BJ’s Restaurants, Inc. – Analyst Presentation September 2019
BJs Restaurants, Inc. Analyst Presentation Safe Harbor Certain - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
BJs Restaurants, Inc. Analyst Presentation Safe Harbor Certain - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
September 2019 BJs Restaurants, Inc. Analyst Presentation Safe Harbor Certain statements in the following presentation and all other statements that are not purely historical constitute forward - looking statements for purposes of the
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Safe Harbor
Certain statements in the following presentation and all other statements that are not purely historical constitute “forward-looking” statements for purposes of the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and are intended to be covered by the safe harbors created thereby. Such statements include, but are not limited to, those regarding expected comparable restaurant sales and margin growth in future periods, total potential domestic capacity, the success of various sales-building and productivity initiatives, future guest traffic trends, construction cost savings initiatives and the number and timing of new restaurants expected to be
- pened in future periods. These “forward-looking” statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may
cause actual results to be materially different from those projected or anticipated. Factors that might cause such differences include, but are not limited to: (i) our ability to manage an increasing number of new restaurant openings, (ii) construction delays, (iii) labor shortages, (iv) increase in minimum wage and other employment related costs, including compliance with the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act on
- ur operations, (v) the effect of credit and equity market disruptions on our ability to finance our continued expansion on acceptable terms,
(vi) food quality and health concerns, (vii) factors that impact California, Texas and Florida where a substantial number of our current restaurants are located, (viii) restaurant and brewery industry competition, (ix) impact of certain brewery business considerations, including without limitation, dependence upon suppliers, third party contractors and related hazards, (x) consumer spending trends in general for casual dining occasions, (xi) potential uninsured losses and liabilities due to limitations on insurance coverage, (xii) fluctuating commodity costs and availability of food in general and certain raw materials related to the brewing of our craft beers and energy, (xiii) trademark and service-mark risks, (xiv) government regulations and licensing costs, (xv) beer and liquor regulations, (xvi) loss of key personnel, (xvii) inability to secure acceptable sites, (xviii) legal proceedings, (xix) other general economic and regulatory conditions and requirements, (xx) the success of our key sales-building and related operational initiatives, (xxi) any failure of our information technology or security breaches with respect to our electronic systems and data, and (xxii) numerous other matters discussed in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its recent reports on Forms 10-K, 10-Q and 8-K. The “forward-looking” statements contained in this presentation are based on current assumptions and expectations and, BJ’s Restaurants, Inc. undertakes no obligation to update or alter its “forward-looking” statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
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BJ’s Restaurants Overview
207 restaurants in 28 states
- 202 large-format restaurants (7,000 - 10,000 sq. ft.)
- 4 small-format restaurants (2,000 - 4,000 sq. ft.)
- 1 R&D test restaurant (6,000 interior sq. ft.)
Our restaurants feature:
- Broad, diversified menu for any dining occasion
- Signature menu items including deep dish pizza,
craft beer and our famous “pizookie” dessert
- Contemporary, high quality, “casual plus” positioning
Our restaurants generate:
- Industry-leading average unit volumes of $5.5 million
- Industry-leading guest traffic
- Per person average spend of $17
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Track Record of Delivering Best-in-Class Growth
SALES, EBITDA & EPS MORE THAN DOUBLED IN YEARS
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2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
System Sales
System Sales Growth
10.2%
8-yr. CAGR Rank
(out of 9 CD peers $1BN+ in sales)
#2
EBITDA
- Dil. EPS
$64 $0.82 $140 $2.35 $514 $1,117
($ in millions except per share data)
Source: Public company filings and industry research.5
Key Investment Highlights
Significant Runway For Growth
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Culture of Discipline, Hospitality and Service
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Category-Leading Restaurant Productivity
- $5.5mm system-wide AUV
- Industry leader in guests per sq. ft.
- Strong four-wall restaurant margins
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- Many new markets seeded for
growth, and potential for 425+ restaurants in the U.S.
