Company Presentation
February 2020
Building a Nordic Base Metal Group
STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
Company Presentation February 2020 Building a Nordic Base Metal - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Company Presentation February 2020 Building a Nordic Base Metal Group STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Important information Acceptance of limitations : The information in this presentation (the
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Acceptance of limitations: The information in this presentation (the “Material”) is furnished by Vilhelmina Mineral AB, reg. no 556832-3876 (the “Company” or “Vilhelmina Mineral”) solely for the recipient’s information. By attending a meeting where the Material is presented, or by reading the Material, you agree to be bound by the limitations and notifications described below. The Material is confidential and may not be disclosed or distributed to any other person unless expressly agreed by the Company. Use of the Material: This Material does neither constitute an offer to sell nor a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities, and it does not constitute any form of commitment or recommendation in relation thereto. No representation or warranty (expressed or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information in the Material. No financial advice: The Company is not giving and is not intending to give financial advice to any potential investor, and this Material shall not be deemed to be financial advice from the Company to any potential investor. Investors should not subscribe for or purchase any financial instruments or securities only on the basis of the information provided herein. Investors are encouraged to request from the Company and other sources such additional information as they require to enable them to make informed investment decisions, to seek advice from their own legal, tax and financial advisors and to exercise an independent analysis and judgment of the merits of the Company. No liability: Although the Company has endeavored to give a correct and complete picture of the Company, the Company can not be held liable for any loss or damage of any kind arising from the use of the Material. Information sources: The information in this Material is presented by the Company and has been produced by the Company exclusively for information purposes. This Material may contain forward-looking statements that reflect the Company’s current views with respect to certain future events and potential financial performance. Such statements are only forecasts and no guarantee can be given that such expectations are correct. The information relating to the Company does not constitute a complete overview of the Company and must be supplemented by the reader wishing such completeness. Actuality: The Material is dated April 2019. The Company can not guarantee that there has been no change in the affairs of the Company since such date, nor do they intend to, and assume no
Conflicts of interest: The Company’s management and/or board of directors may hold shares, options or other securities of any issuer referred to in this report and may buy or sell such securities. Prospectus: The Material does not constitute a prospectus for purposes of the Prospectus Directive (Directive 2003/71/EC). Accordingly, the Material has not been approved by any supervisory authority. Distribution: The information in this Material is not for release, publication or distribution, directly or indirectly, in or into the United States or any other jurisdiction in which such distribution would be unlawful or would require registration or other measures. No securities referred to in this Material have been or will be registered by the Company under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”) or the securities laws of any state of the United States. This Material may not be distributed into or in the United States or to any “US person” other than as permitted under applicable securities laws. Applicable law: The Material is subject to Swedish law, and any dispute arising in respect of the Material is subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of Swedishh courts (with District court of Stockholm as court of first instance).
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Norway Sweden Finland
Site mt Cu% Zn% Stekenjokk / Levi 7.4 1.17 3.01 Ankarvattnet 0.8 0.45 5.48 Jormlien 0.6 0.4 4.75 Joma 5.7 1.55 0.82 Gjersvik 0.9 1.51 1.22 Total 15.4 1.3 2.3
Source: (a): IGE, 2007 (b): SGU 1964 (c): Boliden 1981 (d): Dr. Gee, 2011 (e): Outokumpu 1977 mt: Million tons
(a) (c) (d) (b) (e)
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1912 The resources were discovered in 1910 and sold to Grong Gruber in 1912 1913-1914 Exploration activities in the area ended when WW1 broke out 1972-1998 Reopened in 1972 and produced about 11.5 million tones of ore until 1998, with an average grade of 1.49% copper and 1.45% zinc. The mine was shut down in 1998 due to due low commodity prices 2017 Exploitation concession (“utvinningsrett”) obtained for Joma 2018 During the spring of 2018 a drilling program of 2,465 meters was carried out in the Joma field to verify the remaining resources and investigate possible mineralization's near the old mine 1918 The resources were discovered by Sveriges Geologiska Undersökning (SGU) 1976-1988 Producing period under Boliden’s ownership: 7.1 million tones were produced with 1.5% copper and 3.0% zinc. The mine was shut down in 1988 due to low commodity prices 2011 Vilhelmina Mineral acquired the project from the Swedish company IGE Nordic AB (current Nickel Mountain Resources AB) 2012 Stekenjokk has since 2012 been classified as nationally interesting mining deposits by the Swedish government 2017-2018 Vilhemina submitted the supplemented concession application in 2017 to the Government and the responsible authority, the Mining Inspectorate.
