Concessionaire Traffic Update 9 th February 2015 Dublin Grows its - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Concessionaire Traffic Update 9th February 2015

2

*Source: Jan-Dec.. 2014 Traffic provided by daa Airports, CAA Stats, Failte, CSO, Anna.Aero

Island of Ireland - Total Traffic Jan-Dec. 2014

(000’s) 2014 2013 % Var. ROI Share Island Share Dublin

21,712 20,167 7.7% 82% 65%

Cork

2,144 2,258

• 5.0%

8% 6%

Total daa

23,857 22,425 6.4% 90% 71%

Shannon

1,639 1,400 17.1% 6% 5%

Others

1,064 1021 4.2% 4% 3%

Total ROI

26,560 24,846 6.9% 100% 79%

Belfast International

4,032 4,012 0.5% *** 12%

Belfast City

2,556 2,547 0.3% *** 8%

Derry

350 385

• 9.1%

*** 1%

Total Northern Ireland

6,938 6,944

• 0.1%

*** 21%

Total Island of Ireland

33,498 31,790 5.4% *** 100%

Shannon 5% Cork 6% Waterford Derry 1% Belfast 20% Dublin 65% Kerry 1%

>1 %

Knock 2% Donegal <1%

80% of Int’l capacity (excl. UK) is handled at Dublin for the Island

Dublin Grows its Market Share by 1% Point

(33.5m Passengers Generated on the Island, up 5%)

Island growth of 1.7m passengers with Dublin growing 1.5M or 90% of overall increase.

3

Growth from all Markets, Charter Continued to Decline in 2014 – 1.54m Additional Passengers

Dublin Traffic Performance by Region 2014

Scheduled Charter & Other Total (000’s) 2014 % Var. 2014 % Var. 2014 % Var.

• C. Europe

10,772 7.1% 312

• 30.9%

11,084 5.4% UK 7,771 8.5% 20 13.4% 7,791 8.5%

• N. America

2,117 14.0% 5

• 27.9%

2,122 13.8% Other Int’l 626 20.6% 17

• 19.0%

643 19.0% Domestic 63 9.0% 9

• 5.2%

72 6.9% Total 21,349 8.6% 363

• 28.4%

21,712 7.7% Dublin P-to-P or Onward 2014 (000’s) 2014 % Var. Point-to-Point 18,099 8% Transfers 749 37% Onward Connect 2,864 3% Total 21,712 8%

T2 +494k Pax T1 +1.1m Pax

Long Haul

14.4% 2.71m

Short Haul

6.8% 19.0m

4

Q2 – Q3 Int’l Scheduled Traffic Greater than 2008 Levels

Quarterly % Performance 2008 v 2014 Total Traffic

Total 21,712

• C. Eur.

11,084 UK 7,791 N/A 2,122 Other 643 Dom 72

Q1

• 21%
• 24%
• 15%
• 13%

77%

• 94%

Q2

• 5%
• 4%
• 10%

26% 163%

• 92%

Q3

• 6%
• 7%
• 10%

34% 182%

• 89%

Q4 1% 2%

• 1%

18% 219%

• 91%

Above % are the change in quarterly traffic for 2014 v 2008

• 335

174

• 454
• 282
• 187
• 500
• 400
• 300
• 200
• 100

100 200 300 VFR/PF Main Holiday Additional Holiday Business Other

Q1 Volume Change POJ

Drop in Additional Holiday equal to 42% of

• verall decline

in Q1

• Qtr. Performance

% of Yearly Traffic 2014 % Var. 2013 Q1 (19%) 4,067 4.8% Q2 (27%) 5,918 8.3% Q3 (30%) 6,622 6.5% Q4 (24%) 5,104 10.8%

Int’l Scheduled Only 08 v 14

% Var.

• Vol. Diff

Q1

• 15%
• 689

Q2 5% 294 Q3 6% 375 Q4 7% 351

5

76.0% 77.0% 75.9% 75.6% 78.4% 78.1% 79.1% 79.5% 79.8% 77.0% 77.5% 76.6% 76.4% 79.4% 78.0% 79.6% 80.2% 81.1%

68.00% 70.00% 72.00% 74.00% 76.00% 78.00% 80.00% 82.00% 84.00% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD

Global Load Factors

Global Europe

75.5% 74.3% 74.5% 72.9% 75.5% 77.0% 76.8% 75.7% 77.0% 78.2% 76.3% 76.0% 76.9% 76.5% 78.4% 80.5% 80.3% 80.6% 81.5% 81.5%

68.00% 70.00% 72.00% 74.00% 76.00% 78.00% 80.00% 82.00% 84.00% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Dublin Load Factors

DAP Load Factor DAP Load Factor (less UK)

