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Company Presentation
September 2018
Company Presentation September 2018 | | Legal Disclaimer This - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Company Presentation September 2018 | | Legal Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal we make with the Securities and Exchange Commission from time to time, including in securities
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September 2018
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September 2018 2 Company Presentation
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. All statements other than statements of historical facts contained in this presentation, including statements regarding our future results of operations and financial position, business strategy and plans and objectives of management for future
looking statements by terms such as “may,” “should,” “expects,” “plans,” “anticipates,” “could,” “intends,” “target,” “projects,” “contemplates,” “believes,” “estimates,” “predicts,” “potential” or “continue” or the negative of these terms or other similar words. Forward- looking statements contained in this presentation include, but are not limited to, statements about (i) growth of the wind energy market and our addressable market; (ii) the potential impact of the increasing prevalence of auction-based tenders in the wind energy market and increased competition from solar energy on our gross margins and
business and execute upon our strategy of entering new markets outside of wind energy; (iv) our future financial performance, including our net sales, cost of goods sold, gross profit or gross margin, operating expenses, ability to generate positive cash flow, and ability to achieve or maintain profitability; (v) changes in domestic or international government or regulatory policy, including without limitation, changes in trade policy; (vi) the sufficiency of our cash and cash equivalents to meet our liquidity needs; (vii) our ability to attract and retain customers for our products, and to optimize product pricing; (viii) our ability to effectively manage our growth strategy and future expenses, including startup and transition costs; (ix) competition from
wind blade turbine manufacturers; (x) the discovery of defects in our products; (xi) our ability to successfully expand in our existing wind energy markets and into new international wind energy markets; (xii) worldwide economic conditions and their impact on customer demand; (xiii) our ability to maintain, protect and enhance our intellectual property; (xiv)
business, including the imposition of new taxes, duties or similar assessments on our products; (xv) the attraction and retention of qualified employees and key personnel; and (xvi) the potential impact of GE’s acquisition of LM Wind Power upon our business. These forward-looking statements are only predictions. These statements relate to future events or our future financial performance and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that may cause our actual results, levels of activity, performance or achievements to materially differ from any future results, levels
uncertainties, some of which cannot be predicted or quantified, you should not rely on these forward-looking statements as guarantees of future events. Further information on the factors, risks and uncertainties that could affect our financial results and the forward- looking statements in this presentation are included in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission and will be included in subsequent periodic and current reports we make with the Securities and Exchange Commission from time to time, including in
The forward-looking statements in this presentation represent our views as of the date
statements at some point in the future, we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or developments after the date on which the statement is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events except to the extent required by applicable law. You should, therefore, not rely on these forward- looking statements as representing our views as of any date after the date of this
future acquisitions, mergers, dispositions, joint ventures, or investments we may make. This presentation includes unaudited non-GAAP financial measures including total billings, EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, net cash (debt) and free cash flow. We define total billings as the total amounts we have invoiced our customers for products and services for which we are entitled to payment under the terms of our long-term supply agreements or other contractual agreements. We define EBITDA as net income (loss) attributable to the Company plus interest expense (including losses
the extinguishment of debt and net of interest income), income taxes and depreciation and amortization. We define Adjusted EBITDA as EBITDA plus any share-based compensation expense, plus or minus any gains or losses from foreign currency
net cash flow generated from operating activities less capital expenditures. We present non-GAAP measures when we believe that the additional information is useful and meaningful to investors. Non-GAAP financial measures do not have any standardized meaning and are therefore unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by
be a substitute for, and should not be considered in isolation from, the financial measures reported in accordance with GAAP. See the appendix for the reconciliations
This presentation also contains estimates and other information concerning our industry that are based on industry publications, surveys and forecasts. This information involves a number of assumptions and limitations, and we have not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of the information.
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Only independent manufacturer of composite wind blades for the high-growth wind energy market with a global footprint Provides wind blades to some of the industry’s leading OEMs such as: Vestas, GE, Siemens/Gamesa, Nordex, Senvion and ENERCON Operates nine wind blade manufacturing plants, with two more under construction, and three tooling and R&D facilities across four countries:
Applying advanced composites technology to production of clean transportation solutions, including electric buses Long-term supply agreements with customers, providing contracted volumes that generate significant revenue visibility and drive capital efficiency Founded in 1968 and headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona Approximately 9,000 employees globally
September 2018 3 Company Presentation
Business Overview Strong Historical Financial Results Revenue CAGR
2013-2017
Adjusted EBITDA CAGR
2013-2017
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Growth
2013 - 2017
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September 2018 4 Company Presentation
Capitalizing on Wind Market Growth, Blade Outsourcing and Improving Economics Only Independent Blade Manufacturer with a Global Footprint Advanced Composite Technology and Production Expertise Provide Barrier to Entry Collaborative Dedicated Supplier Model to Share Gain and Drive Down LCOE Long-Term Supply Agreements Provide Significant Revenue Visibility Compelling Return on Invested Capital Seasoned Management Team with Significant Global Growth Experience
reducing the effect of individual market fluctuations.