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20th century
prices
second chance
Stekenjokk 1976-1988 Joma 1972 -1998
Source: Vilhelmina Mineral
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Solid experience of management and board
Attractive resource
intensity factor
Strategically located with development infrastructure
Strong market fundamentals
Strong project economics
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Area Item 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Mining Studies
Mineral resource update Preliminary Economic Assessment Pre-Feasibility Study Bankable Feasibility Study
Permitting
Exploitation Concession Environmental Permit Designated Land Construction Permit
FID
Final Investment Decision
Area Item 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Mining Studies
Mineral resource update Preliminary Economic Assessment Pre-Feasibility Study Bankable Feasibility Study
Permitting
Exploitation Concession Zoning Plan Environmental Permit Mining License
FID
Final investment decision
Source: Vilhelmina Mineral
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Source: (a): Million metric tons, statista.com, (b): Wood Mackenzie, (c): Macrobond, median value from 24 major banks forecast in Q1 2019 –see appendix
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2007 2012 2017 Nickel Lead Zink Copper Primary aluminum Smelter grade alumina
(a) (b) (c)
4 8 12 16 20 24 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Expected supply Expected demand for mine production capability (refined metal)
4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Analyst curve LME 3 months Mmt Mt Cu USD/t
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and globally
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(a)
Mmt 3 6 9 12 15 18 Zink mine production capacity Demand 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Zinc historical prices Analyst curve USD/t
Source: (a): Million metric tons, statista.com, (b): Wood Mackenzie, (c): Macrobond, median value from 24 major banks forecast in Q1 2019 –see appendix
Mt Zn 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2007 2012 2017 Nickel Lead Zink Copper Primary aluminum Smelter grade alumina
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Source: Bloomberg
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 Onshore wind Offshore wind Utility-scale PV Small-scale PV
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the previous year, by 2030 is the EV stock expected to reach between 130-230m depending on political support
EV’s market share of the total passenger car fleet to range between 15-35% in 2040, compared to c.0.2% in 2017 – This is expected to raise copper demand in EVs from 0.14t in 2017 to 2.7mt in 2027
1 2 3 4 5 6
Source: Bloomberg, Global EV Outlook 2018
Policy and regulation Customer demand Fuel economy and emissions targets Driving range Financial incentives Cost premium City access restrictions Charging infrastructure 23 40 60 83 89 Traditional internal combustion engine (ICE) Hybrid electric vehicle (HEV) Plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) Battery electric vehicle (BEV) Hybrid electric bus (Ebus HEV)
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14 Source: Vilhelmina Mineral
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Drill hole collars
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4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 1955 1958 1961 1964 1967 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006
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Previous mining period 1976-1988
Soruce: (a): Agneta Bäckman, data for empty years are not available
(a)
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Founded
