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Concessionaire Traffic Update 9 th February 2015 Dublin Grows its - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Concessionaire Traffic Update 9 th February 2015 Dublin Grows its Market Share by 1% Point (33.5m Passengers Generated on the Island, up 5%) Island of Ireland - Total Traffic Jan-Dec. 2014 Derry % ROI Island (000s) 2014 2013 Donegal 1%


  1. Concessionaire Traffic Update 9 th February 2015

  2. Dublin Grows its Market Share by 1% Point (33.5m Passengers Generated on the Island, up 5%) Island of Ireland - Total Traffic Jan-Dec. 2014 Derry % ROI Island (000’s) 2014 2013 Donegal 1% Belfast Var. Share Share 20% <1% Dublin 21,712 20,167 7.7% 82% 65% Knock Cork 2,144 2,258 -5.0% 8% 6% 2% Dublin Total daa 23,857 22,425 6.4% 90% 71% 65% Shannon 1,639 1,400 17.1% 6% 5% Shannon Others 1,064 1021 4.2% 4% 3% 5% Waterford Total ROI 26,560 24,846 6.9% 100% 79% >1 Kerry Cork 6% % Belfast International 4,032 4,012 0.5% *** 12% 1% Belfast City 2,556 2,547 0.3% *** 8% Derry 350 385 -9.1% *** 1% Total Northern Ireland 6,938 6,944 -0.1% *** 21% Total Island of Ireland 33,498 31,790 5.4% *** 100% 80% of Int’l capacity (excl. *Source: Jan-Dec.. 2014 Traffic provided by daa Airports, CAA UK) is handled at Dublin for Stats, Failte, CSO, Anna.Aero the Island Island growth of 1.7m passengers with Dublin growing 1.5M or 90% of overall increase. 2

  3. Growth from all Markets, Charter Continued to Decline in 2014 – 1.54m Additional Passengers Dublin Traffic Performance by Region 2014 Long Short Scheduled Charter & Other Total (000’s) Haul Haul 2014 % Var. 2014 % Var. 2014 % Var. C. Europe 10,772 7.1% 312 -30.9% 11,084 5.4% UK 7,771 8.5% 20 13.4% 7,791 8.5% N. America 2,117 14.0% 5 -27.9% 2,122 13.8% 14.4% 6.8% Other Int’l 626 20.6% 17 -19.0% 643 19.0% Domestic 63 9.0% 9 -5.2% 72 6.9% Total 21,349 8.6% 363 -28.4% 21,712 7.7% Dublin P-to-P or Onward 2014 (000’s) 2014 % Var. 2.71m 19.0m T2 +494k Pax Point-to-Point 18,099 8% Transfers 749 37% T1 +1.1m Pax Onward Connect 2,864 3% Total 21,712 8% 3

  4. Q2 – Q3 Int’l Scheduled Traffic Greater than 2008 Levels Quarterly % Performance 2008 v Q1 Volume Change POJ 2014 Total Traffic 300 174 Total C. Eur. UK N/A Other Dom 200 21,712 11,084 7,791 2,122 643 72 100 Q1 -21% -24% -15% -13% 77% -94% 0 -100 Q2 -5% -4% -10% 26% 163% -92% -200 -187 Q3 -6% -7% -10% 34% 182% -89% -300 -282 -335 -400 Q4 1% 2% -1% 18% 219% -91% -500 -454 VFR/PF Main Additional Business Other Holiday Holiday Above % are the change in quarterly traffic for 2014 v 2008 Qtr. Performance Int’l Scheduled Only 08 v 14 % of Yearly 2014 % Var. Drop in % Var. Vol. Diff Traffic 2013 Additional Q1 -15% -689 Holiday equal Q1 (19%) 4,067 4.8% to 42% of Q2 5% 294 overall decline Q2 (27%) 5,918 8.3% in Q1 Q3 6% 375 Q3 (30%) 6,622 6.5% Q4 7% 351 Q4 (24%) 5,104 10.8% 4

  5. Airlines Better at Matching Supply & Demand Dublin Load Factors Global Load Factors 84.00% 84.00% 82.00% 82.00% 81.5% 81.1% 81.5% 80.5% 80.3% 80.6% 80.2% 80.00% 80.00% 79.8% 79.6% 79.4% 79.1% 79.5% 78.0% 78.4% 78.4% 78.2% 78.00% 78.00% 78.1% 77.5% 77.0% 76.8% 77.0% 77.0% 77.0% 76.9% 76.6% 76.4% 76.5% 76.3% 76.0% 76.00% 76.00% 76.0% 75.9% 75.6% 75.7% 75.5% 75.5% 74.3% 74.5% 74.00% 74.00% 72.9% 72.00% 72.00% 50% of all unsold seats on the UK 70.00% 70.00% 68.00% 68.00% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD DAP Load Factor DAP Load Factor (less UK) Global Europe Source : IATA Upward trend at a Global & Dublin Airport level 5