manner by sharing the investment, spreading overhead, driving down material cost, improving productivity and sharing a large portion of that benefit with our customers.
joined the TPI team
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TPI’s customers account for 99.8% of the U.S. onshore wind market and 54% of the global onshore market
Current Customer Mix – 50(3) Dedicated Lines
September 2018 5 Company Presentation
= TPI Customer
Global Onshore Wind Global Onshore Wind exc. China
Rank OEM 2015–2017 Share(1) Rank OEM 2015–2017 Share(1) 1 Vestas 15% Vestas 25% 2 SGRE(2) 13% SGRE(2) 21% 3 Goldwind 12% GE Wind 19% 4 GE Wind 11% Enercon 10% 5 Enercon 6% Nordex Group 10% 6 Nordex Group 6% Senvion 5% 7 United Power 5% Suzlon 3% 8 Envision 5% INOX 2% 9 Mingyang 4% Goldwind <1% Senvion 3% ReGen Powertech <1% TPI Customer Market Share ~54% TPI Customer Market Share ~90%
1 2 4 5 7 3 6 8 9
= Chinese Players
1 2 5 6 3 4 9 7 8 10
Source: MAKE (1) Figures are rounded to nearest whole percent (2) Figures for Siemens/Gamesa are pro forma for the April 2017 merger of Gamesa Corporatión Tecnológica and Siemens Wind P ower (3) Reflects the number of dedicated lines once the transitions for GE in Iowa and Mexico are completed.
40% 10% 14% 28% 4% 4%
Key Customers with Significant Market Share
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Minimum Volume Visibility Mitigates Downside Risk Minimum Volume Obligations (MVOs) in place requiring the customer to take an agreed upon percentage of total production capacity or pay TPI its equivalent gross margin and operating costs associated with the MVO Incentivized Maximum Customer Volume Pricing mechanisms encourage customers to purchase 100% of the contract volume, as prices progressively increase as volumes decrease Customers fund the molds for each production line incentivizing them to maximize TPI’s production capability to amortize their fixed cost Attractive Contract Negotiation Dynamic TPI typically renegotiates and extends contracts more than a year in advance of expiration in conjunction with blade model transitions Provisions allowing for reductions in lines generally provide for adequate time to replace a customer if a line reduction option is exercised Demand in locations where TPI already has a foothold (China, Turkey, Mexico) provides a substantial opportunity for synergies in the construction of new facilities TPI continues to expand its manufacturing facilities globally to meet increased demand 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Iowa Turkey Mexico China
Note: Our contracts with some of our customers are subject to termination or reduction on short notice, generally with substantial penalties, and contain liquidated damages provisions, which may require us to make unanticipated payments to our customers or our customers to make payments to us. (1) As of August 7, 2018. The chart depicts the term of the longest contract in each location.
Long-term supply agreements provide for estimated minimum aggregate volume commitments from our customers
additional volume up to, in the aggregate, an estimated total contract value ~$6.4 billion through the end of 2023(1) Key Contract Terms Long-term Supply Agreements (1) Long-term contracts with minimum volume obligations provide strong revenue visibility
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September 2018 7 Company Presentation
Annual Revenue Potential – Wind Only > $2.0 Billion Pipeline Opportunities Prioritized Pipeline represents those opportunities we have prioritized to close by the end of 2019 Prioritized Pipeline – 13 lines
Long-term Revenue Potential Size of Total Addressable Market OEM(s) Share
(1) Annual revenue potential based on 50 lines under contract at the end of 2018 (assumes no more lines contracted during the balance of 2018t) at an revenue per year per line at full production of $36 million. (2) Annual revenue potential based on $45 million per line per year and that all lines are in full production.
$0.0 $0.2 $0.4 $0.6 $0.8 $1.0 $1.2 $1.4 $1.6 $1.8 $2.0
$ Billions
Lines Under Contract 48
Prioritized Pipeline 13 Lines Under Contract 50
(2) (1)
$1.80 $0.60
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September 2018 8 Company Presentation
2016 A – 2019 E
.
