AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2017 AGENDA Key features and results history Group financial results Performance and prospects Questions and answers KEY FEATURES


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SLIDE 1

AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2017

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SLIDE 2

AGENDA

 Key features and results history  Group financial results  Performance and prospects  Questions and answers

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SLIDE 3

KEY FEATURES

 Sound profit growth in a challenging demand environment;  Well managed balance of value versus volume across key categories;  Revenue up 2,3% to R7,30 billion;  Gross profit margin recovery in line with easing of Rand driven cost

pressures;

 Operating profit up 8,7% to R1,53 billion;  Cash from operations up 12,1% to R1,87 billion;  Capital expenditure of R193,2 million to grow and sustain our

businesses;

 Return on capital employed of 28,5 %;  Headline earnings per share up 7,5% to 325,6 cents;  Interim dividend up 8,0% to 175 cents per share.

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SLIDE 4

106 90 111 122 133 167 259 245 247 259 312 351 389 452 67 89 97 129 140 121 181 203 246 298 340 369 412 452 39 16 75 75 126 60 3 101 47 74 98 160 167 179 27 27 31 36 42 57 67 86 91 97 103 124 140 140

  • 69

100 99 82 111 170 231 303 296 309 306 310 342

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 H1 F05 H1 F06 H1 F07 H1 F08 H1 F09 H1 F10 H1 F11 H1 F12 H1 F13 H1 F14 H1 F15 H1 F16 H1F17 H1F18 R million

Entyce Snackworks I&J Personal Care Footwear and Apparel

240 282 402 450 520 512 674 854 921 1 021 1 152 1 302 1 408 1 530

RESULTS HISTORY

 Compound annual growth rate from H1 F05 to H1 F18 of 15,3%  Operating profit margin increased from 10,0% in H1 F05 to 21,0% in H1 F18

Operating profit history

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SLIDE 5

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 7 000 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18* R million

Net operating profit after tax Average capital employed ROCE (%)

* F18 represents a rolling 12 month period to 31 December 2017

RESULTS HISTORY

 Sustained returns including increased capital expenditure to support long term growth and

efficiency

Return on capital employed

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SLIDE 6

RESULTS HISTORY

 Sustained strong conversion of earnings into cash

Historical cash conversion

201.8 230.6 226.6 550.0 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000 3 500 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18* R million EBITDA Cash generated by operations after working capital changes Cash to EBITDA

* F18 represents 12 months to 31 December 2017

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SLIDE 7

2.8% 3.8% 3.7% 6.2% 5.2% 4.5% 4.0% 4.1% 4.4% 4.9% 4.1% 4.3% 7.7% 12.0% 6.4% 7.4% 6.5% 4.5% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% F05 F06 F07 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17*

Normal dividend yield Total dividend yield

*Based on share price of R95,00 at 30 June 2017

RESULTS HISTORY

 Based on share price at end of each year  Total dividend yield includes payments out of share premium and special dividends  Excludes share buy-backs

Dividend yield (Year end)

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SLIDE 8

116.0 166.0 229.4 238.6 262.8 301.1 373.0 620.7 809.7 953.5 1 064.5 1 197.4 1 322.0 573.3 201.8 230.6 226.6 550.0 638.8 319.1 269.9 317.8 166.0 229.4 788.3 262.8 301.1 869.5 620.7 1 359.7 953.5 1 703.3 1 197.4 1 322.0 573.3

  • 200.0

400.0 600.0 800.0 1 000.0 1 200.0 1 400.0 1 600.0 1 800.0 F05 F06 F07 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18 R million

Normal dividend paid Interim dividend declared Special dividend paid Share Buyback

RESULTS HISTORY

 Effective payout ratio from F05 = 85,9% of headline earnings

Returns to shareholders

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SLIDE 9

Group Financial Results

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SLIDE 10

H1 F18 H1 F17 Rm Rm %

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

Income statement Revenue 7 300,4 7 134,6 2,3 Cost of sales (4 018,4) (4 011,0) 0,2 Gross profit 3 282,0 3 123,6 5,1

Gross profit margin % 45,0 43,8 2,7

Selling and administrative expenses (1 751,8) (1 715,9) 2,1 Operating profit 1 530,2 1 407,7 8,7

Operating profit margin % 21,0 19,7 6,6

Net financing cost (71,9) (79,9) (10,0) Share of Joint Ventures 25,4 42,2 (39,8) Capital items 3,4 11,9

