SLIDE 1 Development of an optimal calibration strategy for trace gas measurements
Mark Battle
(Bowdoin College) Zane Davis, Ryan Hart, Jayme Woogerd, Jacob Scheckman Eric Sofen Becca Perry John Scheckman, Eric Sofen, Becca Perry, John Carpenter.
Special thanks: Britt Stephens (NCAR) Ralph Keeling Special thanks: Britt Stephens (NCAR), Ralph Keeling (SIO), Bill Munger (Harvard) Mary Lou Zeeman (Cornell/Bowdoin)
CompSust09 June 11, 2009
Funding from: DOE, Bowdoin College
SLIDE 2 Outline
- Structure of a measurement program
- What measurements might tell us
g
- Example of one such program
- Call for help
SLIDE 3 Measuring the composition of air
SLIDE 4
Precision vs. Accuracy
SLIDE 5 Measuring the composition of air
- Precision vs. Accuracy
- Differential measurements
SLIDE 6
Benefits of differential measurements
Initial Group 1001 Women Final group Final group 1002 Women
SLIDE 7
Benefits of differential measurements
Initial Group Absolute changes Initial # women: 1001 1001 Women Final # women: 1002 Change in women: 0.1% Final group Final group 1002 Women
SLIDE 8
Benefits of differential measurements
Initial Group 999 Men 1001 Women Final group Final group 999 Men 999 Men 1002 Women
SLIDE 9
Benefits of differential measurements
Initial Group 999 Men 1001 Women Final group Differential changes Final group 999 Men Differential changes Initial gender diff: 2 Final gender diff: 3 999 Men 1002 Women Final gender diff: 3 Change in gender diff: 33%
SLIDE 10
Benefits of differential measurements
Initial Group Absolute changes Initial # women: 1001 999 Men 1001 Women Final # women: 1002 Change in women: 0.1% Final group Differential changes Final group 999 Men Differential changes Initial gender diff: 2 Final gender diff: 3 999 Men 1002 Women Final gender diff: 3 Change in gender diff: 33%
SLIDE 11 Measuring the composition of air
- Precision vs. Accuracy
- Differential measurements
- Measure samples relative to
“standards”
SLIDE 12
Challenges of differential measurements
SLIDE 13
Challenges of differential measurements
SLIDE 14
Challenges of differential measurements
SLIDE 15
Challenges of differential measurements
SLIDE 16
Challenges of differential measurements
SLIDE 17 Measuring the composition of air
- Precision vs. Accuracy
- Differential measurements
- Measure samples relative to
“standards”
SLIDE 18
Impact of instrumental non-linearity
SLIDE 19
Metric
Precision & Accuracy
Constraints
I t t ti i i Instrument time is precious Standard air is precious
SLIDE 20
In summary:
Optimally combine many analyses of t d d t t i t l many standards to create a virtual standard against which all samples are d measured.
SLIDE 21
Connecting to the real world: Connecting to the real world: Measuring O2 and CO2 to constrain the carbon cycle to constrain the carbon cycle
SLIDE 22 Where does anthropogenic CO2 end up?
Values for 2000-2006 Canadell et al. PNAS 2007
SLIDE 23
How do we know these numbers?
SLIDE 24 How do we know these numbers?
- Record CO2 emissions
- Measure CO2 in the atmosphere
p
SLIDE 25 How do we know these numbers?
- Record CO2 emissions
- Measure CO2 in the atmosphere
p
- Measure CO2 in the oceans
- Estimate from small-scale land
measurements
- Infer from spatial pattern and isotopes
p p p
SLIDE 26 How do we know these numbers?
- Record CO2 emissions
- Measure CO2 in the atmosphere
p
- Measure CO2 in the oceans
- Estimate from small-scale land
measurements
- Infer from spatial pattern and isotopes
p p p
- f atmospheric CO2
- Measure atmospheric O2
SLIDE 27
The link between O2 and CO2
ΔCO2 = Land biota + Industry + Ocean ΔO = Land biota + Industry ΔO2 = Land biota + Industry
SLIDE 28
The link between O2 and CO2
ΔCO2 = Land biota + Industry + Ocean ΔO = Land biota + Industry ΔO2 = Land biota + Industry
SLIDE 29
The link between O2 and CO2
ΔCO2 = Land biota + Industry + Ocean ΔO = Land biota + Industry ΔO2 = Land biota + Industry
SLIDE 30
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Google maps
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SLIDE 34
The equipment
SLIDE 35
The equipment
SLIDE 36
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SLIDE 38
Real data
SLIDE 39
Real data
SLIDE 40
Real data
SLIDE 41 Summary
- Important questions require excellent
atmospheric measurements
SLIDE 42 Summary
- Important questions require excellent
atmospheric measurements
- Excellent measurements require intelligent
weighting of experimental evidence
SLIDE 43 Summary
- Important questions require excellent
atmospheric measurements
- Excellent measurements require intelligent
weighting of experimental evidence
- I have abundant data. Intelligence, on the
- ther hand…
mbattle@bowdoin edu mbattle@bowdoin.edu
SLIDE 44