(1) ROIC target is based on an estimate of tax effected income from operations plus implied interest on operating leases divided by beginning
value of operating leases. |
| | September 2018 9 Company Presentation Global Cumulative Installed Wind Capacity – 2000-2017 (GW)(1)
Rapid growth driven by:
Increasing cost competitiveness through technological advancement Supportive global policy initiatives Global population growth and electricity demand Increasing C&I and utility demand Coal/nuclear decommissioning Repowering EV trends From 2008 to 2017, the cumulative global power generating capacity of wind turbine installations has gone up more than 4.5 times, with compound annual growth in cumulative global installed wind capacity of 24% since 2000
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance (1) Regional onshore and worldwide offshore figures presented for 2017 only
EMEA onshore Americas onshore Asia and rest of the world
Offshore
166 122 232 18
15 22 29 36 44 54 69 89 116 155 191 232 279 312 361 423 477 538 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Wind energy is a large and rapidly growing worldwide business
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September 2018 Company Presentation 10
232
Wind energy is a large and rapidly growing worldwide business
49.5 60.6 62.9 60.7 57.4 54.9 57.6 58.2 58.7 60.1 4.2 5.0 6.3 6.8 10.0 9.7 11.3 13.7 12.8 13.8 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Source: MAKE Q2 2018 Global Wind Power Market Outlook Update
Annual Installed Global Wind Capacity (GW): 2018E – 2027E
Onshore
Offshore
CAGR 20%
(2017 – 2027)
CAGR 8%
(2017 – 2027)
Annual installed wind capacity growth is projected to average 67GW between 2018 and 2027 and is propelled by offshore – 20% CAGR – and Emerging Markets - 26.7% CAGR. TPI is well positioned to participate in this growth
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September 2018 Company Presentation 11
166 122 232 18
Wind energy is a large and rapidly growing worldwide business
8.4 11.0 12.9 6.7 3.2 2.9 3.2 3.5 11.0 12.5 12.8 8.0 7.7 8.0 8.5 9.0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
UBS
Source: MAKE Q2 2018 Global Wind Power Market Outlook Update and UBS Securities LLC
Goals
Key Demand Drivers
MAKE The U.S. wind market is expected to experience consistent near-term growth
U.S. Annual Installed Wind Capacity (GW): 2018E – 2025E
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Allows Wind Energy to be More Competitive with Conventional Power Generation
September 2018 Company Presentation
Source: Lazard Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis (version 11.0). (1) Costs are on an unsubsidized basis. Ranges reflect differences in resources, geography, fuel costs and cost of capital, among other factors. (2) U.S. Department of Energy National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)
$169 $148 $92 $95 $95 $81 $77 $62 $60 $101 $99 $50 $48 $45 $37 $32 $32 $30 $0 $63 $125 $188 $250 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Onshore wind LCOE Mean Onshore wind LCOE Range
Global Onshore Wind LCOE Over Time(1)
— ($/MWh)
Eight year percentage decrease
$0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250
Onshore wind Solar PV utility CCGT gas Bioenergy Geo- thermal Coal Solar thermal w/storage
Fossil Fuels Onshore Wind Other Renewables
Global LCOE for onshore wind generation has become increasingly competitive and is now on par with new combined cycle gas turbines with an additional 50% decline expected by 2030(2)
Unsubsidized Global Levelized Cost of Power Generation Ranges by Technology(1)
— ($/MWh)
Global LCOE for onshore wind generation has become increasingly competitive and is now on par with new combined cycle gas turbines, unsubsidized, with an additional 50% decline expected by 2030(2)
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U.S. Policy Initiatives
U.S. policy expected to support continued domestic wind capacity installation
Credit (PTC) through 2019 for both new turbines and repowering of existing turbines along with IRS clarifications that expand PTC eligibility allowing developers 100% PTC benefit as late as 2021
1
Increasing focus in board rooms regarding the economic and social benefits of adopting low-cost wind energy
companies have set sustainability goals
as GM, Nike, Walmart, IKEA, BMW, Coca Cola and Proctor & Gamble have taken the RE100 pledge, organized by the Climate Group, to transition to 100% renewable energy
Corporate and Utility Procurement
2
International Policy Initiatives
Recent global initiatives aimed at promoting the growth of renewable energy including wind
targeting an uplift in the share of renewable energy to 32% by 2030
connected wind capacity by 2020
3
COP21 Paris Climate Talks
Paris Agreement is a landmark deal marking a significant commitment by the international community to further reduce fossil fuel consumption
2016, thirty days after the date on which at least 55 parties accounting in total for at least an estimated 55% of the total greenhouse gas ratified the agreement
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Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, China National Development and Reform Commission, RE100
Longer term policy visibility and an increase in corporate and utility procurement is expected to drive additional growth over the next decade
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(1) Source: MAKE – based on % of MW (2) TPI’s market share based on TPI MW relative to MAKE OEM total onshore MW for 2013, 2016 and 2017
38% 51% 62% 49%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2009 2017 Outsourced Insourced Vertically integrated OEMs have begun to outsource wind blade manufacturing due to:
