A small step or a big leap? Cairo, 18 March 2019 Arne Riedel - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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A small step or a big leap? Cairo, 18 March 2019 Arne Riedel - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Ecologic Institute ecologic.eu The Paris Rulebook A small step or a big leap? Cairo, 18 March 2019 Arne Riedel Ecologic Institute ecologic.eu Paris Rulebook takeaway Main point: There is a rulebook! Most aspects of the Paris

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Ecologic Institute

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The Paris Rulebook – A small step or a big leap?

Cairo, 18 March 2019 Arne Riedel

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Ecologic Institute

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Paris Rulebook takeaway

Main point: There is a rulebook! Most aspects of the Paris Agreement have been made operational Parties to the Paris Agreement now need to increase ambition and deliver their contributions

18 March 2019 Paris Rulebook 2

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Ecologic Institute

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International climate negotiations: timeline

Paris Rulebook

1988 1992 1994 1997 2005 2009 2011 2015 2018 UNFCCC

adopted Kyoto Protocol adopted

Paris Durban

mandate

& KP CP2

KP in force

IPCC

est.

Copen- hagen  UNFCCC

in force

18 March 2019 3

Katowice Rulebook

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Ecologic Institute

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18 March 2019 Paris Rulebook 4 Source: Bodle/Donat/Duwe, Assessment of the Paris Agreement, January 2016, p. 7

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Ecologic Institute

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Paris Rulebook adopted in December 2018 – a big leap or a small step?

Paris Rulebook 18 March 2019 5

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Ecologic Institute

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Progress during COP24

Paris Rulebook 18 March 2019 6

Source: CarbonBrief, https://www.carbonbrief.org/cop24-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the-un-climate-talks-in-katowice

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Ecologic Institute

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Paris Rulebook #1

NDCs (4 decisions)

  • NDC rules on

content

  • NDC Registry
  • Common

timeframes (continues)

  • Forum on

Response Measures Adaptation (3 decisions)

  • Guidance on

adaptation communications

  • Adaptation

Registry

  • Adaptation and

developing countries Finance (3 decisions)

  • Information to be

provided ex-ante (Art. 9.5)

  • Adaptation Fund
  • New collective

quantified goal

  • n finance

Paris Rulebook 18 March 2019 7

(19 decisions, 133 pages)

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Ecologic Institute

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Paris Rulebook #2

Transparency (1 decision)

  • Modalities, Procedures

and Guidelines (MPG) for the transparency framework, incl. on

  • Biennial transparency

reports

  • Technical Expert

Reviews

  • Facilitative, multilateral

consideration of progress

  • Superseding of the

previous Monitoring, Reporting and Verification System (under UNFCCC)

  • National Inventory

Reports

Global Stocktake (1 decision)

  • Modalities of

the GST, incl.

  • Information

collection and preparation

  • Technical

Assessment

  • Consideration
  • f outputs
  • Sources of input

for the GST Compliance (1 decision)

  • Modalities and

Procedures for the Art. 15 Committee

  • Initiation
  • Measures
  • Systemic

issues

Paris Rulebook 18 March 2019 8

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Ecologic Institute

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18 March 2019 Paris Rulebook 9

Where are we?

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Ecologic Institute

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(cycle of nationally determined contributions, NDCs)

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How do we get there?

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Ecologic Institute

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In the room: negotiations

18 March 2019 Paris Rulebook 11

Source: IISD

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Ecologic Institute

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18 March 2019 Paris Rulebook 12

Transparency Framework: Individual Parties

  • One set of rules for all Parties, flexibility where needed
  • Rulebook: Set of reporting requirements and review
  • Biannual transparency reports by all Parties
  • Technical Expert Review (by teams)
  • Facilitative multilateral consideration of progress (FMCP)

Reporting Review FMCP

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Ecologic Institute

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18 March 2019 Paris Rulebook 13

Global Stocktake: Collective Progress

  • 1st round in 2023, every 5 years, inform future NDCs
  • Rulebook: Stocktake of the long-term goals or more?
  • Cutting emissions
  • Adapting to climate change
  • Providing climate finance
  • Additional topics?

Information collection Technical assessment Consideration

  • f outputs
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Ecologic Institute

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18 March 2019 Paris Rulebook 14

„Art. 15 Committee“: Making it work

  • Expert body, 12 members, different disciplines and regions
  • Rulebook: Designing a new body for the Paris Agreement
  • What does it cover?
  • How does it start its work?
  • What can it do/say?

Initiation Procedures Outputs By Party or by Committee „Will“ initiate vs. May initiate Dialogues, Action Plans, Findings of fact

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Ecologic Institute

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In the room: Art. 15 negotiations

18 March 2019 Paris Rulebook 15

Source: IISD

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Ecologic Institute

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Beginn exchange on post-2025 finance goal

What is coming up next?

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2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Complete Rulebook (e.g. markets) Second round

  • f NDCs

1st Global Stocktake Third round

  • f NDCs

New financial commitments

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Ecologic Institute

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Market Mechanisms unresolved yet

Paris Rulebook 18 March 2019 17

Source: CarbonBrief, https://www.carbonbrief.org/cop24-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the- un-climate-talks-in-katowice

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Ecologic Institute

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German Plans on Climate Action

Paris Rulebook 18 March 2019 18

Source: Commission on „Growth, structural change and employment“ – final report, p .17, online at https://www.kommission- wsb.de/WSB/Redaktion/DE/Downloads/abschlussbericht-kommission-wachstum-strukturwandel-und-beschaeftigung.pdf.

  • 40%
  • 55%
  • 80%
  • 95%?
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Ecologic Institute

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German Plans on Coal Phaseout

Paris Rulebook 18 March 2019 19

Source: Handelsblatt, „Der Ausstieg aus der Kohle wird für Unternehmen und Steuerzahler teuer“, 27.01.2019, online at: https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/deutschland/kohlekommission-der-ausstieg-aus-der-kohle-wird-fuer-unternehmen-und- steuerzahler-teuer/23909538.html

  • Commission for growth, structural

transition and employment

  • 4 chairs and 25 members, incl.

utilities, industry, unions, civil society

  • Also: regional representatives and

Members of Parliament

  • Political initiative began in 2018, final

report in January 2019

  • Key recommendations:
  • Phasing out until 2038
  • Stepwise approach
  • Program of measures for the

most affected regions

  • Legislative implementation

still required

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Ecologic Institute

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Civil Society Engagement

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Source: Berliner Zeitung, 15.03.2019, https://www.berliner-zeitung.deberlin-fridays-for-future--viel-mehr-schueler-als-erwartet- demonstrieren-in-berlin-32225166

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Ecologic Institute

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Once more: Paris Rulebook takeaway

Main point: There is one! Most aspects of the Paris Agreement have been made operational Parties to the Paris Agreement now need to deliver

18 March 2019 Paris Rulebook 21

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Ecologic Institute

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Topics for exchange

Paris Rulebook 18 March 2019 22

The next round of NDCs in 2020: Where are Germany, the EU and Egypt? How can civil society contribute to an ambitious climate policy?

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Ecologic Institute

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Ecologic Institute

Pfalzburger Str. 43/44 10717 Berlin Germany

  • Tel. +49 (30) 86880-0

ecologic.eu

Thank you very much!

18 March 2019 Paris Rulebook 23

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Ecologic Institute

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EU climate targets

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- 20% until 2020 - 40% until 2030 update currently discussed up to 55% (Europ. Parl.) Emission Trading Sectors and “non-ETS-sectors”