Upward trend at a Global & Dublin Airport level

Source : IATA

50% of all unsold seats on the UK

Airlines Better at Matching Supply & Demand

6

Every New Scheduled Seat Added was Sold in 2014

(1.7m New Seats. & 1.7m New Sch. Passengers)

Dublin Scheduled Capacity Change v 2013 (000’s) Seat Diff L/F 14 L/F Diff Domestic 8 47% +1%

• C. Europe

776 81% +1% UK 441 73% +3%

• N. America

310 87% 0% Other 191 78%

• 7%

Total 1,725 78% +1%

27.3m Sch. Seats & 21.3m Passengers (Sch. Pax 98% of Total Pax)

Strong UK Performance

Passengers up 8% Capacity up 4% Load Factors up 3%

Growth Markets 2014 Capacity (000’s) Spain 180 Germany 154 France 126 Italy 76 Portugal 75 Others (17) 348 Declining Mkt. 2014 Capacity (000’s) Sweden

• 71

Poland

• 36

Netherlands

• 27

Finland

• 23

Estonia

• 19

Others (4)

• 7

Increase in top five European markets equal to 79% of

• verall increase

Capacity increases in Spain, Germany & France driven by Ryanair Swedish & Netherlands decline driven by Ryanair withdrawal & reduction with Ryanair & Aer Lingus reducing Polish capacity. Finland driven by Aer Lingus withdrawal

7

Strong Growth in Irish & Foreign Originating Business

Irish Residents 11.2M +8%

Irish Residents 11.2m +8% +862k Pax Foreign Residents 10.2m +9% +828k Pax

UK Residents 3.5M +11%

• C. Eur. Residents

3.5M +10% North America Residents 2.4M +7% AUS/NZ Residents 371k +19% South American Residents 132k +53% African Residents 72k -26% Asian Residents 165k -19%

52% 17% 16% 11% 4%

Residency Profile 2014

Irish UK

• C. Eur

NA Other

2014 CSO

Irish 3% Foreign 8%

8

BUSINESS PASSENGERS

• 5% Decline

3.7M Pax

(-200k)

LEISURE PASSENGERS

12% Growth 17.7M Pax

(+1.9m)

Irish

Holiday 4.5m +13% VFR/PF 4.4m +15% Business 1.8m -9% Other 453k -7%

Foreign

Holiday 4.2m +17% VFR/PF 3.7m +7% Business 1.8m 0% Other 427k -5%

Strong Growth in Leisure Traffic in 2014.

Strong growth in Holiday segment from both Irish & Foreign originating passengers

Residency

17% of Market 83% of Market

9

Strongest Percentage Growth in C2DE’s

(More affluent passengers (ABC1’s) delivered volume growth)

ABC1

77% of Passengers 16.2M +7.5%

(+1.1m Pax)

Strongest growth in C1 +23% with AB’s - 10%

C2DE

23% of Passengers 5.0M +12.8%

(+569k Pax)

Strongest growth from DE’s at 18%

More Affluent More Price Sensitive

10

• 500,000

1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 3,500,000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jly Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Dublin Total Capacity 2014 v 2015 Exp.

2014 2015

Strong Overall Capacity Increase on 2014 of 2.5m Seats

30.3m Seats Estimated for 2015, +9%

11

2015 Outlook- Another Strong Year Ahead

Typical Week July 2015 Ryanair +12%, +802k seats Others +22%, +790k seats Aer Lingus +4%, +300k seats Summer 2015 Strong growth in T1 expected Nearly 1.9m extra seats during summer 2015

12

Destination Frequency Airline Start Date Comments

East Midlands 14 pw Aer Lingus Regional Apr 2015 New Year-Round Service Helsinki 6 pw Finnair Apr 2015 New Service LA 3 pw Ethiopian Airlines Jun 2015 New Year-Round Route Addis Ababa 3 pw Ethiopian Airlines Jun 2015 New Year-Round Route Barcelona 6 pw Vueling Apr 2015 New Service Nantes 3 pw Aer Lingus Apr 2015 New Service Bournemouth 4 pw Flybe May 2015 New Year-Round Route Newquay 4 pw Aer Lingus Regional May 2015 New Route Gothenburg 1 pw SAS May 2015 New Route Washington DC 4 pw Aer Lingus May 2015 New Year-Round Service Chicago 7 pw United Jun 2015 New Peak Summer Service Paris Orly 7pw Transavia May 2015 New Year-Round Route Reykjavik 3 pw WOW Air Jun 2015 New Year-Round Route Halifax 1 pw Air Contractors Jul 2015 New Peak Summer Service New York JFK 7 pw Aer Lingus Jun 2015 Additional Daily Service

New Route & Service Announcements at daa Airports 2015 Dublin 2015

15 New Routes & Services for 2015