Critical Data Points for Measuring Employment and Post-Secondary - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Critical Data Points for Measuring Employment and Post-Secondary Outcomes of High School Students

Robert M. Goerge January 8, 2019 Presentation to Oak Park and River Forest High School Board of Education Special Tri-Board Meeting

Goals of this presentation

• “key data points, which would be used (over time) by

the community to measure and monitor students' readiness for college and careers in a 21st century global society.”

• What is possible
• What some of the challenges are

Chapin Hall at the University of Chicago

• Organization that was brought to the University in order to

have an impact on the well-being of children through better research and analysis

• Over the past 30 years, we have built relationships with

policymakers in order to have that impact through conducting research that meets their needs

• Known for our work with human services administrative

data, we employ a full range of methods and address many issues of children, families and their neighborhoods

CWICstats project

• Chapin Hall was funded by Bill and Melinda Gates

Foundation from 2007-2010 to develop a regular program “benchmarking report” using meaningful performance measures that policymakers and managers within the education and workforce system can use, including background measures on program participants, and outcome measures

Data

• The Chicago Public Schools (CPS) provides records on attainment of the

high school diploma .

• The National Student Clearinghouse (NSC) provides enrollment history and

degree attainment data for current and former students from more than 2,800 colleges. Approximately 91 percent of all accredited U.S. colleges and universities report individual enrollment information to NSC.

• Illinois Department of Employment Security Unemployment Insurance

Wages

Sample

• Initial sample
• First-time 9th grade students in Chicago Public Schools in Fall 2000

and fall 2001 cohorts: 57,235

• Given data limitations, sample was limited to:
• Students with valid SSNs (for data linking): 52,594
• And confirmed to be living in Illinois during 2009-10: 47,006
• Overview of study sample: 47,006
• Students who graduated from high school: 26,696
• In wage data at all – 33,328 (71%)

Outcomes for Chicago HS students

9th graders 47,006 Yes 57% Yes 70% 73% $4,832 No 30% 65% $4,721 No 37% Yes 28% 55% $3,887 No 72% 45% $3,826

Left/transferred out of CPS: 6% of cohorts 2,973

56% $4,392

Graduated? Post-Secondary? Employed?

Fall 2001/2002

CPS 9th grade cohort graduates: College/Post-Secondary Enrollment & Persistence

Overall 70% of the high school graduates enrolled in post-secondary education, with 42% persisting (enrolled in college for 8 months in first year and returning for second consecutive year)

42% 37% 38% 59% 75% 37% 46% 28% 34% 25% 19% 15% 27% 29% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Overall Black Hispanic White Asian Male Female

Enrolled and Persisted to 2nd Year Enrolled without Persisting

CPS 9th grade cohort high school dropouts: College/Post-Secondary Enrollment & Persistence

Overall 28% of the high school dropouts enrolled in post-secondary education, with only 8% persisting (enrolled in college for 8 months in first year and returning for second consecutive year)

20% 6% 8% 13% 27% 6% 10% 8% 22% 16% 20% 19% 19% 22% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Overall Black Hispanic White Asian Male Female Enrolled and Persisted to 2nd Year Enrolled without Persisting

Mean Earnings - Graduates by PS Enrollment and Dropouts - All

$3,000 $3,500 $4,000 $4,500 $5,000 $5,500 $6,000 $6,500 2010 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4

Graduates, Enrolled and persisted to 2nd year Graduates, Enrolled - Did not persist Graduates, no Post-Secondary Dropouts

Females Were More Likely to Work in Health Care and Social Assistance Sectors Than Males

21% 20% 22% 14% 18% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 5% 15% 6% 3% 9% 5% 8% 3% 5% 3% 6% 4% 7% 2% 23% 25% 21% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% All Employed Males Females All other Manufacturing Finance and Insurance Transportation and Warehousing Social Assistance Health Care Accommodation and Food Services Administrative and Support Services Retail Trade

Females Were More Likely to Work in Health Care and Social Assistance Sectors Than Males

21% 20% 22% 14% 18% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 5% 15% 6% 3% 9% 5% 8% 3% 5% 3% 6% 4% 7% 2% 23% 25% 21% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% All Employed Males Females All other Manufacturing Finance and Insurance Transportation and Warehousing Social Assistance Health Care Accommodation and Food Services Administrative and Support Services Retail Trade

Challenges

• Post-secondary data
• National Student Clearinghouse data
• Employment data
• Requires Social Security Number, which school districts are not required to

maintain