Mining Inspectorate rejects concession conflict reindeer herding Stekenjokk and Levi acquired Application for Exploitation Concession National interest for minerals obtained
Appeal Swedish Government
Source: Vilhelmina Mineral
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‒ Underground mining ‒ Processing ‒ Tailings dam
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‒ Underground mining ‒ Transportation or ore to Norway
Ramp, Levi Ramp, Stekenjokk
STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Source: Vilhelmina Mineral
STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Source: Golder Associates
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Norway
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21 STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Source: Vilhelmina Mineral
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DH ID From (m) To (m) Length (m) Estimated True Width (m) Zn% Cu% Ag g/t Mine 15 NSA Mine 16 116.23 117.53 1.70 1.70 0.77 3.2 11 Mine 19 36.00 60.00 24.00 20.60 2.06 0.58 27 Includes 39.00 44.00 5.00 4.30 0.66 1.25 35 Also 55.00 58.00 3.00 2.60 6.22 0.21 26 Mine 20 30.00 54.00 24.00 23.00 3.23 0.22 27 Includes 31.00 43.00 12.00 11.50 4.17 0.15 29 Mine 21 27.00 61.00 34.00 32.00 1.74 0.37 28 Includes 40.00 47.00 7.00 6.60 3.20 0.18 21
Source: Vilhelmina Mineral and ALS Laboratories in Piteå, Sweden Mineral
STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Source: Dr. Gee and Vilhelmina Mineral
‒ Cu: 1,38% ‒ Zn: 0,90% ‒ Ag: 24,3 g/t
‒ Cu: 88% ‒ Zn: 85% ‒ Ag: 35%
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‒ Cu: 0,80% ‒ Zn: 2,00% ‒ Ag: 26,6 g/t
dilution):
‒ Cu: 1,38% ‒ Zn: 0,90% ‒ Ag: 24,3 g/t
‒ Cu: 88% ‒ Zn: 85% ‒ Ag: 35%
24 Source: Dr. Gee and Vilhelmina Mineral
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Stekenjokk seasonal mining in winter
Joma
‒ 700 kt / 300 kt
‒ Cu: 0,80% / 1,38% / 1% ‒ Zn: 2,00% / 0,90% / 2-4% ‒ Ag: 26,6 g/t / 24,3 g/t / 23,4 g/t
‒ Cu: 88% ‒ Zn: 85% ‒ Ag: 35%
25 Source: Dr. Gee and Vilhelmina Mineral
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Joma process plant building Joma office buildings Storage buildings and silos Gjersvik mine entrance Joma mine entrance Joma office and process plant
STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Source: Vilhelmina Mineral
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Area Item 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Mining Studies
Mineral resource update Preliminary Economic Assessment Pre-Feasibility Study Bankable Feasibility Study
Permitting
Exploitation Concession Environmental Permit Designated Land Construction Permit
FID
Final Investment Decision
Area Item 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Mining Studies
Mineral resource update Preliminary Economic Assessment Pre-Feasibility Study Bankable Feasibility Study
Permitting
Exploitation Concession Zoning Plan Environmental Permit Mining License
FID
Final investment decision
Source: Vilhelmina Mineral
STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL 29 Location Long term budget (USD) 2019-2020 2020-2021 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 Total Norway Resource update 312,208 1,043,040
Reconnaissance exploration 12,880 16,240 30,720 38,720 38,720 137,280 Mining studies 84,000 572,000 800,000 2,700,000
ESIA + permitting 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 750,000 Opex 86,667 86,667 86,667 86,667 86,667 433,333 Capex (700 kt Joma)
50,555,556 Total Norway 645,755 1,867,947 1,067,387 2,975,387 50,830,942 57,387,417 Sweden Resource update 115,600 590,660
Mining studies 66,000 60,000 700,000 1,000,000
ESIA + permitting 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 750,000 Opex 638,444 638,444 638,444 638,444 638,444 3,192,222 Capex