Some have sold or shuttered in-house tower and blade manufacturing facilities in favor of an outsourced manufacturer Geographically distributed, high precision blade manufacturing is more cost effective when performed by diversified, specialized manufacturers TPI is the only independent manufacturer of composite wind blades with a global footprint and is well positioned to capitalize on global industry trends Expected to continue to outsource a significant percentage of blade needs notwithstanding acquisition of LM Wind Power TPI selected as manufacturer of Vestas- designed blades in China, Mexico and Turkey Currently outsources to TPI in Mexico and Turkey 3% 9% 13% 2013 2016 2017 TPI Share Increase: ~4X Future market share increases expected to be driven by: Continuation of
LM Wind Power customer attrition Advantages from global footprint
Several of the wind industry’s largest participants have chosen TPI as their leading outsourced blade manufacturer
Outsourcing Trends Global Wind Blade Manufacturing: Outsourced vs. Insourced (1) TPI Global Wind Blade Market Share 2013 – 2017 (2)
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Wind blades are a critical component of our customers’ strategy and, along with supply chain optimization, plays an integral role bringing down LCOE We believe that our extensive experience and track-record in delivering high quality wind blades combined with our established global scale and strong customer relationships creates a significant barrier to entry and is the foundation of our leadership position Strong track record of delivering high quality wind blades to diverse, global markets, and of developing replicable and scalable manufacturing facilities and processes
Extensive Expertise
Reputation for Reliability Established Global Scale Customer Stickiness
Over 42,000 wind blades produced since 2001, with an excellent field performance record in a market where reliability is critical to our customers’ success We expand our manufacturing footprint in coordination with our customers’ needs, scaling our capacity to meet demand in markets across the globe Dedicated capacity and collaborative approach of manufacturing wind blades to meet customer specifications promotes significant customer loyalty and creates higher switching costs
TPI’s ability to capitalize on recent growth trends in the wind energy market and outsourcing trends has allowed it to grow its revenue by over 300% from 2013 to 2017 while expanding its global manufacturing footprint over the same period
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Multiple development programs in:
Growing with Proterra
September 2018 Company Presentation 16
CLEAN TRANSPORTATION: In EVs, lighter weight equates to longer range or fewer batteries which drives cost By 2040, 55% of all new car sales and 33% of global fleet will be electric(1)
(1) BloombergNEF – New Energy Outlook 2018
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Asia ~ 2,100 US ~ 1,400 Mexico ~ 3,400 EMEA~ 2,100
September 2018 Company Presentation
Steve Lockard President & Chief Executive Officer Joined TPI in 1999. Prior to TPI, served as the Vice President of Satloc and was a founding officer of ADFlex solutions, a NASDAQ listed company Chairman of the Board for the American Wind Energy Association (AWEA) Joe Kishkill Chief Commercial Officer Joined TPI in 2017. Prior to TPI was President, International and Chief Commercial Officer of First Solar, Inc., President, Eastern Hemisphere and Latin America for Exterran Holdings Mark McFeely Chief Operating Officer Joined TPI in 2015. Prior to TPI, was SVP and COO of Remy International, VP – Operations of Meggitt Safety Systems, Inc. and held various leadership positions with Danaher Corporation and Honeywell International, Inc. Bill Siwek Chief Financial Officer Joined TPI in 2013. Prior to TPI, was CFO for T.W. Lewis Company, EVP
Partner at Arthur Andersen in both Audit and Business Consulting Steve Fishbach General Counsel Joined TPI in 2015. Prior to TPI, was SVP, Deputy General Counsel of Global Cash Access Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: GCA) and various senior roles in the legal department of Fidelity National Information Services, Inc./eFunds Corporation (NYSE: FIS) T.J. Castle SVP – N.A. Wind and Global OpEx Joined TPI in 2015. Prior to TPI, held a number of positions with Honeywell including most recently VP of Integrated Supply Chain and prior to that was Global VP of the Honeywell Operating System for Aerospace Ramesh Gopalakrishnan SVP – Technology & Industrialization Joined TPI in 2016. Prior to TPI, was EVP of Global Manufacturing for Senvion Wind Energy. Prior to that he was COO of Suzlon Energy Composites, Inc. and has also spent time at Haliburton Corp. and GE Deane Ilukowicz SVP – Global Human Resources Joined TPI in 2016. Prior to TPI, was VP of Organizational Effectiveness at TransUnion, Chief Human Resources Officer for Hypertherm, and held senior level roles at other financial services and manufacturing companies Joe Kerkhove SVP – Strategic Markets Joined TPI in 2017. Prior to TPI, was Commercial Vice-President with Arconic (ALCOA) and has over 20 years of sales and marketing experience to TPI, including leadership positions in Aerospace, Defense and Automotive markets Name Affiliation Steve Lockard
Stephen Bransfield
Michael L. DeRosa
Jayshree Desai
Philip J. Deutch
Paul G. Giovacchini
Jack A. Henry
James A. Hughes
Daniel G. Weiss
~9,000 employees worldwide
Management Team Board of Directors Employees at a Glance
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September 2018 Company Presentation 19
$14 $39 $66 $100 ($0) $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 2014 2015 2016 2017
$321 $586 $755 $955 $363 $600 $764 $942
$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 2014 2015 2016 2017 Sales Billings
1. Total billings refers to the total amounts we have invoiced our customers for products and services for which we are entitled to payment under the terms of our long-term supply agreements or other contractual agreements 2. See appendix for reconciliations of non-GAAP financial data 3. 2017 as restated per the Company’s retroactive adoption of ASC 606 and is unaudited.