Effective tax rate % 28,5 28,5

Headline earnings 1 061,4 979,8 8,3

HEPS (cps) 325,6 302,9 7,5

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SLIDE 11

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

Movement in group revenue

 Higher selling prices mainly reflect the benefit of price increases taken in F17  Volume pressure in Biscuits, Tea and Coffee in constrained and competitive environment  Spitz footwear volumes benefitted from stable selling prices and stock investment

6 000 6 500 7 000 7 500 8 000 7 135 340

  • 175

7 300 H1 FY17 Price Volume H1 FY18 R million H1 F17 H1 F18

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SLIDE 12

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

Gross profit margin history

 Stronger Rand and lower commodity prices provided relief from accumulated cost pressure  Few price increases in F18  Ongoing focus on cost and efficiencies to protect gross profit margin  Increased flexibility to respond to constrained environment

45.9% 44.3% 44.5% 45.3% 43.8% 45.0% 20% 30% 40% 50% H1 F13 H1 F14 H1 F15 H1 F16 H1 F17 H1 F18

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SLIDE 13

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

 Includes advertising and promotions, co-operative expenditure with customers and

marketing department costs

 Total expenditure for H1 F18 of R415,0m compared to R388,1m in H1 F17

Marketing expenditure

7.3% 6.7% 4.9% 7.1% 7.8% 4.7% 14.4% 1.7% 7.3% 7.8% 6.2% 7.4% 8.2% 4.1% 15.5% 1.4% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% Tea Coffee Creamer Biscuits Snacks I&J retail Personal Care * Footwear

H1 F17 H1 F18

* Excludes Coty

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SLIDE 14

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

Operating profit 8,7% up

 Entyce: Margin recovery and cost savings offset by tea and coffee volume decline  Snackworks: Margin recovery and cost savings offset by biscuit volume decline  I&J: Export price increases and non-repeat of unprotected strike in August 2016, offset by stronger

Rand on exports

 Personal Care: Market share gains by owned brands and lower input costs from the stronger Rand

  • ffset by lower export volumes

 Spitz: Higher sales volumes, margin recovery from the stronger Rand and savings from restructuring  Green Cross: Poor performance of summer 2017 range in highly competitive mid-priced footwear

market

1 220 1 270 1 320 1 370 1 420 1 470 1 520 1 570 1 408 35 40 11 44

  • 14

6 1 530 H1 F17 Entyce Snackworks I&J Personal Care Spitz Green Cross Other H1 F18 R million

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SLIDE 15

H1 F18 H1 F17 Rm Rm %

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

Cash generation and utilisation Cash generated by operations 1 870,5 1 669,3 12,1

Working capital to revenue % 24,6 21,8 12,8

Capital expenditure 193,2 284,0 (32,0) Depreciation and amortisation 207,5 195,7 6,0 Net debt 1 208,7 1 489,2 Net debt / capital employed % 19,1 23,7 Interim dividend – cps 175 162 8,0

 Strong conversion of earnings to cash  Working capital increase due to R230 million increase in debtors payments on first

business day in January

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SLIDE 16

291 310 200 226 560 284 193 250 257 332 623 322 262 105 127 137 150 166 194 206 113 130 146 158 181 200

385

222 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18

  • 100

200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1 000

F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18

R million

Capital expenditure H1 Capital expenditure H2 Depreciation charge H1 Depreciation charge H2 Forecast capital expenditure H2 Forecast depreciation charge H2

532 283 849 308 822 394 347 546 428 578 257 567 218 541

Capital expenditure and depreciation

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

 Continued investment in manufacturing capacity, efficiency and retail stores  Expenditure in respect of new I&J vessels included in F14, F15 and F16

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SLIDE 17

Key capital projects spend summary

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

H1 F18 H2 F18 F18 Total Actual Planned Planned Rm Rm Rm

Biscuit line capacity and process improvements 45 91 136 I&J vessel dry-docks and upgrades 14 25 39 I&J processing plant replacements and upgrades 8 34 42 Abalone farm expansion and upgrades 7 23 30 Indigo distribution centre upgrade 8 20 28 Logistics vehicle fleet replacement

  • 11

11 Retail store additions and refurbishments 17 40 57 Alternative water supply 8 16 24 107 260 367 Total capital expenditure 192 386 578