4,444,444 Total Sweden 970,044 1,438,444 1,488,444 1,788,444 5,232,889 10,918,267 Total 1,615,799 3,306,391 2,555,831 4,763,831 56,063,831 68,305,684
Source: Vilhelmina Mineral
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Project name Country Status MTO N Cu% Zn% Distance from Joma (km)
Joma Norway Exploitation concession 5.7 1.55 0.82
Orklumpen Norway Exploration permit
VM Borvasselv Norway Exploration permit
VM Gjersvik Norway Exploration permit 0.5 1.51 1.22 22 VM Jormlien Sweden Exploration permit 0.6 0.40 4.75 15 VM Ankarvattnet Sweden Exploration permit 0.8 0.45 5.48 15 VM Stekenjokk & Levi Sweden Exploitation concession application 7.4 1.17 3.01 58 VM Vilhelmina deposits 14.9 1.26 2.32 Skorovas Norway Exploration permit 1.3 1.20 1.80 43 Private Skiftesmyr Norway Exploitation concession 2.8 1.23 1.86 Na Private Godejord Norway Exploitation concession 0.3 0.57 4.22 116 Private External Deposits 4.4 1.18 2.00 Total deposits 19.3 1.24 2.25
30 Source: Vilhelmina Mineral
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license by the Norwegian Ministry
March 2019 – The project now has all permits in place
within spring 2020 – The projects is expected to employ over 400 persons
Sydvaranger Gruve faced bankruptcy in November 2015
license by the Norwegian Ministry
February 2019 – The project now has all permits in place – Nussir will hold NOKm 15 in guarantees held for reclamation
in the media due to the possible impact on reindeer herding in the area
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Management team
Jonas Dahllöf COO Peter Hjorth CEO Randy Ruff VP Exploration Peter Åkerström CFO
Extensive operational experience from the mining industry – CEO and mining professionals have previously worked for companies such as Botnia Exploration, Boliden, Anglo American, Cobalt Power Group, QMX Gold and Euro Sun Mining Broad mix of skills, knowledge and experience – board members have background from various fields such as finance, energy and mining exploration. Board is incentivised through stocks and options Board of Directors & Management Norway
Barbara Stefanini, Resource Geologist Andreas Rompel Technical Director Scott Moore Chairman Les Kwasik Director Neil Said Director Jan Olav Smalås CEO Joma Næringspark Arve Haugen Director Joma Gruver Odd Mikkelsen Director Joma Gruver
Supporting consultants and business partners
Source: Vilhelmina Mineral
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34 Source: Vilhelmina Mineral Note (a): Seasonal workers 6 months winter time
Joma Stekenjokk Management Mining Processing Logistics 75 35 35
(a)
5
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‒ F&M is headquartered in Toronto, Ontario, Canada with
‒ Shareholder value is created by uniting a successful combination of assets, financial backing, technical strength and marketing support throughout the entire corporate lifecycle
‒ Has invested SEKm 17.6 in Vilhelmina Mineral between 2017-2019
Source: Forbes & Manhattan
Sold: USD 750m 2006 Sold: USD 4,900m 2011 Sold: USD 400m 2012 Sold: USD 400m 2014 Mkt Cap – USD 114m Mkt Cap – USD 43m Mkt Cap – USD 42m Mkt Cap – USD 12m
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new capital
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Name Shares Ownership Vilhelmina Minerals Inc. 7 766 086 46,86 % Lovisagruvan AB 1 400 000 8,45 % Dahllöf, Jonas 1 250 000 7,54 % Upscale Aktiebolag 1 122 964 6,78 % Lovisagruvan Utveckling AB 597 222 3,60 % Hjorth, Peter 550 000 3,32 % Gradisca Invest AB 564 756 3,41 % Övriga 3 321 888 20,04 % Total 16 572 916 100,00 %
0,7 0,2 0,8 1,5 2011 Equity Issue 2013 Equity Issue 2017 Equity Issue 2018 Equity Issue 2019-2023 Total development cost 2023 Total Capex
