A UK evacuation case study using Pathfinder questions the - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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A UK evacuation case study using Pathfinder questions the - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

A UK evacuation case study using Pathfinder questions the suitability of fire safety guidance Stewart Brown BSc (Hons) Dip Stat FIFireE University of South Wales, UK stewart@smokeplume.co.uk Content 1. Content 2. UK Guidance for staircases 3.


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A UK evacuation case study using Pathfinder questions the suitability of fire safety guidance

Stewart Brown BSc (Hons) Dip Stat FIFireE

University of South Wales, UK

stewart@smokeplume.co.uk

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Content

  • 1. Content
  • 2. UK Guidance for staircases
  • 3. The observed evacuation drill
  • 4. Remaining Question
  • 5. Pathfinder
  • 6. Is there a problem?
  • 7. Summary
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UK Guidance for staircases

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stopwatch

0:00 / 2:40

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Sizing staircases

Flow rate and capacity to hold people taken into account when sizing staircases

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Time to safety

When the last person enters the staircase people are safe

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The starting point

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Guidance

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Guidance

ADB says maximum of 350 people BS 9999 says maximum of 427 people

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The observed evacuation drill

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One staircase discounted

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Model

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Times for each floor to evacuate

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Safe?

Building not considered safe Remedial works were undertaken

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Remaining Question

If the building had been code compliant what would the evacuation times have been?

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Pathfinder

Evacuation reproduced in Pathfinder

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Model adjustments

Priorities and speeds adjusted to closely match observed evacuation times.

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Typical run

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BS9999 compliant building

0:00 / 1:31

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Evacuation times

Population reduced to be code compliant (BS 9999)

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Is there a problem?

There appears to be a problem as people are unlikely to survive on a fire floor for over 6 minutes. And yet we have no history of deaths in office buildings

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BS 9999

This is new code It is less onerous than ADB It has not stood the test of time as ADB has

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ADB compliant building

Population reduced to ADB max. and model run again

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Methodology

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BS9999 compliant two stairs fire on 6th

0:00 / 4:35

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Summary

Pathfinder modeling shows that the assumed 2 and a half minutes is unachievable when populations at maximum, under current assumptions But there is no history of fire deaths New guidance (BS 9999) produces worse results than traditional approach (ADB) But ADB results were not great Maybe we are too pessimistic about the performance of staircases As use of BS 9999 continues to grow time may reveal the answer