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SLIDE 18

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

March 2018 to June 2018 July 2018 to December 2018 January 2019 to June 2019 % Cover % Cover % Cover USD imports 95% 67% 3% EUR imports 100% 66% 3% EUR exports 76% 62% 9%

Foreign exchange hedges

 Consistent hedging philosophy provides stability to manage gross margins  Benefit to I&J’s export earnings diminishing in line with Rand strengthening  Recent Rand strength will provide further relief on import costs into F19

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SLIDE 19

Performance and Prospects

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SLIDE 20

H1 18 Rm H1 17 Rm % Revenue 2 039,0 1 987,8 2,6 Operating profit 424,3 389,0 9,1 Operating profit margin % 20,8 19,6 6,1

 Good growth in tea operating profit despite lower volumes  Price inflation from increases implemented in F17 in response to

accumulated cost pressure

 Raw material cost pressure ameliorated by stronger Rand  Volumes under pressure

  • Higher price points
  • Competitor discounting

 Premium Five Roses and Freshpak brands performed well  Savings from restructuring completed in F17

Income statement

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SLIDE 21

Income statement

 Coffee profit decrease due to pressure on mixed instant volumes  Overall decrease in sales volumes

  • Aggressive competitor discounting on mixed instant coffee
  • Partly offset by continued growth of Hug In A Mug speciality range

 Price inflation from increases implemented in F17  Raw material cost pressure ameliorated by stronger Rand (benefit of

lower Robusta bean prices deferred due to consistent hedging approach)

 Lower recovery of factory fixed costs at lower production volumes  Savings from restructuring completed in F17  Overall profitability remains healthy

H1 18 Rm H1 17 Rm % Revenue 2 039,0 1 987,8 2,6 Operating profit 424,3 389,0 9,1 Operating profit margin % 20,8 19,6 6,1

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SLIDE 22

H1 18 Rm H1 17 Rm % Revenue 2 039,0 1 987,8 2,6 Operating profit 424,3 389,0 9,1 Operating profit margin % 20,8 19,6 6,1

 Solid creamer performance  Slight increase in sales volumes despite aggressive competition

  • New pack size fully implemented
  • Effective promotional activity

 Selling prices constrained

  • Higher discounting than last year
  • Offset by price inflation from increases implemented in F17

 Lower raw material costs, including stronger Rand  Savings from restructuring completed in F17  Operating profit in line with H1 F17

Income statement

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SLIDE 23

% Δ H1 F18 vs H1 F17 Comments

Tea revenue growth 8,3 Sales volume (4,1) Category decline at higher price points; competitor discounting

  • Ave. selling price

12,9 Price increases in F17 in response to accumulated cost pressure Coffee revenue growth (2,9) Sales volume (8,9) Decrease in mixed instant volumes partly offset by growth in speciality coffee range (Hug In A Mug)

  • Ave. selling price

6,6 Price increases in F17 in response to accumulated cost pressure Creamer revenue growth (1,2) Sales volume 0,1 New pack size and effective promotion offset by aggressive competition

  • Ave. selling price

(1,4) Higher levels of discounting, mostly offset by price increases in F17

Sales volume and selling prices

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SLIDE 24

Market shares – value

 Market share declines due to competitor discounting and constrained

environment

33.1% 60.1% 25.6% 45.5% 10.9% 31.1% 58.0% 22.1% 41.9% 10.5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Five Roses Freshpak Frisco Ellis Brown Trinco

H1 F17 H1 F18

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SLIDE 25

Cost impact of raw materials and commodities consumed in the period (H1 F18 vs H1 F17):

Raw material costs

 Rooibos cost increase due to constrained supply and export pricing opportunity  Black tea cost increase due to higher underlying commodity prices offset by stronger Rand  Benefit of lower Robusta bean prices deferred due to consistent hedging approach

  • 4
  • 1
  • 1

3 6 13 24

  • 10
  • 5

5 10 15 20 25 Glucose Arabica Palm oil Casein Robusta / chicory Black tea Rooibos R million

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SLIDE 26

Prospects for H2

 Low selling price inflation supported by abating cost pressures  Careful price / volume management in market expected to

remain constrained and very competitive

 Potential for continued aggressive discounting by competitors  Rooibos input costs and selling prices remain at record levels  Reduced price to support mixed instant coffee volume  Protect long term gross profit margins  Easing of margin pressure with stronger Rand exchange rates

secured

 Continued realisation of restructuring benefits  Steady building of branded positions in export markets  Investment in rooibos capability to sustain market leadership