55.0 13.0 Source: Vilhelmina Mineral
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USDm 98 (SEKm 886)
41%
2.5
1.97 USD/lb
USDm 51 (SEKm 462)
USDm 120 (SEKm 1,078)
59%
1.4
1.78 USD/lbs
USDm 50 (SEKm 448)
USDm 201 (SEKm 1,806)
54%
1.8
1.56 USD/lbs
USDm 70 (SEKm 635)
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421 280 267 376 298 365 365 365 365 365 356 298
100 300 500 700 YEAR 0 YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3 YEAR 4 YEAR 5 YEAR 6 YEAR 7 YEAR 8 YEAR 9 YEAR 10 YEAR 11 YEAR 12 Sustaining CAPEX, U/G Mine development, Mine dewatering-rehabilitation (Stekken), Closure and Reclamation Initial Capex Total Operating Cost Net Smelter Return Net Pre-Tax Cashflow
39 Source: Vilhelmina Mineral, Financial Model
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USD/lb
Source: Vilhelmina Mineral, Financial Model, Bloomberg
Average: 1.41 Brownfield Greenfield 1,56 0,00 0,50 1,00 1,50 2,00 2,50 3,00 Lumwana West Lubambe Buenavista SXEW III Buenavista Concentrator Expansion Oyu Tolgoi Expansion Cerro Verde Expansion Encuentro Oxides Mina Ministro Hales Tschudi Quellaveco Toromocho Expansion Rio Tinto El Pilar Antucoya Jabal Sayid Vilhelmina Mineral Salobo II Tia Maria Chañaral Bay (Copper Bay) Ajax Pedra Branca Stage 2 Los Calatos BKM Deposit Constancia Mount Milligan Sentinel Red Chris Aktogay Antas Stage I Cobre Panama Sierra Gorda (Phase I & II) Escondida Organic Growth Project 1 Zafranal Kipoi Copper Flat Bozshakol Toquepala Expansion Las Bambas Casino Carrapateena
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2 128
10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 30 000 35 000 Rio Tinto Escondida Organic Growth Project 1 Caserones Mirador Antucoya Constancia Los Calatos Pulang Centinela Second Concentrator Aktogay Zafranal Quellaveco Toromocho Expansion Çopler Sulfide Expansion Skouries Ajax Los Pelambres Expansion Cobre Panama Bozshakol Cerro Verde Expansion Las Bambas Quebrada Blanca Phase II Oyu Tolgoi Expansion El Arco Nueva Union (Previously "Corridor"… El Espino Radomiro Tomic Sulphides Phase II Buenavista Concentrator Expansion Encuentro Oxides Bystrinsky (Chita Copper Project) Ilovica-Shtuka Project Sierra Gorda (Phase I & II) Diego de Almagro Red Chris Udokan Tovaku Mina Justa Salobo II Mina Ministro Hales Tia Maria Spence Growth Operation Platreef Project (Contains Flatreef… Toquepala Expansion Yandera Project Los Chancas El Teniente New Mine Level Casino Lomas Bayas Phase III Carrapateena Pumpkin Hollow Lubambe Wafi Golpu Chañaral Bay (Copper Bay) Chuquicamata Underground El Pilar Jabal Sayid Sentinel BKM Deposit Copper Flat Northmet Puquios Florence Kipoi Khnaiguiyah Antas Stage I Silangan Tsagaan Suvarga Olympic Dam Expansion Woodlawn Buenavista SXEW III Cauquenes Expansion (Phase II) Kounrad Vilhemina Mineral Mount Milligan USD/000’s lb
Source: Vilhelmina Mineral, Financial Model, Bloomberg
Average: 12,975 Brownfield mine copper equiv. capex intensity Greenfield mine copper equiv. capex intensity
Initial capex (USDm)
Capex intensity (USD/000’s lb)
Average Total Cu Eq payable (lbs)
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1 191 1 345 1 498 1 652 1 806 1 960 2 113 2 267 2 421 8.00 8.25 8.50 8.75 9.00 9.25 9.50 9.75 10.00 USD/SEK
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Base case
Source: Vilhelmina Mineral, Financial Model
1 229 1 373 1 517 1 662 1 806 1 950 2 094 2 238 2 383 5,600 5,900 6,200 6,500 6,800 7,100 7,400 7,700 8,000 Cu price (USD/ton) Base case 1 995 1 948 1 900 1 853 1 806 1 759 1 711 1 664 1 617
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Capex 2 363 2 224 2 084 1 945 1 806 1 667 1 527 1 388 1 249
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Opex Base case Base case
