl dly y di digitaliz alizing ng and d ope pen n for r bu busi sines ness

Potent ential al par artner ner institut utions

  • ns
  • ICT & Tech private companies
  • Agtech Impact investment funds
  • Global FMCGs digitalizing their supply

chain

  • Development partners
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SLIDE 41

THAN ANK K YOU OU

CONT ONTACT CT: :

E.MABA BAYA@ A@AFDB. FDB.OR ORG O.AFUN UN-OGID OGIDAN AN@A @AFDB.O FDB.ORG A.TODA@ A@AFDB AFDB.OR .ORG