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National Intelligence
Intelligence: It’s all around you
Unclassified Unclassified
An Introduction to National Intelligence Unclassified National - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
An Introduction to National Intelligence Unclassified National - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
National Intelligence An Introduction to National Intelligence Unclassified National Intelligence Intelligence: Its all around you Unclassified National Intelligence Intelligence: What is It? It certainly isnt just information!
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National Intelligence
Intelligence: What is It? It certainly isn’t just information! “Information is not knowledge”
(Albert Einstein)
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National Intelligence
National Intelligence Is knowledge produced for the President by the Intelligence Community (IC)
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National Intelligence
Members of the IC
Air Force Intelligence Army Intelligence Central Intelligence Agency Coast Guard Intelligence Defense Intelligence Agency Department of Energy Department of Homeland Security Department of State Department of the Treasury Drug Enforcement Administration Federal Bureau of Investigation Marine Corps Intelligence National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency National Reconnaissance Office National Security Agency Navy Intelligence
Unclassified Unclassified
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National Intelligence
Intelligence Analysis
Creating New Knowledge from the Data Collected
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National Intelligence
Distribution
- President’s Daily
Brief (PDB)
- National Estimates
- Separate Studies
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National Intelligence
Covert Action
1949 Syrian coup d'état 1953 Iranian coup d'état 1954 Guatemalan coup d'état 1961 Cuba, Bay of Pigs Invasion 1964 Brazilian coup d'état 1973 Chilean coup d'état 1979–89 Afghanistan, Operation Cyclone 1981–87 Nicaraguan Contras
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National Intelligence
The Key Players in National Intelligence
Director of National Intelligence (DNI) National Security Agency (NSA) Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) National Geospatial Intelligence Agency (NGA) Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) Bureau of Intelligence and Research(INR)
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National Intelligence
Major Functions
- Collect
- Analyze
- Distribute
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National Intelligence
Types of Intelligence
Collection
Signals Intelligence
SIGINT
Human Intelligence
HUMINT
Geo-Spatial
IMINT
Open-Source Intelligence
OSINT
Measurements & Signatures Intelligence
MASINT
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National Intelligence
Call Me a Pessimist
- In Denial
- Don’t Understand
Analysis
- Emphasis on Current
Reporting
- Those responsible for a
turnaround brought us here
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National Intelligence
Those Darn Dots
Connecting the Dots is not good analytical tradecraft!
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National Intelligence
Types of Data
Obvious Less Obvious Hidden
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National Intelligence
Three Levels of Analysis
- Basic Research
- Directed Research
- Current Reporting
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National Intelligence
Where Did the Other Two Go?
- Current Reporting
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National Intelligence
Iraq WMD
- National Estimate (NIE)
- CURVEBALL
- Powell’s UN Speech
“We conclude that the Intelligence Community was dead wrong in almost all of its pre-war judgments about Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction. This was a major intelligence failure.”
Commission of the Intelligence Capabilities
- f the United States Regarding Weapons
- f Mass Destruction, March 31, 2005.
Quality of Intelligence
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National Intelligence
CIA Reorganization
C.I.A. to Be Overhauled to Fight Modern Threats CIA Chief Says Overhaul Puts Spies and Analysts ‘Cheek by Jowl' CIA Director John Brennan considering
sweeping organizational changes
CIA Director Proposes Radical Reorganization
- Current Reporting
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National Intelligence
Reactions
Head of CIA’s Clandestine Services Abruptly Retires Leading Intelligence Expert Expresses Concern New CIA will be “. . .too driven by short-term
- bjectives…”
“US Intel Vets Oppose Brennan’s CIA Plan”
- Current Reporting
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National Intelligence
Brennan’s Motivations
- “information moves at blinding speed and is
instantaneously available throughout the globe, which has fundamentally changed our way of life.”
- Brennan’s speciality in the Obama White House was
counterterrorism
- The base model for the agency reorganization is the
Counterterrorism Center, an amalgam of undercover spies and analysts charged with hunting, and often killing, militant suspects across the globe.
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National Intelligence
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National Intelligence
Costs of the War on Terror
- FY 2014-2017 $1.7 trillion (Cost of Vietnam War adjusting
for inflation $368 billion)
- Number of Americans killed in the U.S. by terrorists since
9/11 -- 45
- Adopting “targeted killings” for the first time in U.S. history
- Death of at least two Americans from Drone attacks (Appears
serial killers and other mass murders have more constitutional rights than an American who turns to terrorism)
- Created the impression in the minds of many that torture is
effective
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National Intelligence
Lost Opportunity Costs
- U.S. Military run into the ground
- Other more dangerous threats than terrorism short changed or
ignored -- especially Air Force and Navy modernization
- Funds unavailable for other domestic needs such as
infrastructure
- Reduced influence on world affairs
- Loss of moral high ground in international affairs
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National Intelligence
This is what the UN has said:
“...many of the justifications for targeted killings
- ffered by one or other of the relevant States in
particular current contexts would in all likelihood not gain their endorsement if they were to be asserted by
- ther States in the future.”
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