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Indicated mineral resource Inferred mineral resource
Stekenjokk Drill hole collars Levi
Source: SGU, IGE and Vilhelmina Mineral
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Indicated mineral resource Inferred mineral resource Measured mineral resource
Stekenjokk Drill hole collars Levi
Source: SGU, IGE and Vilhelmina Mineral
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Year in operation Unit 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total Exchange rate USD/SEK 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 Ore Production - Open pit Joma 000' tonnes 730 209 939 Ore Production - U/G Joma 000' tonnes 521 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 500 7,321 Ore Production - U/G Stekenjokk 000' tonnes 270 270 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 3,540 Total Ore Milled 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 800 11,800 Copper price USD/ton 6,800 6,800 6,800 6,800 6,800 6,800 6,800 6,800 6,800 6,800 6,800 6,800 81,600 Zinc price USD/ton 2,400 2,400 2,400 2,400 2,400 2,400 2,400 2,400 2,400 2,400 2,400 2,400 28,800 Silver price USD/oz 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 210.0 Copper – recovered 000' tonnes 7.4 8.0 8.1 9.9 7.7 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 6.5 96.2 Zinc – recovered 000' tonnes 17.0 14.1 13.5 13.0 15.8 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 16.2 200.7 Silver – recovered kg 9,008 8,588 8,411 8,411 8,411 8,411 8,411 8,411 8,411 8,411 8,411 6,710 100,000 Copper – revenue share NSR % 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% Zinc – revenue share NSR % 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% Silver – revenue share NSR % 98% 98% 98% 98% 98% 98% 98% 98% 98% 98% 98% 98% 98% Financial forecasts Copper - Net revenue SEKm 430 464 473 575 449 470 470 470 470 470 470 378 5,591 Zinc – Net revenue SEKm 293 244 233 225 273 320 320 320 320 320 320 280 3,468 Silver – Net revenue SEKm 45 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 33 495 Pb Concentrate SEKm Net Smelter Return SEKm 768 751 747 842 764 832 832 832 832 832 832 691 9,554
SEKm (278) (398) (424) (424) (424) (425) (425) (425) (425) (425) (425) (339) (4,836) Total Operating Cash Flow SEKm 490 353 323 417 340 407 407 407 407 407 407 352 4,718
SEKm (635) (69) (73) (57) (42) (42) (42) (42) (42) (42) (42) (51) (54) (1,229) Net Pre-Tax Cash Flow SEKm (635) 421 280 267 376 298 365 365 365 365 365 356 298 3,489
Source: Vilhelmina Mineral, Financial Model
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Unit Base case Initial Capex SEKm 549 Years of operation Years 12 Payback period Years 1.8 IRR % 54% NPV @ (8 %) SEKm 1,806
US$/lb, life of mine % Mining 1.12 57% Process ing 0.24 12% G&A 0.10 5% Transport ore 0.07 4% Concentrate freight Zn 0.01 1% Concentrate freight Cu 0.01 1% = Unit cash operating cost 1.56 80% + Total Capex (initial and sustaining) 0.40 20% = Unit cash total cost 1.96 100% Source: Vilhelmina Mineral, Financial Model
279 93 74 54 50 549 100 200 300 400 500 600
Processing planf (1 MTON per year) Contigency Indirect cost Infrastructure Mining (use contractor mining)
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48 Source: Vilhelmina Mineral, Financial Model, *Aggregated cash cost per item divided by aggregate Cu Equivalent metal production over life of mine based on Cu @ USD 6,800/ton, Zn @ USD 2,400/ton and Ag @ USD17.5/oz 0,01 0,01 0,07 0,10 0,24 1,12 1,56 0,40 1,96 Concentrate freight Cu Concentrate freight Zn Transport ore G&A Processing Mining Cash operating cost Total capex (initial and sustaining) Cash total cost (incl. capex)