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SLIDE 27

Performance and Prospects

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SLIDE 28

H1 F18 Rm H1 F17 Rm % Revenue 2 176,5 2 195,1 (0,8) Operating profit 452,0 412,4 9,6 Operating profit margin % 20,8 18,8 10,6

Income statement

 Solid biscuit profit growth despite lower volumes  Volume decline for the semester

  • Category under pressure at higher price points
  • Consumer shift to lower priced product

 Price inflation from increases implemented in F17

 Cost pressures abated due to stronger Rand and lower raw materials  Savings from restructuring completed in F17

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SLIDE 29

H1 F18 Rm H1 F17 Rm % Revenue 2 176,5 2 195,1 (0,8) Operating profit 452,0 412,4 9,6 Operating profit margin % 20,8 18,8 10,6

Income statement

 Strong snacks performance  Slight increase in sales volume due to improved potato supply  Selling price inflation from increases implemented in F17  Cost pressure abated due to stronger Rand and lower raw materials  Savings from restructuring completed in F17

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SLIDE 30

Sales volume and selling prices

% Δ H1 F18 vs H1 F17 Comments

Biscuits revenue growth (3,1) Sales volume (8,4) Volume decline due to category pressure at higher price points and consumer shift to lower priced product

  • Ave. selling prices

5,8 Price increases in F17 in response to accumulated cost pressure Snacks revenue growth 7,1 Sales volume 0,3 Higher potato chip volume supported by improved potato supply, partly offset by decrease in corn snacks due to competitor discounting

  • Ave. selling prices

6,8 Price increases in F17 in response to accumulated cost pressure

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SLIDE 31

Market shares – value

44.8% 15.6% 18.6% 41.8% 14.6% 18.3% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Bakers (Sweet) Bakers (Savoury) Willards

H1 F17 H1 F18

 Biscuit consumer shift to lower priced products

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SLIDE 32

Cost impact of raw materials and commodities consumed in the period (H1 F18 vs H1 F17):

Raw material costs

  • 28
  • 10
  • 6

1 22

  • 40
  • 30
  • 20
  • 10

10 20 30 Flour Palm oil Maize Sugar Butter R million

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SLIDE 33

 Low selling price inflation supported by abating cost pressures  Careful price / volume management in constrained market  Increased import competition due to stronger Rand  Protect biscuit volumes and market share  Stronger Rand exchange rates secured give more flexibility to

manage demand

 Innovation  Continuing program of product extensions to support volumes  New product launch in H2  Continued realisation of restructuring benefits  Steady building of branded positions in export markets  Capital projects – major upgrade of chocolate lines at Westmead

Prospects for H2

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SLIDE 34

Performance and Prospects

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SLIDE 35

Income statement Income statement

H1 F18 Rm H1 F17 Rm % Revenue 1 198,1 1 143,3 4,8 Operating profit 178,6 167,4 6,7 Operating profit margin % 14,9 14,6 2,1

 Revenue growth from higher selling prices and sales volumes, partly offset by

lower Rand exchange rates achieved on export sales

 Sales volumes and cost recovery benefitted from non-repeat of unprotected

strike in August 2016 (R25 million profit impact)

 Good demand and prices for Cape Hake in export markets  Sub-optimal sales mix – freezer vessel sea days impacted by unplanned

  • utage

 Sound fishing and processing performance – overall catch rates slightly better

than last year

 Costs tightly managed

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SLIDE 36

Operating profit

  • 50

100 150 200 167

  • 34

25 21 179 H1 F17 Exchange rates Unprotected strike Selling prices* H1 F18 R million

* Net of cost increases

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SLIDE 37

Profit history

 Simplot profit negatively impacted by lower retail volumes and lower

seafood trading profits

 Abalone decrease in H1 F18 due to stronger Rand, impacting revenue and

stock fair value adjustment

50 70 117 130 153 17 19 34 27 22 20 13 25 50 29 50 100 150 200 250 F14 H1 F15 H1 F16 H1 F17 H1 F18 H1 R million

Fishing Abalone Simplot

87 102 176 207 204

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SLIDE 38

 High proportion of small fish, indicating good recruitment into the resource

Fishing performance

7.3 9.1 10.9 11.6 11.4 10.0 9.3 9.1 8.5 8.2 8.3 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 H1 F08 H1 F09 H1 F10 H1 F11 H1 F12 H1 F13 H1 F14 H1 F15 H1 F16 H1 F17 H1 F18 Hake tons per sea day

