Why mackerel must be taken very SERIOUS! Jens Christian Holst - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Why mackerel must be taken very SERIOUS! Jens Christian Holst - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Why mackerel must be taken very SERIOUS! Jens Christian Holst Scientific advisor Ecosystembased jens@ecosystembased.com Living together = competition and predation Salmon postsmolt migrations first three months at sea 6000+ scientific


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Why mackerel must be taken very SERIOUS!

Jens Christian Holst Scientific advisor Ecosystembased jens@ecosystembased.com

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Living together = competition and predation

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Salmon postsmolt migrations first three months at sea

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6000+ scientific catches

  • f postsmolt

starting 1991

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Postsmolt salmon migration first three months at sea

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Collapse in postsmolt growth

Salsea-Merge 2011

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Reduced postsmolt feeding

Salsea- Merge 2011

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Extreme increase in mackerel stock distribution and stock size

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Nøttestad 2011

Mackerel distribution 2004 and 2009

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Mackerel distribution 2019

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2007 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Nøttestad og Utne, Institute of Marine Research, Norway, in Naturen 2016

July-august trawl survey

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2007 2016

Three times larger geographic distribution, double density: sixfold increase

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Olavsdottir et al. 2015

Mackerel growth:Total collapse

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Extreme increase in overlap between mackerel and salmon smolts

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Mackerel eggs May1992 Mackerel eggs May 2016

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Highest mackerel egg densities in 2016

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Mackerel also spawning all way up to Northern Norway after 2008

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Mackerel fisheries April-June

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Mackerel fisheries July -August

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Postsmolt life catching aquarium!

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Cannibalism in mackerel and the potential for postsmolt predation

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30 cm mackerel

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30 cm mackerel

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30 cm mackerel 12.5 cm smolt

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Cannibalism is today common in the starving mackerel

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We know exactly where the postsmolts and the mackerel overlap

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Camera Camera Anticipated picture from underwater camera Steel-bar Triangle of Steel-bars Trawler

Video trawling

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VIDEO FRAME

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A B C D

60° 58° 10° 5°

RV SCOTIA MAY 2005

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Continuous smolt distribution along trawling track

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My experience: Strong resistance against the hypothesis on overgrazing and predation in particular from scientists who are not marine ecologists but river scientists