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4 000 4 500 5 000 5 500 6 000 6 500 7 000 7 500 jan-16 feb-16 mar-16 apr-16 maj-16 jun-16 jul-16 aug-16 sep-16
nov-16 dec-16 jan-17 feb-17 mar-17 apr-17 maj-17 jun-17 jul-17 aug-17 sep-17
nov-17 dec-17 jan-18 feb-18 mar-18 apr-18 maj-18 jun-18 jul-18 aug-18 sep-18
nov-18 dec-18 jan-19 feb-19
500 1 000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e
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6,339 USD/t, up c.29% on a three year basis
China’s intensified its efforts to support renewable energy and political effort to crack down on pollution – It triggers massive investments in renewable energy – Power accounts for c50% of China’s total use of copper – It also triggers restrictions on metal production, closures of
permitting process and higher costs with higher emission standards for new projects
Source: Bloomberg, Macrobond (last updated 27.03.2019)
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North South
Inferred mineral resource Indicated mineral resource Measured mineral resource Source: SGU and IGE
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Source: Vilhelmina Mineral, Financial Model Date Firm 2019 2020 2021 2022 LT 30-Jan-19 CIBC 6,063 6,283 6,945 7,385 7,606 25-Jan-19 Deutsche Bank 6,301 6,001 5,750 6,301 6,799 24-Jan-19 UBS 7,165 7,165 7,275 7,275 6,504 24-Jan-19 Credit Suisse 6,175 5,730 5,730 5,730 6,600 23-Jan-19 RBC 5,798 6,614 7,165 7,716 6,614 23-Jan-19 Haywood 6,614 6,834 6,945 6,945
Macquarie 6,349 6,504 6,923 7,826 8,466 22-Jan-19 HSBC 6,371 6,724 6,945 7,165 7,165 22-Jan-19 Canaccord 5,975 5,952 5,952 5,952 5,952 22-Jan-19 Jefferies 5,827 5,512 5,701
21-Jan-19 JP Morgan 6,225 5,416 5,362 6,166 7,584 21-Jan-19 Morgan Stanley 6,812 6,526 6,393 6,702 6,834 21-Jan-19 Cormark 6,614 6,614 6,614 6,614 6,614 21-Jan-19 BMO 7,165 7,738 6,900 7,011 7,165 18-Jan-19 TD 6,724 7,165 6,945 7,165 7,496 18-Jan-19 National Bank 6,063 6,063 6,393 6,614 6,834 17-Jan-19 Scotia 6,614 7,055 7,716 8,267 8,267 17-Jan-19 Raymond James 6,482 6,834 7,055
16-Jan-19 GMP Securities 7,165 6,834 6,834 6,834 6,834 15-Jan-19 Eight Capital 7,165 7,496 7,165 7,165 7,165 09-Jan-19 Societe Generale 6,800 7,000 7,500 8,000
Investec 6,393 6,945 7,937 8,598 6,746 13-Dec-18 Numis 6,614 6,614 6,614 6,614 6,614 11-Dec-18 Barclays 6,261 6,504 7,231 6,834 6,834 Average 6,489 6,588 6,750 7,040 6,996 Median 6,437 6,614 6,934 6,978 6,834
STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL 52
Source: Vilhelmina Mineral, Financial Model Date Firm 2019 2020 2021 2022 LT 30-Jan-19 CIBC 2,844 2,976 2,866 2,822 2,866 24-Jan-19 UBS 2,701 2,370 2,315 2,403 2,161 24-Jan-19 Credit Suisse 2,400 2,300 2,340 2,360 2,000 23-Jan-19 RBC 2,866 2,866 2,756 2,756 2,205 23-Jan-19 Haywood 2,646 2,535 2,535 2,425
HSBC 2,756 2,579 2,425 2,293 2,337 22-Jan-19 Macquarie 2,491 2,227 2,116 2,116 2,249 22-Jan-19 Numis 3,197 2,535
21-Jan-19 JP Morgan 2,451 2,100 1,980 2,220 2,550 21-Jan-19 Morgan Stanley 2,513 2,205 2,381 2,513 2,557 21-Jan-19 Barclays 2,646 2,668 2,646 2,646 2,646 21-Jan-19 BMO 2,535 2,381 2,249 2,469 2,535 18-Jan-19 Cormark 2,976 2,535 2,535 2,535 2,535 18-Jan-19 TD 2,623 2,646 2,535 2,425 2,425 18-Jan-19 National Bank 2,535 2,535 2,425 2,425 2,425 17-Jan-19 Scotia 2,646 2,646 2,535 2,425 2,315 17-Jan-19 Raymond James 2,535 2,425 2,425
16-Jan-19 GMP Securities 2,866 2,866 2,866 2,425 2,425 15-Jan-19 Eight Capital 2,646 2,535 2,425 2,315 2,315 08-Jan-19 Investec 2,646 2,800 2,756 2,646 2,271 07-Jan-19 Deutsche Bank 2,500 2,299 2,544 2,535 2,315 07-Jan-19 Canaccord 2,756 2,646 2,646 2,646 2,425 12-Dec-18 Jefferies 2,535 2,116 1,984 1,984 2,116 21-Nov-18 Societe Generale 2,700 2,500 2,400 2,300
Laurentian 2,646 2,756 2,756
Average 2,666 2,522 2,477 2,440 2,403 Median 2,646 2,535 2,480 2,425 2,425