I&J catch rate

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SLIDE 39

% Δ H1 F18 vs H1 F17 Comments

I&J Domestic revenue growth 19,7 Sales volume 16,3 Increased domestic allocation in line with small sizes and lower freezer vessel tons caught

  • Ave. selling prices

2,8 Price increases offset by changes in sales mix I&J Export revenue growth (14,8) Sales volume (12,5) Increased domestic allocation in line with small sizes and lower freezer vessel tons caught

  • Ave. selling prices

(2,5) Lower Rand exchange rates achieved, partly

  • ffset by good export market demand and

prices

 Local retail market share increased to 52,7% from 47,7% in H1 F17

Sales volume and selling prices (hake)

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SLIDE 40

 Exchange rates lower than last year  Still at levels that support sound export profit margins  Depend materially on catch rate and size mix  Extended period of small fish may continue  Opportunity to improve sales mix – freezer vs wet vessels  Continued strong export demand for Cape Hake brand  Fuel costs effectively hedged  Quota for CY18 down 5% to 36 013 tons  Ongoing focus on cost reduction  Alternative water supply plans on track  Abalone aquaculture expansion to 600 tons proceeding well  Environmental impact assessment in progress for additional 500

ton expansion

Prospects for H2

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SLIDE 41

Performance and Prospects

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SLIDE 42

 Income Statement

Income Statement

H1 F18 Rm H1 F17 Rm % Revenue 631,4 620,9 1,7 Operating profit 140,3 140,1 0,1 Operating profit margin % 22,2 22,6 (1,8)

 Revenue from owned brands grew by 4,7%  Volume growth from core ranges and innovation  Price inflation from increases implemented in F17  Export profit decline  Less launch activity  Currency crisis in Zimbabwe  Higher price points in some markets due to stronger Rand

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SLIDE 43

 Sale volume and selling prices

Sales volume and selling prices

% Δ H1 F18 vs H1 F17 Comments

Personal Care revenue growth* 4,7 Sales volume 2,9 Volume growth from market share gains in key categories

  • Ave. selling price

1,7 Price increases in F17 to recover accumulated cost pressure

* Like-for-like comparison excluding Coty

 Body spray market share improved slightly from 31,1% to 32,7% in H1 F18

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SLIDE 44

 Low selling price inflation supported by stronger Rand  Careful price / volume management in constrained market  Potential for continued aggressive discounting by competitors  Stronger Rand exchange rates secured give flexibility to manage

demand

 Product ranges positioned to benefit from constrained

environment

 New product launches to benefit local and export demand  New focused Indigo regional growth structure in place to further

exploit regional potential

 Alternative water supply plans on track

Prospects for H2

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SLIDE 45

Performance and Prospects

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SLIDE 46

Income statement

H1 F18 Rm H1 F17 Rm % Revenue 1 035,8 969,7 6,8 Operating profit 334,6 290,4 15,2 Operating profit margin % 32,3 30,0 7,7

 Footwear volume growth  No price increases on core ranges in F18  Stock investment to support top selling styles  Increasing utilisation of lay bye mechanism  Record December performance  Gross profit margin benefitted from stronger Rand  Limited growth in trading space - trading density improved in Spitz and

Kurt Geiger stores

 Savings from restructuring initiatives implemented in F17  Strong operating profit growth and margin improvement

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SLIDE 47

% Δ H1 F18 vs H1 F17 Comments

Spitz & KG Footwear revenue growth 7,5 Sales volume – Total 2,8 Improved demand from stable price points, supported by investment in core lines

  • Ave. selling price

4,7 Inflation in non core lines and lower July sales volumes KG Clothing revenue growth 3,3

Sales volume and selling prices

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SLIDE 48

Spitz and Kurt Geiger

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 H1 F09 H1 F10 H1 F11 H1 F12 H1 F13 H1 F14 H1 F15 H1 F16 H1 F17 H1 F18 R million

Operating profit (Rm)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% H1 F09 H1 F10 H1 F11 H1 F12 H1 F13 H1 F14 H1 F15 H1 F16 H1 F17 H1 F18 Margin %

Operating profit % Gross profit % Gross profit and operating profit margins

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SLIDE 49

Trading density – Spitz stores

 Opened 1 new Spitz store  Closed 1 Spitz store in sub-optimal location  Refurbished 4 Spitz stores