GAAP Net Sales and Total Billings ($ in millions) (1) (2) (3) Adjusted EBITDA ($ in millions) (2) (3)
’13–’17 CAGR
’13–’17 CAGR
4.2% 6.7% 8.8% 10.5%
Margin
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September 2018 Company Presentation 20
Q2 2018 Highlights and Recent Company News
2017
primarily due to startup and transition activity
income of $9.6 million in 2017 driven by startup and transition activity and the write-off of debt issuance costs
5.8% of sales
manufacturing hub in Matamoros, Mexico bringing the total number of lines in that facility to 6
manufacturing lines in our Turkey location. Adding ENERCON means TPI customers now represent all of the top 6 turbine manufacturers on an ex-China basis
number of lines in that facility to 5 from the current 3
Iowa plant in early 2019 and eliminate its option to terminate the Iowa supply agreement prior to its December 2020 expiration
across 50 dedicated manufacturing lines
Net Sales and Adjusted EBITDA ($ in millions)
$240 $231 $26 $13 $0 $200 $400 Q2 '17 Q2 '18 Q2 '17 Q2 '18
Sets invoiced
692 576
1,620 1,544
Dedicated lines(1)
46 52
Lines installed(2)
39 40
(1) Number of wind blade manufacturing lines dedicated to our customers under long-term supply agreements at the end of the quarter. (2) Number of wind blade manufacturing lines installed that are either in operation, startup or transition at the end of the quarter
Net Sales Adjusted EBITDA
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(unaudited)
September 2018 Company Presentation 21 (1) See pages 45 – 47 for reconciliations of non-GAAP financial data
($ in millions, except per share data and KPIs)
Q2 ’18 Q2 ’17 ∆ YTD ’18 YTD ’17 ∆ Select Financial Data Net Sales $ 230.6 $ 239.6
$ 484.6 $ 448.2 8.1% Total Billings $ 237.4 $ 231.1 2.7% $ 461.1 $ 442.4 4.2% Net Income (Loss) $ (4.1) $ 9.6
$ 4.6 $ 14.8
Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share $ (0.12) $ 0.28 $ (0.40) $ 0.13 $ 0.44 $ (0.31) Adjusted EBITDA (1) $ 13.5 $ 26.2
$ 40.9 $ 43.8
Adjusted EBITDA Margin 5.8% 11.0%
8.4% 9.8%
Net Cash (Debt) (1) $ (17.4) $ 0.5 $ (17.8) $ (17.4) $ 0.5 $ (17.8) Free Cash Flow (1) $ (25.0) $ 6.1 $ (31.2) $ (39.8) $ (0.9) $ (38.9) Capital Expenditures $ 30.6 $ 9.8 $ 20.8 $ 42.3 $ 26.7 $ 15.6 Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) Sets Invoiced 576 692 (116) 1,145 1,328 (183) Estimated Megawatts 1,544 1,620 (76) 3,008 3,080 (72) Dedicated Wind Blade Manufacturing Lines 52 46 6 lines 52 46 6 lines Wind Blade Manufacturing Lines Installed 40 39 1 line 40 39 1 line Wind Blade Manufacturing Lines in Startup 7 9 2 lines 7 9 2 lines Wind Blade Manufacturing Lines in Transition 7 — 7 lines 7 — 7 lines
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(unaudited)
September 2018 Company Presentation 22 (1) See pages 45 – 47 for reconciliations of Non-GAAP financial data
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(unaudited)
September 2018 Company Presentation 23 (1) See pages 46 - 47 for the reconciliations of net cash and free cash flow
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Note: All reference to lines is to wind blade manufacturing lines. (1) We have not reconciled our total expected billings for 2018 to expected net sales under GAAP because we have not yet finalized calculations necessary to provide the reconciliation and as such the reconciliation is not possible without unreasonable efforts.