Strong Restaurant Returns
- Trailing Twelve Months through
May 2019, BJ’s restaurants averaged cash-on-cash returns of 22%, spanning 2004 vintages to current
- BJ’s is led by executives with
decades of combined experience
- Management team proven they can
grow new restaurants with quality
Consistent and Reliable Financial Performance
- Consistently grown sales and
EBITDA
- Performance outpaces peers across
many key indicators (i.e., Knapp- Track, BlackBox, etc.) 5
Best-in-Class Management
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- Retention rates better than the
industry
- Project Q to drive efficiencies
- Gold Standard Kitchen Systems
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Why Guests Choose BJ’s
BREADTH OF APPEAL STRONG VALUE PROPOSITION UNMATCHED EXECUTION RELEVANT FOOD, DRINKS & ATMOSPHERE
GUESTS
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“Premium Casual” Experience at “Mass Market” Price
$13 $14 $15 $15 $16 $17 $17 $19 $22 $23 $23 $27 $33
Note: Represents average check data. Source: Public company filings as of FY2018 and industry research.8
$2.4 $2.9 $3.0 $3.0 $3.4 $3.6 $4.3 $4.3 $4.8 $5.2 $5.5 $8.3 $10.7
Industry Leader in Average Unit Sales
($ in millions)
Source: Public company filings as of FY2018 and industry research.9
Broad Consumer Appeal for All Dayparts
26% of Sales from Off-Peak Meal Periods Gross Margin on Pizza & Alcohol: ~80%+
System Mix Daypart Mix
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Our Focus
Continue Sales Momentum Enhance our Culture New Restaurant Growth Leverage Margins & Drive ROIC
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Ongoing Sales Building Initiatives
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Sales Building Initiatives
- EnLIGHT
ened sandwich & salad
- fferings
- New lunch items
- Nearly doubled
level of promotional spend since 2015
- Significant price
investment in new Happy Hour
- Daily Brewhouse
Specials
Investment in Value
- Delivery
- Mobile app usage
- Catering and
large party menu
Off-Premise Opportunities
- Slow Roast ovens
for new center of the plate entrees and sandwiches
- EnLIGHT
ened item expansion around lower calorie and super foods
- New small bite
appetizers and add-ons
- Pizookie
franchise expansion
Food Innovation
- 2018 rollout of
revised program
- Simpler and
easier to use program for our guests
- Next phase:
segment marketing to loyalty guests based on behavior
Loyalty
- Enhanced
Scheduling process
- Handheld server
tablets
- Gold Standard
Kitchen Systems - Prep/Line hour integration
- NPS system and
increased investment in mystery shopper program
Operational Improvements
- Focus on target
(millennial parents)
- Consistent
messaging; closer to core
- Social, digital,
noteworthy events
- “Promotions with
a purpose” to lower overall spend (Pi-Day, free mini-pizza delivery day)
Awareness through Better Marketing
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Sales Initiatives Driving Outperformance to Black Box
BJ’s vs. Industry: Sales (Comparable Restaurant Gap to Black Box) BJ’s vs. Industry: Traffic (Comparable Restaurant Gap to Black Box)
0.8%
- 0.5%
1.2% 1.3% 3.9% 4.8% 5.3% 2.0% 1.8% 2.1%
Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19
SSS: (1.3%) (1.4%) (1.7%) 1.6% 4.2% 5.6% 6.9% 4.5% 2.0% 2.0%
- 0.8%
- 2.1%
1.3% 2.3% 2.6% 4.3% 3.3% 1.7% 2.8% 1.5%
Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19
Traffic: (4.2%) (4.2%) (3.1%) 0.7% 0.4% 2.5% 2.6% 1.1% 0.7% (1.0%)
CONSECUTIVE QUARTERS BEATING THE INDUSTRY IN BOTH SALES & TRAFFIC
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Slow Roast Ovens Driving Average Check
Launched new Slow Roast initiative in Q2’17 to further differentiate food quality
- New menu items: Prime Rib, Double Bone-in Pork Chop,
Turkey Dip Sandwich, Prime Rib Dip Sandwich and Slow Roasted Turkey Club
- Upgraded existing items: Baby Back Pork Ribs, BBQ Pulled
Pork Sandwich, Meatballs
- Added Tri Tip Sirloin in Q2’19 including Tri Tip combos
Augments existing pizza oven and broilers Simplicity of item execution consistent with Project Q efficiency goals
Slow Roast Incidence (per 100 checks)
14.0 15.3 14.6 13.7 18.6 25.7
Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19
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Off-Premise Continues to Drive Incremental Sales
- Off-Premise sales have increased
from 5.6% of sales in 2016 to 10% YTD 2019
- Selling BJ’s Beer and wine to go
(where permissible)
- Implementing new Catering and
Large Party packages in Q3’19
6.0% 5.8% 6.6% 7.1% 7.5% 7.7% 8.7% 9.5% 10.1% 9.8%
Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19
Off-Premise (Delivery & Take Out as % of Total Sales)
2017: 6.4% 2018: 8.4% YTD’19: 10.0%
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Loyalty Delivering Promising Results