  6. Every New Scheduled Seat Added was Sold in 2014 (1.7m New Seats. & 1.7m New Sch. Passengers) 27.3m Sch. Seats & 21.3m Passengers (Sch. Pax 98% of Total Pax) Dublin Scheduled Capacity Change v 2013 Growth Markets 2014 Increase in top Capacity (000’s) (000’s) Seat Diff L/F 14 L/F Diff five European Spain 180 markets equal Domestic 8 47% +1% to 79% of Germany 154 overall increase C. Europe 776 81% +1% France 126 UK 441 73% +3% Italy 76 Capacity increases Portugal 75 N. America 310 87% 0% in Spain, Germany Others (17) 348 & France driven by Other 191 78% -7% Ryanair Total 1,725 78% +1% Declining Mkt. 2014 Capacity (000’s) Swedish & Netherlands Sweden -71 Strong UK Performance decline driven by Ryanair withdrawal & Poland -36 reduction with Ryanair Passengers up 8% Netherlands -27 & Aer Lingus reducing Polish capacity. Finland Capacity up 4% Finland -23 driven by Aer Lingus Estonia -19 withdrawal Load Factors up 3% Others (4) -7 6

  7. Strong Growth in Irish & Foreign Originating Business Residency Profile 2014 4% UK Residents 11% 3.5M +11% 16% 52% North America C. Eur. Residents 17% Residents Irish Residents 3.5M +10% Irish UK C. Eur NA Other 2.4M +7% 11.2M +8% Asian Residents 165k -19% African Residents 2014 CSO 72k -26% South American Residents Irish 3% AUS/NZ 132k +53% Residents 371k +19% Foreign 8% Irish Residents Foreign Residents 11.2m +8% 10.2m +9% +862k Pax +828k Pax 7

  8. Strong Growth in Leisure Traffic in 2014. Residency Irish Foreign Holiday 4.5m +13% Holiday 4.2m +17% BUSINESS LEISURE PASSENGERS PASSENGERS VFR/PF 4.4m +15% VFR/PF 3.7m +7% -5% Decline 12% Growth Business 1.8m -9% Business 1.8m 0% 3.7M Pax 17.7M Pax (-200k) (+1.9m) Other 453k -7% Other 427k -5% 17% of Market 83% of Market Strong growth in Holiday segment from both Irish & Foreign originating passengers 8

  9. Strongest Percentage G rowth in C2DE’s (More affluent passengers (ABC1’s) delivered volume growth) More Affluent More Price Sensitive 77% of 23% of Passengers Passengers C2DE ABC1 16.2M 5.0M +7.5% +12.8% (+1.1m Pax) (+569k Pax) Strongest growth in Strongest growth C1 +23% with AB’s - from DE’s at 18% 10% 9

  10. Strong Overall Capacity Increase on 2014 of 2.5m Seats Dublin Total Capacity 2014 v 2015 Exp. 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 30.3m Seats Estimated for 2015, +9% 1,000,000 500,000 - Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jly Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 2014 2015 10

  11. 2015 Outlook- Another Strong Year Ahead Typical Week July 2015 Summer 2015 Strong growth in T1 expected Ryanair +12%, +802k seats Others +22%, +790k seats Nearly 1.9m extra seats Aer Lingus +4%, +300k seats during summer 2015 11

  12. 15 New Routes & Services for 2015 New Route & Service Announcements at daa Airports 2015 Destination Frequency Airline Start Date Comments East Midlands 14 pw Aer Lingus Regional Apr 2015 New Year-Round Service Helsinki 6 pw Finnair Apr 2015 New Service LA 3 pw Ethiopian Airlines Jun 2015 New Year-Round Route Addis Ababa 3 pw Ethiopian Airlines Jun 2015 New Year-Round Route Barcelona 6 pw Vueling Apr 2015 New Service Nantes 3 pw Aer Lingus Apr 2015 New Service Bournemouth 4 pw Flybe May 2015 New Year-Round Route Dublin Newquay 4 pw Aer Lingus Regional May 2015 New Route 2015 Gothenburg 1 pw SAS May 2015 New Route Washington DC 4 pw Aer Lingus May 2015 New Year-Round Service Chicago 7 pw United Jun 2015 New Peak Summer Service Paris Orly 7pw Transavia May 2015 New Year-Round Route Reykjavik 3 pw WOW Air Jun 2015 New Year-Round Route Halifax 1 pw Air Contractors Jul 2015 New Peak Summer Service New York JFK 7 pw Aer Lingus Jun 2015 Additional Daily Service 12

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