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2018 Guidance Updated 2018 Guidance Previous
Total Billings (1)
$1.0B – $1.05B $1.0B – $1.05B
Net Sales
$1.0B – $1.05B $1.0B – $1.05B
Adjusted EBITDA
$65M – $70M $75M – $80M
Earnings per Share - FD
$0.10 – $0.14 $0.38 – $0.42
Sets
2,450 – 2,480 2,500 – 2,525
Average Selling Price per Blade
$125K – $130K $125K -– $130K
Non-Blade Billings
$80M – $85M $75M – $80M
G&A Costs as a % of Billings (incl. SBC)
4% – 5% 4% – 5%
Estimated MW
6,800 – 6,900 6,950 – 7,100
Dedicated Lines - EOY
51 – 55 51 – 55
Share-Based Compensation
$9M – $10M $10M -– $11M
Depreciation & Amortization
$30M – $32M $30M – $35M
Net Interest Expense
$14M – $14.5M $11.5M – $12.5M
Capital Expenditures
$85M – $90M $85M – $90M
Effective Tax Rate
47% – 49% 40% – 42%
| | September 2018 Company Presentation Note: References to “lines” relate to wind blade manufacturing lines
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Total Billings(1) (2)
September 2018 Company Presentation
Three-year CAGR
$363 $600 $764 $942 $1,025 $1,400 $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018E 2019E
Adjusted EBITDA(1) (2) (3)
$14 $39 $66 $100 $68 $145 $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 $160 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018E 2019E
Note: Dollars in millions (1) Estimates for 2018 – 2019 are shown at the midpoint of ranges provided. See appendix for reconciliation of non-GAAP financial data. (2) We have not reconciled our total expected billings for 2018 - 2019 to expected net sales under GAAP or 2019 expected Adjusted EBITDA to expected Net Income because we have not yet finalized calculations necessary to provide the reconciliation and as such the reconciliations are not possible without unreasonable efforts. (3) 2017 as restated per the Company’s retroactive adoption of ASC 606 and is unaudited.
Three-year CAGR
Margin % 4.2% 6.7% 8.8% 10.5% 6.6% 10.4%
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September 2018 Company Presentation
Source: Year end 2015 and 2016 audited financial statements. 2017, as restated per the Company’s retroactive adoption of ASC 606, and the 2018 interim period are unaudited.
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June 30, ($ in thousands) 2015 2016 2017 2018 Assets Current assets: Cash and cash equivalents 45,917 $ 119,066 $ 148,113 $ 113,995 $ Restricted cash 1,760 2,259 3,849 4,431 Accounts receivable 72,913 67,842 121,576 119,479 Inventories 50,841 53,095 4,112 5,593 Inventories held for customer orders 49,594 52,308
—
— —
105,619 131,371 Prepaid expenses and other current assets 31,337 30,657 27,507 26,622 Total current assets 252,362 325,227 410,776 401,491 Noncurrent assets: Property, plant, and equipment, net 67,732 91,166 123,480 145,348 Goodwill and other intangibles, net 3,226 3,072 3,915 5,085 Other noncurrent assets 6,600 17,741 18,391 19,960 Total assets 329,920 $ 437,206 $ 556,562 $ 571,884 $ Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity Current liabilities: Accounts payable and accrued expenses 101,108 $ 112,281 $ 167,175 $ 167,314 $ Accrued warranty 13,596 19,912 30,419 33,979 Current maturities of long-term debt 52,065 33,403 35,506 39,528 Deferred revenue 65,520 69,568
— —
Contract liabilities
— —
2,763 1,820 Customer deposits and customer advances 8,905 1,390
Total current liabilities 241,194 236,554 235,863 242,641 Noncurrent liabilities: Long-term debt 77,281 89,752 85,879 90,332 Other noncurrent liabilities 3,812 4,393 4,938 4,818 Total liabilities 322,287 330,699 326,680 337,791 Convertible and senior redeemable preferred shares and warrants 198,830
— — —
Total stockholders’ equity (deficit) (191,197) 106,507 229,882 234,093 Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity 329,920 $ 437,206 $ 556,562 $ 571,884 $ Non-GAAP Metric: Net cash (debt) (90,667) $ (6,379) $ 24,557 $ (17,380) $ December 31,
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September 2018 Company Presentation
Source: Year end 2015 and 2016 audited financial statements. 2017 periods, as restated per the Company’s retroactive adoption of ASC 606, and the 2018 interim periods are unaudited.
