- Wilh. Wilhelmsen ASA
Third quarter 2015
>
- Wilh. Wilhelmsen ASA
/// 11 November 2015
Jan Eyvin Wang, President and CEO
Wilh. Wilhelmsen ASA Third quarter 2015 Wilh. Wilhelmsen ASA /// - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
> Wilh. Wilhelmsen ASA Third quarter 2015 Wilh. Wilhelmsen ASA /// 11 November 2015 Jan Eyvin Wang, President and CEO > Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking expectations which are subject to risk and uncertainties
/// 11 November 2015
Jan Eyvin Wang, President and CEO
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This presentation contains forward-looking expectations which are subject to risk and uncertainties related to economic and market conditions in relevant markets, oil prices, currency exchange fluctuations etc.
warranty for the information and expectations given in the presentation.
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in several jurisdictions related to incidents prior to September 2012
investigations
– WWL were fined USD 34 million in Japan and USD 8 million in South Africa (WWASA share USD 16.5 million and USD 4 million respectively)
– Some further clarifications expected in Q4 2015 and 2016
exposure related to the ongoing investigations
WWASA makes USD 200 million provision in the third quarter
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22 14 20 18 16 12 2 4 6 8 10
Q2 15 Q1 15 Q4 14 Q3 14 Q4 12 Q3 12 Q1 10 Q2 11 Q1 11 Q4 10 Q1 12 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q2 12 Q2 14 Q1 14 Q4 13 Q3 13 Q2 13 Q1 13 Q1 09 Q4 08 Q4 09 Q3 09 Q2 09 Million Cbm Q3 15
Down of 7% q-o-q and 3% y-o-y
Prorated ocean volumes – WW group (100%)
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Index
High and Heavy
remained strong, however weaker than first half of the year Auto
better
Unprorated ocean volumes – WWL and EUKOR (100%)
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7
145 147 145 146 145 147 146 147 143 140 139 110 115 120 125 130 135 140 145 150 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2013 2014 2015 2016 Group tonnage Newbuildings Secured flexible tonnage
* Base case - Secured capacity not including upside potential through possible charter-in’s ** Vessels recycled at 25 years and all TC vessels redelivered at end of ordinary contract period, newbuilding included Other reduction flexibility options include; Renegotiation of charter terms, sale of vessels, slow steaming
** *
127
# Vessels
137
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Region Q3 2015 Q2 2015 QoQ change Q3 2014 YoY change 2015 FY FC 2016 FY FC 2016/ 2015 N America 5,29 5,44
5,08 4 % 20,30 20,60 1 % Europe* 3,74 4,22
3,42 9 % 15,60 15,80 1 % Oceania 0,32 0,33
0,31 4 % 1,30 1,30 0 % BRICs 7,02 7,55
7,50
31,40 33,30 6 % .....Brazil 0,62 0,63
0,83
2,50 2,40
.....Russia 0,41 0,40 3 % 0,55
1,60 1,60 0 % .....India 0,77 0,73 5 % 0,75 3 % 3,20 3,50 9 % .....China 5,22 5,79
5,37
24,10 25,80 7 %
Lower growth in annual Chinese car sales
Light vehicle sales in key markets quarterly [M Units] CAT - Resource industries sales quarterly [MUSD]
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 *excluding Russia and Turkey
Quarterly light vehicle exports [M Units] John Deere - Q3 2015 industry outlook
500 000 1 000 000 1 500 000 2 000 000
Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Japan Korea *Agriculture and Turf Retail Sales
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Auto
High and heavy
Tonnage
balanced
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The shipping activities in WWASA are expected to remain challenging, with added pressure on margins. Logistics activities are expected to be on par with the 2015 levels. The board will ensure a continuous focus on operational efficiency and cost- reducing initiatives.
Wilh.Wilhelmsen ASA 11 November 2015
Benedicte B. Agerup, CFO
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Provision impact shipping segment negatively in Q3
700 600 200 100 500 300 400 USD million 558 650 Q2 596 682 Q1 609 637 624 Q4
Q3 100
50
USD million Q1 54 98
57 Q4 66 73 Q3 76 Q2 2015 2014
Total income Total EBIT
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"#$ %& "! #$ #$ #$ #$ #$ #$ "#$ %& ! !! %&#'$ #$ #$ #$ #$ #$ '()%**&+(, %!& !! %!& !
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%& ! % & ".**/%& %0!& 0 %0& 0 0 0!
$(
Proportionate method
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Down 6% q-o-q, partly seasonal
106 114 110 106 102 116 91 121 118 120 104 120 150 154 135 50 100 150 200 Q3 2015 4%
Q2 2015 Q1 2015 Q4 2014 Q3 2014 USD million Q2 2014 Q1 2014 Q4 2013 Q3 2013 Q2 2013 Q1 2013 Q4 2012 Q3 2012 Q2 2012 Q1 2012
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Significantly impacted by a provision in connection with anti-trust investigations
600 500 400 300 200 100 USD million 502
Q4 Q3 437 512 Q2 470 539 Q1 460 499 50
100
Q4 Q3
47 Q2 58 37 Q1 59 37 USD million 55 2015 2014
Shipping income Shipping EBIT
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Underlying margins stable q-o-q
+ Lower G&A cost base
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Underlying EBIT flat q-o-q
effects based on their reported net profit in Q3.1)
160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 USD million 126
Q4 Q3 129 143 Q2 134 147 Q1 155 144 5 10 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 Q1 22 18 Q2 22 18 Q3 Q4 +2% 14 40 20 USD million 2014 2015
Logistics income Logistics EBIT
1) Hyundai Glovis net result consolidated into WWASA accounts one quarter in arrears.
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Unrealised losses on derivatives
medium to long term USD interest rates
(15.9) (0.8) (8.8) 2.1 (2.4) (0.5) Net interest expenses (22.0) (23.3) (67.9) (68.1) (25.4) (91.2) Interest rate derivatives - unrealised (15.3) 18.5 4.6 (1.7) (6.4) (16.8) Net financial - currency (15.2) 8.6 (40.1) 12.3 3.5 (22.0) Net financial derivatives bunkers (4.2) 0.9 (2.6) (0.3) (0.1) (0.3) )%,*& %!0 & %0& %0 & %0& %0&
Proportionate
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235+*
00 00 0 0
Continued strong balance sheet
Equity
Effect of provision of USD 200 million
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297 145
50 100 150 200 250 300 Paid capex 2015 USD million Acc 2015-2016 2016 FY
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Continued high liquidity buffers
172 11 35 20 127 420 380 360 340 320 300 280 440 460 400 Other USD million Liquidity Q3 2015 378 408 Financial cost Capex Net financing 10 Dividend received from JV’s and ass. 1 JVs/ associates EBITDA*) Liquidity Q2 2015
*) Equity
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50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2015 31 USD million 2020 -> 411 2019 341 2018 281 2017 106 2016 188
Sound maturity profile
Banks Bonds Export financing
tax lease refinanced to ordinary bank debt in July.
million in Q3.
50 million renewed in July.
financed from cash position
main banks to cover Q3 provision
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Dividend of NOK 0.50 per share in H2 2015
NOK 1.00 per share in H1 2015
NOK 0.50 per share in H2 2015
a reflection of weaker earnings and the JV’s exposure in the anti- trust investigation
0,0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 3,5 4,0 4,5 5,0 2014 NOK/share 2.00 1.50 2015 2013 4.75 2011 1.00 2012 1.65 2nd half 1st half
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