5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 25 000 27 000 29 000 31 000 33 000 35 000 37 000 39 000 41 000 43 000 45 000 47 000 H1 F13 H1 F14 H1 F15 H1 F16 H1 F17 H1 F18 m2 R/m2

Trading density (R/m2) Average trading space (m2)

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SLIDE 50

Trading density - Kurt Geiger stores

 No store changes in H1

3 500 3 600 3 700 3 800 3 900 4 000 4 100 4 200 4 300 5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 30 000 35 000 H1 F13 H1 F14 H1 F15 H1 F16 H1 F17 H1 F18 m2 R/m2

Trading density (R/m2) Average trading space (m2)

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SLIDE 51

 Low selling price inflation supported by stronger Rand  Constrained spending environment expected to persist  Ongoing focus on product planning and store-tiering to underpin volume growth  Sustained improvement in brand and design via Italian office  Development and rollout of new store designs/concepts  Continued realisation of restructuring benefits  Retail space  2 store closures planned  6 refurbishments

Prospects for H2

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SLIDE 52

Performance and Prospects

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SLIDE 53

 Retail revenue growth of 1,9% from new stores  Like-for-like trading density decreased  Poor performance of Summer 2017 range  Increase levels of discounting to move stock  Wholesale revenue decline of 5,4% with continued channel shift to

retail

 Profitability impacted by discounting  Costs tightly managed, savings compared to F17  Trading space  3 new stores in H1 F18

Income Statement

H1 F18 Rm H1 F17 Rm % Revenue 193,3 193,8 (0,3) Operating profit 4,4 18,7 (76,5) Operating profit margin % 2,3 9,7 (76,3)

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SLIDE 54

 Oversight of key activities by Spitz management team  Improved planning, merchandising, retail operations  Summer ‘18 buy already reviewed to address H1 F18 problems  Review product range, store designs and marketing activity  Profitability of Winter range (H2 F18) may also be below budget  Focus on factory throughput and costs to improve fixed cost recovery  Ongoing focus on cost savings  Cash flow will remain positive

Prospects for H2

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SLIDE 55

INTERNATIONAL

Performance and Prospects

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SLIDE 56

AVI INTERNATIONAL

Operating profit history

 Revenue growth in most markets, notably Botswana and Mozambique  Demand weakness in Zimbabwe and Zambia  Price inflation from increases implemented in F17 in response to accumulated

cost pressure

 Profitability improved with improved price management and less cost pressure  Profit decline in Personal Care due to aggressive competitor pricing and less

launch activity

 Continued focus on building long-term brand positions

27 36 46 56 70 73 77 82 92 94 93

  • 10

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 H1 F08 H1 F09 H1 F10 H1 F11 H1 F12 H1 F13 H1 F14 H1 F15 H1 F16 H1 F17 H1 F18 R million

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SLIDE 57

Entyce, Snackworks and Indigo – Non RSA sales

AVI INTERNATIONAL

H1 F18 Rm H1 F17 Rm % International Revenue

525,2 520,9 0,8 % of Grocery and Personal Care brands 10,8 10,8

  • International Operating Profit

93,4 94,3 (1,0) % of Grocery and Personal Care brands 9,2 10,0 (8,0)

International Operating Margin

17,8 18,1 (1,7) Grocery and Personal Care brands Operating Margin 20,9 19,6 6,6

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SLIDE 58

AVI GROUP

 Sustain Entyce, Snackworks and Indigo profit growth in a tough

environment

 Essential we sustain medium term approach through a tough

demand cycle

 Low selling price inflation supported by abating cost pressures  Constrained consumer spending expected to persist, and demand

may be weaker than anticpated

 Tactile price / volume management essential  Potential to improve margins if demand is reasonable  Continued realisation of F17 restructuring benefits  Innovation to gain market share  Continued project activity to improve efficiency and capacity  Steady building of branded positions in export markets

Prospects for H2

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SLIDE 59

AVI GROUP

 I&J performance dependent on catch rates  Exchange rates hedged at levels that support good profit margins  Good demand and prices in export markets  Potential to improve sales mix – export vs local  Fuel well hedged  Improving abalone size mix to support revenue growth  Further cost savings  Alternative water supply plans on track  Preparation for hake long term rights renewal