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($ in thousands) 2015 2016 2017 2017 2018 2017 2018 Net sales 585,852 $ 754,877 $ 955,199 $ 239,582 $ 230,610 $ 448,197 $ 484,591 $ Cost of sales 528,247 659,745 804,099 199,117 198,235 381,655 409,223 Startup and transition costs 15,860 18,127 40,628 10,540 17,324 16,699 32,059 Total cost of goods sold 544,107 677,872 844,727 209,657 215,559 398,354 441,282 Gross profit 41,745 77,005 110,472 29,925 15,051 49,843 43,309 General and administrative expenses 14,126 33,892 40,373 10,752 10,989 19,058 22,152 Income from operations 27,619 43,113 70,099 19,173 4,062 30,785 21,157 Other income (expense) Interest income 161 344 95 11 43 30 84 Interest expense (14,565) (17,614) (12,381) (2,935) (2,715) (5,961) (6,053) Loss on extinguishment of debt
Realized loss on foreign currency remeasurement (1,802) (757) (4,471) (1,233) (765) (2,614) (4,776) Miscellaneous income 246 238 1,191 258 674 578 1,492 Total other expense (15,960) (22,276) (15,566) (3,899) (6,160) (7,967) (12,650) Income (loss) before income taxes 11,659 20,837 54,533 15,274 (2,098) 22,818 8,507 Income tax provision (3,977) (6,995) (15,019) (5,697) (1,955) (8,028) (3,912) Net income (loss) 7,682 13,842 39,514 9,577 (4,053) 14,790 4,595 Net income attributable to preferred shareholders 9,423 5,471
(1,741) $ 8,371 $ 39,514 $ 9,577 $ (4,053) $ 14,790 $ 4,595 $ Non-GAAP Metrics: Total billings 600,107 $ 764,424 $ 941,565 $ 231,069 $ 237,355 $ 442,429 $ 461,056 $ Adjusted EBITDA 39,281 $ 66,150 $ 100,111 $ 26,240 $ 13,477 $ 43,830 $ 40,850 $ Year Ended December 31, Three Months Ended June 30, Six Months Ended June 30,
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September 2018 Company Presentation
Source: Year end 2015 and 2016 audited financial statements. 2017 periods, as restated per the Company’s retroactive adoption of ASC 606, and the 2018 interim periods are unaudited
31
($ in thousands) 2015 2016 2017 2017 2018 Cash flows from operating activities Net income 7,682 $ 13,842 $ 39,514 $ 14,790 $ 4,595 $ Depreciation and amortization 11,416 12,897 21,697 8,716 13,202 Share-based compensation expense
7,124 3,751 4,999 Amortization of debt issuance costs and debt discount 4,319 4,681 573 286 260 Loss on extinguishment of debt
Loss on disposal of property and equipment 187 2 334
(765) (2,782) (1,068)
8,454 10,812 6,426 (1,673) (23,918) Net cash provided by operating activities 31,293 53,841 74,600 25,870 2,535 Cash flows from investing activities Purchase of property and equipment (26,361) (30,507) (44,828) (26,727) (42,310) Proceeds from sale of assets 146
(26,215) (30,507) (43,978) (26,727) (42,310) Cash flows from financing activities Proceeds from issuance of common stock sold in initial public
1,554 (15,370) (8,095) 4,922 5,938 Debt issuance costs (1,113)
Payment on acquisition of noncontrolling interest (1,875)
Repurchase of common stock including shares withheld in lieu
Restricted cash (989) (499)
(2,423) 51,330 (8,383) 4,922 6,692 Impact of foreign exchange rates on cash and cash equivalents (330) (1,515) 335 164 (453) Net change in cash and cash equivalents 2,325 73,149 22,574 4,229 (33,536) Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of year 43,592 45,917 129,863 129,863 152,437 Cash and cash equivalents, end of period 45,917 $ 119,066 $ 152,437 $ 134,092 $ 118,901 $ Non-GAAP Metric: Free cash flow 4,932 $ 23,334 $ 29,772 $ (857) $ (39,775) $ Year Ended December 31, Six Months Ended June 30,
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Net sales is reconciled to total billings as follows:
September 2018 Company Presentation
Source: Year end 2015 and 2016 audited financial statements. 2017 periods, as restated per the Company’s retroactive adoption of ASC 606, and the 2018 interim periods are unaudited. Note: Footnote references are on the following page.
