WHERE WILL WE BE IN 2050? 6 NOVEMBER 2019 WELCOME MICHAEL VALENZIA - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

THE HAMPSHIRE DEBATE 2019 THE FUTURE OF FARMING – WHERE WILL WE BE IN 2050?

6 NOVEMBER 2019

WELCOME

MICHAEL VALENZIA REGIONAL DIRECTOR

CHAIRMAN’S INTRODUCTION

JAMIE BALFOUR CLA HAMPSHIRE BRANCH PRESIDENT

SUSAN TWINING CHIEF LAND USE ADVISER, CLA

SHAPING THE FUTURE– TRENDS

Global Trends Local Trends

SHAPING THE FUTURE – LEGISLATION & POLICY

• Agriculture Act (2020) – environmental public

goods (ELMS); animal health and welfare; productivity; transition from BPS

• Environment Act (2020) – environmental targets;

improvement plans; net gain

• Climate Change Act (2008) as amended in 2019

– net-zero emissions by 2050

• AHDB review
• Clean Growth strategy
• Industrial Strategy
• Glover review
• Immigration Act (2020)
• Trade agreements

Still to come: Tree Strategy - 2020 Food Strategy - 2020

General Election 12 December 2019

FARMING IN 2050

What will land be used for? Farming structure and business arrangements? How will it be farmed?

CLIMATE FARMING

Land use change Trees

• Up to 1.5 million ha of new woodland –

50% increase

• 600,000 ha of on farm woodland
• 5% increase land in trees to 19% in UK

Perennial bioenergy crops

• Up to 1.2 million ha

Restored upland peatland Grassland - 25-30% less Arable – 10-25% less Farm structure Fewer farms, more collaboration Forestry or bioenergy joint ventures On farm water storage Farming activity Less ruminant meat production New markets tree products, new crops Low carbon farming practices New farming systems - indoor horticulture

AGROECOLOGICAL FARMING

Land use change Trees and hedges

• 10% of cultivated land

Perennial bioenergy crops

• None

Grassland

• Increase in permanent pasture

Arable

• Less arable land

Horticulture

• Increased fruit and vegetable production

Farm structure Fewer farms and more collaboration. Highly skilled operators Farming activity Reduced ruminant meat production Increase in grass fed livestock Agroecological/organic farming practices

HIGH TECH DATA DRIVEN FARMING

Land use change Market led production Unprofitable farm land released for environmental management and carbon sequestration Farm structure Larger efficient farms Highly skilled operators Farming activity Precision farming in crops and livestock production Robotic harvesting Real time telemetric data for real time remote decision making Instant supply chain information

QUESTIONS TO CONSIDER

• What is the priority?
• How do we achieve the balance?
• What needs to change now?

TIM MAY KINGSCLERE ESTATES

“We need Sound Business's that Out Perform

the compounding effects of inflation… …before we concentrate on Social and environmental Enhancement.”

Tim May

Understanding and implementing sustainability.

Time Crop Yield Crop price Cost of production Profit Inflation True profit

1.00 - ABERDART (int dip rg) 2.00 - ABERMAGIC (int dip rg) 2.00 - LIDACTA (cocksfoot) 1.50 - PROMESSE (timothy) 2.00 - ARITA (meadow fescue) 0.50 - MILVUS (red clover) 0.50 - AVOCA (white clover) 0.25 - VIOLIN (white clover) 0.25 - CRUSADER (white clover) 0.25 - AURORA (alsike clover) 0.25 - LEO (Birdsfoot trefoil) 2.50 - ESPARCETTE (Sainfoin) 0.50 - PUNA II (chicory) 0.25 - FORAGE BURNET 0.20 - YARROW 0.25 - SHEEPS PARSLEY 0.20 - TONIC (rib plantain) TOTAL ACREAGE = 14.40kg/acre pack

Animals as tools

VICTORIA READ RELATIONSHIP DIRECTOR, LLOYDS BANK

Classification: Limited

Lloyds Bank

Sustainability Strategy  Agricultural Sector  Clean Growth Fund

Classification: Limited

Client Conversations

Classification: Limited

Relationship Managers

TIM THORPE CAMPAIGNS AND POLICY OFFICER, THE VEGAN SOCIETY

Tim Thorpe Campaigns & Policy Officer The Vegan Society

Climate Crisis and UK agriculture A vegan perspective

GHG emissions from agriculture

UK climate target? NFU net zero by 2040 Methane & C02 equivalence?