Loyalty customers driving sales, traffic and average check far in excess of non-loyalty customers Customers earn points on every dollar spent
- 100 Points = $10 Reward
- Free Pizookie upon registration
- Free Birthday Pizookie
- Exclusive Deals & Offers
Improved guest segmentation for target marketing
- 1:1 guest marketing based on dining behavior
- Loyalty email marketing yields more engagement
- Enrollment +35% since revised program launched
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Culture
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Gold Standard of Operational Excellence
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Our Culture and Our People Drive Our Success
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Development
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Significant Opportunity for Domestic Growth
207 510 555 560 733 858 1,248 1,693
Note: Restaurant counts represent company-owned and franchised domestic locations as of year end 2018. BJ’s restaurant count updated for the 5 restaurants opened to date through 08/27/19.RESTAURANT POTENTIAL IN THE U.S. & GROWTH JOURNEY ONLY BEGINNING
425+
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Just Getting Started in the Northeast & Midwest
- FY 2019
Target: 7 New Restaurants (5 opened as of August 27, 2019)
3 4 3 3 5 22 6 62 11 3 5 34 2 1 6 5 2 5 3 4 2 2 1 2 1 1
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2 6 2 63 5 22 6 1 3 3 6 3 5 2 2 3 4 6 34 1 1 4 3 3 13 2 1 1
2017 2018 YTD’19 AL MD CT IN (2) MI IN MD NY MI MI OH NJ OH RI OH SC VA
Where BJ’s is Expanding
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Targeted Unit Economics
Sq Footage 7,400 Seats 230 Tables 69 Gross Cost $5.1 TI Allowance ($0.5) Net Cost $4.6 Targeted Average Mature Statistics AUV $4.5 - $5.5 RLCF $ $0.9 - $1.1 RLCF % 18% - 20% Cash on Cash Return 18% - 25%
($ in millions)
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Charlottesville, VA – (7,400 sq. ft.)
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Proto 2020
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Beer Display Board
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Margin Initiatives & Financial Strength
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Project Q – Improving our Way of Doing Business
Continuous process of reducing costs
- Eliminating unnecessary kitchen complexity
- Reducing prep labor and peak cook times
- Improving cost of sales
- Improving guest throughput
Key 2019 initiatives include:
- T
esting menu reductions, particularly at lower volume restaurants
- Improving kitchen operations with Gold Standard
Kitchen Systems
- Focusing restaurant initiatives to drive margin
improvement across labor, food cost and operating and occupancy costs
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Kitchen Improvements:
- Organizing walk-ins and dry storage
- Prepping all items into line ready pans
- Organizing prep zones and schedules
- Balancing of line cook prep and
dedicated prep cooks
- Resetting cook line and prep line at the
close of business for the next day
- Faster and more accurate daily prep list
Goal: To make our kitchens easier places to work and produce high quality food Benefits: Increasing kitchen labor productivity Lowering food waste Improving food safety
Gold Standard Kitchen Systems
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Balance sheet as of July 2, 2019
- Cash and investments of $23 million
- Total assets of $1,056 million
- Funded debt of $100 million, or
0.7x debt/EBITDA (LTM as of Q2’19)
- Stockholders’ equity of $324 million
Strong cash flow from operations
- 2018 cash flow from operations of $133 million
Available credit line
- $250 million ($100 million funded)
Share repurchase program provides flexibility to optimize shareholder value
- Repurchased $409 million of shares since April
2014
- $91 million remaining under existing $500
million repurchase authorization
Quarterly cash dividend currently at $0.12 per share
- Increased 9% in November 2018
Strong & Flexible Balance Sheet and Capital Structure
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DRIVING SHAREHOLDER RETURNS WHILE MAINTAINING A CONSERVATIVE BALANCE SHEET & LEVERAGE
Balanced Capital Allocation
($ in millions)
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Additional Information
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Net Income to Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation
($ in 000s)
Fiscal 2018 Fiscal 2010 Fiscal Year Ended Fiscal Year Ended 1-Jan-19 28-Dec-10 Net Income $50,810 $23,162 Interest expense, net 4,838 (34) Income tax expense (benefit) 1,187 7,638 Depreciation and amortization 70,439 28,878 Stock-based compensation expense 8,256 4,005 Other expense (income), net 735 (612) Loss on disposal and impairment of assets 4,048 1,164 Adjusted EBITDA $140,313 $64,201