Prospects for H2 continued

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SLIDE 60

 Spitz

 Low selling price inflation supported by stronger Rand

  • Less price pressure for consumers
  • Maintain gross profit margin

 Constrained spending environment expected to persist

 Continued realisation of F17 restructuring benefits  Focus on retail execution

  • Evolution of store designs
  • Incremental space growth and in-cycle refurbishments
  • Kurt Geiger clothing

AVI GROUP

Prospects for H2 continued

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SLIDE 61

AVI GROUP

 Green Cross  Oversight of key activities by Spitz management team – planning,

merchandising, retail operations

 Review factory throughput and costs  Do the best job possible with Winter range  Ongoing focus on cost savings  Cash flow will remain positive

Prospects for H2 continued

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SLIDE 62

AVI GROUP

 Group initiatives  Ongoing focus on business unit margin management  Ongoing focus on procurement, cost savings and efficiency  Remain alert to I&J value realisation opportunities  Manage our unique brand portfolio to its long term potential  Organic earnings growth; target >10% HEPS growth p.a.  High dividend yield – maintain normal dividend payout ratio of 80%  Sustain high return on capital employed  Effective capital projects  Leverage domestic manufacturing capability to grow export

markets

 Return excess cash to shareholders efficiently  Replicate our category market leadership in selected regional markets  Acquisition of high quality brand opportunities if available

Investor proposition

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SLIDE 63

Questions

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SLIDE 64

Information slides

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SLIDE 65

Segmental Revenue Segmental Operating Profit Operating Margin H1 F18 Rm H1 F17 Rm Δ % H1 F18 Rm H1 F17 Rm Δ % H1 F18 Rm H1 F17 Rm Food & Beverage Brands 5 413,6 5 326,2 1,6 1 054,9 968,8 8,9 19,5 18,2 Entyce Beverages 2 039,0 1 987,8 2,6 424,3 389,0 9,1 20,8 19,6 Snackworks 2 176,5 2 195,1 (0,8) 452,0 412,4 9,6 20,8 18,8 I&J 1 198,1 1 143,3 4,8 178,6 167,4 6,7 14,9 14,6 Fashion Brands 1 886,8 1 808,4 4,3 482,7 449,7 7,3 25,6 24,9 Personal Care 631,4 620,9 1,7 140,3 140,1 0,1 22,2 22,6 Footwear & Apparel 1 255,4 1 187,5 5,7 342,4 309,6 10,6 27,3 26,1 Corporate

  • (7,4)

(10,8) 31,5 Group 7 300,4 7 134,6 2,3 1 530,2 1 407,7 8,7 21,0 19,7

INFORMATION SLIDE

Business unit financial results

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SLIDE 66

Segmental Revenue Segmental Operating Profit Operating Margin H1 F18 Rm H1 F17 Rm Δ % H1 F18 Rm H1 F17 Rm Δ % H1 F18 Rm H1 F17 Rm Footwear & Apparel 1 225,4 1 187,5 5,7 342,4 309,6 10,6 27,3 26,1 Spitz 1 035,8 969,7 6,8 334,6 290,4 15,2 32,3 30,0 Green Cross 193,3 193,8 (0,3) 4,4 18,7 (76,5) 2,3 9,7 Gant 26,3 24,0 9,6 3,4 0,5 580,0 12,9 2,1

INFORMATION SLIDE

Footwear & apparel financial results

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SLIDE 67

INFORMATION SLIDE

 Entyce: Price increases in F17 offset by tea and mixed instant coffee volume decline  Snackworks: Volume decline in biscuits offset by price increases in F17  I&J: Price increases in domestic and export markets and non-repeat of unprotected strike

in F17, offset by lower Rand exchange rates achieved on exports

 Personal Care: Good growth in owned brands offset by decline in Coty revenue  Spitz: Footwear volume growth and higher average selling prices on non-core ranges  Green Cross: Price increases offset by lower volumes

Revenue 2,3% up

7 050 7 100 7 150 7 200 7 250 7 300 7 350 7 135 51

  • 18

55 11 66 7 300 H1 F17 Entyce Snackworks I&J Personal Care Spitz Green Cross H1 F18 R million

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SLIDE 68

INFORMATION SLIDE

 Entyce: Revenue growth and benefit of stronger Rand on imports  Snackworks: Benefit of stronger Rand on imports and lower raw material costs, offset by

lower biscuit volumes

 I&J: Improved export prices and non-recurrence of strike, offset by stronger Rand on exports  Personal Care: Revenue growth and benefit of stronger Rand on imports  Spitz: Revenue growth and benefit of stronger Rand on imports  Green Cross: Lower sales volumes and higher discounting