Net income (loss) is reconciled to adjusted EBITDA as follows:
32
($ in thousands) 2015 2016 2017 2017 2018 2017 2018 Net income (loss) 7,682 $ 13,842 $ 39,514 $ 9,577 $ (4,053) $ 14,790 $ 4,595 $ Adjustments: Depreciation and amortization 11,416 12,897 21,697 4,765 6,130 8,716 13,202 Interest expense (net of interest income) 14,404 17,270 12,286 2,924 2,672 5,931 5,969 Loss on extinguishment of debt
Income tax provision 3,977 6,995 15,019 5,697 1,955 8,028 3,912 Share-based compensation expense
7,124 2,044 2,611 3,751 4,999 Realized loss on foreign currency remeasurement 1,802 757 4,471 1,233 765 2,614 4,776 Adjusted EBITDA 39,281 $ 66,150 $ 100,111 $ 26,240 $ 13,477 $ 43,830 $ 40,850 $ Six Months Ended June 30, Year Ended December 31, Three Months Ended June 30, ($ in thousands) 2015 2016 2017 2017 2018 2017 2018 Net sales 585,852 $ 754,877 $ 955,199 $ 239,582 $ 230,610 $ 448,197 $ 484,591 $ Blade-related deferred revenue at beginning of period (1) (59,476) (65,520)
65,520 69,568
(6,460) (1,356) (3,722) (25,752) Foreign exchange impact (2) 8,211 5,499 (7,135) (2,053) 8,101 (2,046) 2,217 Total billings 600,107 $ 764,424 $ 941,565 $ 231,069 $ 237,355 $ 442,429 $ 461,056 $ Three Months Ended June 30, Six Months Ended June 30, Year Ended December 31,
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(Continued)
September 2018 Company Presentation
1. Total billings is reconciled using the blade-related deferred revenue amounts at the beginning and the end of the year as follows:
Source: Year end 2015 and 2016 audited financial statements. 2017 periods, as restated per the Company’s retroactive adoption of ASC 606, and the 2018 interim periods are unaudited
2. Represents the effect of the difference between the exchange rate used by our various foreign subsidiaries on the invoice dat e versus the exchange rate used at the period-end balance sheet date.
Net cash (debt) is reconciled as follows:
33 ($ in thousands) 2015 2016 2017 2017 2018 Cash and cash equivalents 45,917 $ 119,066 $ 148,113 $ 130,834 $ 113,995 $ Less total debt, net of debt issuance costs & discount (129,346) (123,155) (121,385) (128,363) (129,860) Less debt issuance costs & discount (7,238) (2,290) (2,171) (2,004) (1,515) Net cash (debt) (90,667) $ (6,379) $ 24,557 $ 467 $ (17,380) $ December 31, June 30, ($ in thousands) 2015 2016 Blade-related deferred revenue at beginning of year 59,476 $ 65,520 $ Non-blade related deferred revenue at beginning of year
59,476 $ 65,520 $ Blade-related deferred revenue at end of year 65,520 $ 69,568 $ Non-blade related deferred revenue at end of year
65,520 $ 69,568 $ Year Ended December 31,
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(Continued)
September 2018 Company Presentation
(1) Source: Year end 2015 through 2016 audited financial statements. 2017 as restated per the Company’s retroactive adopti on of ASC 606 and the 2018 period are unaudited. (2) Figures presented are projected estimates for the full year ending December 31, 2018.
Free cash flow is reconciled as follows(1): A reconciliation of the low end and high end ranges of projected net income under ASC 606 to projected adjusted EBITDA is as follows(2):
34 ($ in thousands) 2015 2016 2017 2017 2018 Net cash provided by operating activities 31,293 $ 53,841 $ 74,600 $ 25,870 $ 2,535 $ Purchase of property and equipment (26,361) (30,507) (44,828) (26,727) (42,310) Free cash flow 4,932 $ 23,334 $ 29,772 $ (857) $ (39,775) $ Year Ended December 31, Six Months Ended June 30, ($ in thousands) Low End High End Projected net income 3,350 $ 4,910 $ Adjustments: Projected depreciation and amortization 30,000 32,000 Projected interest expense (net of interest income) 10,850 10,850 Projected loss on extinguishment of debt 3,400 3,400 Projected income tax provision 3,100 4,540 Projected share-based compensation expense 9,500 9,500 Projected realized loss on foreign currency remeasurement 4,800 4,800 Projected Adjusted EBITDA 65,000 $ 70,000 $ 2018 Adjusted EBITDA Guidance Range