Livestock digestive processes 47% Waste & Manure 16% Soils 24% Machinery 10%

Direct GHG Emissions from the UK Agriculture Sector*

*Data taken from Committee on Climate Change Report 2018

Land use & negative emissions

Grazing pasture takes up around 28% available UK land Growing of feed crops Committee on Climate change target 30,000 hectares new tree cover per year until 2050. Forestry Agroforestry Reforestation & habitat restoration

Future proofing agriculture

Transition towards plant based

The future of farm subsidies? New generation of farmers Crop research – High protein crops Government support to access advice

CHRIS TURNER PARTNER, CARTER JONAS

Demand on Land in 2050

Chris Turner - Partner

What will Farms look like?

Disconnect between ownership and management

Ownership

Management

Food vs Environmental land use Specialist farming = Efficiency

Types of Farming Businesses

Types ypes of

• f agree

eemen ment t to to oc

• ccu

cupy y land land Siz Size of e of bu busi sine ness sses es

BEN SCOTT-ROBINSON CO-FOUNDER, SMALL ROBOT COMPANY

Raising £2m to build the fourth agricultural revolution

FARMERS ARE CHANGING

800%

Increase - zero till farming since 1999

4700%

Increase in regenerative farming since 2005

$5.4bn

Value of precision farming market 2019

Small Robot Company - Research phase

50 farmers in 6 months “Give us new technology” “But don’t make us pay” “And don’t make us risk obsolescence”

LONG LIVE THE

4th AGRICULTURAL REVOLUTION

3RD

Heavyweight High cultivation Per field decisions Mass application Nutrient draining Unsustainable

4TH

Lightweight Minimum cultivation Per plant intelligence Precision treatment Nutrient neutral Sustainable

MEET THE ROBOTS

WILMA

Data analysis and decision engine

DICK

RootWave weed control Precision fungicide and pesticides Reduce chemicals by 90%

HARRY

Precision, zero till planting and feeding Reduce energy by 90% Reduce seed by 40% Stop soil runoff

TOM

Continuous onsite monitoring Per plant mapping PES Soil health analysis

FARMING AS A SERVICE

We give farmers

1 TOM

Per 200Ha Dick and Harry arrive

ONLY

When they are needed Can work on any size farm

1Ha - 10,000

But best for 200-1000Ha We deliver improved precision,

EFFICIENCY

And lower costs We provide

0% STRESS

From theft and reliability issues We will charge

£400/Ha

For the full service

ECONOMICS OF AN ARABLE FARM

Meet Sam of Manor Farm – 60 Ha arable

Sam currently spends

60 ha of wheat. Yield 9t/ha. Price £150/t Revenue (incl. straw) - £87,600 Seeds / ferts / sprays - £30,600 Labour + Machinery - £31,500 Overheads - £37,000

P/ L – (-£11,500) With Small Robots, Sam will spend

60 ha of wheat. Yield 9t/ha. Price £150/t Revenue (incl. straw) - £87,600 Seeds / ferts / sprays - £18,540 (£12,100 saving) Labour + Machinery - £6,551 (£25,000 saving) Overheads - £23,000 (£14,000 saving) Small Robot costs - £24,000

P/ L +£15,509

WHERE WE ARE– October 2019

Stage 1 – In-lab PoC Stage 2 – Trials Stage 3 –Productionisation Stage 4 – Mass Manufacture WILMA

DELIVERING TO 300Ha GENERATING REVENUE

WHERE WE WILL BE – January 2021

Stage 1 – In-lab PoC Stage 2 – Trials Stage 3 –Productionisation Stage 4 – Mass Manufacture WILMA

DELIVERING CUSTOMER TRIALS TO 300 Hectares PROFITABLY DELIVERING A SERVICE TO 2000 Hectares

2188 farms 738,000 Ha

Target audience 10% of UK no-till 2% of UK conventional 2% of Kansas, Iowa, Nebraska no-till 1% of Kansas, Iowa, Nebraska conventional

OUR CUSTOMERS

600 farms 70,000 Ha

UK, US and Canadian Farmers who have invested in Small Robot Company.

70 farms 20,000 Ha

UK Farmers who have signed n MoU 20 farms 4000 Ha Prepaid customers

200-1000 Ha arable farms that are using regenerative practices such as no-till. Initially UK, then US and Canadian farm cooperatives. TARGET MARKET

We are by farmers for farmers. Over 600 farmers have invested in us.

THE TEAM

P.E.S Technologies

Single function F ull service Broad coverage Speciality

T HECOMP E T IT ION

Source – Better Food Ventures AgTech Landscape 2019

Q&A

CHAIRMAN’S SUMMARY

THANK YOU

CLA South East Andover Hampshire T: 01264 313434 E:southeast@cla.org.uk www.cla.org.uk