Gross profit 5,1% up

2 800 2 900 3 000 3 100 3 200 3 300 3 400 3 124 49 52 6 11 52

  • 12

3 282 H1 F17 Entyce Snackworks I&J Personal Care Spitz Green Cross H1 F18 R million

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SLIDE 69
  • 200

400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 1 800 2 000 1 871

  • 240
  • 330
  • 193
  • 239
  • 77
  • 795

Cash from

  • perations

Working capital and other Taxation Capital expenditure Decrease in net debt Net interest paid Dividends paid R million

INFORMATION SLIDE

Cash flows

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SLIDE 70

Quota (tons)

CY12 CY13 CY14 CY15 CY16 CY17 CY18 South African Total Allowable Catch (TAC) 144 742 156 088 155 308 147 500 147 500 140 126 133 120 % change in TAC 9,8 7,8 (0,5) (5,0)

  • (5,0)

(5,0) I&J 40 515 43 689 43 471 41 223 41 245 37 901 36 013 % 28,0 28,0 28,0 27,9 28,0 27,1 27,1

INFORMATION SLIDE

 CY17 reduction attributable to lower TAC (2 000 tons) and lower allocation of inshore

rights (1 344 tons)

I&J fishing quota

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SLIDE 71

Like-for-like metrics*

H1 F18 H1 F17 Number of stores 75 75 Turnover (Rm) 885,9 846,6 Average & closing m2 19 499 19 285 Trading Density (R/m2) 45 432 43 898

Spitz

H1 F18 H1 F17 Number of stores 77 75 Turnover (Rm) 909,9 851,1 Average m2 20 267 19 633 Trading Density (R /m2) 44 897 43 353 Closing m2 20 243 19 544

INFORMATION SLIDE

Trading space and trading density

* Based on stores trading for the entire current and prior periods.

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SLIDE 72

Like-for-like metrics*

H1 F18 H1 F17 Number of stores 31 31 Turnover (Rm) 122,2 112,5 Average & closing m2 3 922 3 843 Trading Density (R/m2) 31 169 29 265

Kurt Geiger

H1 F18 H1 F17 Number of stores 33 33 Turnover (Rm) 125,8 118,5 Average m2 4 194 4 183 Trading Density (R /m2) 29 999 28 338 Closing m2 4 194 4 087

INFORMATION SLIDE

Trading space and trading density

* Based on stores trading for the entire current and prior periods.

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SLIDE 73

Like-for-like metrics*

H1 F18 H1 F17 Number of stores # 38 38 Turnover (Rm) 129,9 137,0 Average & closing m2 4 752 4 719 Trading Density (R/m2) 27 346 29 033

Green Cross

H1 F18 H1 F17 Number of stores # 45 39 Turnover (Rm) 141,2 138,6 Average m2 5 396 4 839 Trading Density (R /m2) 26 165 28 640 Closing m2 5 536 4 896

INFORMATION SLIDE

Trading space and trading density

* Based on stores trading for the entire current and prior periods # including value stores

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SLIDE 74

INFORMATION SLIDE

Period End Spitz Kurt Geiger Green Cross

# of stores Closing m² # of stores Closing m² # of stores Closing m² June 2008 51 14,095 3 346 December 2008 57 15,448 3 346 June 2009 56 15,595 3 346 December 2009 56 15,220 3 346 June 2010 56 15,012 3 346 December 2010 57 15,124 7 1,047 June 2011 57 14,991 15 1,910 December 2011 59 15,240 22 2,922 29 3,304 June 2012 61 15,662 26 3,507 30 3,382 December 2012 64 16,586 31 4,113 30 3,382 June 2013 64 16,586 30 3,751 30 3,382 December 2013 67 17,156 32 3,960 30 3,382 June 2014 70 17,813 32 3,880 31 3,517 December 2014 72 18,342 33 3,978 30 3,423 June 2015 74 19,144 29 3,677 30 3,529 December 2015 75 19,376 33 4,156 34 4,097 June 2016 76 19,726 34 4,266 38 4,697 December 2016 75 19,544 33 4,087 39 4,896 June 2017 77 20,037 33 4,115 42 5,218 December 2017 77 20,243 33 4,194 45 5,536

Closing number of stores and trading space at the end of each period

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SLIDE 75